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At least 523 records · Page 29Linked to original sources

USGS1982

Immersion and injection vaccination of salmonids against furunculosis with an avirulent strain of Aeromonas salmonicida

Replicate groups of brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) immunized by intraperitoneal injection of graded dilutions of an avirulent strain of Aeromonas salmonicida were protected from a virulent challenge. Mean mortality after challenge was 88% in control trout, 66% in trout immunized with 3 × 10 6 or 3 × 10 5 cells, and 39% in trout immunized with 3 × 10 4 to 3 × 10¹ cells. In brook trout challenged after immersion for 60 s in a culture containing 2.3 × 10 9 avirulent cells of A. salmonicida per milliliter, mortality was 44%, compared with 94% in controls. In Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), similarly vaccinated by immersion, mortality was 12.5% after challenge compared with 87.5% in controls. In additional studies, mean mortality of Atlantic salmon vaccinated by immersion was 14%, whereas that of control salmon was 92%.

Progressive Fish-Culturist↗

USGS1993

Plasmid-mediated romet resistance of Edwardsiella ictaluri

Romet®, a potentiated sulfa drug composed of five parts sulfadimethoxine and one part ormetoprim, is used to treat channel catfish Ictalurus punctatus infected with Edwardsiella ictaluri , the causal agent of enteric septicemia of catfish (ESC). Recently, several Romet-resistant isolates of E. ictaluri were isolated from channel catfish that had died from ESC in Virginia and Mississippi. This antimicrobial resistance was determined to be plasmid-encoded, as shown by agarose gel electrophoresis of plasmid DNA, and by the fact that the plasmid and associated antimicrobial resistance could be transferred to a recipient by single-step conjugation. Size of the R plasmid was approximately 55 kilobase pairs. Plasmids also conferred resistance to tetracycline, oxytetracycline, streptomycin, trimethoprim, and SXT (another potentiated sulfonamide, composed of trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole). Each Romet-resistant E. ictaluri isolate was mated with a plasmid recipient, the Romet-sensitive Escherichia coli isolate 1932. Transconjugates were selected by plating on Mueller-Hinton agar that contained antimicrobials, and the mean transfer frequency was 1.483 × 10 −3 transconjugates per donor cell in the mating mixture. Each E. coli transconjugate was then mated with 20 Romet-sensitive isolates of E. ictaluri to assess the propensity of these E. ictaluri isolates to accept the R plasmid. The average transfer frequency when E. ictaluri isolates of channel catfish origin (N = 14) were used as recipients was 1.197 × 10 −2 transconjugates per donor cell in the mating mixture; mean transfer frequency when E. ictaluri isolates not originating from channel catfish were used was 1.019 × 10 -3 transconjugates per donor cell, which was significantly less (P = 0.0002).

Journal of Aquatic Animal Health↗

USGS1997

Virulence of Renibacterium salmoninarum to salmonids

Virulence of Renibacterium salmoninarum isolates representing five origins was evaluated in eight salmonid hosts; four origins were of Lake Michigan and the fifth was of the Pacific Northwest. The species type strain, ATCC (American Type Culture Collection) 33209, was also included. Each isolate was grown in a kidney disease medium (KDM2) supplemented with 1 % ATCC 33209 culture metabolite; serial 10-fold dilutions were prepared, and groups of fish were challenged by intraperitoneal injection with 0.1 mL of each dilution. A 70-d observation period followed, and bacterial kidney disease (BKD) was diagnosed by the fluorescent antibody technique. Virulence of isolates was quantified as a dose lethal to 50% of fish (LD50) for each host–isolate challenge. In the first set of experiments, 23 isolates were used to challenge groups of brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis. The mean LD50 was 1.087 x 10 6 colony-forming units per milliliter (cfu/mL; SD = 2.022 x 10 6 ), and the LD50 values ranged from 8.457 x 10 6 to 2.227 x 10 4 cfu/mL. Analysis of variance to evaluate the effect of isolate origin on virulence in brook trout revealed no significant difference ( F = 1.502; P = 0.243). Susceptibilities of the other salmonid hosts were evaluated by challenge with six isolates of R. salmoninarum representing each origin and the species type strain. For many of the host–isolate challenge combinations, time to death was highly dependent on the dilution (number of bacteria) injected. In general, the isolates MCO4M, B26, and A34 (all of Lake Michigan origin) tended to be more virulent. Also, LD50 values were dispersed throughout a wider range among the more susceptible hosts. Lake trout Salvelinus namaycush, rainbow trout Oncorhynchus mykiss, and brook trout were relatively resistant to challenge with the strains, whereas coho salmon O. kisutch, domestic Atlantic salmon Saltno salar, and chinook salmon O. tshawytscha were relatively susceptible. Another challenge evaluated the effect of washing R. salmoninarum MCO4M cells before injection into brook trout. The calculated LD50 value, 2.009 x 10 5 cfu/mL, was similar ( X 2 = 0.878; P = 0.645) to that of the unwashed cells (1.163 x 10 5 cfu/mL). Furthermore, times to death for successive dilutions were similar regardless of whether or not the cells were washed.

Journal of Aquatic Animal Health↗

USGS2021

Effects of season, location, species, and sex on hematologic and plasma biochemical values and body mass in free-ranging Grebes (Aechmophorus species)

The effects of season, location, species, and sex on body weight and a comprehensive array of blood chemistry and hematology analytes were compared for free-ranging western ( Aechmophorus occidentalis ) and Clark's ( Aechmophorus clarkii ) grebes. Birds (n = 56) were collected from Puget Sound, WA, and Monterey Bay and San Francisco Bay, CA, from February 2007 to March 2011. The data supported generalization of observed ranges for most analytes across Aechmophoru s grebe metapopulations wintering on the Pacific coast. Notable seasonal and location effects were observed for packed cell volume (winter 6% greater than fall; winter California [CA] 5% greater than Washington [WA]), total white blood cell count (CA 3.57 × 10 3 cells/µL greater than WA), heterophils (WA 10% greater than CA), lymphocytes (winter 19% greater than fall), heterophil to lymphocyte ratio (fall 5.7 greater than winter), basophils (CA greater than WA), plasma protein (WA about 10 g/L [1.0 g/dL] greater than CA), plasma protein to fibrinogen ratio (winter about 15 greater than fall), potassium (CA 2 mmol/L greater than WA), and liver enzymes (alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase: WA greater than CA). Within California, season had a greater effect on body mass than sex (mean winter weights about 200 g greater than fall), whereas within a season, males weighed only about 80 g more than females, on average. These data give biologists and veterinarians quantitative reference values to better assess health at the individual and metapopulation level.

Washington, California↗

USGS2006

Colony mapping: A new technique for monitoring crevice-nesting seabirds

Monitoring populations of auklets and other crevice-nesting seabirds remains problematic, although numerous methods have been attempted since the mid-1960s. Anecdotal evidence suggests several large auklet colonies have recently decreased in both abundance and extent, concurrently with vegetation encroachment and succession. Quantifying changes in the geographical extent of auklet colonies may be a useful alternative to monitoring population size directly. We propose a standardized method for colony mapping using a randomized systematic grid survey with two components: a simple presence/absence survey and an auklet evidence density survey. A quantitative auklet evidence density index was derived from the frequency of droppings and feathers. This new method was used to map the colony on St. George Island in the southeastern Bering Sea and results were compared to previous colony mapping efforts. Auklet presence was detected in 62 of 201 grid cells (each grid cell = 2500 m2) by sampling a randomly placed 16 m2 plot in each cell; estimated colony area = 155 000 m2. The auklet evidence density index varied by two orders of magnitude across the colony and was strongly correlated with means of replicated counts of birds socializing on the colony surface. Quantitatively mapping all large auklet colonies is logistically feasible using this method and would provide an important baseline for monitoring colony status. Regularly monitoring select colonies using this method may be the best means of detecting changes in distribution and population size of crevice-nesting seabirds. ?? The Cooper Ornithological Society 2006.

Condor↗

USGS2017

A comprehensive analysis of geodetic slip rate estimates and uncertainties in California

Developing a comprehensive model of tectonic continental deformation requires assessing (1) fault‐slip rates, (2) off‐fault deformation rates, and (3) realistic uncertainties. Fault‐slip rates can be estimated by modeling fault systems, based on space geodetic measurements of active surface ground displacement such as Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). Geodetic slip‐rate estimates may vary widely due to measurement and epistemic (model) uncertainties, presenting a challenge for both estimating slip rates and accurately characterizing uncertainties: models may vary in the number of faults represented and the precise location of those faults. Since 2003, 33 published geodetic deformation models have produced slip‐rate estimates within California. Variability among these models represents variability among valid model choices and may be considered a proxy for model uncertainties in geodetic slip‐rate estimates. To enable rigorous comparison between geodetic slip‐rate estimates, I combine models on a georeferenced grid and find an average standard deviation on slip rate of ∼1.5 mm/yr over 542 grid cells (average area of 1304 km 2 /cell⁠ ). Furthermore, the average strike‐slip and tensile‐slip rates over all 33 studies, in each grid cell, may then be projected onto Unified California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF) v.3.1 faults for a single summary model of geodetic slip rates. Slip rates that do not project perfectly onto UCERF3.1 faults form a summary model of off‐modeled‐fault (OMF) deformation. Most of this OMF deformation occurs in grid cells that intersect UCERF3.1 faults, suggesting that off‐fault deformation may be, in part, a product of epistemic uncertainty in geodetic slip‐rate estimates and may be physically accommodated on, or very near, UCERF faults.

California↗

USGS1965

The system arsenic-antimony

The one atmosphere isobaric phase relations have been determined for the system As-Sb, using a simple experimental arrangement where a low melting temperature alkali halide melt acts as a reaction vessel. The one atmosphere univariant temperature, where a liquid of composition 45.5 mol % As, plus a solid of composition 62 mol % As and a gas of composition 89 mol % As coexist, is 666° ± 3° C. The one atmosphere sublimation point of As was measured as 611° ±2° C. Arsenic and antimony are hexagonal isostructural compounds with a complete solid solution series between them. The a cell edge and volume of the unit cell vary linearly with composition in mol percent. The c edge changes in a markedly nonlinear manner with composition. The measured unit-cell parameters at 25° C are: As, a = 3.760 ± 0.001 A, c = 10.555 ± 0.003A, V = 129.2A3; Sb, a = 4.310 ± 0.001 A, c - 11.279 ± 0.003A, V = 181.4A3.

Economic Geology↗

USGS1965

Electrochemical geothermometer: A possible new method of geothermometry with electro-conductive minerals

It was demonstrated with artificially processed sulfides that the minimum temperature of equilibration of a pair of electro - conductive minerals can be determined electrochemically. The procedure consists of setting up an electrochemical cell with the mineral electrodes and a suitable electrolyte, changing the temperature of the cell slowly in a furnace, and finding the temperature at which the emf of the cell becomes zero. The experimental results strongly suggest that this electrochemical method could be used as a new method of geothermometry .

Economic Geology↗

USGS1996

Improved method for measuring water imbibition rates on low-permeability porous media

Existing methods for measuring water imbibition rates are inadequate when imbibition rates are small (e.g., clay soils and many igneous rocks). We developed an improved laboratory method for performing imbibition measurements on soil or rock cores with a wide range of hydraulic properties. Core specimens are suspended from an electronic strain gauge (load cell) in a closed chamber while maintaining the lower end of the core in contact with a free water surface in a constant water level reservoir. The upper end of the core is open to the atmosphere. During imbibition, mass increase of the core is recorded continuously by a datalogger that converts the load cell voltage signal into mass units using a calibration curve. Computer automation allows imbibition rate measurement on as many as eight cores simultaneously and independently. Performance of each component of the imbibition apparatus was evaluated using a set of rock cores (2.5 cm in diameter and 2–5 cm in length) from a signle lithostratigraphic unit composed of non-to-moderately welded ash-flow tuff (a glass-rich pyroclastic rock partially fused by heat and pressure) with porosities ranging from 0.094 to 0.533 m 3 m -3 . Reproducibility of sample handling and testing procedures was demonstrated using replicate measurements. Precision and accuracy of load cell measurements were assessed using mass balance calculations and indicated agreement within a few tenths of a percent of total mass. Computed values of sorptivity, S , ranged from 8.83 × 10 -6 to 4.55 × 10 -4 m s -0.5 . The developed method should prove useful for measuring imbibition rates on a wide range of porous materials.

Soil Science Society of America Journal↗

USGS2004

Using satellite radiotelemetry data to delineate and manage wildlife populations

The greatest promise of radiotelemetry always has been a better understanding of animal movements. Telemetry has helped us know when animals are active, how active they are, how far and how fast they move, the geographic areas they occupy, and whether individuals vary in these traits. Unfortunately, the inability to estimate the error in animals utilization distributions (UDs), has prevented probabilistic linkage of movements data, which are always retrospective, with future management actions. We used the example of the harvested population of polar bears ( Ursus maritimus ) in the Southern Beaufort Sea to illustrate a method that provides that linkage. We employed a 2-dimensional Gaussian kernel density estimator to smooth and scale frequencies of polar bear radio locations within cells of a grid overlying our study area. True 2-dimensional smoothing allowed us to create accurate descriptions of the UDs of individuals and groups of bears. We used a new method of clustering, based upon the relative use collared bears made of each cell in our grid, to assign individual animals to populations. We applied the fast Fourier transform to make bootstrapped estimates of the error in UDs computationally feasible. Clustering and kernel smoothing identified 3 populations of polar bears in the region between Wrangel Island, Russia, and Banks Island, Canada. The relative probability of occurrence of animals from each population varied significantly among grid cells distributed across the study area. We displayed occurrence probabilities as contour maps wherein each contour line corresponded with a change in relative probability. Only at the edges of our study area and in some offshore regions were bootstrapped estimates of error in occurrence probabilities too high to allow prediction. Error estimates, which also were displayed as contours, allowed us to show that occurrence probabilities did not vary by season. Near Barrow, Alaska, 50% of bears observed are predicted to be from the Chukchi Sea population and 50% from the Southern Beaufort Sea population. At Tuktoyaktuk, Northwest Territories, Canada, 50% are from the Southern Beaufort Sea and 50% from the Northern Beaufort Sea population. The methods described here will aid managers of all wildlife that can be studied by telemetry to allocate harvests and other human perturbations to the appropriate populations, make risk assessments, and predict impacts of human activities. They will aid researchers by providing the refined descriptions of study populations that are necessary for population estimation and other investigative tasks. Arctic, Beaufort Sea, boundaries, clustering, Fourier transform, kernel, management, polar bears, population delineation, radiotelemetry, satellite, smoothing, Ursus maritimus

Beaufort Sea, Chukchi Sea↗

USGS1994

Liver lesions in winter flounder (Pseudopleuronectes americanus) from Jamaica Bay, New York: Indications of environmental degradation

Liver sections of winter flounder ( Pseudopleuronectes americanus ) collected from Jamaica Bay and Shinnecock Bay, New York, in 1989, were examined microscopically to determine the pervasiveness of liver lesions observed previously in Jamaica Bay winter flounder. Neoplastic lesions were not detected in fish from Jamaica Bay or the Shinnecock Bay reference site. Twenty-two percent of Jamaica Bay winter flounder examined (n=103) had unusual vacuolization of hepatocytes and biliary pre-ductal and ductal cells (referred to hereafter as the vacuolated cell lesion). The lesion, identical to that found in 25% of Jamaica Bay winter flounder examined in 1988, has previously been identified in fishes taken from highly polluted regions of the Atlantic coast (e.g., Boston Harbor, Massachusetts, and Black Rock Harbor, Connecticut). Prevalence of the vacuolated cell lesion in winter flounder from Jamaica Bay was significantly greater (p<0.0001) than in 102 specimens collected from Shinnecock Bay. Current scientific literature indicates vacuolated hepatocytes and cholangiocytes are chronically injured and that the extent of their deformity is consistent with the action of a hepatotoxicant. The high prevalence of vacuolated hepatocytes in Jamaica Bay winter flounder and absence of the lesion in flounder from reference sites strongly supports the hypothesis that this impairment is a manifestation of a toxic condition in at least some portions of Jamaica Bay.

New York↗

USGS1997

Hematological and plasma biochemical reference ranges of Alaskan seabirds: Their ecological significance and clinical importance

Blood was analyzed from 151 pelagic marine birds to establish reference ranges for hematological and plasma biochemical parameters from healthy, wild populations of Pacific seabirds. Of the 13 species examined, 9 were from the Family Alcidae (N = 122 individuals) and the remainder (N = 29) from the Families Phalacrocoracidae, Laridae, and Procellariidae. Three of 8 hematological parameters (total white blood cell count, lymphocyte count and eosinophil count) differed significantly among species, as did 9 of 13 plasma biochemical parameters (alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, creatine kinase, cholesterol, glucose, lactate dehydrogenase, total bilirubin, total protein and field total protein). There were no differences among species for packed cell volume, buffy coat, cell counts of heterophils, monocytes and basophils, or for concentrations of alanine aminotransferase, triglycerides, uric acid and calcium. Plasma calcium concentration, triglyceride levels and field total protein varied significantly between sexes, with females having higher mean concentrations of all 3 parameters. However, no significant relationships between measures of breeding condition (brood patch size, subcutaneous and mesenteric fat deposits, or ovarian follicle size and ovary weight) and calcium or alkaline phosphatase concentrations in female birds could be identified. Alanine aminotransferase and uric acid were the only analytes which did not differ significantly between species or sexes.

Colonial Waterbirds↗

USGS1996

Haemoproteus iwa n. sp. in great frigatebirds (Fregata minor [Gmelin]) from Hawaii: Parasite morphology and prevalence

We describe a new species of Haemoproteus Kruse, 1890 from great frigatebirds ( Fregata minor [Gmelin]) captured on Tern Island-French Frigate Shoals and Laysan Island in Hawaii. Parasite prevalence on Laysan Island (35%) was not significantly different than that of Tern Island (36%). On Laysan, prevalence was highest in juveniles (52%), followed by adult males (29%) and adult females (19%). Prevalence on Tern was 36% both for adult females and juveniles, and 28% for adult males. Parasitemia was low (mean < 2 parasites/10,000 red blood cell). Parasitized red cells had significantly greater areas than unparasitized cells. We named this parasite Haemoproteus iwa after the Hawaiian name for frigatebirds (iwa). This is the first documentation of a hemoparasite from tropical pelagic seabirds in Hawaii and the first description of an endemic hemoparasite in the archipelago.

Hawai'i↗

USGS1997

Description and epizootiology of Babesia poelea n. sp. in brown boobies (Sula leucogaster (Boddaert)) on Sand Island, Johnston Atoll, Central Pacific

We describe a new species of piroplasm from brown boobies (Sula leucogaster) on Sand Island, Johnston Atoll National Wildlife Refuge, central Pacific. Mean parasitemia in adults and chicks was less than 1%, with the parasitemia in chicks significantly greater than in adults. There was no significant relation between the age of chicks and the degree of parasitemia. Parasitized red cells and red cell nuclei were significantly smaller than those of unparasitized cells, and infected birds appeared clinically normal. Prevalence of the parasite in chicks (54%) was significantly greater than in adults (13%), and the geographic distribution of parasitized chicks was skewed toward the eastern end of Sand Island. On the basis of morphologic characteristics, we named it Babesia poelea. The specific name is a concatenation of the Hawaiian names for dark (po'ele) and booby ('a). This is the second documentation of an endemic avian hemoparasite in seabirds from the central Pacific.

Johnston Atoll↗

USGS1978

Endocrine function and reproductive impairment in an irradiated population of the lizard Uta stansburiana

This study describes gonadal changes in lizards ( Uta stansburiana ) exposed to chronic low levels of γ radiation (1.5-10 R/day) under field conditions and attempts to evaluate endocrine involvement in these changes. Reproductive impairment in irradiated males is demonstrated during the breeding season by reduced testes weights and by seminiferous tubules devoid of germ cells. Ultrastructural morphology of Leydig cells, plasma testosterone levels, and developed accessory sex structures indicate normal steroidogenesis in such males; cytology of the pituitary gonadotropes and pituitary gonadotropin content indicate normal gonadotropin levels. These findings suggest that low levels of radiation affect the spermatogenic process directly, rather than through damage to the pituitary. Comparable irradiation causes complete resorption of ovarian tissue in some female Uta . The oviducts are atrophic and the pituitary gonadotropes hyperactive. Resemblance of gonadotropes to those of castrated animals and reduced pituitary hormone content suggest elevated levels of gonadotropin production, probably due to the absence of ovarian steroid feedback in affected animals. The continued mitotic activity of oogonia in adult reptiles and their limited number contribute to the vulnerability of germinal tissue in irradiated female lizards. Destruction of the germ cells is accompanied by resorption of all ovarian tissue including steroidogenic elements. Thus, in females as in males, radiation appears to damage gametogenesis rather than pituitary function.

Nevada↗

USGS1983

Blood indicators of seasonal metabolic patterns in captive adult gray wolves

Blood samples and physical data were collected weekly from a colony of gray wolves ( Canis lupus ) maintained under natural weather arid light conditions. Sampling over 33 continuous months indicated that hemoglobin, hematocrit, red blood cells, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and thyroxine exhibited consistent circannual patterns of variation in both males and females. Hemoglobin levels peaked at 15-16 g/dl in January in females and at 16-17 g/dl in February in males, and were lowest in August at 10.5-11.5 g/dl (P < 0.00001). The cyclic patterns of hematocrit, red blood cells, and MCHC were similarly timed. Females also had a cyclic pattern of white blood cell counts and body weight; their weight peaked in early February and was lowest in August (P < 0.001). Body temperature, urea nitrogen, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), serum glucose, and cortisol did not follow a consistent seasonal pattern.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗

USGS2025

A spatial analysis of the groundwater emergence flood hazard in Long Island, New York and near coastal areas surrounding Long Island Sound in New York, Connecticut, and Rhode Island

Long Island, New York and near coastal areas surrounding Long Island Sound are densely populated and, like other coastal areas, are susceptible to flooding from several potential sources, including stormwater from precipitation events, tidal flooding and storm surge, and groundwater inundation or groundwater emergence flooding. The latter refers to the intersection of a rising water table with land surface or critical infrastructure. Many studies of flood drivers either neglect or only briefly discuss how shallow groundwater conditions may contribute to or exacerbate flood conditions. As part of a comprehensive study of compound flood hazards in the near coastal areas surrounding Long Island and Long Island Sound, a spatial analysis was completed, in cooperation with the Environmental Protection Agency’s Long Island Sound Study, using available regional datasets to characterize the potential hazard for groundwater emergence flooding. The approximately 3,100 square mile study area was subdivided into 11,407 900-meter by 900-meter (approximately 3,000-feet by 3,000-feet) grid cells, for the purposes of integrating the spatial datasets to calculate and map the groundwater emergence flood hazard. The depth to the water table, hydrologic soil groups, and National Land Cover Database were harmonized to the common grid. A groundwater emergence flood hazard rank was calculated for each grid cell for current average conditions following a set of rules accounting for the depth to the water table and the percent of area within each cell with slow infiltrating soils. A higher sea level position scenario was also calculated for the Long Island part of the study area. The calculated groundwater emergence flood hazard rank was reviewed in concert with the National Land Cover Data Base to identify developed areas and associated infrastructure that may be at risk to groundwater emergence flooding. Study results indicate that the groundwater emergence flood hazard is highest in coastal areas and near surface water where the water table is close to ground surface. Inland areas away from surface water bodies are not likely to be exposed to groundwater emergence flooding. For Long Island, under a scenario with higher sea level position, a greater groundwater emergence flood hazard is calculated in some locations closer to the coast and where land is submerged. Away from the coast and surface-water drainage, the groundwater emergence flood hazard is similar between the current average sea level condition and a higher sea level position scenario.

EarthArXiv↗

USGS2006

Estimating Potential Effects of Hypothetical Oil Spills on Polar Bears

Much is known about the transport and fate of oil spilled into the sea and its toxicity to exposed wildlife. Previously, however, there has been no way to quantify the probability that wildlife dispersed over the seascape would be exposed to spilled oil. Polar bears, the apical predator of the arctic, are widely dispersed near the continental shelves of the Arctic Ocean, an area also undergoing considerable hydrocarbon exploration and development. We used 15,308 satellite locations from 194 radiocollared polar bears to estimate the probability that polar bears could be exposed to hypothetical oil spills. We used a true 2 dimensional Gausian kernel density estimator, to estimate the number of bears likely to occur in each 1.00 km2 cell of a grid superimposed over near shore areas surrounding 2 oil production facilities: the existing Northstar oil production facility, and the proposed offshore site for the Liberty production facility. We estimated the standard errors of bear numbers per cell with bootstrapping. Simulated oil spill footprints for September and October, the times during which we hypothesized effects of an oil-spill would be worst, were estimated using real wind and current data collected between 1980 and 1996. We used ARC/Info software to calculate overlap (numbers of bears oiled) between simulated oil-spill footprints and polar bear grid-cell values. Numbers of bears potentially oiled by a hypothetical 5912 barrel spill (the largest spill thought probable from a pipeline breach) ranged from 0 to 27 polar bears for September open water conditions, and from 0 to 74 polar bears in October mixed ice conditions. Median numbers oiled by the 5912 barrel hypothetical spill from the Liberty simulation in September and October were 1 and 3 bears, equivalent values for the Northstar simulation were 3 and 11 bears. In October, 75% of trajectories from the 5912 barrel simulated spill at Liberty oiled 9 or fewer bears while 75% of the trajectories affected 20 or fewer polar bears when we simulated an October spill at the Northstar site. Northstar Island is nearer the active ice flaw zone than Liberty. Simulations suggested that oil spilled at Northstar would spread more effectively and more consistently into surrounding areas. Also, polar bear densities are consistently higher near Northstar. Oil spills simulated for the Liberty site were more erratic in the areas they covered and the numbers of bears impacted, and numbers of bears hypothetically exposed were usually smaller. Methods described here are broadly applicable to other dispersed marine wildlife. Key words: Arctic, Beaufort Sea, clustering, kernel, management, oil spill, polar bears, population delineation, radiotelemetry, satellite, smoothing, Ursus maritimus

Report↗