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1,690 records · Page 42Linked to original sources
USGS1997

Application of acoustical methods for estimating water flow and constituent loads in Perdido Bay, Florida

Water flow and quality data were collected from December 1994 to September 1995 to evaluate variations in discharge, water quality, and chemical fluxes (loads) through Perdido Bay, Florida. Data were collected at a cross section parallel to the U.S. Highway 98 bridge. Discharges measured with an acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) and computed from stage-area and velocity ratings varied roughly between + or - 10,000 cubic feet per second during a typical tidal cycle. Large reversals in flow direction occurred rapidly (less than 1 hour), and complete reversals (resulting in near peak net-upstream or downstream discharges) occurred within a few hours of slack water. Observations of simultaneous upstream and downstream flow (bidirectional flow) were quite common in the ADCP measurements, with opposing directions of flow occurring predominantly in vertical layers. Continuous (every 15 minutes) discharge data were computed for the period from August 18, 1995, to September 28, 1995, and filtered daily mean discharge values were computed for the period from August 19 to September 26, 1995. Data were not computed prior to August 18, 1995, either because of missing data or because the velocity rating was poorly defined (because of insufficient data) for the period prior to landfall of hurricane Erin (August 3, 1995). The results of the study indicate that acoustical techniques can yield useful estimates of continuous (instantaneous) discharge in Perdido Bay. Useful estimates of average daily net flow rates can also be obtained, but the accuracy of these estimates will be limited by small rating shifts that introduce bias into the instantaneous values that are used to compute the net flows. Instantaneous loads of total nitrogen ranged from -180 to 220 grams per second for the samples collected during the study, and instantaneous loads of total phosphorous ranged from -10 to 11 grams per second (negative loads indicate net upstream transport). The chloride concentrations from the water samples collected from Perdido Bay indicated a significant amount of mixing of saltwater and freshwater. Mixing effects could greatly reduce the accuracy of estimates of net loads of nutrients or other substances. The study results indicate that acoustical techniques can yield acceptable estimates of instantaneous loads in Perdido Bay. However, estimates of net loads should be interpreted with great caution and may have unacceptably large errors, especially when saltwater and freshwater concentrations differ greatly.

Florida↗
USGS2026

Shallow hydrogeologic framework of the Tully Valley mudboil area, Onondaga County, New York

Mudboils have been documented in the Tully Valley in southern Onondaga County, New York, since the late 1890s. Sediment-laden water from the mudboils flows into Onondaga Creek, which empties into Onondaga Lake at Syracuse 15 miles to the north. Turbidity from the mudboils has degraded the water quality of Onondaga Creek despite a series of mitigation efforts that began in the early 1990s. Turbidity mitigation actions presently (2025) being considered include creek relocation and offline sediment settling. In support of these proposed actions during 2021–23, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Onondaga Nation, Onondaga Environmental Institute, and Central New York Regional Planning and Development Board, collected and analyzed geologic, hydrologic, geophysical, and geotechnical data to characterize the shallow hydrogeology along four proposed creek-relocation paths and in the proposed offline settling basin area. The investigation indicated that the four proposed creek-relocation paths, two east of Onondaga Creek and two west of Onondaga Creek, are underlain by sediments including muck, alluvium, mudboil deposits, alluvial-fan sand and gravel, and lacustrine fines. The proposed excavations would penetrate partially to fully saturated conditions: generally, the water table is shallow near the creek and deep on the alluvial fans. The shallowest excavation, about 5 feet below land surface, would be near the creek and primarily in alluvium, and the deepest excavation, as much as 30 feet below land surface, would be in the alluvial-fan deposits. Brackish waters would be penetrated by proposed channel excavations on the eastern side of Onondaga Creek in an area downgradient from a potentially leaking historical salt-exploration borehole and near the main mudboil area. Excavation in these areas likely would provide a continuous source of brackish groundwater to the relocated creek. Proposed channel excavations of muck, soft to very soft lacustrine fines, and mudboil-type sediments in mudboil and suspected mudboil areas would pose an excavation and slope stability challenge and would have the greatest potential to create new mudboils. Proposed channel excavations below the water table on the Rattlesnake Gulf and Rainbow Creek alluvial fans would intercept groundwater and make the constructed streambank susceptible to seepage-induced slope instability. The substantial water-level fluctuation in the sediments of both alluvial fans would aggravate the stability condition. In addition, excavation on the Rattlesnake Gulf alluvial fan would have the potential to affect water-supply springs at the toe of the fan. The proposed offline settling basin area is in the northern part of the Rattlesnake Gulf alluvial fan. Natural and man-made diversions of Rattlesnake Gulf have resulted in saturated conditions in the general area of the proposed basin. The proposed offline settling basin would be excavated in, and berms would be constructed on, alluvial-fan deposits and lacustrine fines. In the proposed basin area, the alluvial deposits overlying the lacustrine fines are less than 10 feet thick. Excavation, berm construction, and loading of the saturated, soft to very soft lacustrine fines may be problematic and require soil strengthening.

New York↗
USGS2024

Neogene hydrothermal Fe- and Mn-oxide mineralization of Paleozoic continental rocks, Amerasia Basin, Arctic Ocean

Rocks dredged from water depths of 1,605, 2,500, 3,300, and 3,400 m in the Arctic Ocean included Paleozoic continental rocks pervasively mineralized during the Neogene by hydrothermal Fe and Mn oxides. Samples were recovered in three dredge hauls from the Chukchi Borderland and one from Mendeleev Ridge north of Alaska and eastern Siberia, respectively. Many of the rocks were so pervasively altered that the protolith could not be identified, while others had volcanic, plutonic, and metamorphic protoliths. The mineralized rocks were cemented and partly to wholly replaced by the hydrothermal oxides. The Amerasia Basin, where the Chukchi Borderland and Mendeleev Ridge occur, supports a series of faults and fractures that serve as major zones of crustal weakness. We propose that the stratabound hydrothermal deposits formed through the flux of hydrothermal fluids along Paleozoic and Mesozoic faults related to block faulting along a rifted margin during minor episodes of Neogene tectonism and were later exposed at the seafloor through slumping or other gravity processes. Tectonically driven hydrothermal circulation most likely facilitated the pervasive mineralization along fault surfaces via frictional heating, hydrofracturing brecciation, and low- to moderate temperature Fe- and Mn-rich hydrothermal fluids, which mineralized the crushed, altered, and brecciated rocks.

Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems↗
USGS2025

Kiloyear cycles of carbonate and Mg-silicate replacement at Von Damm hydrothermal vent field

The Von Damm vent field (VDVF) on the Mid-Cayman Rise in the Caribbean Sea is unique among modern hydrothermal systems in that the chimneys and mounds are almost entirely composed of talc. We analyzed samples collected in 2020 and report that in addition to disordered talc of variable crystallinity, carbonates are a major class of mineral at VDVF. The carbonate minerals include aragonite, calcite, magnesium-rich calcite, and dolomite. Talc and carbonate mineral textures indicate that, rather than replacing volcanic host rock, they precipitate from the mixing of hydrothermal fluids and seawater at the seafloor, occurring in chimneys and surrounding rubble. Alternating precipitation of this mineral assemblage is pervasive, with carbonate minerals typically being succeeded by talc, and with indications that in some cases talc and carbonate minerals replace one another. Stable carbon isotopic data indicate the carbonate minerals originate from the mixing of seawater and hydrothermal fluid, which is supported by U-Th data. Radiocarbon calcite ages and talc 234 U- 230 Th isochron ages indicate mineral ages spanning over thousands to tens of thousands of years. Analyses of these samples illustrate a dynamic system that transitions from carbonate-dominated to Mg-silicate−dominated precipitation over time scales of thousands of years. Our observations raise questions regarding the eventual fate of seafloor precipitates and whether carbonate and silicate minerals in such settings are sequestered and represented in the rock record.

Geology↗
USGS2026

Arsenic and isotope concentrations in the lower Platte River valley of eastern Nebraska, early 1970s to 2023

The City of Lincoln, Nebraska, has been monitoring concentrations of arsenic in their source water and evaluating their options for treatment and removal since at least 2002. In 2022, the City of Lincoln, Nebr., with funding assistance from the Nebraska Water Sustainability Fund, began cooperating with the U.S. Geological Survey to examine arsenic concentrations in surface water and groundwater in the lower Platte River valley and the area around City of Lincoln Water System (LWS) well field. Arsenic data collected from the Platte River since 1974 were examined using the “weighted regression on time, discharge, and season” model, which compared the streamflow (also referred to as “discharge”), time of year, and season to estimate concentrations of arsenic. Annual mean arsenic concentrations modeled for more than 49 years at the Platte River at Louisville, Nebr., U.S. Geological Survey streamgage (station 06805500), indicated a significant increasing trend. Arsenic concentrations in the Platte River were seasonal, with the highest concentrations being observed during mid- to late summer. When seasonal patterns and streamflow were combined with arsenic concentrations in the Platte River during low streamflow conditions, groundwater contributions, which can have higher arsenic concentrations, make up a larger portion of the streamflow. Arsenic samples were collected from upstream rivers in 2022 and 2023 and were paired to analyze the arsenic contributions at the U.S. Geological Survey streamgage on the Platte River near Ashland, Nebr. (station 06801000), near the City of Lincoln well field. The arsenic concentrations from the streamgage on the Platte River near Ashland, Nebr., location, were higher than the U.S. Geological Survey streamgage on the Elkhorn River at Waterloo, Nebr. (station 06800500), and significantly lower than at the U.S. Geological Survey streamgage on the Platte River near Leshara, Nebr.(station 06796500), indicating that the Platte River usually contributes a higher concentration of arsenic than does the Elkhorn River as they join near Ashland, Nebr. During 1991–2023, six groundwater monitoring wells were analyzed to identify trends in arsenic concentrations. Two of the six wells had a positive trend during the 33-year period. One monitoring well did not reveal a long-term trend during this period but showed a trend during 2019–23, correlating to a period when the island in the middle of the Platte River was connected to the east bank of the river when manganese reducing conditions were present and groundwater levels were declining in the well. Across all wells the oxidation and reduction (redox) condition during the time of sampling was assessed. Mixed anoxic and (or) oxic redox condition was the most common redox process and the highest sampled arsenic concentrations in monitoring wells were observed in anoxic conditions driven by manganese reduction. Groundwater arsenic concentrations had seasonal variation around the City of Lincoln well field, with higher arsenic concentrations tending to be further south in comparison to samples collected further north. Isotope samples were collected and analyzed in surface water and groundwater around the LWS well field. The samples indicate that the proportion of surface water present in the LWS production wells can be higher in the spring and lower in the summer. With higher arsenic concentrations observed in the stream water during the summer period, the LWS source water can be affected by these elevated arsenic concentrations even though the proportion of surface water is lower.

Nebraska↗
USGS2024

Post-glacial stratigraphy and late Holocene record of great Cascadia earthquakes in Ozette Lake, Washington, USA

Ozette Lake is an ~100-m-deep coastal lake located along the outer coast of the Olympic Peninsula (Washington, USA); it is situated above the locked portion of the northern Cascadia megathrust but also relatively isolated from active crustal faults and intraslab earthquakes. Here we present a suite of geophysical and geological evidence for earthquake-triggered mass transport deposits (MTDs) and related turbidite deposition in Ozette Lake since ca. 14 ka. Comprehensive high-resolution bathymetry data, seismic reflection profiles, and sediment cores are used to characterize the post-glacial stratigraphic framework and examine paleoseismic evidence in the lacustrine sediments. Stacked sequences of MTDs along the steep eastern flanks of the lake appear to grade basin-ward from thick, chaotic, blocky masses to thin, parallel-bedded turbidite beds. The discrete turbidite event layers are separated by fine-grained (silt and clay) lake sedimentation. The event layers are observed throughout the lake, but the physical characteristics of the deposits vary considerably depending on proximity to primary depocenters, steep slopes, and subaqueous deltas. A total of 30–34 event deposits are observed in the post-glacial record. Radiometric dating was used to reconstruct a detailed sedimentation history over the last ~5.5 k.y., develop an age model, and estimate the recurrence (365–405 yr) for the most recent 12 event layers. Based on sedimentological characteristics, temporal overlap with other regional paleoseismic chronologies, and recurrence estimates, at least 10 of the dated event layers appear to be sourced from slope failures triggered by intense shaking during megathrust ruptures; the recurrence interval for these 10 events is 440–560 yr. Thus, Ozette Lake contains one of the longest and most robust geological records of repeated shaking along the northern Cascadia subduction zone.

Washington↗
USGS2025

Examining the compositional selectivity of hydrocarbon oxidation products using liquid–liquid extraction and solid-phase extraction techniques

The effect of extraction methods on detecting hydrocarbon oxidation products (HOPs) in groundwater remains unclear. HOPs are polar, water-soluble byproducts of petroleum biodegradation. Our previous work showed that liquid–liquid extraction (LLE), a method commonly used in regulatory monitoring, has a significantly lower extraction efficiency for HOPs compared to solid-phase extraction (SPE). In this study, we evaluate the analytical limitations and compositional selectivity of LLE and SPE using groundwater samples from the Bemidji, MN, crude oil spill site. Optical properties were characterized using excitation–emission matrix spectroscopy (EEMs), and a three-component PARAFAC model was validated, showing consistent trends across both extracts and whole water samples. Ultrahigh-resolution mass spectrometry (UHR-MS) revealed that LLE selectively recovered aliphatic-like compounds but underrepresented more polar oxygenated HOPs. In contrast, SPE methods were more effective at isolating highly oxidized compound classes. These differences were consistent across a gradient of contamination. Overall, the LLE was less precise and less representative of polar HOPs, introducing bias in the characterization of HOPs. This study is the first to quantitatively demonstrate the compositional selectivity and analytical bias of LLE versus SPE for HOPs using combined EEM-PARAFAC and UHR-MS techniques, with implications for long-term monitoring and site assessment protocols.

Environmental Science and Technology↗
USGS2025

Exploring the science and data foundation for Federal public lands decisions

Public lands provide diverse resources, values, and services worldwide. Laws and policies typically require consideration of science in public lands decisions, and resource managers are committed to science-informed decision-making. However, it can be challenging for managers to use, and document the use of, science and data in their decisions. To better understand science and data use in Federal public lands decisions in the United States, we assessed the number, type, and age of documents cited in 70 Environmental Assessments (EAs) completed by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) in Colorado from 2015–2019. We focused on the BLM, as they manage the largest area of public lands in the United States. We selected Colorado as our study area, as actions proposed on BLM lands in Colorado are representative of those across the nation. Fifty percent of citations were categorized as science and 23% as data. EAs contained an average of 17 citations (range 0–111), with documents analyzing effects of oil and gas development and recreation actions including the highest and lowest mean number of citations (41 and 6, respectively). Of individual resource analysis sections within EAs, 24% contained ≥1 science citation and 21% contained ≥1 data citation. Journal articles were the most cited type of document (26% of citations) followed by non-BLM inventories (13%). Forty-seven percent of citations were relatively recent (2010 or later); the oldest citation was from 1927. Commonly analyzed resources with the highest mean number of citations were socioeconomics, mineral resources, and noise. Fourteen of 33 commonly analyzed resources included <1 citation on average. Actions and resources with no or few citations represent opportunities for strengthening the transparent use of science and data in public lands decision-making.

Colorado↗
USGS2025

Borehole geophysical time-series logging to monitor passive ISCO treatment of residual chlorinated-ethenes in a confining bed, NAS Pensacola, Florida

In-situ chemical oxidation (ISCO) is a common method to remediate chlorinated ethene contaminants in groundwater. Monitoring the effectiveness of ISCO can be hindered because of insufficient observations to assess oxidant delivery. Advantageously, potassium permanganate, one type of oxidant, provides the opportunity to use its strong electrical signal as a surrogate to track oxidant delivery using time-series borehole geophysical methods, like electromagnetic (EM) induction logging. Here we report a passive ISCO (P-ISCO) experiment, using potassium permanganate cylinders emplaced in boreholes, at a chlorinated ethene contamination site, Naval Air Station Pensacola, Florida. The contaminants are found primarily at the base of a shallow sandy aquifer in contact with an underlying silty-clay confining bed. We used results of the time-series borehole logging collected between 2017 and 2022 in 4 monitoring wells to track oxidant delivery. The EM-induction logs from the monitoring wells showed an increase in EM response primarily along the contact, likely from pooling of the oxidant, during P-ISCO treatment in 2021. Interestingly, concurrent natural gamma-ray (NGR) logging showed a decrease in NGR response at 3 of the 4 wells possibly from the formation of manganese precipitates coating sediments. The coupling of time-series logging and well-chemistry data allowed for an improved assessment of passive ISCO treatment effectiveness.

Florida↗
USGS2024

A journey to the center of the USGS National Strong-motion Project processing and beyond

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) National Strong Motion Project (NSMP) has the primary U.S. government responsibility to acquire, process, and disseminate significant strong-motion earthquake ground motion records measured at surficial free-field stations, structures (buildings, dams, and bridges, and geotechnical arrays to the earthquake engineering community. As a result of the deployment of modern seismic instrumentation and growth of tools such as web-services, earthquake data from U.S. and international seismic networks are more accessible than ever. Our mission is to provide raw and processed strong-motion waveforms with PGA values greater than 0.1%g for M3.0 earthquakes and larger in California and M4.0 and larger within the conterminous US, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and Alaska. Datasets of interest to the engineering and geophysics communities, such as event sequences in areas of induced seismicity and significant global events, are also processed and posted at the Center for Engineering Strong Motion Data (CESMD) at strongmotioncenter.org when available through collaboration with the international strong-motion data community. Here we outline (1) the NSMP’s current workflow to acquire, process, and distribute data at CESMD; (2) our new endeavours and collaborations focusing on comparison and integration of waveform processing software, development of techniques for metadata quality checks before and after earthquakes, and construction of a dynamic site characterization repository; and (3) our topics for possible collaboration topics across the global strong-motion community.

Conference Paper↗
USGS2025

Anatectic origin of Mississippian spodumene-bearing pegmatites in western Maine during orogenic plateau collapse

Spodumene pegmatites are an important lithium source, but the processes and tectonic settings in which they form are poorly understood. The Rumford pegmatite district surrounding Plumbago Mountain, western Maine, is host to numerous spodumene pegmatites, including the Plumbago North pegmatite (a world-class spodumene resource). Competing petrogenetic models for these spodumene pegmatites include (1) highly fractionated melts of the Mooselookmeguntic igneous complex and (2) anatexis. We tested these hypotheses by constraining the geologic, magmatic, metamorphic, and tectonic history of the Plumbago Mountain area with detailed geologic mapping and U-(Th)-Pb geochronology. The Silurian Rangeley Formation records initial isoclinal folding prior to, and contact-related metamorphism synchronous with, the intrusion of the 417 ± 4 Ma Plumbago Mountain pluton. Peak amphibolite facies metamorphism and crustal melting occurred during the ca. 410 to 400 Ma Acadian orogeny. Pulsed emplacement of the Mooselookmeguntic igneous complex occurred between ca. 389 and 356 Ma. Cassiterite U-Pb dates of spodumene pegmatites (333–327 Ma) are ≥23 m.y. younger than nearby granitic plutons, strongly arguing against the fractional crystallization model. Metamorphic monazite and xenotime (346–328 Ma) and 330 to 308 Ma 40 Ar/ 39 Ar hornblende dates indicate metamorphism coeval with spodumene pegmatite emplacement, supporting anatectic models. Reheating, anatexis, and spodumene pegmatite emplacement occurred during collapse of the 380 to 330 Ma Acadian orogenic plateau. Lithium enrichment may be linked to one or more stages of partial melting of metasedimentary and plutonic rocks during the formation, tenure, and collapse of the Acadian altiplano and emphasizes the role of anatexis in producing spodumene pegmatites of economic significance.

Maine↗
USGS2025

Relationship of atmospheric nitrogen deposition to soil nitrogen cycling along an elevation gradient in the Colorado Front Range

Microbial processing of atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition regulates the retention and mobilization of N in soils, with important implications for water quality. Understanding the links between N deposition, microbial communities, N transformations, and water quality is critical as N deposition shifts toward reduced N and remains persistently high in many regions. Here, we investigated these connections along an elevation transect in the Colorado Front Range. Although rates of N deposition and pools of extractable N increased down the elevation transect, soil microbial communities and N transformation rates did not follow clear elevational patterns. The subalpine microbial community was distinct, corresponding to a high C:N ratio and low pH, while the microbial communities at the lower elevation sites were all very similar. Net nitrification, mineralization, and nitrification potential rates were highest at the Plains (1,700 m) and Montane (2,527 m) sites, suggesting that these ecosystems mobilize N. In contrast, the net immobilization of N observed at the Foothills (1,978 m) and Subalpine (3,015 m) sites suggests that these ecosystems retain N deposition. The contrast in N transformation rates between the plains and foothills, both of which receive elevated N deposition, may be due to spatial heterogeneity not captured in this study and warrants further investigation. Stream N concentrations from the subalpine to the foothills were consistently low, indicating that these soils are currently able to process and retain N deposition, but this may be disrupted if drought, wildfire, or land-use change alter the ability of the soils to retain N.

Colorado↗
USGS2025

Sand provenance boundary in the Mu Us Sandy Land of northern China

Desert dunes are often assumed to have uniform mineral compositions due to extensive mixing during lateral transport, which complicates provenance studies. The Mu Us Sandy Land in north-central China, near the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation boundary, experiences a wetter climate than most deserts. Climate wetting as a result of a warming climate, and the ‘Sand Control Project’ implemented by the Chinese government to decrease the lateral movement of sand dunes in this area provide an opportunity to study surface processes of sand production and transport. Previous studies using zircon U Pb geochronology and heavy mineral composition indicate distinct sand sources for the Mu Us Sandy Land: local basement-derived middle Yellow River sediments and recycled dried-up lacustrine sediments for the eastern part, and northeastern Tibetan Plateau-derived upper Yellow River sediments for the western part. However, zircons and heavy minerals only represent trace amounts of the bulk mineralogy within a sand dune, so broader provenance analysis targeting common minerals is essential. We focus on the area near the proposed provenance difference boundary between the western and eastern Mu Us Sandy Land, using comprehensive sampling and provenance techniques to confirm distinct provenance characteristics and delineate the provenance boundary. Our findings reveal that sand from most of the Mu Us Sandy Land originated from the erosion of local basement by the middle Yellow River and recycled local dried-up lacustrine sediments, whereas the southwestern corner and the neighboring western-central Chinese Loess Plateau received sediments from the distal northeastern Tibetan Plateau.

Mu Us Sandy Land↗
USGS1992

Public water-supply systems and water use in Tennessee, 1988

This report summarizes the results of a study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation (TDEC), Division of Water Supply in 1988. Data gathered during an inventory by the TDEC were collated to determine water use, supply sources, population served, and design and storage capacities of the systems. The inventory was limited to systems that were active on June 30, 1988. Results of a survey of the systems conducted by the Tennessee Department of Health and Environment during 1988 were a primary source of data for this report. Data from computer and manual files maintained by the Tennessee Department of Health and Environment and the U.S. Geological Survey also were used. The Division of Water Supply, TDEC, surveyed 541 public water-supply systems. These systems served 81 percent of the population of the State, or 3.95 million people. The gross per capita use statewide for public-supplied water was 179 gallons per day. Total water withdrawals for public supply increased about 39 percent from 510 million gallons per day (Mgal/d) in 1980, to 708 Mgalld in 1988. During the same period, the population increased about 7 percent. Surface-water withdrawals accounted for 63 percent (446 Mgal/d) of the total water withdrawn in the State. All of these withdrawals occurred in the Tennessee (56 percent or 249 Mgal/d) and the Ohio (44 percent or 197 Mgalld) hydrologic regions. Ground water supplied 262 Mgal/d or 37 percent of the total water withdrawn by public-supply systems statewide. Of that amount, 79 percent, or 208 Mgalld, was used in western Tennessee.

Tennessee↗
USGS2024

Cross-fade sampling: Extremely efficient Bayesian inversion for a variety of geophysical problems

This paper introduces cross-fade sampling, a computationally efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation method that uses a semi-analytical approach to quickly solve Bayesian inverse problems that do not themselves have an analytical solution. Cross-fading is efficient in two ways. First, it requires fewer samples to obtain the same quality simulation of the target probability density function (PDF). Secondly, it is much faster to evaluate the posterior probability of each sample than conventional sampling methods for simulating Bayesian posterior PDFs. Conventional methods require evaluating the prior probability (which describes your a priori constraints) and data likelihood (which describes the fit between the observations and the predictions of the model) for each sample model. However, cross-fading does not require evaluating the data likelihood, meaning that ‘big data’ can be fit with zero additional computational cost. Further, the cross-fading approach can be used to calculate the marginal likelihood associated with a model design, facilitating model comparison and Bayesian model averaging. Topics covered in this paper include derivation of the cross-fade approach and how it can be used to simulate Bayesian posterior PDFs and compute the marginal likelihood, discussion of the class of problems to which cross-fading can be applied (with examples from earthquake statistics, earthquake ground motion modelling, volcanic eruption forecasting, and finite fault slip modelling), demonstration of efficiency relative to existing sampling methods and discussion of how cross-fading can be used to account for prediction errors (i.e. epistemic errors) as part of the geophysical inverse problem.

Geophysical Journal International↗
USGS2024

Field evidence and indicators of rockfall fragmentation and implications for mobility

Rockfall fragmentation can play an important role in hazard studies and the design of protective measures. However, the current lack of modeling tools that incorporate rock fragmentation mechanics is a limitation to enhancing studies and design. This research investigates the fragmentation patterns of rockfalls and analyzes the resulting distribution of fragment sizes within corresponding rockfall deposits. We focus on small rock fragments, which provide insights into the dynamics of the rockfall event and can be used as input for numerical modeling. We analyzed multiple rockfall events from locations worldwide, each exhibiting different degrees of fragmentation. Using image analysis techniques, we mapped all visible blocks, determined their volumes, and measured the distances they travelled from the initial point of impact. A key finding is the identification of three indicators of fragmentation. First, in cases where fragmentation was largely absent, we observed a trend of increasing block size with distance from the impact point or source area, which aligns with previously published findings. However, for energetic rockfall events characterized by intense fragmentation, we observed that small fragments exhibited longer travel distances compared to larger fragments. This distinction allowed us to differentiate blocks primarily resulting from the disaggregation process from those primarily resulting from dynamic fragmentation, with implications for rockfall mobility. Second, although the size distribution of rockfall deposits exhibits a power-law scaling for volumes larger than a minimum size threshold corresponding to a rollover of the distribution, in some case studies a deviation from power-law scaling is observed, indicating a process of larger block comminution due to fragmentation. Third, we found that rockfalls with fragmentation experience reduced mobility, indicated by higher reach angles, and higher lateral dispersion showing a wider distribution of trajectories. We interpret these findings as being directly related to the energy-consuming nature of fragmentation, which prevents farther deposition of fragmented rock blocks.

Albacete province, Lombardy and Aosta Valley, Yose↗
USGS2026

Stepovers and beyond: Structural control of The Geysers geothermal system and the broader Clear Lake region

Fault geometry exerts a first-order control on geothermal systems by governing stress localization, fracture development, and permeability, yet in complex fault networks or broader shear zones, the relative influence of individual geometric features is often difficult to resolve. In the northern California Coast Ranges, The Geysers geothermal field is commonly interpreted to occur within a releasing stepover, although no single, clearly defined stepover is identified in published studies. To investigate the structural controls on The Geysers and the broader Clear Lake region, a two-dimensional elastic boundary element model is developed to evaluate spatial patterns of dilational strain associated with progressively more complete fault geometries. Model results show that dilation in the region is not controlled by a single structure but instead reflects the combined effects of multiple interacting fault elements. Three primary controls are identified: (1) opposing bends in the regional strike-slip fault system, including a releasing bend along the Maacama fault; (2) the southern fault tip of the Collayomi fault, which generates a prominent dilational lobe beneath the southern Geysers; and (3) a releasing stepover between the Collayomi fault and the Geyser Peak–Mercuryville–Big Sulphur Creek fault system, inferred to collectively behave as a right-lateral shear zone bounding the western margin of The Geysers. Predicted dilational strain magnitudes are sufficient to localize permeability between faults. These results highlight that incorporating complete fault networks and bedrock geological mapping can enhance geothermal assessments and provide a transferable framework for evaluating structurally controlled permeability in tectonically active regions.

California↗
USGS1976

Detailed investigation of a coastal plain-Piedmont fault contact in northeastern Virginia

A trench across the Dumfries fault of the Stafford fault zone near Stafford, Virginia (see Mixon and Newell, 1976) exposed a high-angle reverse fault juxtaposing Paleozoic Quantico Slate and Cretaceous Potomac Group rocks. A system of subsidiary reverse faults and small scale normal faults disrupt the Coastal Plain strata adjacent to the main fault. Cross-cutting relations and stratigraphic details indicate that the subsidiary faults in the Cretaceous rocks document a history of episodic deformation, in part active during accumulation of the Coastal Plain strata. Slickensides and stereo net analysis of theorientation of subsidiary reverse faults, normal faults, and bedding indicate that, through time, faulting consistently included right lateral separation.

Virginia↗