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Analysis of the potential effects of Uzbekistan’s mineral endowment on the critical mineral supply of tungsten

Tungsten appears on the 2018 and 2022 U.S. Geological Survey critical mineral lists in part because of a very high global production concentration in China, which produces almost 83 percent of the world’s mined tungsten. Using known parameters and values from other tungsten mining operations, we created hypothetical scenarios in which three tungsten deposits in Uzbekistan are considered for development. Our results show that all three deposits are likely to be economically viable to develop under 2024 market conditions. If the three studied tungsten deposits were put into production, Uzbekistan could become the third-leading tungsten-producing country in the world and increase world output of tungsten by 2.7 percent. Putting these tungsten deposits in Uzbekistan into production could slightly reduce the tungsten global market concentration, therefore reducing the supply disruption potential for tungsten.

Open-File Report

Annual NLCD (National Land Cover Database)—The next generation of land cover mapping

Introduction The widely used National Land Cover Database (NLCD) has long been the foundational land cover source for scientists, resource managers, and decision makers across the United States. In 2024, a reinvention as Annual NLCD added the key improvement of annual time steps to show decades of change at a higher frequency than the intervals of 2–3 years used in the legacy NLCD. Annual NLCD was derived primarily from the long Landsat satellite data record, and it includes data from other sources. The first release in 2024 of Annual NLCD provides Collection 1.0 of products encompassing land cover and land change from 1985 through 2023 for the conterminous United States (CONUS). The Annual NLCD Collection 1.0 consists of six operational products that map the unique characteristics of land cover. A map created from Annual NLCD shows 16 land cover classes for the CONUS in 2023.

conterminous United States

Imaging of seismic discontinuities using an adjoint method

For imaging of seismic discontinuities at depth, reverse time migration (RTM) is a powerful method to apply to recordings of seismic events. It is especially powerful when an extensive receiver array, numerous seismic sources, or both, permit adequate reconstruction of incident and scattered wavefields at depth. Reconstructing either the incident or scattered wavefield at depth becomes less accurate when relatively few recordings of seismic events are available. Here we explore an inverse scattering approach to imaging discontinuities based on an adjoint method, employing sensitivity kernels (Frechet derivatives) that represent jumps in material properties across seismic-discontinuity surfaces. When combined with ray-based requirements on scattering geometry, it constitutes a powerful approach to determining the locations and amplitudes of the discontinuities, recovering only those properties that can be resolved by a spatially limited source and/or receiver distribution. This is illustrated by synthetic examples with local sources followed by a field example in a subduction zone setting

Washington

Deep syntectonic burial of the Anthracite belt, Eastern Pennsylvania

Fluid inclusion microthermometry and Raman spectroscopy of fluid inclusions in quartz veins from the Pennsylvanian rocks of the Anthracite belt, eastern Pennsylvania support a deep burial model of coalification in favor of focused orogenic hot fluid flow. High-temperature (250 to 255 °C) trapping of CH 4 ± CO 2 saturated aqueous fluids and CH 4 ± CO 2 inclusions indicate fluid trapping at depths of 11.5 to 13.4 km under a cover of Pennsylvanian to Permian(?) syntectonic load. In the folded rocks to the south of the Anthracite belt, CH 4 ± CO 2 fluid inclusions indicate a sediment load that was up to 16.3 km thick. Re -equilibrated aqueous fluid inclusions from veins in Silurian through Devonian rocks give the same range of trapping conditions but a wide range of fluid salinities suggesting that folding, fracturing, and meteoric recharge resulted in the intermixing of fluids from throughout the stratigraphic succession.

Pennsylvania

topoBuilder quick start guide

TopoBuilder is a public web application from the National Geospatial Program that enables anyone to create customized digital U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) topographic maps, called OnDemand Topos, with the best available, most up-to-date data from The National Map (nationalmap.gov). OnDemand Topos can be made at different scales or quadrangles and can cover anywhere within the United States and its territories.

Fact Sheet

Exploratory water well, St. George Island, Florida

A 1,026-foot well was drilled into the Floridan aquifer on St. George Island in search of a supply of water for residential development in 1971. This is the only well on the island on record to have been drilled below 200 feet for water. The well was abandoned; water flowing from the well was saline. It had a specific conductance of 7,500 micromhos per centimeter at 25° Celsius. The specific conductances of samples taken at drilling depths 217-1,026 feet ranged from 3,140 to 39,600, with the maximum value at 470 ft. A composite geophysical and lithologic log of the well shows spontaneous potential, single-point resistance, gamma-ray, neutron, gamma-gamma, and caliper logs. Well-site notes, a written description of cuttings samples, a graph showing the relation of specific conductance of water samples to the depth of the well at time of sampling, and four chemical analyses of the water are included in the report.

Florida

Relating glassy rind thicknesses to ambient air temperatures at the Lost Jim flow field in the Imuruk Lake volcanic field, Alaska

The Lost Jim flow field, in the Imuruk Lake volcanic field, Alaska, extends west ~34 km from a single vent, crossing subarctic tundra and currently touches several lakes and streams. The weighted mean of five 36Cl cosmogenic exposure ages from the Lost Jim pāhoehoe flow is 7.73 ± 0.37 ka, indicating this eruption occurred substantially after the eruption of the underlying Camille flow, which was emplaced at 39.7 ± 1.3 ka. Paleoclimate records indicate the period when the Lost Jim flow field was emplaced was after deglaciation, and the climate was similar to today. We propose that the emplacement of lava in these cold subarctic conditions can lead to faster cooling of the lava surface compared to lava emplaced in warmer locations such as mid- latitude cold deserts. Glass abundance in the outermost rinds at the Lost Jim flow field was on average 74 % with 6.4 mm thick rims, compared to 60 % with 2.9 mm rims for cold mid-latitude desert samples. We interpret increased glass content as a proxy for rapid cooling likely occurring partly during winter. Glassiness values varied less across vent, margin, and mid-flow locations when compared to the mid-latitude flows suggesting the Lost Jim flow field was broadly impacted by the subarctic climate as opposed to responding to local microclimates. Our results indicate that lava glassiness may be a useful environmental indicator of cooler (in this case subarctic) conditions.

Alaska

Improved prediction of postfire debris flows through rainfall anomaly maps

Predicting where runoff-generated debris flows might occur during rainfall on steep, recently burned terrain is challenging. Studies of mass-movement processes in unburned areas indicate that event locations are well-predicted by rainfall anomaly, R* , in which peak observed rainfall is normalized by local rainfall climatology. Here, we use remote and field methods to map debris flows triggered within the 2020 Dolan Fire burn area in coastal California, demonstrate that a short-duration R* metric predicts debris-flow occurrence more effectively than absolute peak intensity or longer-duration rainfall metrics, and show that incorporating an R* criterion into an existing debris-flow likelihood model can reduce false positive predictions and improve accuracy. We test R * at three other climatically distinct fires in California, demonstrating its utility for mapping likely debris-flow locations in different climates. We also consider how R* can benefit postfire debris-flow prediction given recent increases in climatological variability within individual burn perimeters.

Callifornia

Ecohydrological response of a forested headwater catchment to a flash drought in the Southeastern U.S.

Flash droughts differ from traditionally defined droughts in their rapidity of intensification and often associated high vapor-pressure deficit. These droughts can lead to declines in streamflow and water table depth and induce water stress to vegetation at a greater rate than droughts that manifest over longer periods. However, little is known regarding the response of forested environments to flash drought because most studies of impacts have been conducted in agricultural settings. In this study we investigated water-use patterns of riparian trees using sap flow methods and examined the role of groundwater as a source of moisture over three periods that were delimited by antecedent soil moisture conditions. For a longer-term perspective we also examine monthly streamflow over the 35-year record. We observed that trees at only one monitoring plot showed a decrease in water use relative to evaporative demand during a flash drought. Total reverse sap flow (flow toward the roots rather than the canopy) greatly increased during the flash drought period, suggesting the likely occurrence of hydraulic redistribution to the excessively dry soils. Over the drought period groundwater became a more dominant source of moisture for sustaining forest water use. Monthly mean streamflow during the flash drought approached levels observed in past multiyear droughts. This is the first study, to our knowledge, to specifically investigate the response of multiple water budget components to flash drought in a humid forest. As more studies are conducted, a better understanding of the range of expected responses are likely to emerge.

Georgia

Summary of annual repeat magnetotelluric surveys of the Geysers geothermal field

As part of a multi-year project, funded by the California Energy Commission, annual magnetotelluric (MT) surveys have been collected at The Geysers geothermal field in northern California with the goal of measuring temporal changes within the steam field. The repeat surveys started in 2021 and repeated a 2017 survey (Peacock et al., 2020) with further extension to the southern part of the geothermal field. Temporal variations in the MT transfer functions are observed to be spatially coherent and compartmentalized. Mapping residual phase tensor ellipses demonstrates the direction of maximum change is often aligned with existing fracture orientations. Three dimensional inversion of the MT data, using the inversion results from previous years as the starting model, indicates that the steam reservoir has generally become more resistive over time (~10%), suggesting more steam in the field. A few pockets within the steam field have become more electrically conductive over time and are collocated with injection wells, suggesting either more fluid content in those zones, less steam, or more saline fluids.

California

Modeling future groundwater depletion to evaluate sustainability goals set under the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act in the critically overdrafted basins of the Central Valley, California, USA (2020–2070)

In 2014, California's Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) mandated local agencies to devise and implement groundwater sustainability plans to address critically overdrafted conditions throughout the state's aquifers. However, the feasibility of these agencies' sustainability goals has not previously been assessed through a regional-scale, integrative lens. Here, we develop and analyze a novel, basin-wide database of 936 sustainability indicator wells located within Central Valley subbasins designated as critically overdrafted, most of which lie in the San Joaquin Valley. Our database shows 2040 groundwater elevation goals vary widely from 60 m above to 80 m below 2020 levels, with variability within and between adjacent subbasins. To evaluate the feasibility of achieving these goals, we coupled the database with a regional hydrologic model (Central Valley Hydrologic Model version 2) and simulated multiple future pumping scenarios. Results show that under increased groundwater demand, 60%–70% of indicator wells may fail to meet their 2040 goals. Even a 50% reduction from 2020 demand levels leaves nearly 40% of wells failing to meet their sustainability thresholds by 2040. Baseline models show that by 2070, up to 70% of wells could fail to meet their goals due to large-scale, spatially connected regions of groundwater depletion. This integrated framework, linking the first region-wide compilation of SGMA indicator wells with a regional groundwater model, demonstrates that many local sustainability goals may be unattainable with substantial (up to 50%) reductions in pumping. Additional management interventions, such as expanded recharge or coordinated demand reductions, may help achieve sustainability goals.

California

Evaluation of daily stream temperature predictions (1979-2021) across the contiguous United States using a spatiotemporal aware machine learning algorithm

Stream temperature controls a variety of physical and biological processes that affect ecosystems, human health, and economic activities. We used 42 years (1979–2021) of data to predict daily summary statistics of stream temperature across >50,000 stream reaches in the contiguous United States using a recurrent graph convolution network. We comprehensively documented the performance – both across all reaches and by stream type (e.g., reservoir or groundwater influence) – as a baseline for future improvement. The model showed reach-level RMSE of <2 °C with 90 % prediction intervals that contain 90.7 % of observations. We also assessed how the model captured variability in ecologically relevant metrics (e.g., R 2 for annual 7-day maximum = 0.76; R 2 for days exceeding 25 °C = 0.75). This model does not outperform state-of-the-art machine learning efforts (e.g., RMSE ≤1.5 °C) due to a limited input set but does provide the most spatially complete modeling to date to support water availability assessments.

contiguous United States

The U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Network—Groundwater—2023

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) operates a National Water Quality Network (NWQN) to monitor trends in groundwater quality and assess emerging contaminants of concern. It is a “network of networks” with 81 subnetworks being sampled on a decadal time scale. Each year, eight of the subnetworks are sampled. Subnetworks have 20–30 wells each and include studies of domestic supply wells or shallow groundwater (20–50 feet deep) underlying urban land use or agricultural land use. Currently there are 2,114 wells in the network.

conterminous United States

New constraints on northeast Seattle basin structure from converted seismic waves

The Seattle basin is a deep sedimentary basin in the Seattle–Bellevue, Washington metropolitan area within the Puget Lowland of Washington State. We determine the structure of a portion of the basin and the underlying basement using analysis of P waves converted from direct S incident from below. A deep local crustal event beneath Monroe, about 35 km northeast of Seattle, was recorded by a 100‐station nodal array deployed in 2019. The event produced a variety of coherent seismic phases, including converted waves from the sediment—basement boundary, internal structure within the basin, and additional crustal discontinuities. Using observed Sp converted waves, we apply an adjoint‐based full waveform inversion (FWI) method to determine the amplitude and extent of seismic discontinuities at depth. We find the strongest source of converted waves for this event lies ∼6 to 7 km depth below northern Lake Washington, interpreted to be the local depth to basement rock. The newly imaged shallow basement structure may be part of a deformation zone associated with the Siletzia eastern boundary. Our results highlight the utility of converted seismic waves recorded by a dense array, combined with an FWI method, to illuminate crustal structure.

Washington

Observations of tear-drinking by lepidopterans on moose ( Alces alces americana ) in northeastern North America

Lepidoptera have long been known to feed on the tears of vertebrates as a presumed source of minerals or nutrients. While this unusual behavior has been observed in a variety of species, only a single previous record has been documented outside of the tropics. Here, we present the first documentation of moths visiting the eyes of a bull moose ( Alces americanus americanus ), captured via trail camera in Green Mountain National Forest, Vermont, United States. We discuss the biogeography of this behavior, how it may differ between tropical and temperate climates, and its potential impact on moose health.

Vermont

Heat-flow data from southeastern Oregon

With the exception of values from two holes drilled within 2 km of Mickey Hot Springs, 17 new heat-flow values in southeastern Oregon are within or somewhat below the range one would normally expect in non-anomalous parts of the North American Cordillera. This is not surprising for a region in which most igneous rocks on the surface are 5 m.y. old or more. There is a suggestion of a thermal anomaly associated with the very young (late Pleistocene or Holocene) Diamond Craters lava field, and the thermal regime on both sides of Steens Mountain seems to be controlled, to some degree, by lateral and vertical movement of water.

Oregon

Evidence for nonlocal sediment transport on hillslopes from fault scarp morphology

Hillslope sediment transport processes such as bioturbation, rainsplash, and granular mechanics occur across the entire planet. Yet, it remains uncertain how these small-scale processes act together to shape landscapes. Longstanding hillslope diffusion theory posits that hillslope processes are spatially limited, whereas new concepts of nonlocal sediment transport argue otherwise. However, each theory produces subtly different, but distinct, predictions for the evolution of fault scarps. We use the topographic change of fault scarps to demonstrate that hillslope processes produce nonlocal sediment transport. Analysis of a global compilation of 340 dated single-earthquake scarp profiles reveals a statistically significant ( p < 0.05 ) relationship between scarp age and scarp asymmetry, here defined as the ratio of imaginary to real components of the Fourier transform of absolute slope. Numerical simulations show that nonlocal models predict this relationship, whereas hillslope diffusion models do not. To further investigate this result, we examined the depositional geometry of a well-exposed colluvial wedge along the Wasatch fault in central Utah, United States. Our quantitative comparison between the exposure and numerical simulations reveals better agreement with the nonlocal model. Nonlocal sediment transport theory appears to best capture the physics of how hillslope processes shape fault scarps, yet hillslope diffusion provides a useful approximation in many cases. As the processes that act on fault scarps are nearly identical to those acting on hillslopes, our results provide evidence supporting nonlocality as a generalized model of hillslope sediment transport.

Utah

Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite by LA-ICP-MS/MS

Re-Os geochronology is a powerful tool to directly date sulphide mineralisation using phases such as molybdenite, pyrite and chalcopyrite. We present a snapshot of a method in development utilizing laser ablation inductively coupled-plasma ‘triple quad’ mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS/MS) for Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite. While traditional LA-(MC)-ICP-MS measurements are limited by the >90% isobaric interference correction of parent radioactive 187 Re on radiogenic daughter 187 Os, the MS/MS technology minimizes this correction through careful instrument tuning and use of a (CH 4 + H 2 + He) reaction gas mixture to mass shift 187 Os away from 187 Re. We demonstrate the potential of the MS/MS technique by presenting robust Re-Os dates for three different molybdenite samples ranging in age from ~28 to 1520 Ma.

Conference Paper