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257 records · Page 8Linked to original sources

Hydrogeology, groundwater salinity distributions, and assessment of the effect of oil-production activities on groundwater in the Midway Valley area, western Kern County, San Joaquin Valley, California

This study seeks to determine the effects of oil field produced water disposal operations and well mechanical integrity issues on groundwater quality in oil fields in the southwest San Joaquin Valley, California. Whereas previous studies used groundwater wells to study shallow aquifers outside the oil fields, this study demonstrates that future approaches may use oil well geophysical logs to map groundwater head gradients, create salinity profiles and document changes in salinity over time in oil field areas with sparse groundwater well data and at depths greater than 330 m. We also incorporate an analysis of well histories to determine potential effects of compromised wellbore seals on changes in aquifer quality that cannot be explained by water disposal practices. Water quality in the aquifers is naturally brackish across most of the area, with better quality groundwater occurring in the eastern part. Geophysical logs are used to determine salinity variations within aquifers including the depth at which TDS exceeds 10,000 mg/L. This depth ranges from 366 m in the northwest to approximately 1,500 m in the southeast. Oil well porosity logs are used to determine water table elevations. These logs indicate the water table slopes south-southeast, showing the predominant groundwater flow direction is from oil field disposal areas toward better quality groundwater east of the oil fields. Geophysical logs show formation resistivity near some disposal facilities has decreased over time, indicating the salinity of the aquifer has increased due to disposal of saline produced water in injection wells and ponds. Oil well history analysis suggests that increased salinity over time in water-saturated sand intervals >1.5 km from disposal facilities may be caused by mechanical failures and/or incomplete borehole seals in poorly constructed or abandoned wellbores prevalent throughout the study area—particularly wells drilled prior to 1930.

California

Geochemical and hydrological investigations of historical data collected at the Lee Acres Landfill and Giant Bloomfield Refinery, New Mexico, 1985–2020

The Lee Acres Landfill and Giant Bloomfield Refinery are adjacent properties near the City of Farmington, New Mexico, each having undergone monitoring and remediation related to historical site activities. At the landfill, site cleanup has included the installation of a capillary barrier over former liquid waste lagoons and periodic monitoring of groundwater elevations and groundwater quality. At the refinery, remediation has focused on several petrochemical and crude oil release areas and included soil excavation, groundwater treatment, and regular monitoring of groundwater elevations and quality. Groundwater at both sites has higher concentrations of volatile organic compounds and trace metals than background aquifer concentrations. In 2022, the U.S. Geological Survey compiled the Lee Acres-Giant Bloomfield Refinery Database (LAGBRD), which contains publicly available groundwater-elevation data and organic and inorganic groundwater-quality data from both sites, spanning from 1985 to 2020. Data from the LAGBRD and precipitation data from other sources were used to better understand the cause of relatively high manganese concentrations observed in some groundwater wells at the site through comparison of groundwater chemistry to chemical end members, interpretation of spatial and temporal patterns in the groundwater chemistry, and interpretation of groundwater flow properties. In this study, elevated chloride concentrations in groundwater downgradient from the landfill have been attributed to landfill leachate based on the temporal and spatial variability of chloride concentrations and chloride-to-bromide ratios. Installation of a capillary barrier and surface-water runoff controls at the landfill in 2005 appears to have altered infiltration patterns at that site, resulting in a decrease in chloride at some wells but an increase in chloride and dissolved manganese at others. The timing and relation among groundwater elevation, chloride concentration, and manganese concentration suggest that leachate stored in the vadose zone provides a continued source of contamination to groundwater.

New Mexico

Water supply in the conterminous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico, water years 2010–20

We present an assessment of water supply across the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico covering water years 2010–20. Our analysis drew on two national hydrologic models, the National Hydrologic Model Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System and the Weather Research and Forecasting model hydrologic modeling system. Both models produced estimates of streamflow, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, snow water equivalent, and other hydrologic states and fluxes. The models were driven by the bias-adjusted 4-kilometer-resolution, long-term regional hydroclimate simulation over the conterminous United States dataset (CONUS404). We assessed spatial and temporal error distributions by comparing monthly simulations at the 12-digit hydrologic unit code and regional scale from both models against external benchmarking datasets. Results showed that average annual rainfall across the CONUS was 857 millimeters per year for the period of analysis, with water year 2012 the driest year (729 millimeters) and water year 2019 the wettest year (995 millimeters). Key interannual variability results included the following: (1) the California–Nevada hydrologic region had the highest variability in precipitation and snow accumulation, and (2) the Texas hydrologic region was among hydrologic regions with the highest variability in precipitation. We related interannual variability in precipitation to storage volumes in soil moisture, snow water equivalent, and lakes and reservoirs to highlight areas with little storage and large year-to-year variability in precipitation. These areas included the Southern High Plains, Central High Plains, Texas, Souris–Red–Rainy, Mississippi Embayment, and Midwest regions. Our analysis of groundwater-level data showed that several of these areas overlap aquifers where groundwater levels were considerably lower than historical averages, including the Colorado Plateaus aquifers, the Rio Grande aquifer system, and the Central and Southern regions of the High Plains aquifer. Many of these lowered groundwater levels are continuations of decades-long declines from overpumping that started well before the assessment period. The resulting water budgets and their analyses provide a high-resolution foundational assessment of the mean state and variability of the terrestrial hydrologic cycle across the CONUS and Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico to support a wide range of water resource management applications.

Professional Paper

Site-specific amplifications in Northwestern Turkiye: A generic approach

In this study, we derive generic site amplification functions applicable to Northwestern Türkiye and follow guidance on site classifications established by the United States National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP). We employ the one-dimensional (1-D) equivalent linear ground response analysis method and focus on recordings from a select suite of free-field strong motion (SM) stations. These particular SM stations are associated with a comprehensive geotechnical site conditions dataset comprising 76 shear-wave velocity profiles. Despite their varying resolutions and depths, this diversity allows for a more representative analysis across different site conditions, enhancing the robustness of our findings. For analyses, we utilize a robust set of global ground motion records, selected from both within and outside of Türkiye, to serve as strong and weak input bedrock motions. Site amplification is determined by propagating these bedrock records through 76 site-specific Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı (AFAD) station profiles and calculating the spectral acceleration ratio between the ground surface and the input motion. Our analyses reveal substantial disparities between the amplification functions derived from 1-D site response analyses using strong and weak input motions. These disparities are central to our analysis and inform the subsequent comparison with site amplification functions reported in the literature. We compare the generic site amplification functions derived in this study with those reported in the literature for regions with similar geological and seismic conditions to Northwestern Türkiye. For example, site amplification functions for NEHRP Site Classes C and D have been documented for Greece and the United States utilizing frequency-dependent methods such as the quarter-wavelength approximation. Our findings reveal that the generic site amplification functions derived in this study exhibit differences in peak amplitudes and predominant frequencies compared to those in the literature, reflecting regional variations in geotechnical and seismic properties. This study represents an initial effort to formulate generic site amplification functions for Türkiye, with a particular emphasis on the Northwestern region. A thorough literature review indicated no prior studies have proposed such functions specifically for this area.

Northwestern Turkiye

Shallow differentiation of primitive arc magmas at the Jurassic Emigrant Gap mafic complex, Sierra Nevada, California

The Emigrant Gap composite pluton exposes ultramafic to silicic intrusive rocks that preserve the chemical evolution of primitive mafic arc magmas and their open-system interactions in the upper crust during mid-Jurassic growth of the Sierra Nevada batholith (California). We present field and petrographic observations and mineral and whole-rock chemistry of the ~35-km 2 ultramafic to dioritic Emigrant Gap mafic complex and an adjacent penecontemporaneous ~90-km 2 granodiorite that together make up the composite pluton. In the Emigrant Gap mafic complex, four roughly central masses of dunite, wehrlite, and olivine clinopyroxenite are surrounded by weakly layered gabbronorite and non-layered diorite. The ultramafic rocks are cumulates formed from near-liquidus minerals of primitive arc magmas that accumulated in steep feeder zones with substantial modification by melt–mush reaction as primitive liquids repeatedly transited the mush-filled conduits. The dominant gabbronoritic rocks are the variably accumulative products of more advanced crystallization–differentiation of arc tholeiitic basalts and basaltic andesites. The adjacent granodiorite intrusion originated separately and preserves field and geochemical evidence for assimilation of metasedimentary rocks. Open-system hybridization between the gabbronoritic mushes and the granodioritic magma produced an intervening body of two-pyroxene diorite. We infer that the ultramafic rocks and gabbronorite of the Emigrant Gap mafic complex crystallized from near-primitive arc basaltic to basaltic andesitic magmas at ~0.15–0.3 GPa, with estimated f O 2 of ≥FMQ +1 and dissolved H 2 O concentrations of only ~0.5–2 wt %. Notably, the Emigrant Gap composite pluton is distinct from other Mesozoic plutons in the Sierra Nevada batholith because of (1) its abundance of mafic and ultramafic rocks that crystallized from relatively primitive mafic melts and (2) the low inferred H 2 O concentrations of its parental magmas, indicated by a near absence of igneous amphibole and by the intermediate rather than calcic compositions of plagioclase. A Jurassic regional extension event probably accounts for the formation of relatively dry primitive arc magmas, as well as for their ascending to the upper crust.

California

Relating systematic molecular and textural properties of graptolite pyrolyzed via gold tube hydrous pyrolysis: Implications for thermal proxies in lower Paleozoic marine shales

A series of gold tube pyrolysis experiments (72 h, 300–550 °C, 50 MPa) conducted on a graptolite-rich lower Paleozoic marine shale generated pyrolysis residues for a comprehensive evaluation of the molecular and structural variability of three types of graptolite periderm. Organic petrology, Raman spectroscopy, and field emission scanning electron microscopy (FE-SEM) with energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) were combined to evaluate the thermal evolution process. The three types of graptolite periderm, namely granular, non-granular, and nodular graptolite, were analyzed by Raman spectroscopy wherein point measurements were obtained after the maceral was identified and the location verified by organic petrology. Distinct thermal evolution pathways among non-granular, granular, and nodular graptolite periderms were recorded. The evolution patterns of the Raman parameters, particularly D1 and G bands, highlight the differences in geochemical composition of the graptolite periderm types and the alteration of molecular structure with increasing thermal maturity. Raman parameters D1 (position of the D1 peak), G-FWHM (full width at half maximum of the G peak), and ratios D1-FWHM/G-FWHM (full width at half maximum of the D1 peak ratioed to G-FWHM) and A D1 /A G (ratio of D1 and G peak intensities) showed effectiveness in assessing thermal maturity. Bireflectance with increasing gold tube pyrolysis temperature followed a hierarchy: non-granular > granular > nodular, reflecting different molecular alignment intensities. Qualitative FE-SEM evaluation showed that fine-grained mineral inclusions (primarily Fe-sulfide as determined via EDS) were associated with the graptolite populations, with granular graptolite containing greater amounts of coarser-grained (e.g., ∼300–1400 nm) mineral inclusions relative to non-granular and nodular graptolite, which contain finer-grained (e.g., ∼100–200 nm) inclusions difficult to resolve with optical microscopy. These findings are investigated to highlight the mechanisms that drive organic matter evolution within graptolite during thermal maturation, as well as to explore some of the limitations of using spectroscopic parameters as thermal maturity proxies.

International Journal of Coal Geology

Sedimentological and geochemical characterization of lacustrine deposits of the Babouri-Figuil basin, northern Cameroon: Implications for source rocks distribution and petroleum exploration

The West and Central African Rift System (WCARS) refers to the series of Cretaceous rift basins where commercial hydrocarbon accumulations have been discovered. Some of the WCARS frontier basins are currently being investigated to increase our understanding of these basins in light of new commercial discoveries. The present study was performed in the Babouri-Figuil Basin (BFB), which is genetically related to the WCARS and constitutes an area of interest in terms of petroleum prospecting, where the distribution of petroleum source rocks and potential targets for petroleum exploration across the entire basin is poorly understood. For the current study, an integrated facies analysis along with organic and inorganic geochemical techniques were applied to the basin's Cretaceous deposits with the aim of reconstructing the paleodepositional environment, assessing factors that triggered the input of organic matter, and providing a spatial overview of the organic matter accumulation in the basin based on outcrop samples. An alluvial fan-lacustrine-braided river system is inferred from the facies analysis of the stratigraphic sequence consisting of conglomerate, sandstone, siltstone, limestone, marlstone, and claystone. Bulk analysis of organic matter reveals that black shale and massive claystone are the main prospective petroleum source rocks in the basin. Inorganic geochemical analyses reveal the influence of anoxic conditions, moderate to high primary productivity, and low terrigenous inputs in organic matter enrichment. The formations rich in organic matter are predominantly concentrated in the western and eastern parts of the basin which may represent areas with depressions, characterized by high accommodation space. In terms of the regional context of the WCARS rift basins, typical hydrocarbon exploration in the BFB may target basal-conglomerate, sandstone beds situated directly above or/and interbedded with the Lower Cretaceous source rocks, and the Upper Cretaceous sandstone beds. Basement rocks (granite, granodiorite, and gneisses) and oil shale deposits may represent potential unconventional hydrocarbon exploration. The current integrated study provides an insight that should guide future hydrocarbon exploration campaigns in the basin.

Babouri-Figuil basin

Hydrologic and water-quality conditions in the Horse Creek basin, west-central Florida, October 1992-February 1995

A baseline study of the 241-square-mile Horse Creek basin was undertaken from October 1992 to February 1995 to assess the hydrologic and water-quality conditions of one of the last remaining undeveloped basins in west-central Florida. During the period of the study, much of the basin remained in a natural state, except for limited areas of cattle and citrus production and phosphate mining. Rainfall in 1993 and 1994 in the Horse Creek basin was 8 and 31 percent, respectively, above the 30-year long-term average. The lowest and highest maximum instantaneous peak discharge of the six daily discharge stations occurred at the Buzzard Roost Branch and the Horse Creek near Arcadia stations with 185 to 4,180 cubic feet per second, respectively. The Horse Creek near Arcadia station had the lowest number of no-flow days with zero days and the Brushy Creek station had the highest number with 113 days. During the study, the West Fork Horse Creek subbasin had the highest daily mean discharge per square mile with 30.6 cubic feet per second per square mile, and the largest runoff coefficient of 43.7 percent. The Buzzard Roost Branch subbasin had the lowest daily mean discharge per square mile with 5.05 cubic feet per second per square mile, and Brushy Creek and Brandy Branch shared the lowest runoff coefficient of 0.6 percent. Brandy Branch had the highest monthly mean runoff in both 1993 and 1994 with 11.48 and 19.28 inches, respectively. During the high-baseflow seepage run, seepage gains were 8.87 cubic feet per second along the 43-mile Horse Creek channel. However, during the low-baseflow seepage run, seepage losses were 0.88 cubic foot per second. Three methods were used to estimate average annual ground-water recharge in the Horse Creek basin: (1) well hydrograph, (2) chloride mass balance, and (3) streamflow hydrograph. Estimated average annual recharge using these three methods ranged from 3.6 to 8.7 inches. The high percentage of carbonate plus bicarbonate analyzed at the Carlton surficial aquifer well could indicate an upward ground-water flow from the underlying intermediate aquifer system. Based on constituent concentrations in water samples from the six daily discharge stations, concentrations generally are lower in the upper three subbasins, West Fork Horse Creek, Upper Horse Creek, and Brushy Creek than in the lower three subbasins. Typically, concentrations were highest for major ions at Buzzard Roost Branch and nutrients at Brushy Creek.

Florida

Magmatic source of the opening phase of Kīlauea’s 2018 Lower East Rift Zone eruption

The 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano in its Lower East Rift Zone began with the discharge of evolved high-Ti basalt as weak lava fountains and short, slow-moving lava flows. The lavas were quickly geochemically recognized as being derived from magmas stored within the rift zone and remobilized by a new intrusion, a sequence that is common at Kīlauea. This initial phase of the 2018 eruption, referred to as phase 1a, lasted for 6 days and was followed by extrusion of mixed magma after a 3-day pause. Even though remobilization of older rift zone magmas is common within Kīlauea’s rift zones, it is difficult to determine which past intrusion(s) may have initially emplaced those stored magmas. This difficulty stems from the tendency for Kīlauea magmas to follow very similar differentiation paths without significant variations in major, minor, or even trace element chemistry. We investigate possible magma sources for the lavas erupted during phase 1a of the 2018 eruption using whole-rock, mineral, and glass major and trace element compositions from historical East Rift Zone eruptions with adjacent fissures. We consider two primary hypotheses for the phase 1a source: magmas associated with the 1955 Lower East Rift Zone eruption or the nine eruptions in the Middle and Upper East Rift Zone during the 1960s. Our results suggest that magma associated with the earliest phases of Kīlauea’s 1955 eruption was the most likely source of the 2018 phase 1a remobilized magma. We determine volatile saturation pressures from melt inclusion chemistry and find similar storage depths for the 2018 phase 1a and early 1955 magmas. The phase 1a and early 1955 lavas are nearly indistinguishable in all of the compositional criteria considered, implying that the leftover 1955 magma body barely cooled and differentiated in the 63 years between eruptions (cooling rates of ~0.1 °C/year). This study sheds light on the potential for protracted storage of eruptible magmas in rift zones at Kīlauea, and highlights some of the challenges and solutions to identifying genetic relationships between magmas at Kīlauea.

Hawaii

Validating antler- and movement-based estimates of caribou reproduction using video camera collars

Wildlife agencies invest substantial resources in monitoring ungulate reproductive rates given ongoing concerns about population trends and their implications for management. For barren-ground caribou ( Rangifer tarandus ) in the North American Arctic, data on parturition and neonate survival have traditionally been collected using visual observations of antler retention and calf presence from small, fixed-wing aircraft. However, these surveys are weather-dependent, expensive, and dangerous, motivating the development of movement-based approaches that infer reproductive events from global positioning system (GPS) location data. We had the unique opportunity to use video camera collars to validate both antler- and movement-based methods for estimating reproduction in barren-ground caribou, using data from the Porcupine (2018–2023) and Western Arctic (2021, 2023) herds in Alaska, USA, and Yukon, Canada. For the movement-based approaches, we assessed individual-based and population-based methods, which both inferred parturition following a sharp decline in movement and inferred calf loss following a sharp increase in movement. We investigated these approaches using rarified 1-, 2-, 4-, and 8-hour fix intervals. Based on video collar observations, we found that antler retention at the onset of the calving period was highly accurate for predicting parturition (96% accuracy) but became unreliable as calving progressed, as approximately 80% of parturient females shed their antlers during the calving period. In contrast, both movement methods performed marginally for estimating caribou parturition (~70% accuracy), with estimates from the individual-based method exhibiting greater bias than those from the population-based method. The individual-based method also poorly predicted neonate survival (≤49% accuracy for detecting parturition and calf fate for the Porcupine Herd). Video data revealed that inaccuracies with the movement methods often occurred when caribou bedded during storms, rested after traversing mountainous terrain, lost a calf shortly after birth, or increased movement to evade insects. These results have important implications for management agencies using antler- and movement-based methods to estimate caribou reproduction, particularly when informing assessments of population decline or recovery. Our results demonstrate the utility of video collar data for validating reproductive monitoring approaches and provide insights into how these approaches can be improved.

Alaska, Yukon

Overstorey mortality promotes juvenile piñon pine growth during favourable weather at cooler, wetter sites

Hotter droughts have resulted in widespread tree die-off events globally, frequently leading to regeneration failure. Dry forest recovery often depends on the growth and survival of extant juvenile trees. However, it is unclear how microenvironmental changes following overstorey tree die-off affect juvenile trees, particularly in dryland systems where tree recruitment is typically limited by water availability and heat stress. We simulated an overstorey tree die-off event by girdling trees in piñon-juniper woodlands across the south-western United States. We sampled juvenile piñon pine growth from live and dead overstorey treatments across six study sites spanning a regional latitudinal gradient and local elevational gradients. We examined how juvenile branch and needle growth differed between live and dead overstorey treatments, and whether responses varied with weather conditions and juvenile tree size following overstorey mortality. We found greater juvenile branch and needle growth under dead compared with live overstorey trees for 2 years following overstorey mortality at mid- and high-elevation sites which are typically cooler and wetter than the other sites. These observed growth releases were contingent on favourable post-mortality weather conditions. Higher growth under dead overstorey occurred at sites experiencing near-average climatic water deficits compared with sites experiencing above-average climatic water deficits. Growth at all sites increased from the first to second year after overstorey mortality. Across sites, growth was unrelated to juvenile tree size. Synthesis . Our results underscore differentiation in juvenile responses to overstorey tree die-off driven by local site conditions and weather across the range of Pinus edulis . Overstorey mortality resulted in consistently higher juvenile growth only at climatically favourable sites and during favourable weather, while unmeasured microsite differences could help account for variation observed at the hottest and driest site. Results from less climatically favourable sites suggest that overstorey trees neither directly limit nor facilitate juvenile growth, though further study over longer timeframes is needed to resolve the pace and magnitude of potential recovery or decline. Overall, juvenile vigour may be promoted following overstorey mortality only in a narrow spatial (site) and temporal (weather) environmental context, suggesting additional vulnerabilities for piñon populations under more arid conditions.

Arizona, Colorado

Rare earth element-mineralized carbonatite in the Bear Lodge Alkaline Complex, USA—Ore genesis implications from fluid inclusion characterization

Rare earth element (REE) resources of the Bear Lodge Alkaline Complex, Wyoming, are hosted in variably leached carbonatite spatially related to diatreme breccia pipes. We investigated the genesis of REE and lesser-known gold resources through fluid inclusion analysis of carbonatite, fluorite breccia, and smoky quartz vein samples. Physicochemical characteristics of inclusion-trapped fluids were evaluated using petrography, microthermometry, Raman spectroscopy, decrepitate mound analysis, energy-dispersive spectroscopy, laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, and noble gas isotope analysis. Microthermometry results reveal three fluid types that affected carbonatite dikes within deeper zones that escaped near-surface, ore-grade REE enrichment: (1) high-temperature (330–432°C) magmatic fluid captured in fine-grained calcite; (2) REE-enriched alkali bicarbonate-sulfate brine; and (3) low-temperature (117–182°C) diluted magmatic or meteoric water. Multiphase brine-like inclusions contain burbankite, nahcolite, strontianite, celestine and alkali sulfate daughter crystals, linking them to early burbankite mineralization. Peripheral smoky quartz and fluorite occurrences at Smith Ridge, 1.5 km from the central carbonatite dike swarm, contain primary inclusions that are Cl-poor and rich in Na-HCO 3 -SO 4 , similar to secondary and pseudosecondary inclusions in carbonatites. Helium isotopes reveal a MORB-like source for carbonatite samples and an older crust signature at Smith Ridge, consistent with the proximal ridge-top exposures of Archean granite. Results from this fluid inclusion study coupled with previous studies of carbonatite mineral paragenesis, show that light REEs (LREEs) were not mobilized great distances. Instead, burbankite crystallized within carbonatite from alkali bicarbonate fluids. With sodium retained in early burbankite, outward-emanating fluids enriched in potassium relative to sodium (higher K:Na) resulted in potassium–ferric iron metasomatism of silicate host rocks. This alkali fractionation was accompanied by fractionation of LREEs and heavy REEs (HREEs), with LREEs dominating the central carbonatite resources. In contrast, areas of peripheral REE mineralization at Bear Lodge are commonly characterized by higher HREE:LREE ratios. The K:Na ratio of associated fenites or alteration assemblages could be indicative of early crystallized burbankite in carbonatites and REE fractionation processes potentially leading to areas of concentrated HREEs with greater supply vulnerabilities.

South Dakota, Wyoming

Rare earth element potential in coal and coal ash in the U.S. Gulf Coast

United States heavy reliance on imports of critical minerals (CMs), including rare earth elements (REEs), underscores the importance of development of domestic sources. The study objective was to quantify CM and REE concentrations in coal and coal ash in the US Gulf Coast region. CM and REE concentrations were measured for 118 samples from outcrops and 14 mines in the Gulf Coast. Results show that total REE + Yttrium (REY) concentrations (dry coal basis) are comparable to those of the upper continental crust (UCC) with localized hot spots, such as the Texas Gibbons Creek mine (REY ≤ ~ 2860 ppm). When normalized to UCC REY concentration (169 ppm, dry coal basis), REY to UCC ratios for Gulf Coast coal samples range from 0.1 to 17 (median ratio 0.6). REE extractability from lignites is high (median: 63%–93%) using environmentally benign weak acid. In addition to raw coal, coal ash from power plants could also serve as an REE source with a median ratio of REY in ash relative to coal of 4; however, extractability from coal ash is generally much lower (≤ 5% using the same weak acid as in coal). The median basket price for extracted REY as oxides from coal, assuming 70% extractability, is $3.2 per tonne of coal and $186 billion based on 58 billion metric tonnes of dry coal in the Gulf Coast. REEs important for magnets (Pr + Nd + Tb + Dy) account for ~ 80% of the total value. The corresponding median basket price for extracted REY as oxides from coal ash, assuming ~ 30% extractability, is ~$4.4 per tonne of ash and $1.2 billion based on 258 million tonnes of ash. REE production from coal would likely require co-products, such as activated carbon or humic acids, to attain economic viability. Production of REEs from coal ash could offset remediation costs related to potential water contamination. This reconnaissance study shows the potential for REE production from coal and coal ash in the Gulf Coast; however, carbon coproducts and/or societal benefits would likely be required for socioeconomic viability.

Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, Texas

Linking distribution and return-on-investment models to optimize woody management for prairie grouse in Nebraska

Grasslands in Nebraska, USA, face threats from agricultural conversion, urban development, and woody encroachment, all of which negatively affect prairie grouse ( Tympanuchus spp.) populations. To optimize conservation planning, Nebraska wildlife agencies developed probabilistic area-based surveys for greater prairie-chicken ( T. cupido ) and sharp-tailed grouse ( T. phasianellus ) to sample landscapes across a range of environmental conditions. This design improves historical surveys and enables the development of distribution models that quantitatively define habitat associations and support scenario-based conservation planning. Using survey data collected during 2020–2022, we modeled prairie grouse occurrence and abundance as functions of land cover, topography, and climate using Bayesian logistic and zero-inflated negative binomial models with regularized horseshoe priors. We then conducted a maximum potential return-on-investment analysis of woody cover treatments, assuming sustained treatment success, relative to projected impacts of woody encroachment on prairie grouse populations by 2050. Among modeled associations were a positive association with grasslands having low woody cover and a negative association with grasslands having high woody cover. Across the 3-year period, median estimated annual populations were 142,380 for greater prairie-chicken (range of 95% CIs across years = 68,821–277,615) and 64,154 for sharp-tailed grouse (range of 95% CIs across years = 27,550–146,559). Under projected woody encroachment, mean predicted population declines were 10% for greater prairie-chicken (range of 95% CIs = 7–14%) and 6% for sharp-tailed grouse (range of 95% CIs = 5–7%). Areas with high prairie grouse density and low treatment costs in 2021, and high projected woody encroachment and population loss by 2050, offered the greatest return on investment for woody management. Return on investment was greatest in the northwestern Shortgrass Prairie ecoregion (northwestern Nebraska) for sharp-tailed grouse and the eastern Sandhills ecoregion (central Nebraska) for both species. These models underscore the value of evidence-based, quantitative approaches for prioritizing conservation actions on working lands. Scenario-based modeling could be extended to guide other treatments, such as optimizing restoration (e.g., Conservation Reserve Program) or incentivizing grassland persistence in areas with predicted climate resilience.

Nebraska

Potential warming-induced changes in stream water sources between proglacial and non-glacial streams, south-central Alaska

Snow and ice-melt are essential for global water resources. Rising air temperatures are causing vegetation encroachment and shrubification of previously snow- and ice-covered landscapes, and precipitation regimes are changing. Collectively, these changes will likely affect the hydrology of mountain environments, although the exact ways in which the hydrology will change are poorly understood. Changing source waters (i.e., the proportion of ice-melt, snowmelt, rain and groundwater) affect the timing and magnitude of streamflow and affect stream temperature, sediment, solute and nutrient fluxes. We investigate spatial and seasonal source water contributions across sub-watersheds of the Nellie Juan River watershed on Alaska's Kenai Peninsula, which differ in glacier cover, elevation and land cover, using a space-for-time approach. To do so, we use a three-endmember mixing model to quantify the contribution of rain, snow/ice-melt and deep groundwater. We show that snow/ice-melt peak later in proglacial streams compared to non-glacial streams. Endmember contributions in non-glacial streams generally vary with elevation and season. We also found that groundwater is a major contributor to streamflow across the study area, contributing between 12% and 47% seasonally, and may become increasingly important as snowpack and ice-melt decrease. This research characterises the shift from a glacierised to a deglaciating landscape through the lens of source water contribution. Broadly, these findings could help improve understanding of how water resources in glacierised watersheds are affected by warming air temperatures.

Alaska

Evolution of arsenic speciation during thermal treatment simulating wildfire heating in arsenic-rich sediments

Understanding arsenic transformations during wildfires can help better constrain the environmental impacts of increased wildfire intensity, frequency, and burned area. Previous studies have monitored the evolution of metal(loid) speciation at specific time/temperature endpoints, hampering the comprehension of the dynamic transformations of metal(loid)s during wildfires. Here, a novel approach, namely in situ time-resolved X-ray absorption near edge structure (TR-XANES) spectroscopy, was used for the first time to monitor the heat-induced redox transformations of arsenic (As) in two As-rich sediments with different characteristics. No arsenic transformations were observed in either sediment at room temperature or when the sediments were heated to a maximum temperature of 400 ºC. When heated to a maximum temperature of 600 or 700 ºC, As underwent complex, dynamic, and partially reversible redox transformations, the extent of which varied with sediment properties, initial As speciation, and heating temperature and duration. In the case of sediments initially containing As(V) and a low sulfide/sulfate ratio, the As(V) was reduced to As(III) over a short period of time, followed by immediate reoxidation of As(III) to As(V). The extent of the transient As reduction increased with increasing maximum temperature. The final As speciation at the end of the heating experiment was not substantially different from that at the beginning of the experiment. In contrast, in sediments that were best described by a more complex combination of reference compounds (As(V) coprecipitated with or adsorbed on iron oxide, arseniosiderite, arsenopyrite) with a high sulfide/sulfate ratio, As(V) phases were reduced to As(III) and As(III) was further reduced to As(-I) (at 700 ºC, only), followed by delayed reoxidation of As(-I) to As(III) (at 700 ºC, only) and reoxidation of As(III) to As(V). Approximately 9% and 26% of all As remained as As(III) ( i.e., was not reoxidized to As(V)) at the end of the experiment when heated to a maximum temperature of 600 and 700 ºC, respectively, which is higher than the relative abundance of As(III) in the native sediment. These fire-induced As transformations can potentially enhance As mobilization to surface water and groundwater, posing risks to environmental and human health.

California

Hydrologic investigation of water level fluctuations at Moreau Lake, Moreau Lake State Park, town of Moreau, New York

The causes of water level fluctuations at Moreau Lake, within Moreau Lake State Park in the town of Moreau, New York, were investigated from 2016 to 2021 after lake water levels dropped between 2015 and 2016, raising concerns about the loss of a shallow swimming area at the park beach. Annual variation in precipitation records from the area did not account for the lake water level decline. Two possible causes for the low lake water levels were investigated: the increase in groundwater withdrawals from new residential development since about 2000 and seasonal changes (nongrowing and growing seasons) in precipitation. Investigation of the potential effects of nearby groundwater withdrawals required the compilation and collection of well-log data, seismic surveys, and measurements of lake and groundwater levels, field chemical parameters, and water isotopes to define the hydrogeologic system and to estimate water use. The net result of this work was the determination that Moreau Lake is a “flow though” lake with no surface water outlet; groundwater enters the lake on the upgradient side and exits through the downgradient side, however, groundwater does not flow southward from the lake toward nearby groundwater withdrawals from the semiconfined aquifer, and thus groundwater withdrawals were unlikely to have an effect on lake water levels. Investigation of the historic precipitation records during nongrowing (November through April) and growing (May through October) indicated that (1) nongrowing season precipitation from 2011–12 to 2015–16 was more deficient than any similar period during the past 78 years and (2) since about 2000, nongrowing seasons have been drier overall and growing seasons have been considerably wetter. Initiation of lake water level monitoring in 2016 provided an opportunity to compare seasonal precipitation with seasonal lake water level changes. Nongrowing season lake water levels are very sensitive to precipitation, such that high precipitation (40 percent above the seasonal median) resulted in a 5-foot rise in lake water level. In contrast, the growing season lake water levels are sensitive to dry conditions; for example, deficient rainfall (about 6 percent below the seasonal median) resulted in a decline of lake water levels of about 3.5 feet. However, lake water levels are insensitive to high growing season rainfall inputs (about 10 to 47 percent above the seasonal median); lake water levels consistently declined about by 0.8 feet above this range of seasonal excessive precipitation.

New York

Identifying precursors and tracking pulses of magma ascent in multidisciplinary data during the 2018–2023 phreatomagmatic eruption at Semisopochnoi Island, Alaska

The 2018–2023 phreatomagmatic eruptions at Semisopochnoi Island, Alaska produced abundant long-period (LP) seismicity, harmonic and broadband tremor, and explosion signals over several well-monitored periods of eruption and quiescence. The corresponding dataset provides an excellent opportunity to investigate precursory and syn -eruptive geophysical signals of long-lived phreatomagmatic eruptions using multiparameter observations. We generated explosion and LP event catalogs through novel implementations of the REDPy ( Hotovec-Ellis, 2024 ) repeating event detector in mid-2021 following a network upgrade and the onset of a new phase of the eruption. The hundreds of detected explosions show a high degree of infrasound waveform similarity over more than a year, indicating a repeating source mechanism likely associated with explosive magma-water interaction. The seismic LP catalog shows that events began over a month prior to renewed explosive activity at the beginning of August 2021, and that lower frequency index (FI) LPs were generated in the week prior to the onset of explosions. We applied a recently developed machine learning tool (VOISS-Net, Tan et al., 2024 ) to catalog abundant broadband and harmonic seismic tremor recorded before and during the renewed explosive activity, along with LPs and explosions. The tremor catalogs complement the LP and explosion catalogs by filling out the seismic sequence with the dominant signal types. Together, these catalogs reveal a seismic sequence of renewed unrest that started with several weeks of LP events, followed by LPs with lower FI values and harmonic tremor in the days prior to explosive activity, and finally the onset of discrete explosions and broadband eruption tremor. We interpret this sequence as the ascent of a new pulse of magma that first interacted with the hydrothermal/groundwater system to produce LPs, followed by harmonic tremor, and that ultimately drove explosive magma-water interactions and periods of continuous ash emissions. The 2021 seismic sequence, in combination with long-term records of satellite SO 2 emissions, deformation from interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) analysis, ash sample analysis, infrasound, and volcano tectonic seismicity, allows us to interpret the entire 9-year period of unrest and eruption that began with an intrusion and earthquake swarm in 2014.

Alaska