Introduction: Climate change in the mountains of Maine and the Northeast
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Boreholes from Island Beach, Allaire, Atlantic City, and Mays Landing, NJ provide an excellent chronology of lower to middle Eocene passive margin sequences and allow analysis of long-term sea-level changes and sedimentation patterns. These New Jersey sequences are tied directly to the geomagnetic polarity time scale through magnetostratigraphy. Integrated stratigraphy (including magnetostratigraphy, lithostratigraphy, plankton biostratigraphy, and benthic foraminiferal biofacies studies) reveals that these sections contain a relatively continuous record of lowermost Eocene to middle Eocene deposition interrupted by short hiatuses. A sequence boundary at the base of the section spans the Paleocene/Eocene boundary, representing a hiatus from 55.8 to 54.7 Ma. A second sequence boundary is associated with a hiatus from 54.0 to 53.4 Ma. A third sequence boundary is associated with a hiatus from 52.9 to 52.3 Ma. Two major unconformities occur near the lower/middle Eocene boundary at all three boreholes. The first represents a hiatus between 50.9 and ~50.5 to 49.9 Ma; the second, between ~49.6 and 48.6 Ma. Early Eocene water depths inferred from benthic foraminiferal biofacies analysis varied from 150 to 200 m and reached their maximum depth between 53.4 and 53.2 Ma. In the middle Eocene, the sedimentation record is less continuous with hiatuses from 48.3 to 47.9 Ma, 46.9 to 44.5 Ma, and 43.4 to ~41.2 Ma. A major lithofacies change from carbonate dominated to siliciclastic dominated occurred by 41.2 Ma. Of the 14 sequences inferred by Exxon for the early to middle Eocene, nine are resolvable on the New Jersey Margin and the remaining five appear to be combined with others. Thus the New Jersey record is consistent with the Exxon record for the early to middle Eocene, although the New Jersey record is better dated. Comparison of the record of sedimentation with the global δ 18 O record shows interesting parallels. It is unlikely that early Eocene sequence boundaries are the result of glacioeustasy because hiatuses from the New Jersey Coastal Plain in this interval do not match increases in the δ 18 O record. In the late middle Eocene, concomitant increases in the planktonic and benthic δ 18 O records coincide with the timing of hiatuses on the New Jersey Coastal Plain. Increases in the δ 18 O records between 43 and 41 Ma coincide with a New Jersey hiatus and a corresponding change in sedimentation type from carbonate dominated to siliciclastic dominated. We conclude that these represent evidence of the first Antarctic ice cap and the beginning of the “Icehouse” world.
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Hubbard Glacier, the largest calving glacier on the North American Continent (25 percent larger than Rhode Island), advanced across the entrance to 35-mile-long Russell Fiord during June 2002, temporarily turning it into a lake. Hubbard Glacier has been advancing for more than 100 years and has twice closed the entrance to Russell Fiord during the last 16 years by squeezing and pushing submarine glacial sediments across the mouth of the fiord. Water flowing into the cutoff fiord from mountain streams and glacier melt causes the level of Russell Lake to rise. However, both the 1986 and 2002 dams failed before the lake altitude rose enough for water to spill over a low pass at the far end of the fiord and enter the Situk River drainage, a world-class sport and commercial fishery near Yakutat, Alaska.
Human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas, have caused a substantial increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. This increase in atmospheric CO2 - from about 280 to more than 380 parts per million (ppm) over the last 250 years - is causing measurable global warming. Potential adverse impacts include sea-level rise; increased frequency and intensity of wildfires, floods, droughts, and tropical storms; changes in the amount, timing, and distribution of rain, snow, and runoff; and disturbance of coastal marine and other ecosystems. Rising atmospheric CO2 is also increasing the absorption of CO2 by seawater, causing the ocean to become more acidic, with potentially disruptive effects on marine plankton and coral reefs. Technically and economically feasible strategies are needed to mitigate the consequences of increased atmospheric CO2. The United States needs scientific information to develop ways to reduce human-caused CO2 emissions and to remove CO2 from the atmosphere.
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The purpose of this project was to demonstrate the capabilities of an existing watershed model and downscaling procedures to provide simulated hydrological data over various greenhouse gas emission scenarios for use in the Methow River framework prototype. An existing watershed model was used to simulate daily time series of streamflow and basin-wide hydrologic variables for baseline conditions (1990–2000), and then for all combinations of three greenhouse gas emission scenarios and five general circulation models for future conditions (2008–2095). Input data for 18 precipitation and 17 temperature model input sites were generated using statistical techniques to downscale general circulation model data. The simulated results were averaged using an 11-year moving window to characterize the central year of the window to provide simulated data for water years 2008–2095. Simulation results indicate that substantial changes of monthly mean streamflows will occur. For all greenhouse gas emission scenarios, the future streamflows are greater in the winter than baseline conditions because a greater percentage of future precipitation is projected to fall as rain rather than as snow. The simulated future spring streamflows are less than baseline conditions because the spring snowpacks are smaller; therefore, flow contributions from snowmelt are less. A database was developed to automate model execution and to provide users with Internet access to voluminous data products ranging from summary figures to model output timeseries. Database-enabled Internet tools were developed to allow users to create interactive graphs of output results based on their analysis needs. For example, users were able to create graphs by selecting time intervals, greenhouse gas emission scenarios, general circulation models, and specific hydrologic variables.
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No abstract available.
No abstract available.