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At least 487 records · Page 27Linked to original sources
USGS2017

Comparison of American Fisheries Society (AFS) standard fish sampling techniques and environmental DNA for characterizing fish communities in a large reservoir

Recently, methods involving examination of environmental DNA (eDNA) have shown promise for characterizing fish species presence and distribution in waterbodies. We evaluated the use of eDNA for standard fish monitoring surveys in a large reservoir. Specifically, we compared the presence, relative abundance, biomass, and relative percent composition of Largemouth Bass Micropterus salmoides and Gizzard Shad Dorosoma cepedianum measured through eDNA methods and established American Fisheries Society standard sampling methods for Theodore Roosevelt Lake, Arizona. Catches at electrofishing and gillnetting sites were compared with eDNA water samples at sites, within spatial strata, and over the entire reservoir. Gizzard Shad were detected at a higher percentage of sites with eDNA methods than with boat electrofishing in both spring and fall. In contrast, spring and fall gillnetting detected Gizzard Shad at more sites than eDNA. Boat electrofishing and gillnetting detected Largemouth Bass at more sites than eDNA; the exception was fall gillnetting, for which the number of sites of Largemouth Bass detection was equal to that for eDNA. We observed no relationship between relative abundance and biomass of Largemouth Bass and Gizzard Shad measured by established methods and eDNA copies at individual sites or lake sections. Reservoirwide catch composition for Largemouth Bass and Gizzard Shad (numbers and total weight [g] of fish) as determined through a combination of gear types (boat electrofishing plus gillnetting) was similar to the proportion of total eDNA copies from each species in spring and fall field sampling. However, no similarity existed between proportions of fish caught via spring and fall boat electrofishing and the proportion of total eDNA copies from each species. Our study suggests that eDNA field sampling protocols, filtration, DNA extraction, primer design, and DNA sequencing methods need further refinement and testing before incorporation into standard fish sampling surveys.

Arizona↗
USGS2017

Estimating age at a specified length from the von Bertalanffy growth function

Estimating the time required (i.e., age) for fish in a population to reach a specific length (e.g., legal harvest length) is useful for understanding population dynamics and simulating the potential effects of length-based harvest regulations. The age at which a population reaches a specific mean length is typically estimated by fitting a von Bertalanffy growth function to length-at-age data and then rearranging the best-fit equation to solve for age at the specified length. This process precludes the use of standard frequentist methods to compute confidence intervals and compare estimates of age at the specified length among populations. We provide a parameterization of the von Bertalanffy growth function that has age at a specified length as a parameter. With this parameterization, age at a specified length is directly estimated, and standard methods can be used to construct confidence intervals and make among-group comparisons for this parameter. We demonstrate use of the new parameterization with two data sets.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2017

Using pharyngeal teeth and chewing pads to estimate juvenile Silver Carp total length in the La Grange Reach, Illinois River

The Silver Carp Hypophthalmichthys molitrix is an invasive species in the Mississippi River basin; an understanding of their vulnerability to predation as juveniles may inform control by native predators and predator enhancement (e.g., stocking). Digestion of Silver Carp prey recovered from diets makes it difficult to determine the size‐classes that are most vulnerable to predation by native fishes. The objective of this study was to determine whether the sizes of the chewing pad (CP), pharyngeal teeth (PT), and pharyngeal arch (PA)—the Silver Carp structures most often found intact in predator diets—were predictive of the TL of prey Silver Carp. During 2014 and 2015, juvenile Silver Carp ( n = 136; <180 mm) were collected using 60‐Hz pulsed‐DC electrofishing and mini‐fyke nets in the La Grange reach of the Illinois River. We extracted Silver Carp CPs ( n = 136 fish) and PAs with PT intact ( n = 129 fish) and measured CP length (CP L ) and width (CP W ), eight reproducible PT landmarks (PT1 L –PT4 L ; PT1 W –PT4 W ), and four reproducible PA landmarks (PA1–PA4) to the nearest 0.01 µm. Using simple linear regression, we found a strong predictive relationship between measurements of CP, PT, or PA and the TL of Silver Carp. The CP L ( r 2 = 0.94) and CP W ( r 2 = 0.94) had the strongest relationships with Silver Carp TL, followed by PA1 ( r 2 = 0.89) and PT1 L ( r 2 = 0.87). These strong relationships suggest that all three structures could be used in diet analyses to accurately estimate Silver Carp TL and thus further our understanding of predator–prey dynamics for this high‐risk invasive species.

Illinois↗
USGS2017

Age, year‐class strength variability, and partial age validation of Kiyis from Lake Superior

ge estimates of Lake Superior Kiyis Coregonus kiyi from scales and otoliths were compared and 12 years (2003–2014) of length frequency data were examined to assess year‐class strength and validate age estimates. Ages estimated from otoliths were precise and were consistently older than ages estimated from scales. Maximum otolith‐derived ages were 20 years for females and 12 years for males. Age estimates showed high numbers of fish of ages 5, 6, and 11 in 2014, corresponding to the 2009, 2008, and 2003 year‐classes, respectively. Strong 2003 and 2009 year‐classes, along with the 2005 year‐class, were also evident based on distinct modes of age‐1 fish (<110 mm) in the length frequency distributions from 2004, 2010, and 2006, respectively. Modes from these year‐classes were present as progressively larger fish in subsequent years. Few to no age‐1 fish (<110 mm) were present in all other years. Ages estimated from otoliths were generally within 1 year of the ages corresponding to strong year‐classes, at least for age‐5 and older fish, suggesting that Kiyi age may be reliably estimated to within 1 year by careful examination of thin‐sectioned otoliths.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2017

Comparison of two viewing methods for estimating largemouth bass and walleye ages from sectioned otoliths and dorsal spines

Many biologists use digital images for estimating ages of fish, but the use of images could lead to differences in age estimates and precision because image capture can produce changes in light and clarity compared to directly viewing structures through a microscope. We used sectioned sagittal otoliths from 132 Largemouth Bass Micropterus salmoides and sectioned dorsal spines and otoliths from 157 Walleyes Sander vitreus to determine whether age estimates and among‐reader precision were similar when annuli were enumerated directly through a microscope or from digital images. Agreement of ages between viewing methods for three readers were highest for Largemouth Bass otoliths (75–89% among readers), followed by Walleye otoliths (63–70%) and Walleye dorsal spines (47–64%). Most discrepancies (72–96%) were ±1 year, and differences were more prevalent for age‐5 and older fish. With few exceptions, mean ages estimated from digital images were similar to ages estimated via directly viewing the structures through the microscope, and among‐reader precision did not vary between viewing methods for each structure. However, the number of disagreements we observed suggests that biologists should assess potential differences in age structure that could arise if images of calcified structures are used in the age estimation process.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2025

Spatial variation in landlocked Atlantic Salmon smolt survival associated with dam passage, avian predation, and stocking location

Objective We evaluated survival differences between upstream and downstream stocking for landlocked Atlantic Salmon Salmo salar smolts in a tributary to Lake Champlain. Methods We radio-tagged smolts and stocked them concurrently with 22,000 smolts at two release sites in 2 years. The downstream location (DS, river kilometer 16, no dam passage) was a historically used site in a dam tailrace, whereas the upstream site (US, river kilometer 27, two dams to pass) was in a side channel and stocked for the first time. We estimated survival, counted birds during stocking, and searched nesting colonies for transmitters. Results Within stocking reaches, survival per kilometer for the DS release group was markedly lower than that for the US group (US 2021 and 2022 = 0.98, 0.98, respectively; DS 2021 and 2022 = 0.82, 0.69, respectively). At the DS site, we documented a tenfold increase in avian predators following stocking, whereas no increase was detected at the US site. Passage was >96% at both dams, but postpassage survival (per kilometer) was much lower at the second dam (2021 = 0.78, 2022 = 0.82) compared to the first dam (2021 = 0.96, 2022 = 0.97). Surprisingly, cumulative survival to Lake Champlain was higher for fish that were released upstream in 2022 (US = 43%; DS = 32%) despite dam passage and additional migratory distance. At least 20% (2021) and 7% (2022) of successful migrants were later consumed by birds in the river delta or in Lake Champlain. Conclusions Upstream stocking did not consistently result in lower cumulative survival, likely due to predators habituated to annually reoccurring stocking in a dam tailrace that increased stocking-related mortality at the DS release site. We highlight the importance of evaluating historically used stocking sites, as substantial loss of smolts could be avoided by simple changes to stocking practices. Avian predation was a major source of mortality, necessitating further studies to understand and address survival issues within Lake Champlain.

Vermont↗
USGS2025

Comparing surgery time and short-term incision healing for Largemouth Bass using smooth- and barbed-absorbable sutures

Objective Barbed sutures have become increasingly favored over traditional smooth sutures in human medicine but remain understudied in fisheries biotelemetry applications. Our objectives were to (1) compare surgery time and recovery time for Largemouth Bass Micropterus nigricans when using smooth- versus barbed-absorbable sutures to close the incisions and (2) compare the short-term healing rates of incisions that were closed with the two sutures. Methods We conducted a surgical trial using two incision closure methods: a smooth suture method, which used three interrupted sutures, and a barbed suture method, which used a running style suture. Surgery and surgical recovery times were recorded for each surgery. At 14 d postsurgery, each incision was scored for openness and inflammation. Results Barbed sutures (median surgery time = 133.5 s) resulted in higher surgical efficiency than smooth sutures (median surgery time = 255.0 s). Surgical recovery time did not differ between the two suture types. Mortality did not differ between suture types (overall mortality = 21%) and was similar to previously reported mortality rates. Incision site inflammation and openness were variable but did not differ between suture types. Conclusions Our results indicate that barbed sutures may increase surgical efficiency while maintaining currently observed survival and healing rates for Largemouth Bass.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2025

First-year survival of Lake Sturgeon reintroduced to the Maumee River

Objective Lake Sturgeon Acipenser fulvescens have experienced large population declines due to overfishing, habitat degradation, and pollution. Due to these factors, Lake Sturgeon were extirpated from the Maumee River watershed (Ohio, United States). In 2018, a 20-year reintroduction program began that aims to establish a self-sustaining population in the Maumee River. To understand the potential success of the reintroduction program, our objectives were to estimate poststocking survival of reintroduced Lake Sturgeon from age 0 to age 1. We also wanted to understand whether survival differed between age-0 Lake Sturgeon reared in a streamside facility and those reared in a traditional hatchery. Methods Lake Sturgeon from the two facilities were surgically implanted with acoustic transmitters; tagged fish ( n = 40 per year) were released into the Maumee River in 2018, 2019, and 2021, and their movements were monitored by the Great Lakes Acoustic Telemetry Observation System. Results Approximately 75% of Lake Sturgeon were detected at 100 d after release and 50% were detected at 200 d after release. We found no differences in tag attrition between the two rearing strategies. Monthly survival estimates for Lake Sturgeon were 0.87 (95% CI = 0.81–0.92) in 2018, 0.97 (95% CI = 0.89–0.99) in 2019, and 0.95 (95% CI = 0.90–0.97) in 2021. No differences in survival between rearing strategies within release years existed. Annual survival estimates ranged from 0.19 to 0.71 among the three release years. Conclusions Our results, along with known survival rates for adult Lake Sturgeon, suggest that achieving the goal of 1,500 naturally reproducing individuals in the Maumee River is possible if reintroduced fish return to the Maumee River to spawn as adults.

Ohio↗
USGS2025

First evidence of natural reproduction and recruitment of reintroduced Lake Sturgeon in the Coosa River, Georgia

Objective Lake Sturgeon Acipenser fluences became extirpated from the Coosa River system in Georgia and Alabama during the 1970s. The Georgia Department of Natural Resources began stocking hatchery-raised Lake Sturgeon in 2002 with the goal of reestablishing a self-sustaining population. Stocking lapsed in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which allowed an opportunity to assess natural recruitment to the reintroduced population. Methods We conducted trammel-net surveys during May–August in 2022 and 2023 and removed a pectoral fin spine section from all captured individuals. We compared the fin spine sections of suspected naturally hatched juveniles with those from known-age, hatchery-raised juveniles to confirm our age estimates. Results We captured one age-2 juvenile Lake Sturgeon in 2022 and eight age-3 juveniles in 2023. This indicates the presence of natural recruitment due to the absence of stocking of hatchery individuals in 2020. Conclusions Documenting individuals of a year-class that was not created by hatchery-raised juveniles provides the first evidence that offspring of early reintroduced Lake Sturgeon are being recruited into the reintroduced population in the Coosa River, Georgia.

Alabama, Georgia↗
USGS2025

Genetic structure of an expanding population of Humpback Chub in Grand Canyon

Objective Humpback Chub (HBC) Gila cypha in Grand Canyon declined in abundance and distribution over the latter part of the 20th century but have substantially increased in abundance and distribution over the past two decades. Although previous genetic work suggested that HBC in Grand Canyon belong to one genetic group, here we evaluate the genetic structure of HBC in Grand Canyon to determine whether relic populations in western Grand Canyon may have contributed unique variation to the recent population expansion or whether differences in behavior linked to migration in eastern Grand Canyon may promote assortative mating and heretofore unrecognized population structure. Methods Using fin clips collected from 167 individual HBC representing four sampling sites within Grand Canyon, we extracted DNA and developed data sets consisting of approximately 20,000 anonymous genomic loci. We quantified patterns of genetic diversity, and we accounted for outlier single-nucleotide polymorphisms to ensure that our interpretations of genetic patterns were not misled by adaptive processes and did not mask adaptively important genetic variation. Results Despite behavioral variation and the possibility that individuals with unique genetic variation survived in isolated warmwater sites within western Grand Canyon, HBC were not differentiated by sampling site or by differences in migratory behavior. Heterozygosity and nucleotide diversity were consistently high among sampling sites, and inbreeding coefficients were close to zero. Conclusions The HBC in Grand Canyon constitute a single genetic population. Our results do not preclude a genetic basis to migratory behavior, but our data suggest that this trait does not lead to assortative mating. Furthermore, while HBC may have survived in discontiguous warmwater refugia in western Grand Canyon during decades when the main stem was too cold for spawning, our data did not reveal any noticeable spatial variability in HBC genetics in the main stem after the recent HBC population expansion.

Arizona↗
USGS2025

Postrelease movements of captive-reared adult Atlantic Salmon in two Maine rivers

Objective Atlantic Salmon Salmo salar remain at critically low levels in the United States, with the last remaining populations located in the state of Maine. In 2021, a pilot captive-rearing program, similar to a smolt-to-adult supplementation, was implemented to boost naturally spawning adults in support of recovery goals. Methods We conducted a 2-year acoustic telemetry study to track a subset of captive-reared salmon ( N = 270) that were released into the Penobscot and Machias rivers. We evaluated their postrelease movement patterns, dam passage, and site fidelity between the two rivers, years, and seasons. Results Atlantic Salmon that were released into the Penobscot River tended to overwinter, but their movement patterns varied between release years. In contrast, the Atlantic Salmon that were released into the Machias River were more likely to move directly downstream to the river exit. In addition, the fish that were released into the dammed Penobscot River frequently made multiple attempts to pass dams in both directions, often with passage delays and failures. Atlantic Salmon that were released during the summer displayed more exploratory movements than those that were released in the fall. Most Atlantic Salmon either left the river shortly after release (5–30 d) or the following spring (>120 d). Site fidelity was greater for the fall-released Atlantic Salmon (76%) than for the summer-released Atlantic Salmon (23%). Conclusions Overall, releasing salmon in the fall as sexually mature adults may increase site fidelity to the release reach, thereby enhancing the chances of successfully spawning in the wild.

Maine↗
USGS2025

Seasonal movements of nonnative White Catfish in the Penobscot River estuary

Objective White Catfish Ameiurus catus has been introduced to coastal watersheds across the United States. In the Penobscot River, Maine, this species has become increasingly common in upstream habitats that have been made accessible by recent dam removals. We characterized the movements of White Catfish to understand the temporal variation in their movement patterns and contextualize these findings within the recent changes in watershed connectivity. Methods We captured and tagged 10 adult White Catfish (mean fork length = 271 mm) with acoustic transmitters in the lower Penobscot River in July 2022. The movements of the tagged fish were monitored through April 2023 with a large network of stationary receivers. Results The tagged catfish were detected up to 6 km upstream and 31 km downstream from the release site. The total distance that was traveled by individuals ranged from 0 to 154 km during the study. Fall and spring movements were associated with changes in river flow and water temperature, but fish were relatively stationary from December through March, when at least five individuals were assumed to have overwintered in lower river tributaries. Conclusion Our results show that individual White Catfish may move considerable distances within large river systems and that these movements are potentially facilitated by changing river conditions. Collectively, this study fills a long-standing knowledge gap about the movement ecology of this species, adds context to help explain a recent increase in observations within their introduced range, and shows how changes in river conditions may be used to predict when and where these fish will move within a tidal system.

Maine↗
USGS2025

Estimating recruitment of Largemouth Bass to exceptional weights using angler-reported catches

ABSTRACT Objective Although most facets of Largemouth Bass Micropterus nigricans ecology have been researched, the upper tiers of weight distributions (i.e., ≥3.6 kg; herein, “lunkers”) have received little attention due to the challenges of collecting sufficient sample sizes. Our aim was to estimate Largemouth Bass recruitment to higher weights after reaching 3.6 kg and to identify factors correlated with such recruitment. Methods We used an online database of angler-reported catches to investigate recruitment of Largemouth Bass after reaching lunker size and to identify associated factors. Recruitment was indexed by the slopes of the reversed cumulative counts relative to increasing weights, with gentler negative slopes indicating higher recruitment. The influence of environmental variables on these slopes identified the factors associated with recruitment. Results An average of 20% (minimum = 4%; maximum = 45%) of lunker bass were estimated to recruit after reaching 3.6 kg. When expanded, these estimates revealed that recruitment from 3.6 to 4.5 kg averaged 23.5% and recruitment from 3.6 to 5.9 kg averaged 2.5%. The observed recruitment was positively correlated with the frequency of Florida Bass M. salmoides alleles in the population and was inversely correlated with human population densities in the vicinity of the reservoir and with chlorophyll- a concentrations in the environment. Conclusions Recruitment of Largemouth Bass after reaching 3.6 kg appears to require a nuanced equilibrium enabled by a higher frequency of Florida Bass alleles, a remote location of the fishery, and a reservoir trophic state that balances adequate environmental conditions and food supply.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2025

Carbon and nitrogen isotopes of different native fish tissues from the Santa Ana River, California

Objective Stable isotopes are commonly used to understand the role of fishes in aquatic food webs. However, variability in species- and tissue-specific isotopic values can affect the inference that is drawn from a stable isotope study. We evaluated differences in stable isotopes of carbon (δ 13 C) and nitrogen (δ 15 N) among three tissue types (white muscle, caudal fin rays, and eye lenses) for Santa Ana Sucker Pantosteus santaanae and Arroyo Chub Gila orcuttii to inform the design of a stable isotope study in the Santa Ana River, an urban river that is located in southern California. Methods We used multivariate analyses to test for differences in the stable isotopes of carbon (δ 13 C) and nitrogen (δ 15 N) among the three tissue types that were collected from Santa Ana Sucker and Arroyo Chub. We also summarized the variability in isotopic values that was recorded over time in fish eye lenses and interpreted this variability in reference to the spatial patterns in isotopic values that have been previously reported throughout the Santa Ana River. Results We found that fin ray tissue and white muscle tissue were not significantly different for either isotope or fish species. Fish eye lenses were significantly higher in δ 13 C than muscle tissue, and eye lenses were significantly higher in δ 15 N than fin ray tissue for both fishes. We also found a greater range in δ 13 C and δ 15 N across eye lens layers for Santa Ana Sucker (δ 13 C = 2.01 ± 0.96‰, δ 15 N = 4.93 ± 4.18‰) than for Arroyo Chub (δ 13 C = 0.96 ± 0.65‰, δ 15 N = 4.63 ± 1.45‰). Conclusion Our results indicate that fin rays may be a viable nonlethal alternative to white muscle tissue for use in a stable isotope study of native fish of the Santa Ana River. Additionally, eye lenses could provide a chemical history of fishes within the river, but species-specific correction factors may be needed if stable isotope values for eye lenses are to be compared with more conventional tissue types (e.g., white muscle).

California↗
USGS2025

Muskellunge spawning habitat characteristics and availability in Green Bay, Lake Michigan

Objective Habitat degradation has been associated with the loss of many self-sustaining Muskellunge Esox masquinongy populations, including those in Green Bay, where stocking has provided an exceptional trophy fishery but restoration goals include establishing self-sustaining populations and there is little evidence of natural recruitment. Our objectives were to determine whether (1) Muskellunge spawning locations and occurrence of successful hatching were related to a suite of habitat characteristics, (2) proportions of Muskellunge spawning in or outside of tributaries to lower Green Bay were different, and (3) Muskellunge showed spawning site fidelity. Methods From 2017 to 2019, adult Muskellunge ( N = 60) were surgically implanted with radio and acoustic transmitters to identify spawning locations, where we measured a suite of habitat variables and attempted to collect eggs and larvae. Side-scan sonar was used to quantify the amount of habitat available to Muskellunge for egg deposition in the Fox and Menominee rivers, which are tributaries to Green Bay. Results Muskellunge eggs were collected at 58 locations, but only two larvae were collected from a single location. Bottom slope, depth, distance to shore, gravel substrate, organic matter, and dissolved oxygen best predicted the presence of Muskellunge eggs. We determined that little habitat associated with Muskellunge egg deposition was available in the Fox and Menominee rivers. However, approximately half of tagged Muskellunge appeared to spawn outside of tributaries. Muskellunge in Green Bay displayed moderate spawning site fidelity. Conclusions Our results suggest that successful hatching occurs at very low levels and the lack of suitable Muskellunge spawning habitat in Green Bay tributaries may be limiting natural reproduction. Changes in spatial allocation of stocked fish and enhancement of known spawning locations may increase egg deposition and subsequent natural reproduction.

Michigan, Wisconsin↗
USGS2025

Hatchery rearing density affects poststocking survival

Objective Research has indicated that salmonids raised in a hatchery and stocked into the wild have lower future survival and reproductive success than wild fish. Understanding whether hatchery rearing practices affect populations after stocking can help to maximize the quality, quantity, and economic value of fish stocked for conservation and recreational purposes. The goal of our study was to test whether and to what extent rearing density affects poststocking survival of Rainbow Trout Oncorhynchus mykiss when stocked into a put-grow-and-take fishery. Methods Rainbow Trout were raised for 3 months in the hatchery at two densities (high = 51,948–13,072 fish/m 3 , rearing index 2.0, 1,260 metric units; low = 12,987–3,268 fish/m 3 , rearing index 0.5, 315 metric units). A subset of the fish were PIT-tagged and stocked into Parvin Lake, Red Feather Lakes, Colorado. Recaptures of tagged fish occurred every 2 weeks for the first 2 months poststocking and at 7 and 12 months poststocking. Results At the time of stocking, there were no statistical differences in Fulton’s condition factor, total length, weight, or hepatosomatic index for each treatment. Recapture data indicated that there was no difference in Fulton’s condition factor and hepatosomatic index after stocking. Apparent poststocking survival was higher for fish raised at low density in the hatchery compared with those raised at high density. Conclusions Our study suggests that rearing density affects fingerling Rainbow Trout poststocking survival. Stocking more fish due to fish being reared at higher densities within the hatchery did not result in more total fish remaining after a year in the lake compared with the low-density treatment. Rearing fish at high densities does not provide a benefit of more fish after stocking and may result in more disease risk in the hatchery.

Colorado↗
USGS2025

Trophic assessment of potential competition between invasive cichlids and sport fish in Puerto Rico reservoirs

Objective Several species of New World cichlids have recently invaded reservoirs in Puerto Rico, potentially jeopardizing established recreationally important, albeit nonnative, sport fish populations. Interactions between invasive species and important sport fish must be understood so that they can be mitigated when feasible. This study compared monthly prey consumption between three invasive cichlids (Jaguar Guapote Parachromis managuensis and two species of Amphilophus ) and two principal sport fishes (Largemouth Bass Micropterus nigricans and Butterfly Peacock Bass Cichla ocellaris ) to understand potential for competitive interactions. Methods Stomach contents were evaluated quarterly using gastric lavage for sport fish and destructive sampling techniques for invasive species. Prey proportion by mass was calculated for each individual, and mean prey proportion by mass was calculated for each species by reservoir, month, and overall. Multivariate hypothesis testing using permutational multivariate analysis of variance and visualization of potential diet overlap were performed via analysis of variance and nonmetric multidimensional scaling (NMDS), respectively. Results Fish were the most common prey type, and Threadfin Shad Dorosoma petenense was the most prevalent prey species. Although there were significant differences in diets of invasive cichlids and sport fishes ( P < 0.01), there also was considerable overlap based on low percentages of variation in diets explained by species (3–19% < pseudo- R 2 ) and NMDS visualizations. Diets varied little across reservoirs and months (≤4% pseudo- R 2 ; high overlap in NMDS space). Conclusion These data indicate that the diet of Jaguar Guapote and Amphilophus spp. may overlap with that of sport fish populations in Puerto Rico. Jaguar Guapote relied on Threadfin Shad more than other species, with Amphilophus spp. relying more on detritus and noncrayfish invertebrates. Thus, if prey are limited, Jaguar Guapote may have a more direct effect via competition for prey. Finally, we report evidence of Largemouth Bass recruitment failure and local extirpations that support a hypothesis that invasive cichlids are having negative effects on at least Largemouth Bass, although the mechanism is unclear.

Puerto Rico↗
USGS2026

Evaluating alternative methods for modeling trap efficiencies of out-migrating juvenile salmonids

Objective We aimed to compare two machine learning approaches—boosted beta regression (BBR) and beta mixed model forest (BMF)—to a Bayesian mixed-effects beta regression (BME) for the prediction of rotary screw trap (RST) efficiency for out-migrating juvenile salmonids from environmental covariates. Methods We identified two machine learning approaches that shared the ability to model overdispersed probabilities. We compared the BBR and BMF machine learning models to a BME model to evaluate precision in detection probability prediction and model performance on bias in parameter estimation. We tested our three candidate models using a simulation study to understand the specific advantages and disadvantages of each when the data set was increasingly sparse and the capture probabilities were realistically small. We then applied the models to a case study of RST data from the Klamath River in California, United States. Results The BME and BMF outperformed BBR in all simulated scenarios, although the BMF displayed poor explanatory power. In the case study, the BME and BMF identified environmental covariates that predicted RST efficiency. Conclusions Using the BME as a benchmark for comparing machine learning approaches to trap efficiency modeling, our simulations and case study demonstrated that the BMF performed well and is a viable modeling approach with strong predictive power. The BME model would be the preferred modeling approach when its strong explanatory power is desired.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗