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A crustal deformation observatory near the San Andreas Fault in central California (PB3)

This final technical report discusses several objectives and accomplishments of the first years effort of a project titled A Crustal Deformation Observatory Near the San Andreas Fault in Central California. This period saw the conclusion of the Hollister MWDM effort that has produced nearly continuous, high precision, line length measurements for the last 5 years. The establishment of an observatory similar to that used during the Hollister MWDM effort is underway near San Juan Bautista and both high precision vertical and horizontal measurements will commence in the near future. An interim measurement program was begun near Palmdale in Southern California during October 1980 and is continuing at the present time. Extensive electronic modification to the MWDM instrument has also been successfully completed during this reporting period. Each of these efforts will be discussed in more detail in the following sections of this report.

California↗

Chemical evaluation of water and gases collected from hydrothermal systems located in the central Aleutian arc, August 2015

Five volcanic-hydrothermal systems in the central Aleutians Islands were sampled for water and gas geochemistry in 2015 to provide baseline data to help predict future volcanic unrest. Some areas had not been sampled in 20–30 years (Makushin volcano, Geyser Bight), and other areas had minimal to no prior sampling (Tana volcano and Fisher Caldera). The chemical and isotopic data of the waters show a wide variety of characteristics typical of hydrothermal settings. Stable isotopic analyses of the waters show no evidence for primary magmatic water, rather that waters have a meteoric origin that is variably influenced by boiling and evaporation processes. The carbon and helium isotopic analyses of gases suggest they contain a primary magmatic component typical of the upper mantle at most locations, and the CO 2 /S ratios show that these gases have been modified by interactions with groundwater along the flow paths. Some areas demonstrate stable compositions since the last sampling (for example, Akutan hydrothermal areas), with some being remarkably steady over very long periods (for example, Geyser Bight). Other areas show modifications because of either lower amounts of upwelling from hydrothermal sources or lower amounts of magmatic influence on the surface chemistry (for example, Upper Glacial valley of Makushin, an informally named valley leading south of the volcano toward Makushin Bay to the south). Finally, this report highlights that previously unsampled regions in the Aleutian Islands, such as Tana volcano and Fisher Caldera (the latter found to have one of the highest helium isotopic signatures ever measured in the Aleutian Islands), show evidence of ongoing subsurface magmatism that warrants continued investigation in terms of volcanic hazard.

Alaska↗

Improving offshore 3D splay fault geometries and slip histories using seismic data reprocessing and structural modeling

The goal of this project as written in the CRESCENT seed grant proposal was as follows: 1) reprocess selected profiles along strike from 45° to 48°N from the CASIE21 crustal-scale seismic data to obtain higher-resolution and higher-quality imaging of the uppermost 1-2 km of the accretionary wedge; 2) convert high-resolution USGS sparker seismic data from the time to depth domain to constrain near-surface fault geometries; 3) use kinematic modeling in the MOVE software to derive individual fault slip rates and per-event-displacements; and 4) work with the CFM group to create updated 3D models of identified faults based on the new data sources. At this stage, we have begun the reprocessing of the CASIE21 seismic reflection data (Carbotte et al., 2023). The time-migration reprocessing of the CASIE21 dataset has improved imaging of the near-surface structure by incorporating usable frequencies up to ~220 Hz, in contrast to the ~50 Hz maximum usable content in the currently available pre-stack depth migrated (PSDM) profiles (Fig. 1C). An example of the image quality gained through reprocessing is shown in Fig. 1, where the dominant wavelength of each reflector is reduced to ~10 m (Fig. 1B) from ~20 m in the existing PSDM product (Fig. 1A). The reprocessing work is still currently in progress. While the imaging in the shallow section has been much improved, reprocessing below the first multiple is still needed to create a seamless image from the plate boundary to the surface.

Final Report↗

Genetic structure in the Anaxyrus boreas species group (anura, Bufonidae): an evaluation of the Southern Rocky Mountain population

The Anaxyrus boreas species group is comprised of four species endemic to the western United States: A. boreas, A. canorus, A. exsul, and A. nelsoni. Disjunct populations of the widespread western toad Anaxyrus boreas from Colorado and southern Wyoming, the southern rocky mountain population (SRMP), were previously candidates for listing under the United States Endangered Species Act (ESA) as a distinct population segment (DPS), but were removed due to a lack of significant genetic differentiation in preliminary studies. The purpose of this study was to conduct phylogeographic and population genetic analyses of A. boreas and three related species using mitochondrial DNA sequence data and nuclear microsatellite genotype data. The study is specifically focused on testing the evolutionary significance of the SRMP.

Final Report↗

Walrus distributional and foraging response to changing ice and benthic conditions in the Chukchi Sea

Arctic species such as the Pacific walrus ( Odobenus rosmarus divergens ) are facing a rapidly changing environment. Walruses are benthic foragers and may shift their spatial patterns of foraging in response to changes in prey distribution. We used data from satellite radio-tags attached to walruses in 2009-2010 to map walrus foraging locations with concurrent sampling of benthic infauna to examine relationships between distributions of dominant walrus prey and spatial patterns of walrus foraging. Walrus foraging was concentrated offshore in the NE Chukchi Sea, and coastal areas of northwestern Alaska when sea ice was sparse. Walrus foraging areas in August-September were coincident with the biomass of two dominant bivalve taxa (Tellinidae and Nuculidae) and sipunculid worms. Walrusforaging costs associated with increased travel time to higher biomass food patches from land may be significantly higher than the costs from sea ice haul-outs and result in reduced energy storesin walruses. Identifying what resources are selected by walruses and how those resources are distributed in space and time will improve our ability to forecast how walruses might respond to a changing climate.

Chukchi Sea↗

Disentangling the effects of climate and landscape change on bird population trends in the western U.S. and Canada

Changes in climate are often assumed result in changes to species’ ranges, with potential impacts on natural system functioning and ecosystem services. ‘Climate envelope models’, which rely on correlations between climate and species distributions, have been used to predict the future of biodiversity under these assumptions. However, other factors including land-cover, dispersal ability and interspecific competition and facilitation may play an important role in driving species distributions and population trends either alone or in combination with climate. In an ongoing project, we used long-term data on bird distributions and abundance to develop climate envelope and land-use models for 161 species in order to provide a multi-species test of the degree to which climate envelope versus land-use models are useful in predicting species distributions and population trends of birds in forest ecosystems of the western U.S. and Canada. Our results suggest that models describing associations between climatic variables and abundance patterns can be used for some species to predict changes through time, and that changes in climate have already driven shifts in the geographic patterns of abundance of bird populations in western North America. For other species, models using land-use variables including raw remote-sensing variables may provide the best predictions for abundance change. The results of this research showing the reliability of models across multiple species will aid managers in understanding which species are most vulnerable to changes from climate, land-use change and their interaction.

Final Report↗

Determining forage availability and use patterns for bison in the Hayden Valley of Yellowstone National Park

In our original Proposal, we identified 4 objectives: 1. Delineate seasonal forage use patterns by bison in the Hayden Valley; 2. Determine long and short term effects of ungulate foraging on vegetation in the Hayden Valley; 3. Determine efficacy of vegetation monitoring approaches; 4. Estimate annual production and standing crop available during non-growing seasons for herbaceous and shrub layers in major habitat types in the Hayden Valley. Our efforts to describe forage use by bison focused on assessing finer scale habitat use is a core summer range for bison in YNP. We also collected information on bison food habits and forage quality to begin to explain the “whys” of bison distribution. Short-term impacts of bison forage utilization were addressed by comparing standing biomass in plots protected from grazing with plots exposed to grazing. Historical data were not available to directly address long-term effects of ungulate foraging in the Hayden Valley, but we were able to indirectly assess some aspects of this question by determining the frequency of repeat grazing over a 3-year period and the rate at which trees along the margins of the Hayden Valley were being killed by bison rubbing The third objective, determining the relative efficacy of different vegetation monitoring approaches, was accomplished by comparing estimates of standing biomass and biomas: utilization obtained via conventional exclosure techniques with estimates based on remote sensing techniques (ground-based and satellite-borne multi-spectral radiometry|[MSR]). We addressed efficacy in terms of precision and accuracy of estimates, reliability, and logistical costs at different coverage scales. The fourth objective, estimation of forage available for ungulates in the Hayden Valley, was achieved using conventional exclosure methodology and remote sensing. We were able to estimate herbaceous biomass production during 3 different years. Exclosures allowed us to estimated changes instanding crop of herbaceous vegetation at the plant community (conventional cover types, moisture plant growth form groups, and communities defined by dominant graminoids) and catena (a repeating sequence of communities tied to landscape physiognomy) scales. We developed empirical approaches that allowed us to estimate standing biomass of herbaceous plants from reflectance data obtained from ground-based and satellite-borne multi-spectral radiometry (MSR) units. We demonstrated the potential to estimate biomass of shrubs using the same approaches. We did not have time and resources to complete vegetation maps that would optimize estimates from remote sources, but we have outlined procedures that can be followed in the future to obtain biomass estimates at the landscape scale.

Wyoming↗

Selected ground water data in the Eola-Amity Hills area, northern Willamette Valley, Oregon

Occurrence, quality, and availability of ground water differ considerably from place to place in the Eola - Amity Hills area because of the highly diversified geologic and hydrologic conditions. A table relates the geologic situation to the availability of ground water for four areas-- Eola - Amity Hills , east and west valley plains, and Willamette River flood plain. Tables show well and spring records, drillers' logs, and chemical analyses of ground water . The final interpretive report will be published by the U.S. Geological Survey.

Oregon↗

Non-lethal estimation of body composition of Yukon River salmon

Because of the importance of Chinook salmon to commercial and subsistence fisheries on the Yukon River, further study of the factors that may affect the success of this species and our ability to manage the fisheries is warranted. Critical to these studies is the determination of the amount of lipids (fat) stored and available to the fish as its primary energy source for migration and spawning. Recent developments of Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis (BIA) promise a simple, non-lethal means of estimating proximate composition (e.g. fat, protein, water content) for field applications with fish. The goal of the project was to develop BIA models for Chinook salmon from the Yukon River watershed that would permit the non-lethal estimation of body proximate composition for use in field studies. Our results clearly demonstrated that BIA can be used to estimate proximate composition and energy density of salmon. While some minor refinements were suggested, the methodology can be used in a wide variety of field applications. For instance, application of the BIA models to predict energy levels of fish during their migration will allow evaluation of management programs, while also yielding data that can be used to evaluate energy use along the migratory path. Correlations of energy level with ongoing tagging, radio-tracking, and genetic studies also have the potential to allow managers and scientists to understand the relationship between fat content and distance to spawning location. These models have the potential for application to this species in other river systems. They also provide tools for a variety of other scientific investigation such as: 1) differences in energy stores in spawning and recruitment success; 2) effects of global warming on migratory salmonid stocks; and 3) differences in annual flow and temperature regiments upon migratory energy costs and resulting recruitment success.

Alaska, Yukon↗

Upper Auglaize watershed AGNPS modeling project

The Upper Auglaize Watershed agricultural non-point source modeling project was an interagency effort to use a Geographic Information System (GIS)-based modeling approach for assessing and reducing pollution from agricultural runoff and other non-point sources. This project applied the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Agricultural Research Service’s AGricultural Non-Point Source (AGNPS) suite of models to the Upper Auglaize River Watershed, a major watershed within the Maumee River Basin. This modeling project was conducted by an interagency team consisting of a partnership between the: (1) USDA, Agricultural Research Service (ARS); (2) USDA, Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS); (3) U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE); (4) U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); (5) Ohio State University; (6) University of Toledo (UT); (7) Heidelberg College; (8) Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR), Division of Soil and Water Conservation; (9) Ohio Environmental Protection Agency (OEPA); and (10) Allen, Auglaize, Van Wert, and Putnam Soil and Water Conservation Districts. The partnership was the first step in a process to eventually apply the model in a portioned subset of watersheds for the Maumee Basin, and then to link them to form a comprehensive basin-wide model This work was performed under the authority of Section 516(e) of the Water Resources Development Act (WRDA) of 1996, as amended, for the purpose of assisting State and local watershed managers with their evaluation, prioritization and implementation of alternatives for soil conservation, sediment trapping and non-point source pollution prevention in the Upper Auglaize River watershed. The project team, working in a cooperative effort, used the models to determine sediment sources, contributing locations, and the effect of application of best management practices (BMPs) on rates of sediment delivery to the mouth of the watershed. The results will be used to guide conservation incentive and land treatment programs. The team relied heavily on Geographic Information System (GIS)-based applications to expedite the application of the model. The results of the analysis demonstrated that the application of BMPs would have a positive effect on reducing the loadings of sediment leaving the mouth of the Upper Auglaize Watershed. An application of 17 percent new no-till acres and eight percent new grassland acres, when randomly applied to the watershed, reduced loadings at the mouth to 82 percent of the simulated existing condition loadings. No-till, conversion of cropland to grassland, other uses including grass buffers, and reforestation of parts of the watershed, were all shown by the model to have a measurable effect on reducing sediment loads. Conversion of all of the cropland in the watershed to no-till would reduce the average unit load (tons of sediment per acre) leaving the mouth of the watershed to a level that is 42 percent of the simulated existing condition load. Ephemeral gullies were found to be the primary source of erosion (72 percent), sediment yield (73 percent), and sediment loading (73 percent). Controlling sediment load means controlling gully erosion and possibly trapping sediment yield before it reaches the stream system. Most BMPs (e.g., no-till, conversion of cropland, etc.) that reduce sheet and rill erosion and its sediment yield will also reduce gully erosion and its sediment yield. However, grassed waterways, which have no effect on sheet and rill erosion, are frequently an effective BMP to prevent ephemeral gullies. And, of course, riparian vegetation and sediment traps would reduce the delivery ratios of all types of landscape erosion. New techniques were developed by the team to quantify the ephemeral gully erosion within the model. When calibrated to available stream gage data the model suggests that more (73% in the existing condition simulation) of the sediment load originates from ephemeral gully erosion than from traditional sheet and rill erosion. The model quantified the value of tile drainage in reducing the sediment load from the watershed. Loadings under drained conditions were always less than loadings under undrained conditions for otherwise identical land uses. The average sediment load of all alternatives for drained loadings was 89.2 percent of the load for the corresponding undrained loadings. The model established that while many conservation incentive programs treat tile drainage as a production practice, significant erosion and sediment control benefits are provided by the practice in comparison to cultivation in an undrained state.

Ohio↗

Demonstration and validation of a regenerated cellulose dialysis membrane diffusion sampler for monitoring ground-water quality and remediation progress at DoD sites (ER-0313)

This final technical report documents the demonstration and validation of regenerated cellulose dialysis membrane diffusion samplers for use in collecting ground water samples for a range of inorganic and organic water-quality parameters. This project, ER-0313, was funded by the Environmental Security Technology Certification Program (ESTCP). The primary objectives of the project were; (1) to determine the usefulness of dialysis samplers in collecting a range of organic and inorganic water quality constituents from ground water, (2) to determine the optimum equilibration times for these constituents to diffuse into the dialysis sampler, (3) to compare water quality results and sampling costs from samples collected with dialysis samplers to samples collected with a low-flow purging technique and polyethylene diffusion bag (PDB) samplers, and (4) to transfer the technology while gaining regulatory acceptance. Field comparisons were conducted at three Department of Defense (DoD) sites: (1) Naval Air Engineering Station (NAES) Lakehurst, NJ, (2) Naval Base Ventura County (NBVC), Port Hueneme and Pt. Mugu, CA, and (3) Naval Air Warfare Center (NAWC) West Trenton, NJ. Dialysis samplers were found to cost significantly less than samples collected with a low-flow purging procedure. Field sampling time was reduced by a factor of more than six times, compared to low-flow purging. The total sampling costs per sample was estimated to be three times less, compared to low-flow purging.

Technical Report↗

Demonstration and validation of a regenerated cellulose dialysis membrane diffusion sampler for monitoring groundwater quality and remediation progress at DoD sites: Perchlorate and ordnance compounds

This final technical report documents the demonstration and validation of regenerated cellulose dialysis membrane diffusion samplers (RCDM samplers) for use in collecting groundwater samples for perchlorate and a suite of explosives compounds. This project, ER-0313, was funded by the Environmental Security Technology Certification Program (ESTCP). The primary objectives of the project were; (1) to determine the usefulness of RCDM samplers in collecting perchlorate and a suite of explosives compounds from groundwater, (2) to determine the optimum equilibration times for these constituents to diffuse into the RCDM sampler, (3) to compare water-quality results and sampling costs from samples collected with RCDM samplers to samples collected with a low-flow purging technique, and (4) to transfer the technology while gaining regulatory acceptance. Equilibration times were determined in bench-scale testing for perchlorate and 14 nitroaromatic and nitramine explosives compounds. Field comparisons were conducted at two Department of Defense (DoD) sites: (1) Aberdeen Proving Grounds (APG), Maryland, and, (2) Picatinny Arsenal, New Jersey. Samples collected with the two sampling techniques were compared graphically and statistically to determine the significance of any differences found. RCDM samplers were found to cost significantly less than samples collected with a low-flow purging procedure. Sampling time was reduced by 84%, compared to low-flow purging. The total sampling costs per sample were calculated to be 71% less with an RCDM sampler, compared to low-flow purging.

Maryland, New Jersey↗

Effects of climate change on plague exposure pathways and resulting disease dynamics

Introduction and Objectives: Sylvatic plague, a zoonotic flea-borne disease, caused by the bacterium Yersinia pestis , is relevant to the Department of Defense (DOD), because prairie dogs and other susceptible rodents are present on military installations in several western states. Arthropod-borne diseases, like plague, are thought to be particularly sensitive to local climate conditions. Expected changes in temperature and humidity over the next several decades will likely increase the geographical expansion of plague outbreaks in wildlife. Through a combination of field and laboratory work, along with data-driven modeling, we evaluated the potential effects of climate change on plague exposure pathways in prairie dogs and associated rodents to provide guidance to DOD partners regarding the potential for future outbreaks. Briefly, our specific objectives were to determine the relation between local climate conditions and the prevalence of plague and other pathogens while assessing the ecological roles of specific rodent hosts and vector species in plague dynamics, evaluate flea intensity on rodent hosts and in burrows in relation to local climate conditions, and develop models to predict the effects of climate change on plague dynamics. Technical Approach: Using data and samples collected during a large field study on the effectiveness of vaccination to manage plague in prairie dogs, we assessed rodent/flea assemblages, pathogen prevalence in fleas, and determined how local climate conditions influence flea development rates and relative abundance. Live animals (prairie dogs and some small rodents) were trapped to collect fleas and other samples on 46 prairie dog plots in 6 western states, many sites near DOD lands. At seven additional locations on a latitudinal gradient, fleas were collected from burrows several times per year to assess seasonality and effects of local climate conditions on flea abundance. These data were then used to develop predictive models that could be used to test specific hypotheses. Results: We determined that flea developmental rates, on-host flea abundance, species composition of the flea community, and burrow temperatures varied across a latitudinal gradient. Rodent and flea community composition and abundance differed geographically and were highly specialized. Flea-switching between prairie dogs and short-lived rodents was rare. Flea development rates, on-host flea abundance, and burrow temperatures increased with increasing ambient temperature. Although relative humidity can affect flea development, burrow humidity was uniformly high (~85%) across sampling sites and seasons. A large increase in the number of fleas found on a prairie dog colony, coupled with a greater number of infested burrows, could have substantial effects on plague dynamics in the western United States as the climate warms. In addition to affecting flea load, climate change may also influence body condition of prairie dogs by reducing the amount of forage. This may result in animals being more tolerant of high flea loads (less engaged in grooming behavior) and more vulnerable to disease.

Arizona, Montana, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Wyomi↗

Characterizing local and range wide variation in demography and adaptive capacity of a forest indicator species

The red-backed salamander ( Plethodon cinereus ) is considered an indicator of forest health. The range of the species covers much of the eastern and central US, and is often locally abundant where it occurs, primarily in deciduous forest. While there are expectations that changes in climate will result in changes in forest ecosystems, the ability of a forest indicator such as the red-backed salamanderto adapt to those changes, has not been assessed. We found that the red-backed salamander may have little adaptive capacity, but that changes in climate conditions may be buffered by salamander behavior, including its typical response to retreat underground during times of high temperature or during short-term drought. Effective conservation measures will likely need to increase the range of within-population climate tolerance in order for populations to persist locally.

Final Report↗

Development of the Wildlife Adaptation Menu for Resource Managers

The Climate Change Response Framework is an example of a collaborative, cross-boundary approach to create a set of tools, partnerships, and actions to support climate-informed conservation and land management. Historically, this effort has focused on the needs of forest managers and forestry professionals. In recent years, however, there has been increasing demand for science and tools to address climate change adaptation in wildlife management and conservation. Not only do wildlife and resource managers need the best available science, it must also be presented in a usable format with feasible options within the purview of an individual manager. The research team is first completing a comprehensive review of peer-reviewed studies to summarize what wildlife-related management actions currently exist in climate change adaptation. They will then develop and test a “menu” of climate change adaptation actions that are suitable for wildlife management in terrestrial ecosystems. This Wildlife Adaptation Menu will be modeled off existing adaptation menus for Forestry and Urban Forestry, and it will be designed to be used in conjunction with the Adaptation Workbook . In addition to a menu of adaption strategies and approaches, the scientists will also identify site-level tactics and develop case studies demonstrating the use and implementation of the menu. To ensure that information and tools meet the needs of managers, the team is involving and integrating input from wildlife managers at every step of the process. Managers will be involved in scoping the project, testing the menu, and implementing the menu.

Final Report↗

Climate-driven state shifts in the Prairie Pothole Region: Assessing future impacts relevant to the management of wetland habitats critical to waterfowl

Embedded within the North American Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) are millions of small, depressional wetlands that annually support 50–80% of the continent’s waterfowl production. We recently assembled evidence that demonstrates a change towards a wetter climate that is driving a shift in the state of the region’s wetland ecosystems. This ecological state-shift has been primarily the result of a sustained wet climate that has influenced timing and magnitude of surface-water inputs to wetlands, connections to groundwater, and inputs of dissolved salts. As climate influences continue to change in the PPR, it is important to understand the potential of these changes to impact wetland habitats important for waterfowl production. Previous model simulations of prairie-pothole wetlands under future climate scenarios projected decreases in the ability of wetlands to facilitate waterfowl production throughout the majority of what is currently the most productive portion of the region. Results from these modeling efforts also suggested that suitable waterfowl breeding-habitat would be limited mostly to the southeastern portion of the PPR, a portion of the region in which most depressional wetlands (> 90%) have been drained. Thus, if these modeled outcomes materialize, a significant restoration effort would be needed in the southeastern PPR to support waterfowl production. However, the models used in earlier efforts were developed from a small number of wetlands using data from a relatively dry period and did not allow for changing mechanisms influencing surface-water, groundwater and dissolved salt inputs to prairie-pothole wetlands. The primary objective of our research is to improve our understanding of future climate change on impacts to wetland ecosystems and breeding waterfowl habitat in the PPR. We used a newly developed Pothole Hydrology Linked Systems Simulator (PHyLiSS) model to estimate wetland ecosystem responses to 32 distinct climate models under 2 different emissions scenarios. Unlike previous wetland hydrology models, the PHyLiSS model allows for shifting hydrological and geochemical mechanisms influencing wetland ecosystems. We modeled one average-sized seasonal wetland basin at 18 different geographic locations (hereafter “sites”) across the PPR with 3 sites represented for each of 6 ecoregions coincident to early research. We applied the PHyLiSS model using historical daily precipitation and temperature data from 1982–2015 and developed linear models relative to ponded water depth in the simulated wetlands and the observed regional WBPHS May Pond count number for 16 of the 18 sites. Based on the output of 32 climate models and 2 emission scenarios we found a projected change in May pond numbers from -23% to +.02% when comparing the most recent climate period (1989–2018) to the end of the 21 st century (2070–2099). We also found no evidence that the distribution of May ponds will shift in the future. These results suggest that management and conservation strategies for wetlands in the PPR should continue to focus on areas where high densities of intact wetland basins support large numbers of breeding duck pairs.

Alberta, Iowa, Manitoba, Minnesota, Montana, North↗

Using hair cortisol to assess physiological stress in Alaska polar bears

The concentration of cortisol in hair (HCC) of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) may provide a retrospective view of physiological stress they experience and a link to their response to environmental change. To understand this relationship, we assayed HCC from polar bears captured in the Alaska Beaufort, Bering and Chukchi seas during 1983–1989 and 2004–2016. Cortisol accumulated in hair through summer and autumn and into the subsequent winter. HCC was similar between adult males and adult females. No difference in HCC across regions suggested all bears responded similarly to the environment. HCC in spring was elevated following years with a high winter Arctic Oscillation index and highly variable wind speed. HCC increased non-linearly with increasing duration of the continental shelf summer open water period up to 50 days and then decreased. HCC of spring samples declined with increasing body size, indicating that the stress response was more active in smaller bears or those in poor body condition. HCC of spring samples was greater and more variable in 2004–2006 than during either 1983–1989 or 2008–2016, and significantly so for females with 1st year cubs and subadult females. Elevated HCC in 2004–2006 coincided with years of reduced survival of southern Beaufort Sea polar bears and suggests that unidentified environmental perturbations impacted Alaska polar bears. Because HCC may be obtained by relatively non-invasive means, it has potential use for assessing polar bear populations that are difficult to study by capturing. Hence, information gained from HCC can inform polar bear conservation, especially on the vulnerability of subadult females and adult females with new cubs, and possible future environmental perturbations impacts on bear physiology.

Alaska↗

Impacts of grade control structure installations on hydrology and sediment transport as an adaptive management strategy

The goal of this research was to examine the impacts of Grade Control Structure (GCS) installations at the Heard Scout Pueblo (HSP) study site in the City of Phoenix, Arizona, USA. The study site is around a high-use trail system and is comprised of eroded and incised channels that conduct high flows and associated sediments into a residential neighborhood downstream, a noted stormwater control problem. We established baseline conditions associated with rainfall/runoff response before structures were installed so we could have some data for comparison afterwards. Innovative monitoring equipment, including video cameras and pressure transducers (to calculate discharge); digital terrain models, sediment samplers and sediment chains (to measure erosion and deposition); soil moisture sensors in monitoring wells (to document infiltration and potential recharge); and weather stations (to track temperature and relative humidity) were established and a small Unmanned Aircraft System (sUAS) survey was completed by July, 11, 2017, in time for the typical summer monsoon season which officially runs from June 15th to September 30th. Only one pre-GCS installation rain event incurred a significant flow event (October 13, 2018). Natural Channel Design (NCD), a landscape restoration company with decades of experience, was hired through a competitive bid process to develop a novel layout of ~30 GCS installations (sills, modified one-rock dams (ORD), and plugs, as well as a modified Zuni-bowl). The American Conservation Experience (ACE) hand-built the structures based on these designs in the main channel from November 13, 2018 through December 1, 2018. ACE built another ten structures in locations adjacent to the channel from January 15 through January 18, 2019. NCD worked with the landscape forensics to identify a historic channel and reinstate it using GCS. A surface-water model was also applied, using some of the baseline measurements (terrain and hydraulic conductivity) to track the flows of water and potential infiltration associated with rainfall events before GCS installation, to assist NCD in their design. The same model was applied using the installed GCS locations to simulate impacts of the structures on flow and infiltration. Our model was able to predict the slight reduction and delay in peak flows for small events and simulate infiltration, which was measured and occurred in the channel. Results demonstrated that structures could increase infiltration by ~15% over time. More data describing geomorphology and hydrology after repeated rainfall events will allow for increased analyses. Innovative monitoring, including the large‐scale particle image velocimetry (LSPIV) were invaluable to this research. Given the arid-land location and added drought conditions, the water levels were not high enough to compute, even using the continuous slope-area method, so discharge was calculated solely using the LSPIV. The careful redundancy of data acquisition is extremely important when studying dryland hydrology. Weather data indicated that the HSP GCS installations created roughly a three-degree microclimate cooling effect for at least two days following rainfall events, as compared with the untreated channel. The cooling was attributed to increased moisture, evaporation, and latent heat expulsion from the evaporation.

Arizona↗