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At least 757 records · Page 42Linked to original sources

Combining branching processes and Allee effects into an integral projection model to assess invasion risk

Invasive species threaten both ecological systems and economies. Successful establishment is governed partly by demographic stochasticity, where random individual-level variation can significantly influence invasion dynamics. A critical factor is the Allee effect, which describes reduced population growth at low densities, potentially serving as a barrier to persistence. Size-dependent growth and survival further shape outcomes based on the size distribution of individuals within the population. To address these complexities, we developed a population-level model integrating an Integral Projection Model (IPM) for the expected size distribution with an Allee effect for recruitment dynamics and a branching process to account for demographic stochasticity. We applied this framework to Silver Carp ( Hypophthalmichthys molitrix ), a species established in the Upper Mississippi River system that poses significant risk of expanding into the Great Lakes. Our analysis compared temporal dynamics and population-size distributions under hypothetical introduction scenarios for large adult and smaller subadult fish. In both cases, initial population size relative to the Allee threshold was a critical determinant of establishment probability, with introductions below the threshold requiring stochastic growth across a critical biomass boundary before self-sustaining dynamics could take hold. Sensitivity analysis further indicated that per-spawner recruitment played a compounding role in invasion risk: higher recruitment rates reduced the critical introduction size for establishment and compressed the time to self-sustaining population size, jointly broadening the window of invasion risk. These findings highlight the framework’s potential for invasion assessments and offer insights into how Allee effects, size structure, and recruitment rates interact to govern establishment outcomes, while underscoring the need for species-specific parameter estimates before quantitative outputs can guide management decisions.

PLOS Ecosystems↗

Operational shoreline mapping with high spatial resolution radar and geographic processing

A comprehensive mapping technology was developed utilizing standard image processing and available GIS procedures to automate shoreline identification and mapping from 2 m synthetic aperture radar ( SAR ) HH amplitude data. The development used four NASA Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle SAR ( UAVSAR ) data collections between summer 2009 and 2012 and a fall 2012 collection of wetlands dominantly fronted by vegetated shorelines along the Mississippi River Delta that are beset by severe storms, toxic releases, and relative sea-level rise. In comparison to shorelines interpreted from 0.3 m and 1 m orthophotography, the automated GIS 10 m alongshore sampling found SAR shoreline mapping accuracy to be ±2 m, well within the lower range of reported shoreline mapping accuracies. The high comparability was obtained even though water levels differed between the SAR and photography image pairs and included all shorelines regardless of complexity. The SAR mapping technology is highly repeatable and extendable to other SAR instruments with similar operational functionality.

Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing↗

Fire as a physical process

This chapter explores fire as a physical process, including combustion, fuel characteristics, fuel models, fire weather, ignition sources, mechanisms for fire spread, and fire effects. In wildland fuels, combustion occurs in three phases: preheating, gaseous, and smoldering. Fuel is characterized by physical and chemical properties that affect combustion and fire behavior. Its characteristic classes are defined for a vegetation type and contain data for fuels in up to six strata representing potentially independent combustion environments. Fire weather includes air temperature, atmospheric moisture, atmospheric stability, and clouds and precipitation. Sufficient fuel, conducive weather, and an ignition are necessary ingredients for a fire. In line with this, this chapter investigates how these factors, combined with topography, cause a fire to spread. The chapter also introduces the physical parameters of fire behavior that affect fire severity, spotting, tree scorch height, plant mortality, biomass consumption, and microclimate.

Book chapter↗

Hydrologic processes and the water budget: Chapter 2

This chapter focuses on the hydrological setting of Mirror Lake and its water budget. It first describes the glacial deposits and bedrock topography in the Mirror Lake area. It then provides an overview of the hydrologic processes associated with Mirror Lake and examines the field and analytical methods used to determine its water budget. It presents results from the hydrologic studies, which are based on monthly and annual water budgets for the calendar years 1981 through 2000.

New Hampshire↗

Integration of microfacies analysis, inorganic geochemical data, and hyperspectral imaging to unravel mudstone depositional and diagenetic processes in two cores from the Triassic Shublik Formation, Northern Alaska

The Middle – Upper Triassic Shublik Formation is an organic-rich heterogeneous carbonate-siliciclastic-phosphatic unit that generated much of the oil in the Prudhoe Bay field and other hydrocarbon accumulations in northern Alaska. A large dataset, including total organic carbon (TOC), X-ray diffraction (XRD), X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and inductively coupled plasma – mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) measurements, has been built from core and outcrop samples of the Shublik, with a focus on the organic-rich intervals. In addition, two core intervals from the Shublik were analyzed using a hyperspectral imaging system in the visible, near-infrared and shortwave-infrared range. Integration of the hyperspectral results with core descriptions, microfacies interpretations, and analytical data is being used to decipher mudstone depositional and diagenetic processes. Petrographic analysis of Upper Triassic organic-rich intervals within the Shublik suggests that the main microfacies is a laminated bioclastic wackestone/packstone that was episodically disrupted by energetic events of variable intensity. These energetic events produced transitional and sparry calcite bioclastic packstone to grainstone intervals, depending on the depth of sediment column disturbance. By using hyperspectral imaging data from the Ikpikpuk core, individual distribution maps for minerals of interest have been generated and corroborate the microfacies interpretations. These maps also illustrate small-scale vertical changes in mineralogy. The laminated bioclastic wackestone/packstone intervals contain less calcite than the adjacent sparry bioclastic packstone to grainstone intervals. The calcite in these laminated intervals is more iron rich. This interpretation suggests that lower iron concentrations should be expected in the disrupted intervals than in nearby laminated intervals. Textural features are also enhanced in the hyperspectral images relative to visual description of the cores by combining the extraction of the average reflectance in the visible part of the electromagnetic spectrum and the depth of the main carbonate-related feature belonging to calcite. Examples noted in the enhanced imagery include low-angle features, calcite grain-size, and the size, shape and orientation of phosphatic nodules. This enhancement is being used to differentiate laminated from sparry bioclastic packstone to grainstone-rich intervals and provides a more comprehensive assessment of the microfacies than is practical by thin-section analysis.

Alaska↗

Ice processes affect habitat use and movements of adult cutthroat trout and brook trout in a Wyoming foothills stream

Habitat use and movements of 25 adult cutthroat trout Oncorhynchus clarkii and 25 adult brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis from fall through winter 2002-2003 were assessed by means of radiotelemetry in a 7-km reach of a Rocky Mountains foothills stream. Temporal dynamics of winter habitat conditions were evaluated by regularly measuring the features of 30 pools and 5 beaver Castor canadensis ponds in the study reach. Groundwater inputs at three locations raised mean daily water temperatures in the stream channel during winter to 0.2-0.6??C and kept at least 250 m of the downstream channel free of ice, but the lack of surface ice further downstream led to the occurrence of frazil ice and anchor ice in pools and unstable habitat conditions for trout. Pools in segments that were not affected by groundwater inputs and beaver ponds tended to be stable and snow accumulated on the surface ice. Pools throughout the study reach tended to become more stable as snow accumulated. Both cutthroat trout and brook trout selected beaver ponds as winter progressed but tended to use lateral scour pools in proportion to their availability. Tagged fish not in beaver ponds selected lateral scour pools that were deeper than average and stable during winter. Movement frequencies by tagged fish decreased from fall through winter, but some individuals of both species moved during winter. Ice processes affected both the habitat use and movement patterns of cutthroat trout and brook trout in this foothills stream.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗

Winter ice processes and pool habitat associated with two types of constructed instream structures

There is little information on the winter features of salmonid habitats associated with constructed instream structures to provide guidance when planning habitat improvement projects. We assessed winter habitat features for trout of the genera Oncorhynchus and Salvelinus in pools associated with two types of instream structures constructed on a low-gradient reach of a mountain stream in western Wyoming with a mean wetted width of 6.4 m. Pool habitat was affected by temporal variability in ice formations from fall into winter. As surface ice and snow accumulated with the progression of winter, variation in ice formations was less frequent and winter habitat conditions became more stable. However, groundwater inflow that maintained water temperatures at 0.2-0.6??C in a portion of the study reach appeared to contribute to incomplete surface ice cover and variation in ice formations in pools through most of the winter. Hanging dams and anchor ice dams were the primary ice features that affected winter habitat in pools associated with constructed instream structures. Trout were observed in these pools in the fall but tended to abandon pools with variation in ice formations as winter progressed. The potential impacts of groundwater inflow and winter ice processes on trout habitat in pools associated with instream structures should be considered when planning habitat improvement projects. ?? Copyright by the American Fisheries Society 2005.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗

Effects of an invasive plant species, celastrus orbiculatus, on soil composition and processes

Celastrus orbiculatus is a non-native, invasive liana that was introduced to the United States in the 1860s and has spread rapidly throughout the Northeast Several attributes contribute to the invasiveness of C. orbiculatus, including tolerance to a wide range of light levels and habitat types. We compared soil characteristics in seven sets of adjacent, paired plots, spanning a range of habitats and soil types, with and without C. orbiculatus. The paired plots were similar other than the presence or absence of Celastrus. Plots with C. orbiculatus had significantly higher soil pH, potassium, calcium and magnesium levels. Furthermore, nitrogen mineralization and litter decomposition rates were higher in plots with C. orbiculatus. Phosphorus levels were not significantly different between the paired plots. The results of this study contribute to the growing body of research of the effects of invasive species on ecosystem processes.

American Midland Naturalist↗

On pads and filters: Processing strong-motion data

Processing of strong-motion data in many cases can be as straightforward as filtering the acceleration time series and integrating to obtain velocity and displacement. To avoid the introduction of spurious low-frequency noise in quantities derived from the filtered accelerations, however, care must be taken to append zero pads of adequate length to the beginning and end of the segment of recorded data. These padded sections of the filtered acceleration need to be retained when deriving velocities, displacements, Fourier spectra, and response spectra. In addition, these padded and filtered sections should also be included in the time series used in the dynamic analysis of structures and soils to ensure compatibility with the filtered accelerations.

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America↗

Radiated energy and the rupture process of the Denali fault earthquake sequence of 2002 from broadband teleseismic body waves

Displacement, velocity, and velocity-squared records of P and SH body waves recorded at teleseismic distances are analyzed to determine the rupture characteristics of the Denali fault, Alaska, earthquake of 3 November 2002 ( M W 7.9, M e 8.1 ). Three episodes of rupture can be identified from broadband ( ∼0.1–5.0 Hz ) waveforms. The Denali fault earthquake started as a M W 7.3 thrust event. Subsequent right-lateral strike-slip rupture events with centroid depths of 9 km occurred about 22 and 49 sec later. The teleseismic P waves are dominated by energy at intermediate frequencies (0.1-1 Hz) radiated by the thrust event, while the SH waves are dominated by energy at lower frequencies (0.05-0.2 Hz) radiated by the strike-slip events. The strike-slip events exhibit strong directivity in the teleseismic SH waves. Correcting the recorded P -wave acceleration spectra for the effect of the free surface yields an estimate of 2.8 × 10 15 N m for the energy radiated by the thrust event. Correcting the recorded SH -wave acceleration spectra similarly yields an estimate of 3.3 × 10 16 N m for the energy radiated by the two strike-slip events. The average rupture velocity for the strike-slip rupture process is 1.1 β –1.2 β . The strike-slip events were located 90 and 188 km east of the epicenter. The rupture length over which significant or resolvable energy is radiated is, thus, far shorter than the 340-km fault length over which surface displacements were observed. However, the seismic moment released by these three events, 4 × 10 20 N m, was approximately half the seismic moment determined from very low-frequency analyses of the earthquake. The difference in seismic moment can be reasonably attributed to slip on fault segments that did not radiate significant or coherent seismic energy. These results suggest that very large and great strike-slip earthquakes can generate stress pulses that rapidly produce substantial slip with negligible stress drop and little discernible radiated energy on fault segments distant from the initial point of nucleation. The existence of this energy-deficient rupture mode has important implications for the evaluation of the seismic hazard of very large strike-slip earthquakes.

Alaska↗

Rupture process of the M 7.9 Denali fault, Alaska, earthquake: Subevents, directivity, and scaling of high-frequency ground motions

Displacement waveforms and high-frequency acceleration envelopes from stations at distances of 3-300 km were inverted to determine the source process of the M 7.9 Denali fault earthquake. Fitting the initial portion of the displacement waveforms indicates that the earthquake started with an oblique thrust subevent (subevent # 1) with an east-west-striking, north-dipping nodal plane consistent with the observed surface rupture on the Susitna Glacier fault. Inversion of the remainder of the waveforms (0.02-0.5 Hz) for moment release along the Denali and Totschunda faults shows that rupture proceeded eastward on the Denali fault, with two strike-slip subevents (numbers 2 and 3) centered about 90 and 210 km east of the hypocenter. Subevent 2 was located across from the station at PS 10 (Trans-Alaska Pipeline Pump Station #10) and was very localized in space and time. Subevent 3 extended from 160 to 230 km east of the hypocenter and had the largest moment of the subevents. Based on the timing between subevent 2 and the east end of subevent 3, an average rupture velocity of 3.5 km/sec, close to the shear wave velocity at the average rupture depth, was found. However, the portion of the rupture 130-220 km east of the epicenter appears to have an effective rupture velocity of about 5.0 km/ sec, which is supershear. These two subevents correspond approximately to areas of large surface offsets observed after the earthquake. Using waveforms of the M 6.7 Nenana Mountain earthquake as empirical Green's functions, the high-frequency (1-10 Hz) envelopes of the M 7.9 earthquake were inverted to determine the location of high-frequency energy release along the faults. The initial thrust subevent produced the largest high-frequency energy release per unit fault length. The high-frequency envelopes and acceleration spectra (>0.5 Hz) of the M 7.9 earthquake can be simulated by chaining together rupture zones of the M 6.7 earthquake over distances from 30 to 180 km east of the hypocenter. However, the inversion indicates that there was relatively little high-frequency energy generated along the 60-km portion of the Totschunda fault on the east end of the rupture.

Alaska↗

Monitoring the Earthquake source process in North America

With the implementation of the USGS National Earthquake Information Center Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response system (PAGER), rapid determination of earthquake moment magnitude is essential, especially for earthquakes that are felt within the contiguous United States. We report an implementation of moment tensor processing for application to broad, seismically active areas of North America. This effort focuses on the selection of regional crustal velocity models, codification of data quality tests, and the development of procedures for rapid computation of the seismic moment tensor. We systematically apply these techniques to earthquakes with reported magnitude greater than 3.5 in continental North America that are not associated with a tectonic plate boundary. Using the 0.02-0.10 Hz passband, we can usually determine, with few exceptions, moment tensor solutions for earthquakes with M w as small as 3.7. The threshold is significantly influenced by the density of stations, the location of the earthquake relative to the seismic stations and, of course, the signal-to-noise ratio. With the existing permanent broadband stations in North America operated for rapid earthquake response, the seismic moment tensor of most earthquakes that are M w 4 or larger can be routinely computed. As expected the nonuniform spatial pattern of these solutions reflects the seismicity pattern. However, the orientation of the direction of maximum compressive stress and the predominant style of faulting is spatially coherent across large regions of the continent.

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America↗

Effects of landcover, water redistribution, and temperature on ecosystem processes in the South Plate Basin

Over one-third of the land area in the South Platte Basin of Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming, has been converted to croplands. Irrigated cropland now comprises 8% of the basin, while dry croplands make up 31%. We used the RHESSys model to compare the changes in plant productivity and vegetation-related hydrological processes that occurred as a result of either land cover alteration or directional temperature changes (&minus;2&deg;C, +4&deg;C). Land cover change exerted more control over annual plant productivity and water fluxes for converted grasslands, while the effect of temperature changes on productivity and water fluxes was stronger in the mountain vegetation. Throughout the basin, land cover change increased the annual loss of water to the atmosphere by 114 mm via evaporation and transpiration, an increase of 37%. Both irrigated and nonirrigated grains became active earlier in the year than shortgrass steppe, leading to a seasonal shift in water losses to the atmosphere. Basin-wide photosynthesis increased by 80% due to grain production. In contrast, a 4&deg;C warming scenario caused annual transpiration to increase by only 3% and annual evaporation to increase by 28%, for a total increase of 71 mm. Warming decreased basin-wide photosynthesis by 16%. There is a large elevational range from east to west in the South Platte Basin, which encompasses the western edge of the Great Plains and the eastern front of the Rocky Mountains. This elevational gain is accompanied by great changes in topographic complexity, vegetation type, and climate. Shortgrass steppe and crops found at elevations between 850 and 1800 m give way to coniferous forests and tundra between 1800 and 4000 m. Climate is increasingly dominated by winter snow precipitation with increasing elevation, and the timing of snowmelt influences tundra and forest ecosystem productivity, soil moisture, and downstream discharge. Mean annual precipitation of <500 mm on the plains below 1800 m is far less than potential evapotranspiration of 1000&ndash;1500 mm and is insufficient for optimum plant productivity. The changes in water flux and photosynthesis from conversion of steppe to cropland are the result of redistribution of snowmelt water from the mountains and groundwater pumping through irrigation projects.

Ecological Applications↗

A modern analogue for tectonic, eustatic, and climatic processes in cratonic basins: Gulf of Carpentaria, northern Australia

The Gulf of Carpentaria is a tropical, silled epicontinental sea and may be a modern analogue for ancient cratonic basins. For the purpose of this study, the Gulf of Carpentaria is compared to Pennsylvanian cratonic basins of the United States. During the Pennsylvanian, the North American continent moved from the Southern Hemisphere, through the Equator, into the Northern Hemisphere. Today, the Gulf of Carpentaria–New Guinea region is a few degrees south of the Equator and is moving towards it. During the Pennsylvanian, the world was subjected to major glaciations and associated sea-level changes. The island of New Guinea and the Gulf of Carpentaria have undergone similar processes during the Quaternary. A reconnaissance seismic survey of the gulf conducted by the USGS and the Australian National University (ANU), combined with oil-exploration well data, provided the first step in a systematic evaluation of a modern tropical epicontinental system. During the Cenozoic, the region was dominated by terrestrial sedimentation in a temperate climate. At the same time, carbonates were being deposited on the northern shelf edge of the Australian Plate. During the Miocene, carbonate deposition expanded southward into the gulf region. Then in the Late Miocene, carbonate sedimentation was replaced by terrigenous clastics derived from the developing Central Range of the island of New Guinea, which developed a wetter climate while moving northwards into the tropics. At least 14 basin-wide transgressive–regressive cycles are identified by channels that were eroded under subaerial conditions since about the Miocene. Comparison of the modern Gulf of Carpentaria sequences with those of the Pennsylvanian reveals many similarities.

Gulf Of Carpentaria↗

Natural regeneration processes in big sagebrush ( Artemisia tridentata )

Big sagebrush, Artemisia tridentata Nuttall (Asteraceae), is the dominant plant species of large portions of semiarid western North America. However, much of historical big sagebrush vegetation has been removed or modified. Thus, regeneration is recognized as an important component for land management. Limited knowledge about key regeneration processes, however, represents an obstacle to identifying successful management practices and to gaining greater insight into the consequences of increasing disturbance frequency and global change. Therefore, our objective is to synthesize knowledge about natural big sagebrush regeneration. We identified and characterized the controls of big sagebrush seed production, germination, and establishment. The largest knowledge gaps and associated research needs include quiescence and dormancy of embryos and seedlings; variation in seed production and germination percentages; wet-thermal time model of germination; responses to frost events (including freezing/thawing of soils), CO 2 concentration, and nutrients in combination with water availability; suitability of microsite vs. site conditions; competitive ability as well as seedling growth responses; and differences among subspecies and ecoregions. Potential impacts of climate change on big sagebrush regeneration could include that temperature increases may not have a large direct influence on regeneration due to the broad temperature optimum for regeneration, whereas indirect effects could include selection for populations with less stringent seed dormancy. Drier conditions will have direct negative effects on germination and seedling survival and could also lead to lighter seeds, which lowers germination success further. The short seed dispersal distance of big sagebrush may limit its tracking of suitable climate; whereas, the low competitive ability of big sagebrush seedlings may limit successful competition with species that track climate. An improved understanding of the ecology of big sagebrush regeneration should benefit resource management activities and increase the ability of land managers to anticipate global change impacts.

Rangeland Ecology and Management↗

Hydrothermal ore-forming processes in the light of studies in rock- buffered systems: II. Some general geologic applications

The experimental metal solubilities for rock-buffered hydrothermal systems, reported by Hemley et al. (1992), provide important insights into the acquisition, transport, and deposition of metals in real hydrothermal systems that produced base metal ore deposits. Water-rock reactions that determine pH, together with total chloride and changes in temperature and fluid pressure, play significant roles in controlling the solubility of metals and determining where metals are fixed to form ore deposits.Hydrothermal systems circulate fluids and heat, and the transport path of a hydrothermal fluid is likely to lie somewhere between an adiabatic (no heat loss to adjacent rocks) and a geothermal (complete thermal equilibrium with adjacent rock) path. The transport path of the hydrothermal fluids emanating from, or circulating near, deep-seated crystallizing plutons can be approximated by a quasi-adiabatic pressure-temperature path. In such a quasi-adiabatic setting, the pressure effect on rock-buffered metal solubilities is significant and allows metal transport over long distances because the trend of decreasing metal solubility with decreasing temperature is compensated by the trend of increasing metal solubility with decreasing pressure. The high-temperature portion of a quasi-adiabatic hydrothermal system will tend to leach metals from the rock and fix K and Na in feldspars. The source of the extracted metals may be late-stage magmatic melt, trace metals distributed in the lattice of silicate minerals destroyed during rock metasomatism, and/or small amounts of base metal sulfides disseminated throughout a given rock.Deposition of metals in hydrothermal systems occurs where changes such as cooling, pH increase due to rock alteration, boiling, or fluid mixing cause the aqueous metal concentration to exceed saturation. Relative metal transport concentrations, the availability of sulfur, the disposition of the saturation surfaces relative to each other, and the interplay of these variables through time are the major factors controlling the pattern of metal deposition (and nondeposition).Metal zoning results from deposition occurring at successive saturation surfaces. Zoning is not a reflection simply of relative solubility but of the manner of intersection of transport concentration paths with those surfaces. The experimental results are consistent with the typical outward zonation of Cu-Zn-Pb observed in porphyry coppers, Butte-type base metal vein deposits, skarns, and massive sulfides. Implications to mineralization patterns in Mississippi Valley-type, sedimentary Cu, and other low-temperature deposits are also of interest, with due recognition of the greater uncertainty regarding speciation and attainment of equilibrium in those environments. In such deposits, a probable outward zoning of Cu-Zn-Pb-Fe is suggested from the results.Saturation surfaces will tend to migrate outward and inward in prograde and retrograde time, respectively, controlled by either temperature or chemical variables. This, in turn, gives rise to zone migration and, where one zone encroaches on another, the appropriate apparent paragenetic relations. Such textural implications are incorrect, however, unless viewed within the context of the overall mineralization process. Additional controls bearing on metal precipitation sequence and coprecipitation, the presence or absence of zoning, reversals in zoning, sulfidation state, and timing relations between alteration and metallization are implicit in the results and are discussed.

Economic Geology↗

EROS — New observation vantage points and processes

The EROS Program objective is to utilize aircraft and spacecraft remote-sensing technology as complementary parts of integrated data collection, processing, and dissemination systems to support resources research and management functions of the Department of the Interior. The Program develops and coordinates research in the applications of new sensors for resources applications in cooperation with NASA. At present there are two major areas of activity: present there are two major areas of activity: The first is related to the Earth Resources Technology Satellite (ERTS). The second is a suite of projects designed to determine the applicability of new aerial and satellite sensing systems and techniques to geologic, geographic, hydrologic, and topographic mapping and for supporting natural resources management functions of the Department of the Interior. Programs with similar goals for agriculture and forestry, and for oceanography are being conducted in the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, the Naval Oceanographic Office, and in a number of colleges and universities. The first satellite designed specifically for resources research and applications, ERTS-A, is to be launched in early 1972. It will be an unmanned satellite carrying three experimental systems: A three camera Return Beam Vidicon (RBV) system, a 4-band Multispectral Scanning (MSS) radiometer system, and a Data Collection System (DCS). The RBV cameras will photograph simultaneously and instantaneously areas of the earth 100 × 100 nautical miles - or 10,000 square nautical miles - in the blue-green (.475-.575mu m), the red (.580-.680mu m), and the near infrared (.690-.830mu m). The MSS will record three wavelength bands in the same general spectral range and the fourth band (8.0 mu m) will extend farther into the infrared...

Conference Paper↗