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Constraints on eruption processes and event masses for the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska, through evaluation of IASI satellite SO2 masses and complementary datasets

Bogoslof volcano, Alaska, experienced at least 70 explosive eruptions between 12 December 2016 and 31 August 2017. Due to its remote location and limited local monitoring network, this eruption was monitored and characterized primarily using remote geophysical and satellite techniques. SO 2 emissions from Bogoslof were persistently detected by the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) satellite sensors. Of Bogoslof’s 70 explosive events, 50% produced measurable SO 2 masses ranging from 0.1 to 21.5 kt, with a median and standard deviation of 0.7 ± 4.0 kt SO 2 , respectively. Here, we compare IASI-derived SO 2 masses from Bogoslof events to complementary geophysical datasets to provide insights into eruption source processes, namely the degree of seawater scrubbing of water-soluble SO 2 and variations in magma flux. Correlations with the number of lightning strokes and infrasound energy are expected to indicate magma-flux as a controlling process, while correlations with infrasound frequency index are expected to indicate variations in vent-water content as a controlling factor. These comparisons suggest that the measured SO 2 masses are primarily a function of eruption magnitude (degassed magma mass) and that scrubbing of SO 2 emissions by vent seawater may have exerted a minor effect on the observed SO 2 masses. SO 2 masses were combined with petrologic constraints on melt inclusion and matrix glass S concentrations to calculate degassed magma masses and volumes. The cumulative SO 2 -derived degassed magma mass and estimated volume (dense-rock equivalent) for the full Bogoslof eruption were found to be 2.8 × 10 10 kg and 9.3 × 10 6 m 3 , respectively. When individual event masses are compared against event masses calculated using an empirical plume-height method, a strong correlation is found ( R 2 = 0.83), with better than order-of-magnitude agreement in most cases. These estimates of eruption masses provide useful information on the magnitude, behavior, and associated hazards of the 2016–2017 eruption, and potentially future unrest at Bogoslof volcano.

Alaska↗

Characteristics of thunder and electromagnetic pulses from volcanic lightning at Bogoslof volcano, Alaska

We combine global detections of volcanic lightning with acoustic and hydroacoustic data to investigate novel indications of plume electrification in ground-based, geophysical data streams during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska. Such signals offer additional ways to diagnose the occurrence of volcanic lightning and confirm whether eruptive activity is producing significant amounts of ash. We discuss three signatures of lightning activity: volcanic thunder, electromagnetic pulses arising from lightning-induced voltages in cabling, and hydroacoustic signals associated with volcanic lightning. Observations of these phenomena provide additional insights into volcanic lightning activity and reveal several periods of electrical activity that were not otherwise detected during the Bogoslof eruption.

Alaska↗

Did ice-charging generate volcanic lightning during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska?

The 2016–2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano in Alaska injected plumes of ash and seawater to maximum heights of ~ 12 km. More than 4550 volcanic lightning strokes were detected by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) and Vaisala’s Global Lightning Dataset (GLD360) over 9 months. Lightning assisted monitoring efforts by confirming ash-producing explosions in near-real time, but only 32 out of the 70 explosive events produced detectable lightning. What led to electrical activity within some of the volcanic plumes, but not others? And why did the lightning intensity wax and wane over the lifetime of individual explosions? We address these questions using multiparametric observations from ground-based lightning sensors, satellite imagery, photographs, acoustic signals, and 1D plume modeling. Detailed time-series of monitoring data show that the plumes did not produce detectable lightning until they rose higher than the atmospheric freezing level (approximated by − 20 °C temperatures). For example, on 28 May 2017 (event 40), the delayed onset of lightning coincides with modeled ice formation in upper levels of the plume. Model results suggest that microphysical conditions inside the plume rivaled those of severe thunderstorms, with liquid water contents > 5 g m −3 and vigorous updrafts > 40 m s −1 in the mixed-phase region where liquid water and ice coexist. Based on these findings, we infer that ‘thunderstorm-style’ collisional ice-charging catalyzed the volcanic lightning. However, charge mechanisms likely operated on a continuum, with silicate collisions dominating electrification in the near-vent region, and ice charging taking over in the upper-level plumes. A key implication of this study is that lightning during the Bogoslof eruption provided a reliable indicator of sustained, ash-rich plumes (and associated hazards) above the atmospheric freezing level.

Alaska↗

Mechanisms for ballistic block ejection during the 2016–2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska

Ejection of ballistic blocks was a characteristic feature of the 2016–2017 Bogoslof eruption. High-resolution satellite images acquired throughout the duration of the 9-month long eruptive period permitted the recognition and mapping of ballistic blocks on the surface of Bogoslof Island. Many of the satellite images recorded the accumulation of ballistic material over several individual eruptive events, but a few images recorded the effects of a single event. The nonuniform spatial distribution of blocks suggests that some of the eruption columns were inclined. Ballistic trajectories were estimated using the Eject! model and indicate that accumulation of blocks on Bogoslof Island required launch angles of 45–80° and initial velocities of 50–100 ms −1 to reproduce observed travel distances. The amount of ballistic fallout observed in satellite data indicates that there must have been a shallow submarine source of rock within the conduit/upper edifice system. Dense, accidental cryptodome trachyandesite, and juvenile basalt to trachybasalt scoria make up the bulk of the surface ejecta. Abundant accidental fragments and inclined eruption columns point to periodic vent-wall collapse and jetting around edges of temporarily blocked vents as the likely cause of ballistic ejection.

Alaska↗

Geology and eruptive history of Bogoslof volcano

Bogoslof volcano is a shallow submarine/subaerial volcano in the southern Bering Sea about 100 km west of the community of Dutch Harbor, Alaska. The subaerial parts of the volcano consist of two small islands, Bogoslof Island and Fire Island, that together have a total area of about 1.6 km 2 . Bogoslof was first depicted on a Russian map in 1772 and since then has been observed and visited occasionally. The volcano has had at least nine periods of eruptive activity since 1796 and all of its historical eruptions have been similar in style. Historical Bogoslof eruptions involved the effusion of basalt, trachybasalt, basaltic trachyandesite, and trachyandesite lava domes with above sea level relief of 100–200 m. Many of the eruptions are accompanied by the formation of tuff rings and ejection of ballistic particles. Historical observations suggest that eruption clouds are relatively ash-poor. Minor ash fallout has typically occurred within about 100 km of the volcano. Many of the historical eruptions began at vents that were below sea level, and thus, seawater has played an important role in the style of eruptive activity exhibited by the volcano. At times, eruptive activity has been characterized by Surtseyan style eruptions and magma interaction with wet vent-fill deposits. At other times, the eruptive style has been more magmatically driven and has resulted in the formation of pyroclastic flows and small ash clouds. Preliminary studies of the deposits produced during the 2016–2017 eruption indicate vertical sequences of coarse-grained, horizontally bedded pyroclastic flow and fall deposits with numerous blocks, bombs, and lapilli of dense juvenile and accidental lithic material. These deposits were emplaced by near-vent pyroclastic flows, surges, and explosions some of which originated from shallow, highly crystalline cryptodomes.

Bulletin of Volcanology↗

Infrasound generated by the 2016-2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska

The 2016–2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano produced numerous infrasound signals over 9 months that were recorded on six Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) arrays at ranges of 59 to over 800 km from the volcano. The lack of geophysical monitoring near Bogoslof and the repeated production of volcanic clouds to flight levels made monitoring by remote infrasound critical during the eruption; for the first time, AVO relied extensively on automated infrasound detections from regional arrays to dispatch timely notifications of the ongoing activity. Most of the 70 eruptive events were detected on at least one array, but no array detected all of the events mainly because atmospheric conditions were highly variable during the eruption. Acoustic propagation modeling helps explain some of the variation in array detections but also highlights limitations in regional propagation models. To our knowledge, this is the first example of well-recorded infrasound from an explosive eruption occurring in shallow seawater, providing extensive insights into eruption dynamics in this unique environment. The dominance of low-frequency infrasound (0.1–1 Hz) is attributed to eruptions occurring beneath tens of meters of seawater. Higher-frequency infrasound signals were mostly limited to eruptions where the vent was isolated from major interaction with seawater or in several cases where a lava dome grew above sea level.

Alaska↗

Seismic velocity variations associated with the 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption of Kīlauea, Hawaiʻi

The 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption of Kīlauea (Hawai‘i) marked a dramatic change in the volcano’s 35-year-long rift zone eruption. The collapse of the middle East Rift Zone vent Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō was followed by one of the volcano’s most voluminous eruptions in 500 years. Over the course of this 3-month eruption, the draining of summit-stored magma led to near-daily collapses of a portion of the caldera and ultimately up to 500 m of summit subsidence. While deformation data indicated that the summit and middle East Rift Zone were inflating for the previous several years, why Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō collapsed and what initiated down-rift dike propagation remains unclear. Using ambient noise seismic interferometry, we show that a Ml5.3 decollement earthquake beneath Kīlauea’s south flank in June 2017 induced a coseismic decrease of up to 0.30% in seismic velocity throughout the volcano. This velocity decrease may have been caused by dynamic stress–induced shallow crustal fracture, i.e., weakening to dilatant crack growth, and was greatest near Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō. Additionally, we verify a pre-eruptive increase in seismic velocity, consistent with increasing pressurization in the volcano’s shallow summit magma reservoir. This velocity increase occurred coincident with the first in a series of lower-crustal earthquake swarms, 6 days before a 2-month period of rapid summit and middle East Rift Zone inflation. The increase in up-rift magma-static pressure, combined with the pre-existing weakness from the June 2017 earthquake, may have facilitated down-rift dike propagation and the devastating 2018 eruption.

Hawaii↗

Local magnitude, coda magnitude, and radiated energy of volcanic tectonic earthquakes from October 2010 to December 2011 at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia

In August 2010, Sinabung volcano began erupting after more than a thousand years of dormancy. Following several weeks of phreatic eruptions, the eruptions ceased and Sinabung entered what became an inter-eruptive period of dominantly seismic unrest. While standard equations for understanding the size of an earthquake (local magnitude (M L ), coda magnitude (M C ), and seismic energy release (E R )) have long been developed, it is best practice to fine tune these relations for a given region and period of study to more accurately describe seismicity and to directly compare it with other volcanic systems. More accurate descriptions of magnitudes and energy release are vital to accurate volcanic eruption forecasting and evaluation of seismic and volcanic risk. In this study, we use high-frequency volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes recorded on a temporary three-component network installed between October 2010 and December 2011 in the region around Sinabung volcano to better constrain the seismic parameters of and better understand this previously unstudied volcano. We determine region-specific formulas for M L , M C , and E R as follows: M L = log 10 A + 1.1252 log 10 r + 0.0280 r − 2.5427 , M C = 0.7764 log 10 t c o d a + 0.0676 r − 0.7185 , a n d log 10 ( E R ) = 1.5720 M L + 11.5258 , where A , r , and t coda are maximum amplitude on a Wood-Anderson seismogram, hypocentral distance (km), and the coda duration (s), respectively. Constants in the M L equation have physically interpretable meanings. The constant for the geometrical spreading term (log 10 r term) equals one for perfect spherical spreading of the waveform. Our value is greater than one and thus suggests that wavefronts spread at a slightly different rate than for simple spherical spreading. The constant for the attenuation term ( r term) is consistent with locally mapped attenuative deposits (limestones and tuffs) and previous 3D tomographic results. Our M C equation differs from a previous study, likely because different data in a different time period were used. Earthquake hypocenters are consistent with those located in previous tomographic studies, and we interpret the earthquakes in this study as distal VT earthquakes induced by continued magmatic intrusion at Sinabung over the period of October 2010–December 2011.

Sinabung volcano↗

Quantifying gas emissions associated with the 2018 rift eruption of Kīlauea Volcano using ground-based DOAS measurements

Starting on 3 May 2018, a series of eruptive fissures opened in Kīlauea Volcano’s lower East Rift Zone (LERZ). Over the course of the next 3 months, intense degassing accompanied lava effusion from these fissures. Here, we report on ground-based observations of the gas emissions associated with Kīlauea’s 2018 eruption. Visual observations combined with radiative transfer modeling show that ultraviolet light could not efficiently penetrate the gas and aerosol plume in the LERZ, complicating SO 2 measurements by differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS). By applying a statistical method that integrates a radiative transfer model with the DOAS retrievals, we were able to calculate sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) emission rates along with estimates of their uncertainty. We find that sustained SO 2 emissions were highest in June and early July, when approximately 200 kt SO 2 were emitted daily. At the 68% confidence interval, we estimate that 7.1–13.6 Mt SO 2 were released from the LERZ during the entire May to September eruptive episode. Scaling our results with in situ measurements of plume composition, we calculate that 11–21 Mt H 2 O and 1.5–2.8 Mt CO 2 were also emitted. The gas and aerosol emissions caused hazardous conditions in areas proximal to the active vents, but plume dispersion modeling shows that the eruption also significantly impacted air quality hundreds of kilometers downwind. Combined with petrologic studies of the erupted lavas, our measurements indicate that 1.1–2.3 km 3 dense-rock equivalent of lava were erupted from the LERZ, which is approximately twice the concomitant collapse volume of the volcano’s summit.

Hawaii↗

Evidence for primitive magma storage and eruption following prolonged equilibration in thickened crust

In continental arcs, the exposure of primitive eruptive products at the surface is typically a result of rapid magmatic transfer through the crust. As a result, the initially primitive magma experiences minimal crustal residence and thus insignificant differentiation towards more evolved products. This rapid transfer of primitive magma through thickened crust is commonly recorded from smaller, monogenetic cinder cones. Manantial Pelado (35.5° S) is a long-lived stratocone in the Southern Andean Volcanic Zone (SVZ) overlying thick continental crust (45–50 km) that produces almost exclusively mafic material. As Manantial Pelado is surrounded by extensive silicic volcanism, the study of its mafic exposure as a stratocone can be used to further understand magmatic origins of long-lived volcanic systems. Our study uses textural, geochemical, and geochronological data from lavas collected from Manantial Pelado to characterize its magmatic petrogenesis, assess the primitive nature, and explain processes in the crust within the SVZ. A geologic description of the volcano reveals a mostly monotonous eruptive history of basaltic andesites that are now accessible through glacially carved valleys. New 40 Ar/ 39 Ar dating constrains most of the volcano’s cone constructing phase to last from ~ 220 to 190 ka. At ~ 30 ka, small-volume activity and different petrography of more intermediate magmas were present reflecting a change in the volcano’s character. A combination of the whole-rock and mineral-scale data reveals that basaltic andesites at Manantial Pelado are among the most primitive magmas in the thickened crust of the SVZ. Evidence for this primitive signature consists of textural and zonation patterns in olivine, the presence of Cr-spinel in olivine cores, and elevated Fo and Ni content within olivine cores. This data combined with elemental diffusion modeling provides evidence for a primitive signature for these lavas. Intermediate Fo olivines with uniform core compositions (Fo 80–84 ) suggest that basaltic andesites reside in the crust in quasi-closed system environments for extended storage prior to eruption (~ 25–6000 years). Diffusive equilibration in those intermediate Fo olivines masks the primitive nature of the magmas. These results suggest that mafic magmas can have a protracted storage history in the crust that does not significantly alter their primitive bulk composition before reaching the surface. We argue that these are important processes in understanding the magmatic origin of long-lived systems and the presence of compositionally homogenous olivines at intermediate Fo content may represent cryptic evidence for recharge with primitive magmas that experienced prolonged crustal storage.

Manantial Pelado↗

Petrology and geochemistry of three early Holocene eruptions from Makushin volcano, Alaska

Makushin stratovolcano, Alaska, produced three, highly explosive, andesitic eruptions between ~ 9292 and 6215 yBP. Those eruptions are informally named the CFE (“crater-forming eruption”), Nateekin, and Driftwood Pumice, and they deposited significant tephra fallout in the present-day port of Dutch Harbor and City of Unalaska area. The focus of this study is to examine the geochemistry and petrology of those eruptions to better understand Makushin volcano hazards, andesite petrogenesis and eruption triggering by mafic recharge processes. The CFE, Nateekin, and Driftwood Pumice samples range from basaltic andesite to dacite but are predominantly andesitic (SiO 2 = 55.6 to 63.5 wt%). The CFE deposits are slightly compositionally stratified, with the top CFE samples slightly more mafic (55 to 60 wt% SiO 2 ) than the basal deposits (58 to 60 wt% SiO 2 ). Disequilibrium mineral compositions and textures in the CFE, Nateekin, and Driftwood Pumice samples, combined with two pyroxene thermometry and An-rich plagioclase microlites (An 80 ) found only in the top of the CFE deposits, provide evidence for repetitive mafic recharge triggering those eruptions, consistent with prior studies. We compare the Makushin geochemical data with data from select satellite vents and cones in the Makushin Volcanic Field (MVF) from prior studies, to examine possible genetic relationships. The geochemical data and Rhyolite-MELTS models run at crustal storage conditions (2 kbar, fO 2 = Ni-NiO, and 1.5 and 3.5 wt% H 2 O) indicate that no single parental magma supplies the MVF satellite cones and Makushin volcano. Instead, two component mixing models better fit the MVF geochemical array. Our Makushin results compare well with models of predominantly andesitic volcanoes that require mafic recharge to mobilize the andesites and trigger eruptions.

Alaska↗

The interaction between concentrated pyroclastic density currents and snow: a case study from the 2008 mixed-avalanche from Volcán Llaima (Chile)

The incorporation of snow and ice by pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) can generate mixed-avalanches and pose significant hazards at snow-clad volcanoes. Commonly, the poor preservation of these thin deposits, combined with the subtle characteristics of PDC-snow interaction, has limited their recognition in the geological record. A small-volume (2.5 × 10 5 m 3 ), basaltic-andesite, mixed-avalanche deposit formed during the 2008 eruption of Volcán Llaima (Chile) provides insight into PDC and snow interactions. Pyroclasts accumulated on the crater rim and collapsed to form a flow that swept up to 2.8 km from source and spread across 6.09 × 10 5 m 2 of the snow-clad slopes. The PDC-snow interaction at the crater rim or during flow propagation resulted in distinct deposit and pyroclast textures. These included abundant blocky non-vesicular cauliflower clasts and blocky poorly vesicular scoria. The thin and sheet-like mixed-avalanche deposit had a lumpy surface, lacked marginal levees, was very loose, and fine ash depleted. Although the flow likely incorporated snow and/or ice mechanically, the overall coarseness of the mixture precluded effective fluidization related to vaporization. Many of the features described herein are distinctive features of other mixed-avalanche deposits worldwide and should be considered key indicators of PDC-snow interaction.

Volcán Llaima↗

Near-real-time volcanic cloud monitoring: Insights into global explosive volcanic eruptive activity through analysis of Volcanic Ash Advisories

Understanding the location, intensity, and likely duration of volcanic hazards is key to reducing risk from volcanic eruptions. Here, we use a novel near-real-time dataset comprising Volcanic Ash Advisories (VAAs) issued over 10 years to investigate global rates and durations of explosive volcanic activity. The VAAs were collected from the nine Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs) worldwide. Information extracted allowed analysis of the frequency and type of explosive behaviour, including analysis of key eruption source parameters (ESPs) such as volcanic cloud height and duration. The results reflect changes in the VAA reporting process, data sources, and volcanic activity through time. The data show an increase in the number of VAAs issued since 2015 that cannot be directly correlated to an increase in volcanic activity. Instead, many represent increased observations, including improved capability to detect low- to mid-level volcanic clouds (FL101–FL200, 3–6 km asl), by higher temporal, spatial, and spectral resolution satellite sensors. Comparison of ESP data extracted from the VAAs with the Mastin et al. (J Volcanol Geotherm Res 186:10–21, 2009a ) database shows that traditional assumptions used in the classification of volcanoes could be much simplified for operational use. The analysis highlights the VAA data as an exceptional resource documenting global volcanic activity on timescales that complement more widely used eruption datasets.

Bulletin of Volcanology↗

Submarine lava deltas of the 2018 eruption of Kilauea volcano

Hawaiian and other ocean island lava flows that reach the coastline can deposit significant volumes of lava in submarine deltas. The catastrophic collapse of these deltas represents one of the most significant, but least predictable, volcanic hazards at ocean islands. The volume of lava deposited below sea level in delta-forming eruptions and the mechanisms of delta construction and destruction are rarely documented. Here, we report on bathymetric surveys and ROV observations following the Kīlauea 2018 eruption that, along with a comparison to the deltas formed at Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō over the past decade, provide new insight into delta formation. Bathymetric differencing reveals that the 2018 deltas contain more than half of the total volume of lava erupted. In addition, we find that the 2018 deltas are comprised largely of coarse-grained volcanic breccias and intact lava flows, which contrast with those at Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō that contain a large fraction of fine-grained hyaloclastite. We attribute this difference to less efficient fragmentation of the 2018 ‘a‘ā flows leading to fragmentation by collapse rather than hydrovolcanic explosion. We suggest a mechanistic model where the characteristic grain size influences the form and stability of the delta with fine grain size deltas (Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō) experiencing larger landslides with greater run-out supported by increased pore pressure and with coarse grain size deltas (Kīlauea 2018) experiencing smaller landslides that quickly stop as the pore pressure rapidly dissipates. This difference, if validated for other lava deltas, would provide a means to assess potential delta stability in future eruptions.

Hawaii↗

Formation of dense pyroclasts by sintering of ash particles during the preclimactic eruptions of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991

Dense, vitric, dacitic pyroclasts (dacite lithics) from the 1991 preclimactic explosions of Mt. Pinatubo were analyzed for their vesicular and crystal textures and dissolved H 2 O and CO 2 contents. Micron-scale heterogeneities in groundmass glass volatile contents (0.9 wt% differences in H 2 O within 500 μm) are observed and argue that parts of the dacite lithics equilibrated at different depths before finally being constructed. Greater vesicularities and larger and greater number densities of vesicles are observed in groundmass glass around phenocrysts compared to groundmass glass away from phenocrysts, similar to textures produced in experiments that sintered bimodal distributions of particles. Furthermore, increasingly greater proportions of stretched and distorted vesicles are observed in lithics from the later explosions, which parallels the increasingly shorter reposes between explosions. Finally, micron-sized crystal fragments are ubiquitous in groundmass glass of all dacite lithics. The textures, together with the variable volatile contents, lead us to propose a model that the dacite lithics formed by rapid and repetitive sintering of ash particles derived from a variety of depths on the conduit walls above the fragmentation level. We speculate that sintering of conduit material produced impermeable layers that retarded gas flow through the conduit, causing pressure to build until the cap failed and the next explosion occurred.

Mount Pinatubo↗

Eruption of compositionally heterogeneous andesites from a complex storage region during the 2006 eruption of Augustine Volcano

Despite the common occurrence of heterogeneous andesitic eruptions, few studies have investigated the compositional effects on microlite crystallization and vesiculation in co-erupted natural samples. In 2006, Augustine Volcano erupted compositionally heterogeneous andesites that range from 56.4 to 63.3 wt% SiO 2 and include two endmember lithologic groups: low-silica andesite (LSA) and high-silica andesite (HSA). Textural and compositional differences between LSA and HSA end members are explored for two discrete, sequential vulcanian explosions from January 17 (event 9) and 27 (event 10), 2006. Groundmass glass compositions of pyroclasts within LSA and HSA compositional suites are not colinear and do not correlate with plagioclase microlite crystallinities, indicating eruption from multiple isolated shallow magma reservoirs with various pressure-temperature pathways. HSA pyroclasts have lower crystallinities, 0.02–0.24, than most LSA pyroclasts, 0.16–0.39, demonstrating the influence of composition on crystallinity. Additionally, microlite textural and groundmass glass compositional differences exist between consecutive vulcanian explosions. The event 9 deposits have a typical bimodal density distribution and groundmass glass compositions range from 65 to 78 wt% SiO 2 . Plagioclase microlite number densities (MN V ) are 10 4.6–6.4 mm −3 and crystallinities are 0.02 to 0.28, similar to products from other andesitic vulcanian eruptions. Deposits from the early phase of event 10 have a bimodal density distribution and contain a high proportion of LSA pyroclasts, similar to event 9. Groundmass glass compositions range from 72 to 79 wt% SiO 2 and plagioclase MN V are 10 5.9–6.3 mm −3 , forming narrower ranges compared to event 9. A transition occurred during the later phase of event 10 to a unimodal density distribution, a more homogeneous groundmass glass composition, 75–78 wt% SiO 2 , a higher proportion of HSA pyroclasts, and the highest MN V of 10 5.9–6.7 mm −3 . We interpret this shift to reflect eruption from reservoir depths around 4–6 km and the cessation of pre-eruptive magma staging in the upper conduit, transitioning the eruption to continuous and effusive phases. Attention to heterogeneous andesitic erupted products reveals additional details about heterogeneous shallow magma storage, variable upper conduit magma staging, and a range of pressure-temperature paths prior to fragmentation.

Alaska↗

Evolving infrasound detections from Bogoslof volcano, Alaska: Insights from atmospheric propagation modeling

Bogoslof volcano, a back-arc volcano in Alaska’s Aleutian arc, began an eruptive sequence in mid-December 2016 that ended in late August 2017, with 70 individual eruptive episodes. Because there were no local seismic or infrasound stations on the island, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) relied on distant geophysical networks and remote sensing techniques to assess activity during the eruption. AVO maintains six infrasound arrays to monitor activity along the Aleutian arc: Adak, the Island of Four Mountains, Okmok, Akutan, Sand Point, and Dillingham. Eruption detection at infrasound arrays is subject to local as well as mesoscale meteorological conditions that vary greatly over both short and long timescales. Infrasound detections from the array nearest to Bogoslof (Okmok), with a latency of about 3 min, played a crucial role in monitoring activity during the eruption. Despite the relative proximity of the Okmok array to Bogoslof (60 km), infrasound detections were not uniformly observed with only about two-thirds of the events successfully detected. The farthest array at Dillingham (816 km) detected approximately half of the explosive events, with all other arrays detecting less than half of the events. We compare observations with infrasound propagation model predictions, using both normal mode and parabolic equation forward models, to interpret the variation in detections of the 70 explosive events across the AVO infrasound network. The forward models utilize the newly created, publicly available AVO-G2S atmospheric reconstruction using numerical weather predictions data for the lower atmosphere, coupled with upper atmosphere empirical models of wind speeds and temperature. We find that long-range detections (> 100 km) of Bogoslof events are largely aligned with seasonal variability in favorable propagation conditions, while regional detections (< 100 km) are less consistent with propagation modeling. Understanding the output of numerical models in comparison to past observations will facilitate their use in future operational settings for AVO and other observatories.

Alaska↗

Satellite observations of the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano: Aviation and ash fallout hazard implications from a water-rich eruption

Satellite data (GOES, VIIRS, MODIS, AVHRR) were used in near real-time during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska, to detect explosive eruptive activity and to characterize the resulting volcanic clouds. This study examines satellite data to estimate volcanic cloud heights and mass eruption rates for 47 of the 70 explosive events. Eighteen of the volcanic clouds reached an altitude in excess of 8.5 km asl, where they posed a potential hazard to aviation. We estimate eruption rates were in the range of 10 4 –10 7 kg/s. Eruption durations were available for 28 events, and the total mass of these events was 5.7 × 10 10 kg. Most of the explosions occurred from submarine vents, producing volcanic clouds with water-rich characteristics in satellite data. We infer that these water-rich (phreatomagmatic) events contained ice-coated ash particles, which changed their visible and multispectral characteristics. Only two of the explosions produced clouds with satellite characteristics that would be considered ash-rich. We conclude that these events were relatively dry eruptions with limited access to ocean water. Although some of the explosive events transitioned from submarine to subaerial vents, we observed no change in the character of the volcanic clouds during these transitions. We speculate that enhanced removal of fine-grained volcanic ash likely occurred due to aggregation, with implications for modeling ash transport and fallout. We conclude that the majority of Bogoslof’s water-rich volcanic clouds did contain volcanic ash despite the lack of conventional “ash signature” in satellite data. This has implications for satellite monitoring of future water-rich/shallow submarine eruptions.

Alaska↗