Geology topics

Research about California

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including California.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

USGS2026

Distribution and abundance of Least Bell’s Vireo ( Vireo bellii pusillus ) and Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) at the Hansen Dam Basin, Los Angeles County, California—2025 data summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ; vireo) and Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher) along Big Tujunga Creek in the Hansen Dam Basin in Los Angeles County, California, in 2025. Four vireo surveys were completed between April 17 and July 2, 2025, and three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 20 and July 2, 2025. We detected 62 territorial male vireos, 51 of which were confirmed as paired, and 2 transient vireos. Additionally, we detected 32 juvenile vireos during surveys. Seventy-seven percent of vireos were detected in habitat characterized as mixed willow, and 95 percent of vireos were detected in habitat with greater than 50-percent native plant cover. Most vireo territories were dominated by Goodding’s black willow ( Salix gooddingii ). On May 20, 2025, we detected 18 transient Willow Flycatchers of unknown subspecies, none of which were confirmed to be paired, and no juveniles were detected. Mixed willow habitat was used by 78 percent of Willow Flycatchers, and all Willow Flycatchers were detected in habitat with greater than 50-percent native plant cover. Most Willow Flycatchers were detected in locations dominated by Goodding’s black willow.

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USGS2026

Earthquake ground-motion model adjustments for the San Francisco Bay area

We develop adjustments to ergodic ground‐motion models (GMMs) to improve their performance in the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA). GMMs are widely used in hazard assessments to estimate characteristics of ground shaking based on known properties of the source, path, and site. Such models are often developed using datasets containing records from various regions, resulting in models that represent median ground‐motion behavior, which may not adequately represent ground motions within subregions. This is true for the SFBA, where ground motions attenuate more rapidly with distance than in many other parts of California that dominate GMM databases. To support improved seismic hazard estimates in the SFBA, we calculate regional constants and anelastic attenuation coefficient adjustments relative to two commonly used ergodic GMMs: BSSA14 ( Boore et al. , 2014 ) and ASK14 ( Abrahamson et al. , 2014 ). These adjustments are obtained for a suite of ground‐motion intensity measures (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, and 5%‐damped pseudospectral acceleration at oscillator periods ranging from 0.075 to 10 s) using mixed‐effects regression. Use of the regionally adjusted models reduces the overall bias by up to 0.5 natural log units for BSSA14 and up to 0.6 natural log units for ASK14. We demonstrate one application of our attenuation adjustments and their implications in an earthquake early warning case study of the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa earthquake. The predicted extent of shaking using the adjusted models better matches observed shaking at large source‐to‐site distances, especially for lower shaking intensities, thus potentially reducing overalerting. We encourage the use of our model adjustments when ergodic models are considered for seismic hazard studies in the SFBA.

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USGS2026

Early Miocene volcanic rocks and associated tectonics, Lava Hills and southern Bristol Mountains, California

Volcanic rocks of latest Oligocene to early Miocene age form an east-west belt across part of the central eastern Mojave Desert from the Whipple Mountains on the east to the Rosamond Hills on the west. We term this the central belt because it is separated from northern and southern belts by swaths with no volcanic rocks. Limited geochronologic data indicate that much of the belt is latest Oligocene and early Miocene in age, about 24 to 19 Ma, a finding that is consistent with these rocks being overlain by the 18.8 Ma Peach Spring Tuff in many places. We describe Miocene geology in a central area of the belt, in the Lava Hills, southern Bristol Mountains, and southern Old Dad Mountains. Sedimentary basins formed coeval with early andesite to rhyolite volcanism, progressing from fluvial and lacustrine tuffaceous sandstone to volcanic lavas, tuffs, and breccias, indicating that early basins formed proximal to volcanic edifices. Higher strata are fluvial and lacustrine with lavas punctuating the sequence. Although basins may partly have been formed within topographic lows bounded by volcanic domes, plateaus, and stratovolcanoes, consistent stratigraphic sections over wide areas indicate that tectonic basin evolution affected broad areas. The volcanic section is capped by local basalt flows and the regional Peach Spring Tuff. Limited data on normal faults support interpretations of early extensional basin development caused by northeast-southwest oriented stretching. Later extension caused stratal rotations, tilting early deposits down to the southwest. This tilted and subsequently beveled basin architecture was overlain by the youngest volcanic deposits, primarily rhyolite and basalt. The Peach Spring Tuff, 18.8 Ma, lies within this upper unit. Similar stratigraphic and structural relations are exposed in the nearby Marble Mountains and Van Winkle Mountain sections, reinforcing that a broad area underwent similar volcanism and tectonism. In our study area the upper unit is only very gently tilted except near dextral strike-slip faults of the eastern California shear zone. These late Miocene to Recent faults are represented as four main fault zones spaced about 5 km apart, representing distributed shear north of the Bristol Lake basin.

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USGS2026

Impact of fog on California waterfowl flight activity: Historical and modern insights into effects post-Clean Air Act

Since establishment of the Clean Air Act in the early 1970s, occurrence of the dense ‘Tule Fog’, historically prevalent throughout winter across California’s Central Valley, has substantially reduced. At the same time, waterfowl body masses have generally increased. Flight is metabolically expensive, and fog visually and navigationally impairs birds in flight, likely causing them to remain aloft for longer than usual periods. If less fog results in less flight and reduced energy expenditure, then fewer winter Tule fog events could contribute to increased body masses of California waterfowl since the mid-1980’s. Therefore, we aimed to assess the relationship between waterfowl flight and fog occurrence/density with historic (1991–93) and modern (2015–23) waterfowl tracking data in the Central Valley of California (CCV). Historic tracking data showed that the probability of flight increased with increasing fog density. Birds were significantly more likely to fly in fog than when there was no fog and most likely to fly in heavy fog . Modern data showed similar responses to fog with flight occurring significantly more during dawn fog events. This relationship between improved waterfowl body mass and fewer fog events may provide an opportunity to redirect scarce funding to focus on other population requirements such as improving habitats for nesting, molting and brood rearing that are currently lacking. Unanticipated benefits of the Clean Air Act should stand as a strong recommendation to maintaining this Act into the future.

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USGS2026

Widespread occurrence of Magnéli phases in wildland-urban interface fire ashes

The increasing activity of wildland–urban interface (WUI) fires has raised concerns regarding the potential environmental and human health impacts of residual ash remaining after burning. In this study, we investigated the concentration and speciation of titanium in WUI fire ash. Total titanium concentrations in WUI fire ash ranged from 0.53 to 80 g kg –1 . Synchrotron-based macro- and microscale X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES and μXANES, respectively) spectroscopy were used to quantify the relative abundance of major Ti phases in the fire ash, and the results were corroborated by high resolution-transmission electron microscopy (HR-TEM) measurements. Rutile (α-TiO 2 ), anatase (β-TiO 2 ), ilmenite (FeTiO 3 ), and titanium(III) oxide (Ti 2 O 3 ) were detected in all 20 ashes investigated by XANES and accounted for 0.26–0.83, 0.19–0.83, 0.33, and 0.17–0.72 of the spectral weight, respectively. Deeper analysis by μXANES of one sample demonstrated that Ti-bearing particles occurred as a mixture of rutile (α-TiO 2 ), anatase (β-TiO 2 ), ilmenite (FeTiO 3 ), and titanium(III) oxide Ti 2 O 3, with the absence of a pure Ti 2 O 3 phase. The presence of Ti 2 O 3 in the WUI fire ash is ascribed to the reduction of rutile and anatase to Magnéli titania (Ti n O 2 n– 1 , n = 4–9), which is estimated to be the dominant phase of titanium in the 20 WUI fire ashes investigated by XANES. The occurrence of Magnéli titania was corroborated by HR-TEM. Our findings demonstrate the impact of WUI fires on titanium speciation; fires convert titanium dioxides (e.g., rutile and anatase) to reduced titanium phases (e.g., Magnéli titania). Based on HR-TEM analyses, most of the titanium-bearing particles were less than 500 nm in size. Magnéli particles have been shown to be more toxic than rutile and anatase and have been linked to reduced lung function. Therefore, this study provides critical insights into the pollution characteristics and potential health risks of WUI fire ashes and associated particles, which are currently poorly understood.

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USGS2026

The state of the giant sequoias: Losses, risks, and opportunities

Background Giant sequoias, an iconic tree found only in a narrow band along the western slope of the Sierra Nevada of California, are facing unprecedented threats. Despite being adapted to fire and resistant to both drought and insect attack, the species has exhibited signs of vulnerability to these stressors in recent years, with the most substantial impacts coming from wildfire. Recently, several unprecedentedly large and severe fires have resulted in the deaths of many large trees and, in some cases, limited postfire regeneration. These impacts have led to heightened efforts by managers to implement treatments to protect those places that are still vulnerable. Here, we provide a comprehensive, range-wide assessment of the condition of the species, including an evaluation of the trends in wildfire and its effects on large giant sequoia mortality and the potential for local extirpation, treatment patterns, and vulnerability to future fire. Results From 2015 to 2024, 82% of giant sequoia grove area burned in wildfire, compared to 24% between 1910 and 2014. We conservatively estimate that 17.6% of all large giant sequoias have been killed by wildfire since 1984, with most dying in 2020 and 2021. Due to very severe wildfire, roughly 13% of the range is at some risk of local extirpation due to the loss of mature trees and limited predicted regeneration. Treatment activity has increased since 1995, with treatment type and amount varying by jurisdiction. The combination of treatment and wildfire has created a mosaic of resistance to severe fire, with 26% of grove area at high resistance, 38% at moderate resistance, 2% at low resistance, and 16% having no resistance. The remaining 18% are areas where mature giant sequoia forest was lost due to high severity fire. Conclusions Giant sequoias have experienced substantial losses due to recent wildfire, with large areas at risk of grove loss. However, most burned area had lower severity effects, creating opportunities to leverage wildfire as a treatment. When combined with areas of active management, these opportunities can promote giant sequoia conservation in a time of rapid change.

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USGS2026

Distribution and abundance of Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ) and Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) at the Mojave River Dam, San Bernardino County, California—2025 Data Summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ; vireo) and Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher) at the Mojave River Dam study area near Hesperia, California, in 2025. Four vireo surveys were completed between April 23 and June 26, 2025, and three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 16 and June 26, 2025. We detected two territorial male vireos, both of which were paired, and one transient vireo. No juvenile vireos were observed during surveys. Vireos were reported in two habitat types: riparian scrub dominated by narrowleaf willow ( Salix exigua ) or mule fat ( Baccharis salicifolia ) and willow-cottonwood dominated by red or arroyo willow ( Salix laevigata or lasiolepis ). One transient willow flycatcher of unknown subspecies was observed in willow-cottonwood habitat dominated by Fremont cottonwood ( Populus fremontii ).

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USGS2026

Leveraging local species data, a global database, and an occupancy model to explore bee–plant interactions

Global declines in bee populations are threatening the ecosystem services they provide, including pollination. Many bee–plant interactions are understudied, producing an incomplete understanding of resulting ecosystem-level vulnerabilities. The last decade has generated a wealth of opportunistic data originating from natural history collection records, published ecological datasets, and citizen/community science initiatives in online databases such as Global Biotic Interactions (GloBI). Here, we explore hypotheses related to bee–plant interactions and detection processes using the GloBI database, curated checklists of bee and flowering plant species, and an occupancy model. We hypothesized that larger, social bees would visit a larger number of plant species, while smaller, solitary bees would visit fewer. We also predicted that flowers with open, bowl-like shapes would attract a greater diversity of bee visitors compared to closed shapes. Further, we hypothesized that both floral and bee traits, such as bright colors and conspicuous patterns, would increase detectability, and that different data collection methods would vary in their ability to capture bee–plant interactions. Lastly, we hypothesized that the interaction network generated by the output of the occupancy model, which accounted for imperfect bee–plant detection, would yield more interactions, thereby increasing measures of evenness and decreasing nestedness and specialization, as compared to the network generated from recorded interaction data. We found that smaller bees exhibited higher probabilities of plant interactions than larger bees, but we did not find evidence that bee sociality influenced the probability of interacting with plants. We found that blue flowers and closed (not-bowl-shaped) flowers had higher probabilities of bee-plant interaction than other flower colors or bowl-shaped flowers, respectively. We also found that larger bee size, blue flowers, bowl shapes, and community science sources were associated with higher detection probabilities of bee–plant interactions. Lastly, the interaction network generated by the occupancy model output showed higher levels of evenness, nestedness, and connectance than the network generated by the GloBI data. Our study is among the first to utilize occupancy modeling to directly model species' interactions, leverage aggregated, open-source databases and expert checklists, and highlight the influence of detection and collection biases on our understanding of ecological interactions.

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USGS2026

Compact seismicity bursts have different characteristics from regional seismicity

Earthquakes tend to cluster, developing into sequences driven by stress perturbations and transient fault-zone processes. Depending on the driving process, earthquake sequences show differing behaviors. This variability challenges our ability to observe or distinguish these driving processes in high resolution. Here we systematically identify seismicity bursts throughout southern California using new statistical methods and examine their causes with other independent geophysical observations. Seismicity bursts are defined as statistically significant seismicity rate anomalies. Our approach has the advantage of being data driven, depending on few earthquake occurrence assumptions. We find abundant seismicity bursts across southern California, most frequently occurring along the San Jacinto Fault and in the Salton Sea and Coso geothermal fields. These seismicity bursts are highly compact in space and time, often encompassed by a 5 km radius and have durations less than 10 hr. Many of the seismicity bursts have their largest earthquake near the beginning of the sequence, but the largest earthquake is usually not an obvious mainshock. We utilize a variety of independent geophysical data sets to analyze the characteristics of the seismicity bursts, finding that the seismicity bursts have low b-values, low spectral stress drops, and varied stress ratios compared to regional seismicity. These differences suggest that seismicity bursts are driven by transient processes acting frequently across fault networks.

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USGS2026

Tidal wetland soil carbon accumulation rates for coastal California

Carbon stock and carbon accumulation rate data are vital to multiple aspects of tidal wetland conservation and restoration policy. In California, USA tidal soil data are rare outside of the San Francisco Bay and Sacramento Delta regions, despite the differing conditions experienced by the outer coastline. Here we provide carbon stocks and decadal-to-centennial-scale carbon accumulation rate calculations. This dataset presents 83 soil depth profiles from 15 sites, with 58 cores from 12 tidal wetland sites analyzed for carbon stock, mostly from the outer coastline of California. Mean organic matter content was 11%, and stocks estimated to 1 meter depth ranged from 15.4 to 44.7 kgC m −2 . Organic matter content generally declined asymptotically with depth. Carbon accumulation rates ranged from 39.2 to 130.0 gC m −2 yr −1 . Neither carbon stock nor carbon accumulation rates were notably different from global average values. Data at this level of reporting are vital for establishing restoration baselines, informing greenhouse gas mitigation planning, and projecting future ecosystem response to sea-level rise.

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USGS2026

Decadal shifts in groundwater age detected by environmental tracers across California, USA

Groundwater age offers important insight into recharge, storage, and contamination risk. Although models predict age changes can be driven by pumping and climate variability, direct observational evidence remains limited. Here, we analyzed paired environmental tracer suites (tritium, carbon-14, and tritiogenic helium-3) collected a decade apart from 268 wells across California to assess the prevalence of groundwater age transience. Travel-time distribution models and statistical tests indicated age transience at 29% of sites, occurring most often in agricultural regions, such as the San Joaquin Valley and Southern Coast Ranges, where large carbon-14 changes coincided with substantial nitrate and chloride shifts. Sites with tritiogenic helium-3 data showed more frequent age transience, underscoring the value of multi-tracer data sets. These results provide the first regional evidence of widespread groundwater age change and a method for detecting changing water balances with implications for groundwater sustainability and water quality.

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USGS2026

Deaf, deafblind, and hard of hearing university student experiences with earthquake early warning in the United States: Evaluating language planning and technology access

The growing literature on deaf and hard of hearing (DHH+) populations and disasters demonstrates that emergency communication (including alerts) is not reaching global DHH + individuals with dangerous impacts for morbidity and mortality. This is the first research study in the U.S. to qualitatively explore the experiences of DHH + persons with earthquake early warning (EEW) through group-based dialogue sessions. The study investigates eight DHH + university students'past earthquake experiences, access to EEW alerts, and perceptions of ShakeAlert Ⓡ , an EEW system for detecting earthquakes and alerting residents of California, Oregon, and Washington. Findings highlight key gaps in disaster alert usability within four thematic areas: lack of messaging in participants' language(s), unclear alert messaging, deficient message delivery mechanisms for deafblind persons, and insufficient access to earthquake information and training that leads to dependence on informal information networks. Weaknesses identified in these four themes reduce DHH + trust in EEW systems and compromise the capacity of alert recipients to take swift protective action or to mentally prepare before shaking starts. The study also underscores structural factors such as insufficient linguistic representation in disaster language planning and technology design, which ignores the linguistic and sensory access needs of DHH + individuals. Building on disaster language planning frameworks, we recommend involving DHH + populations to co-develop EEW alerts. By centering DHH + perspectives, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to ensure that EEW systems reach everyone.

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USGS2026

Distribution and Abundance of Least Bell’s Vireo ( Vireo bellii pusillus ) and Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) at the Sepulveda Dam Basin, Los Angeles County, California—2025 Data Summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ; vireo) and Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher) along Bull Creek, Haskell Creek, and the Los Angeles River (Sepulveda Dam project area) in Los Angeles County, California, in 2025. Four vireo surveys were completed between April 16 and July 2, 2025, and three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 21 and July 2, 2025. We found 11 territorial male vireos, 4 of which were confirmed as paired, and 3 transient vireos. Of the 11 territorial vireos, 6 were detected along the Los Angeles River, 3 along Haskell Creek, and 2 along Bull Creek. Forty-three percent of vireos were detected in habitat characterized as mixed willow riparian, and most vireos were detected in habitat with greater than 50-percent native plant cover. No flycatchers were observed in the Sepulveda Dam project area in 2025.

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USGS2026

Constraining source and path effects of large magnitude earthquakes using ground motion simulations

The purpose of this study is to use ground‐motion simulations to investigate ways in which source and path effects for large‐magnitude earthquakes can be represented in nonergodic ground‐motion models (GMMs). To achieve this, we designed a ground‐motion study in the San Francisco Bay Area that includes earthquakes with a broad range of magnitudes distributed uniformly on a fault plane, and sites covering a large range of rupture distances and azimuths. After running a large suite of kinematic simulations (magnitude 4–7), we then develop a nonergodic GMM with the simulated data. We find that trends in the within‐site residuals are affected significantly by the earthquake radiation pattern, rupture directivity, and slip patterns. Next, we modify an existing rupture directivity model to fit and remove the observed radiation pattern and rupture directivity from the residuals. We also minimize the contributions of slip patterns by averaging the within‐site residuals among multiple source realizations. Finally, after removing the source effects from the within‐site residuals, we compare the path effects computed with different magnitude groups using two approaches. The first approach only considers the small events that have the same shortest path to a site as the large events, whereas the second approach considers all small events on the fault plane. The results indicate that it is difficult to satisfactorily approximate the path effects of large events with those of small events using either approach, at least in the case of simulations.

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USGS2026

Distribution and abundance of Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ), Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ), and Coastal California Gnatcatchers ( Polioptila californica californica ) at the Carbon Canyon Dam, Orange County, California—2025 data summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ; vireo), Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher), and Coastal California Gnatcatchers ( Polioptila californica californica ; gnatcatcher) at the Carbon Canyon Dam study area near Brea, California, in 2025. Four gnatcatcher and vireo surveys were completed between April 22 and June 25, 2025, and three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 15 and June 25, 2025. We detected 14 territorial male vireos, 12 of which were paired. We also detected a transient vireo. Juvenile vireos were observed in two territories during surveys. Of the five vireo nests incidentally located during surveys, three were parasitized by Brown-headed Cowbirds ( Molothrus ater ). Vireos were reported in four habitat types: (1) mixed willow riparian, (2) riparian scrub, (3) upland, and (4) non-native vegetation. The dominant tree species in vireo territories was Goodding’s black willow ( Salix gooddingii ). Most vireo territories (12) were in habitat with greater than 50-percent native vegetation. The most common exotic species in vireo territories was poison hemlock ( Conium maculatum ). No flycatchers or gnatcatchers were observed during surveys.

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USGS2026

Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) surveys at the city of Carlsbad Preserve, San Diego County, California—2025 data summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher) at five survey areas within the City of Carlsbad Preserve, Carlsbad, California, in 2025. Three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 16 and June 30, 2025. One transient flycatcher was observed at the Lake Calavera survey area in the City of Carlsbad Preserve in 2025.

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USGS2026

Orientation dependence of probabilistic seismic hazard estimates from CyberShake physics-based simulations

Earthquake ground‐motion intensities, such as pseudospectral accelerations (SAs), can vary significantly with horizontal orientation. However, conducting probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for each horizontal orientation is challenging because current ground‐motion models used in PSHA consider only a single horizontal intensity value, usually the median across all orientations, known as RotD50. To address this limitation, we employ physics‐based simulations for PSHA, which contain full waveforms from which ground‐motion intensities can be computed for all horizontal orientations to study directional seismic hazard. We apply our approach to the latest CyberShake study of the Greater Los Angeles metropolitan area, developed by the Statewide California Earthquake Center, finding that seismic hazard at a 2475‐yr return period, a common value used for earthquake‐resistant design, varies significantly with horizontal orientation. For instance, for SAs at 3 s, the maximum seismic hazard across all horizontal orientations is, on average, 15% higher than the median RotD50 hazard, with these differences becoming more pronounced at longer periods. These observed variations can generally be attributed to physical mechanisms that polarize seismic waves, such as the radiation pattern of the earthquake source and the influence of the subsurface structure. These results may have important implications for earthquake engineering applications, particularly for long‐period structures in areas with substantial horizontal variations in seismic hazard.

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USGS2026

The effects of scientific uncertainty and values trade-offs on flow management decisions for an endangered fish

Consumptive use of freshwater is of concern in many estuarine ecosystems, and various frameworks have been used to prescribe environmental flows to benefit native species. However, few of these frameworks explicitly examine the potential trade-offs between socioeconomic and conservation-oriented values. This is exemplified in California, USA, where freshwater management has been an area of focus and controversy. Operations of numerous reservoirs and water diversion facilities distributed throughout the state, while critical for economic and public health benefits, have contributed to the decline of many native species. The endangered delta smelt ( Hypomesus transpacificus ) is endemic to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, the heart of California's complex water conveyance system. To aid recovery of delta smelt, fall-timed freshwater pulse flows were implemented, which require water to be either released from reservoirs, or made unavailable to export for consumptive uses. Previous research has indicated that the effectiveness of the current pulse flow action could be improved by reconsidering the timing and magnitude; however, uncertainties in the predicted fish response to flow pulses may hinder decision-making about flow management. Using a water resource planning model, different iterations of an individual-based life cycle model, and decision analysis tools, we assessed the importance of sources of uncertainty to hypothetical flow management decisions, including uncertainty surrounding the predicted responses in delta smelt population growth rates, and variability of decision-maker's values. We found both the choice of which (if any) flow action to take for delta smelt, and the expected value of further research, depended on how decision-makers weight the delta smelt and water supply objectives. There was expected value of information (VOI) only if a decision-maker weighted the delta smelt objective ≥0.59, and within this range, research to improve estimates of changes in delta smelt prey items related to flow actions could be prioritized over other sources of uncertainty to improve outcomes of decision-making. Our study demonstrates how uncertainty, even if large, may not be equally relevant to different decision-makers (e.g., with different agency missions), and how VOI analysis can be used to guide management in an overallocated water system such as California.

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