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At least 163 records · Page 9Linked to original sources

The cost of limited nocturnal roost availability on pre-migratory energy budgets in a central-place foraging shorebird, Numenius hudsonicus (Hudsonian Whimbrel)

Mobile species often travel long distances between the sites they use for different behaviors, such as central-place foragers that make daily commutes between a central roost and foraging sites. For migratory shorebird species that use coastal habitats, the limited availability of suitable nocturnal roost sites can lead individuals to commute long distances to their foraging territories, forcing them to balance the energetic cost of commuting with the need to refuel in between migratory flights. We investigated this potential trade-off in a population of Numenius hudsonicus (Hudsonian Whimbrel) that show wide variation in commute distance between a shared central nocturnal roost and individual foraging territories in coastal South Carolina, USA. We combined high-resolution movement data, behavioral state modeling, and empirical foraging behavior data to assess how increasing commute distances from a central nocturnal roost affect individual daily activity budgets, foraging habitat use, potential net energy gain, and breeding ground departure date. We found that N. hudsonicus that commute farther from their nocturnal roost spend a higher proportion of each day foraging and commuting, and that they delay their departure to the breeding grounds by 3–6 days. Our results indicate that roosting habitat close to foraging areas can reduce the energetic cost of commuting to help shorebirds avoid delays in migratory timing. Thus, protecting, restoring, and creating nocturnal roosting habitat close to foraging areas may enhance successful shorebird migration.

South Carolina↗

Ecological stability of zooplankton communities in changing arctic lakes over three decades

In the Arctic, rapid warming is altering disturbance regimes, creating an urgent need to assess the ecological stability of these relatively pristine ecosystems. The Arctic landscape has thousands of lakes that are experiencing both gradual, persistent disturbances (e.g., warming) and increased frequency and intensity of pulse disturbances (e.g., land-surface failures). To assess the ecological stability of lake communities in a changing environment, we analyzed long-term data (14–39 years) on zooplankton communities and environmental variables from 25 lakes in arctic Alaska. We characterized long-term change and evaluated the resistance and recovery of communities to natural or experimental disturbances. We hypothesized that reference lakes would demonstrate resistance to background environmental change, represented by variable but consistent relative abundances over time, while manipulated or disturbed lakes would show recovery after the disturbance ceased, as represented by directional changes in relative abundance with return to pre-disturbance conditions. Environmental variables including water conductivity, chlorophyll- a , NO 3 − , pH, dissolved oxygen, light extinction, and soluble reactive phosphorus changed directionally through time, suggesting press effects due to climate change. Zooplankton communities were resistant to environmental change in undisturbed lakes, but, despite monitoring lakes for up to 28 years after disturbance, few lakes showed evidence of recovery to pre-disturbance conditions. This lack of recovery may indicate shifting baselines due to environmental change. The variation we did observe was largely due to shifts in species relative abundance rather than in species turnover, and this variability was related to lake depth. Zooplankton communities and environmental variables displayed more interannual variation in shallow (depth ≤ 6 m) lakes than in deep lakes. Overall, our results demonstrate that arctic zooplankton communities have high resistance to the effects of climate change but potentially low recovery or long recovery times to pulse disturbances.

Alaska↗

Assessing low-dose copper treatment for dreissenid mussels: Effects on nontarget organisms

Zebra mussels ( Dreissena polymorpha ), an invasive dreissenid mussel, have been established and caused considerable effects in many North American aquatic ecosystems. In response, copper-based pesticides have been used to manage zebra mussel populations. We evaluated the effects of a low-dose (60 µg Cu/L for 10 d) copper-based molluscicide for zebra mussel suppression on nontarget species in Lake Minnetonka (Minnesota, USA). Specifically, we assessed changes in four fish species, a native mussel species, adult zebra mussels, chlorophyll-a concentrations (as a proxy for phytoplankton productivity), the zooplankton community, and the benthic invertebrate community before and after treatment. Chlorophyll- a concentration increased in both the treated and reference bays 1 and 4 d posttreatment. Non-target zooplankton community composition changed in both bays over the course of this study; zooplankton abundance and diversity initially decreased in the treated bay but gradually recovered and was back to pretreatment and reference bay levels after one year. We observed no significant differences in non-target benthic invertebrate abundance or diversity between the treated and reference bays, although abundance and diversity estimates were dynamic and uncertain. Among caged non-target organisms, copper bioaccumulation was higher in both mussel species than in fish, and among fish, was highest in fathead minnow ( Pimephales promelas ). These findings contribute to our understanding of the potential effects of copper-based pesticides on aquatic ecosystems and provide insights for zebra mussel management.

Minnesota↗

Assessing a low-dose copper treatment for dreissenid mussels: Effects on zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) population

We conducted and evaluated a low-dose copper treatment (applied as EarthTec QZ) to suppress zebra mussel ( Dreissena polymorpha Pallas 1771) veliger abundance and settlement in a 66.3 ha bay in Lake Minnetonka (Hennepin County, MN) over a 3-y period. We maintained a mean (standard deviation [SD]) concentration of 83.0 (10.3) µg/L as copper over the 10-d treatment period, much lower than the maximum allowable 1 mg/L as copper. Veliger density was reduced from 6.0 veligers/L before treatment to 0.3 veligers/L following the treatment period. Posttreatment zebra mussel settlement was 1900 times lower in the treated bay compared to an untreated bay days after the treatment despite similar pretreatment veliger densities. Veliger density and settlement remained suppressed nearly 2 y following the treatment. Sampling for adult zebra mussels within the treated bay returned variable results but survival of caged adult zebra mussels indicated ~30% treatment-related mortality. Copper in surface waters returned to near pretreatment concentrations 90 d after treatment. Our study demonstrates that low-dose applications of a copper molluscicide can effectively reduce zebra mussel veliger densities and settlement.

Minnesota↗

Thermal habitat use of lake trout in Lake Erie

Understanding the thermal habitat use of fish populations is vital for effective rehabilitation or management, particularly in the face of climate change, given limited thermal tolerances of some species. In Lake Erie, lake trout ( Salvelinus namaycush ) rehabilitation efforts by means of stocking have been ongoing for four decades. However, high water temperatures and lengthening periods of stratification may be hindering reestablishment efforts by contributing to unfavorable conditions for spawning and natural recruitment. We used acoustic telemetry to quantify weekly temperature occupancy of adult lake trout in Lake Erie and evaluated whether temperature occupancy differed relative to fish total length and sex. We found that lake trout occupied water temperatures similar to temperatures occupied by other Great Lakes lake trout populations during summer stratification. During fall, lake trout in Lake Erie occupied warmer temperatures than Lake Huron populations but similar temperatures to Lake Ontario populations. Occupied temperatures decreased with increasing body size during a 7-week period of mid- to late-summer stratification, but not during early summer or fall. Male and female lake trout did not differ in weekly temperature occupancy during any season. These findings reveal similarities with successfully reproducing populations, which suggest that adult temperature occupancy is unlikely to be a major impediment to natural recruitment in Lake Erie.

Lake Erie↗

Aging of biosolids in fields prolongs the release of biosolid-borne PFAS and promotes the release of select PFCA in water

Land application of biosolids can introduce PFAS into croplands. Biosolids transported to surface waters through runoff may subsequently release PFAS into aquatic environments. The objective was to evaluate the effects of the aging of biosolids and the presence of sediment on the release of biosolid-borne PFAS to water at the water-sediment interface under anaerobic conditions. Through two independent rounds of microcosm experiments, we demonstrate that by day 136, most of the PFAS compounds (e.g., perfluorocarboxylic acids, or PFCAs) released <10 ng per g biosolids dry weight, except for 5:3 FTCA. Kinetically, the aging process substantially delayed the release of some long-chain PFAS (i.e., PFNA, PFDA, and PFOS) to water, due to the collapse of the porous structure of biosolids during aging. After day 136, the amount of long-chain PFAS released from aged biosolids reached levels similar to those released from the fresh biosolids due to the recovery of the pore structure during the release experiment. Mass balance analysis showed considerably higher, final masses of PFPeA, PFHxA, and PFOA than their initial masses, suggesting that precursors were biotransformed into these compounds during the release experiment, and biosolid aging led to elevated biotransformation and release of these three PFCAs. Sediment had little effect on the kinetics or extent of PFAS release from biosolids, except that the extent of FTCA release was reduced in the presence of sediment potentially due to adsorption. Overall, biosolid aging can delay the release of long-chain PFAS and promote the biotransformation to and release of PFCAs.

Water Research↗

Highly mobile seabirds reveal areas of conservation importance across the Atlantic Ocean

Countries have committed to expanding the marine protected area (MPA) network to 30% of the world's ocean by 2030, more than tripling current coverage, and focusing on areas important for biodiversity. For such expansion to translate into effective conservation of marine biodiversity, it must rely on the best available knowledge. Here, we analyze tracking data on > 13,000 individuals (44 species, eight families) to map the distribution of highly mobile seabirds in the Atlantic Ocean and adjacent seas throughout the year. We identify regions important year-round or seasonally. The High Seas are as important as national waters for highly mobile seabirds but are even less protected. Current Atlantic MPAs hold < 14% of tracked species density, but their expansion to 30% of the ocean could protect up to two thirds. We share this new knowledge layer to support national and international efforts and policies to strategically expand the Atlantic MPA network.

Conservation Letters↗

dMODELS, a MATLAB software package for modeling crustal deformation near volcanic centers and active faults using Global Navigation Satellite System data—User guide

dMODELS is a MATLAB software package that implements the most common analytical models used to interpret deformation measurements near faults and active volcanic centers. This manual focuses on inversion of deformation data from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). The included case studies emphasize the GNSS inversion component of the software. Source models include pressurized spherical, spheroidal, and horizontal sill (penny-crack) magma reservoirs in a homogeneous, elastic, isotropic, flat half-space. A topography correction is available for the spherical source. Dikes and faults are described following the mathematical notation for the rectangular dislocations in a homogeneous, elastic, flat half-space. Equations have been reviewed for typographical errors present in the original literature and verified against finite-element method numerical models. GNSS data from the 2006 eruption at Augustine Volcano, Alaska; the 1998–2000 unrest at Taal Volcano, Philippines; and the 2009 earthquake in L’Aquila, Italy, are used to demonstrate the application of the software package.

Techniques and Methods↗

Climate-driven changes in wetland hydroperiods predict losses in habitat suitability for amphibian breeding

Environmental regimes are shifting with accelerating climate change, disrupting interactions between species and ecosystems shaped by the climate of the pre-industrial era. Species assemblages that depend on a dynamic network of ephemeral and permanent habitats may be especially sensitive to changing climate, whereby shifting environmental regimes may limit species persistence in landscapes in ways not captured by species physiology or coarse habitat metrics alone. Here we forecasted the loss of montane and subalpine wetlands as breeding habitat for three amphibian species in the US Pacific Northwest, Ambystoma gracile , Ambystoma macrodactylum , and Rana cascadae . We combined historical and recent surveys to build occupancy models of current breeding habitat use. We combined these results with existing hydrological models to predict the loss of suitable breeding habitats by the 2080s due to increased wetland drying. We found that species-specific occupancy of wetlands used for reproduction was predicted by both abiotic (e.g., elevation, wetland area) and biotic (e.g., emergent vegetation) site-level characteristics. Among wetlands currently used for reproduction, we estimated that between 12% and 23% could become unsuitable for the aquatic phase of each species by the 2080s, with watershed-scale losses ranging from 0% to 80%. This suggests that wetland habitat loss could limit the persistence of these species in the Pacific Northwest, though impacts are expected to vary across landscapes. More broadly, we demonstrate a novel approach to quantifying species climate change vulnerability that can be used to identify areas of both risk and resilience in changing landscapes and help to prioritize the application of practical conservation solutions in areas of greatest need.

Washington↗

DRIFteRS: A dataset of drift invertebrate densities in streams and rivers across western North America, 1997–2024

Prey availability is among the most influential and highly variable determinants of fish growth and freshwater habitat carrying capacity, yet it remains understudied compared to physical habitat variables (Ouellet et al., 2025; Rosenfeld et al., 2014; Weber et al., 2017). We often lack a clear understanding of how much food is available to fishes, how it varies spatially and temporally, and how it influences responses to restoration (Ouellet et al., 2025; Rossi et al., 2024; Wipfli et al., 2010). Drift invertebrates—the primary food source for juvenile salmonids and other drift-foraging fishes—play a pivotal role in these dynamics. To better understand the spatiotemporal variability of drift invertebrate abundance and biomass across the freshwater range of drift-feeding salmonids in western North America, we compiled the DRift Invertebrates For salmonids in River Systems (DRIFteRS) dataset. The dataset encompasses 6125 samples of drift invertebrates, and, for a subset of drift samples, associated benthic invertebrate density data, collected from 1360 reaches on 459 unique rivers and streams spanning 55 river basins considered hydrologically independent (i.e., not nested within the same larger watershed) across British Columbia, Canada, and the U.S. states of Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Sample sites represent a diverse array of river and stream habitats (e.g., headwater, mainstem, side channel), in watersheds with diverse land uses (e.g., urban, wilderness, agricultural), and disturbance histories (e.g., fire, restoration). Collected between 1997 and 2024, the data span the full calendar year and capture daily and seasonal patterns in drift abundance and biomass densities. When paired with water quality and quantity data as well as remotely sensed environmental landscape data, such as land use/land cover, climate, and disturbance history, channel morphology, and riparian vegetation composition, the DRIFteRS dataset can aid in identifying key drivers of drift invertebrate densities and mean body size and support predictive modeling in unsampled locations and times. The dataset may also be used to analyze aquatic-terrestrial resource flows, derive prey-encounter rates and profitability (mean prey size), and inform broader investigations of sit-and-wait foraging ecology, especially when paired with data on drift-foraging predators. For salmonid-focused applications, the dataset can be integrated into habitat evaluation models, including bioenergetic (e.g., Naman et al., 2019) and life cycle models (e.g., Beechie et al., 2023), to improve estimates of habitat capacity and population dynamics for river- and stream-rearing salmonids. Understanding prey availability dynamics is increasingly important, because rising water temperatures increase salmonid metabolic demands (Crozier et al., 2010). Flow regime transitions (i.e., snow or glacier dominated to rain dominated; Beechie et al., 2013), wildfire frequency and intensity (Hessburg et al., 2021), as well as plant community and phenology shifts (Cleland et al., 2007; Franklin et al., 2016) are all predicted to change with rising temperatures and are potential drivers of terrestrial and aquatic invertebrate prey quality and availability in lotic systems. These insights can ultimately inform restoration prioritization and design, helping managers consider food resource implications when evaluating restoration priorities and match habitat improvement to food supply. The data are released under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license and may be reused with attribution.

Alaska, Arizona, British Columbia, California, Col↗

A decision analytic approach to hierarchical decisions for double-crested cormorant conflict resolution

Double-crested cormorants ( Nannopterum auritum ) are piscivorous, migratory waterbirds that often conflict with fisheries interests in North America, stemming from depredation effects on fish populations. A new permitting process in the United States allows natural resource agencies to request permits for lethal take of cormorants in special instances like depredation of managed fish stocks. This rule does not include guidance for when cormorant take might be actionable. We developed a hierarchical structured decision making (SDM) framework for evaluating whether, when, and how much cormorant take might be necessary. A broad-scale, or “umbrella,” SDM framework established the overarching problem, objectives that likely are relevant for permitting decisions (i.e., minimizing loss of ability to harvest fish and sustaining cormorant presence on the landscape), and methods for evaluating the extent of management that might be necessary. A local-scale SDM process can then be applied for individual systems to determine the need for and magnitude of a permit request. We provide an example of such a local-scale SDM process for Brevoort Lake, Michigan, United States, where walleye ( Sander vitreus ) are sustained through stocking. We found that decisions for cormorant permitting on Brevoort Lake were influenced by uncertainties about the level of cormorant feeding on walleye, per capita level of daily cormorant consumption, number of days the cormorants spent feeding on the lake, and number of walleye stocked in the lake. This case study highlights the importance of uncertainty and risk in decisions for cormorant management, both of which can be accounted for more fully within the SDM framework.

Environment Systems and Decisions↗

Predicting Minnesota lake ice phenology with deep learning, explainable methods, and a physically based benchmark, 1980-2018

Globally, lakes are losing ice cover, but our understanding of the rates and variability of change are biased toward few lakes with long-term records. Recent works have used remote sensing and predictive modeling to supplement the observational record, but these approaches produce large errors when estimating ice phenology for individual lakes. Accurate, lake-specific estimates of ice formation and breakup through time are important for estimating variability in ice loss across heterogenous lakes and for understanding broader implications. This work explores machine learning (ML) approaches for hindcasting ice phenology using observations from 1980 to 2018 across 625 Minnesota lakes, covering 4359 lake-years of record. We used daily weather and static lake attributes to develop 60 neural networks for hindcasting lake ice time series. We considered LSTMs and attention-based transformers of varying size and initial parameters. We found that the largest LSTM performed most accurately on withheld data, and on a test set of unseen years and lakes, it outperformed a state-of-the-art physically based model in daily accuracy (97% vs. 95%), year-level metrics (RMSE for ice formation = 6.9 vs. 13.2 days; ice breakup = 7.5 vs. 12.2 days; ice duration = 9.6 vs. 13.7 days), and estimating loss of ice cover from 1980 to 2018 (observed = 8.4 days, LSTM = 7.2 days, GLM = 3.4 days). This demonstrates that ML can estimate historical lake ice formation and breakup dates within a week of observed phenology across heterogeneous lakes and recreate broad scale trends in ice cover phenology with limited long-term ice records.

Minnesota↗

Sediment vulnerability ranking for river basins across the contiguous U.S. using integrated biophysical and social-ecological data

Nearly half of streams and rivers in the United States (U.S.) have fair to poor conditions for aquatic ecosystem health as declared by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and sediment was identified as a primary factor impairing these waterbodies. We rank sediment vulnerability using physical, ecological, and socioeconomic datasets in 163 4-digit Hydrologic Unit Codes within 18 regions across the contiguous U.S. based on the National Hydrography Dataset. We refer to sediment vulnerability as the potential for excess sediment to adversely impact social-ecological aspects of streams and rivers. Metrics were organized into six variable groups: (1) geomorphic setting, (2) modeled sediment and phosphorus, (3) hydrologic conditions, (4) anthropogenic factors and land use, (5) socioeconomic considerations, and (6) measures of ecosystem sensitivity. Correlations and principal component analysis were used to reduce and select metrics that explained the highest variability across basins. Results from the regional analysis identify basins with higher sediment vulnerability in each region, whereas national results identify hotspots of highly ranked basins in the Midwest and the central U.S. with a concentration of moderately to highly ranked basins in the south-central and southwestern U.S. Indicators of socioeconomic and ecological vulnerability integrated with physical drivers of sediment production help identify important gaps in sediment monitoring and research.

contiguous United States↗

Climate change vulnerability assessment for guiding ecosystem restoration in fire-prone landscapes of the western U.S.

Climate-driven alterations to fire regimes challenges forest management and restoration in the western United States, where increased wildfire severity threatens ecosystem integrity and resilience. In this study, we demonstrate the application of the FireCLIME (Fire-Climate-Landscape Interactions in Montane Ecosystems) Vulnerability Assessment (VA) as a decision-support tool for evaluating management actions, including restoration strategies, under climate uncertainty. Through collaborative workshops with USDA Forest Service managers, we assessed three project areas in two national forests: Lincoln National Forest (LNF, New Mexico) and Bighorn National Forest (BNF, Wyoming). These two locations represent distinct climate zones, forest ecosystems, and fire regimes. We examined how changing climate and fire regimes affect ecosystem vulnerability with the FireCLIME VA, which integrates exposure to climate and fire regime changes, ecosystem response factors, and adaptive capacity via management intervention to compare vulnerability outcomes relative to desired future conditions (DFC). Results revealed that forests that departed more from historical conditions (LNF) exhibited greater vulnerability. Soil burn severity and associated erosion emerged as common vulnerability drivers across all sites. For both forests, treatments were able to reduce departure from DFC. Treatment effectiveness varied by ecosystem type; some interventions demonstrated broad capacity to lower vulnerability and achieve DFC for a wide range of components, while others had more targeted effects for specific components. This assessment framework reveals substantial synergy between climate adaptation planning and restoration ecology principles, suggesting that vulnerability assessments can effectively guide restoration planning under climate uncertainty by balancing risk reduction with ecosystem resilience enhancement.

New Mexico, Wyoming↗

Beginning with a single step: A social theory of change for managing chronic wasting disease

Emerging wildlife diseases, like chronic wasting disease (CWD), not only lead to changing dynamics within the ecology of the susceptible species but also to changes within interrelated social and management systems. Chronic wasting disease has proven challenging to manage partially because the best management practices (BMP) available have conflicted with historical cervid management paradigms. In support of CWD management decisions, we conducted an expert elicitation investigation of potential intervention strategies that experts believed would positively affect CWD management. The most prioritized intervention was “understanding audiences, outreach, and engagement with public.” Using the most prioritized intervention theme, we continued the expert elicitation process to develop a social theory of change that describes the expected results of implementing the intervention theme. The results chain describes a process of conducting social science investigation to gather evidence and understand the situation and use the gathered evidence to support the selection of appropriate behavior change strategies and pathways prior to implementing a desired CWD management action. The produced social theory of change provides CWD managing organizations with a framework for evaluating efforts to engage with the public about the actions they are taking and working to increase support or participation.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗

Incorporating wetland drowning thresholds to assess the spatiotemporal variability in potential wetland migration and submergence from sea-level rise

In the coming decades sea-level rise rates could exceed the upper bounds of coastal wetland vertical movement leading to wetland submergence. Consequently, understanding the spatiotemporal variability of wetland migration and submergence at regional and national scales can inform decision making. In this study, we developed an approach that addresses elevation error in digital elevation models for wetlands, incorporates uncertainty in current and future water levels, and utilizes recent literature on coastal wetland drowning thresholds. We used our framework to predict wetland change with sea-level rise for the middle and upper Texas coast—a region that is experiencing some of the highest relative sea-level rise rates in the United States. Our elevation-based approach produced contemporary wetland maps that had a high level of agreement (> 87–91%) with existing national wetland maps. For the intermediate relative sea-level rise scenario, extensive change is predicted within the study area by 2100, including a net decrease in coverage of irregularly oceanic-flooded wetlands (-37%) and regularly oceanic-flooded wetlands (-23%). The wetland migration space of these two wetland zones is largely made up of existing wetlands (> 70%), but also includes other upland areas, such as pasture/hay and grassland. By breaking down our results for the full region and two distinct focal areas, we highlight the spatiotemporal variability of wetland change. Our scalable approach provides natural resource managers with information for developing location-specific strategies for balancing the trade-offs associated with wetland change from sea-level rise.

Texas↗