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USGS2026

Regional characterization of coal resources in the Gulf Coast Coal Region—In support of coal as a potential source for critical minerals and rare earth elements

There is increasing interest in extracting critical minerals (CM), including rare earth elements (REE), from coals in the United States to address the overreliance on imported REE. The Gulf Coast and the Fort Union regions are the two major lignite-bearing regions within the United States. Recent REE and CM studies of the lignite in these regions have indicated that the coals may be a viable source material for REE and CM extraction. To evaluate in-place coal as a potential source of REE and CM, the coal resources need to be quantified. This study presents the results of a regional analysis of Gulf Coast Coal Region lignite and bituminous coal resources that might be available as potential sources of REE and CM. The resource analysis used kriging methods to develop isopleth maps of cumulative coal thickness throughout the region using data from drill holes and measured mine and outcrop sections for a total of 31,181 data points. The estimated total remaining coal resource in the Gulf Coast Coal Region is about 83 billion metric tons in the upper 90 meters (approximately 300 feet) of the subsurface. The current estimate of remaining coal resources includes approximately 1.88 billion metric tons of coal that have been extracted in the region since 1983. Texas accounted for 39 percent (32 billion metric tons) of the remaining total resource, followed by Mississippi (24 percent, 20 billion metric tons ), Louisiana (14 percent, 12 billion metric tons), Tennessee (10 percent, 8.5 billion metric tons), and Arkansas (6 percent, 5.1 billion metric tons). Alabama, Georgia, Kentucky, and Missouri each accounted for less than 5 percent of the total resource; Georgia had the smallest resource estimated at 7 million metric tons. Here we report the first known statewide lignite resource estimates for Georgia, Kentucky (820 million metric tons), and Missouri (1,800 million metric tons). A comparison of the results of this study with those of previous Gulf Coast Coal Region and Fort Union Coal Region resource studies is difficult because each study used different data sources, assessment methodologies, overburden depths, and qualifying coal thicknesses.

Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Lou↗

USGS2025

Cooling perspectives on the risk of pathogenic viruses from thawing permafrost

Climate change is inducing wide-scale permafrost thaw in the Arctic and subarctic, triggering concerns that long-dormant pathogens could reemerge from the thawing ground and initiate epidemics or pandemics. Viruses, as opposed to bacterial pathogens, garner particular interest because outbreaks cannot be controlled with antibiotics, though the effects can be mitigated by vaccines and newer antiviral drugs. To evaluate the potential hazards posed by viral pathogens emerging from thawing permafrost, we review information from a diverse range of disciplines. This includes efforts to recover infectious virus from human remains, studies on disease occurrence in polar animal populations, investigations into viral persistence and infectivity in permafrost, and assessments of human exposure to the enormous viral diversity present in the environment. Based on currently available knowledge, we conclude that the risk posed by viruses from thawing permafrost is no greater than viruses in other environments such as temperate soils and aquatic systems.

mSystems↗

USGS2026

Complex carbonate ore mineralogy in the Mountain Pass carbonatite rare earth element deposit, USA

Economic concentrations of rare earth element (REE) minerals are uncommon in the Earth’s crust, with most occurring in carbonatites. Unlike most igneous rocks composed of silicate minerals, carbonatites are dominated by carbonate minerals, some of which can incorporate significant light REEs (LREEs; La, Ce, Pr, Nd). Technological applications of REEs are numerous and they have been identified as some of the most critical mineral commodities to the global economy. The Mountain Pass carbonatite stock in the Mojave Desert of California is the most economically significant REE deposit in the USA and contains a few to tens of percent (by volume) of the carbonate REE ore mineral bastnäsite. Despite the economic significance of the Mountain Pass deposit, studies of its ore mineralogy are limited. Here we present new carbonate ore mineralogy data for a compositionally diverse suite of carbonatitic rocks from the Mountain Pass stock and related dikes. Whole-rock geochemical data are integrated with mineral-scale textural and chemical data obtained by scanning electron microscopy (SEM), electron probe microanalysis (EPMA), and microRaman spectroscopy. Our results document a complex spectrum of REE-bearing carbonate minerals and intermediate mixed-layer structures. Mineral species include bastnäsite [REE(CO 3 )F], hydroxylbastnäsite [REE(CO 3 )OH], parisite [Ca(REE) 2 (CO 3 ) 3 F 2 ], synchysite [Ca(REE)(CO 3 ) 2 F], röntgenite [Ca 2 (Ce,La) 3 (CO 3 ) 5 F 3 ], and sahamalite [(Mg,Fe 2+ )(REE) 2 (CO 3 ) 4 ]. Carbonate ore mineralogy is heterogeneous within and between samples, including at the intracrystal scale. Complexly zoned crystals exhibit as many as five to six different compositional domains and syntaxial intergrowths, commonly with the more Ca-rich varieties (parisite, synchysite) forming crystal rims that surround relict bastnäsite cores. We attribute the phenocryst variability to changes in the chemistry and temperature of primary carbonatite magmas and evolved/exsolved fluids. Cross-cutting vein textures of calcite, celestine and various REE carbonate minerals, interstitial bastnäsite crystallization, breccia blocks lined by fine-grained bastnäsite, and the presence of hydroxylbastnäsite and partially hydroxylated bastnäsite point to the role of secondary hydrothermal processes in REE mineralization. Fluorcarbonate mineral compositions demonstrate that La and Ce are more structurally abundant in bastnäsite, whereas the more Ca-rich species (parisite, synchysite) contain a greater proportion of REE heavier than Pr (Nd, Sm, Eu, Gd) and Y. Atomic ratios of Pr/(Nd + Pr) are likewise variable, with the highest average value for bastnäsite (0.25) compared to parisite (0.22) and sychysite (0.21). This finding has geometallurgical implications, given that current mining operations are focused on recovery of Nd and Pr for high field strength permanent magnets and the Nd/Pr ratios are a critical factor in ore processing and magnet manufacture.

California↗

USGS2025

Macroseismology

In this chapter I discuss the use of so-called macroseismic data, i.e., reports of damage and other effects of shaking on humans and the built environment, to improve the characterization of earthquakes and the ground motions they produce. Macroseismic data are critical not only to investigate earthquakes that occurred before the start of the instrumental era in seismology, but are also, by virtue of the spatially rich nature of the data, of tremendous potential importance to investigate early instrumental and even recent earthquakes. Fueled by both the advent of on-line systems that now produce unprecedented volumes of macroseismic intensity data and by recognition of the importance of understanding key historical earthquakes, there has been a growing appreciation for the value of macroseismic data. It is, however, critical to understand both the unique challenges and the unique opportunities associated with these data. I review the evolution of thought and practices regarding analysis of macroseismic data, and the use of such data to improve the characterization of historic and early instrumental earthquakes.

Book chapter↗

USGS2025

Overcoming the data limitations in landslide susceptibility modelling

Data-driven models widely used for assessing landslide susceptibility are severely limited by the landslide and environmental data needed to create them. They rely on inventories of past landslide locations, which are difficult to collect and often nonrepresentative. Furthermore, susceptibility maps are most needed in regions without the means to assemble an inventory. To overcome these challenges, we develop a method for assessing shallow landslide susceptibility based on a probabilistic morphometric analysis of the landscape’s topography, rather than the characteristics of landslides. The model assumes that hillslopes with higher relief and gradient compared to the surrounding landscape are more prone to landslides. We demonstrate the superior performance of this approach over contrasting data-driven models across the northwestern United States. As our morphometric model only requires elevation data, it overcomes the major limitations of data-driven models and facilitates the creation of effective susceptibility models in areas where it was previously unfeasible.

Oregon, Washington↗

USGS2026

Remote compositional analyses of space-weathered lunar maria

Visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) reflectance spectroscopy has revolutionized our understanding of planetary surface compositions. However, space-weathering processes on airless bodies complicate quantitative compositional analyses. Here, we present a framework to isolate the signatures of space weathering in VSWIR spectra of lunar maria by leveraging radiative transfer modeling under the assumptions that (i) a space-weathered target can be expressed as a mixture of fresh and fully space-weathered components and (ii) remaining signatures can be modeled by including agglutinates as an end-member component. We first validate this approach against laboratory spectra of space-weathered Apollo mare soils of known mineral compositions using a probabilistic Markov Chain Monte Carlo implementation of the Hapke radiative transfer model. Second, we illustrate how this approach can be applied to orbital Moon Mineralogy Mapper data. The proposed space-weathering correction workflow for lunar maria could be expanded to other lunar lithologies and applied to existing and future data sets.

Planetary Science Journal↗

USGS2025

Arctic fold-and-thrust belts

The modern Arctic has been formed through a series of continent–continent collisions, accretion of terranes and phases of crustal extension. The Neoproterozoic Timanian, Paleozoic Caledonian and Uralian, and late Mesozoic Verkhoyansk–Kolyma, Chukotkan and Brookian orogenies formed several large fold-and-thrust belts (FTBs). The FTBs are exposed across vast areas of continents and continue offshore to form a complex tectonic basement for thick sedimentary basins, playing an important role in the history of accumulation and deformation of younger unmetamorphosed sedimentary successions that are the subject of this volume. Recognition of the importance of FTBs in the Arctic geological history and their role as a controlling factor of development of Arctic sedimentary basins resulted in this chapter, in which we review the current state of knowledge about Arctic FTBs and highlight questions that remain to be addressed. Enclosure D , a map showing boundaries of the FTB and their internal first-order structural fabric, is a part of the overview.

Book chapter↗

USGS2024

Correction to A regime shift in sediment export from a coastal watershed during a record wet winter, California: Implications for landscape response to hydroclimatic extremes

In the referenced article, the authors would like to correct text in the first paragraph on page 2571, Figure 9 and its caption. The changes reflect an error made in the processing of the rainfall intensity-duration data used to compare storms to published debris flow triggering thresholds. The correctly processed data does not change the interpretations made in the paper but does correctly indicate that the investigated storms did not exceed the rainfall intensity – duration threshold of Cannon (1988) but did significantly exceed the debris flow triggering threshold of Wieczorek (1987).

Earth Surface Processes and Landforms↗

USGS2025

Prospectivity modeling of the NASA VIPER landing site at Mons Mouton near the Lunar South Pole

We use a high-resolution digital elevation model and a numerical thermal model to produce a variety of inputs for a water-ice prospectivity model for the Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover (VIPER) landing site. These input data are maps of topography, surface slope, surface aspect, surface curvature, maximum temperature, depth to ice stability, permanently shadowed regions (PSRs), distance to PSRs, and PSR density. This model predicts where water ice is most likely within the top meter of regolith, assuming plausible relationships between ice concentration and the various inputs. The model is designed to be adjusted in near-real time as data are collected during the VIPER mission. As such, it is a tool for both analyzing data from the mission as well as planning operations. Since the current model, at this point, relies only on orbital remote sensing, the final version will also be a tool to extrapolate the VIPER mission results across the lunar poles.

Planetary Science Journal↗

USGS2025

Rapid fault healing from cementation controls the dynamics of deep slow slip and tremor

Despite its status as one of the most important discoveries in geophysics, the physical mechanism(s) responsible for slow slip events (SSEs) are not well understood. Here, we synthesize observations of deep SSEs in the Cascadia Subduction Zone and argue that rapid, cohesive fault strengthening may control the dynamics of deep SSEs. Cohesive strength is frequently ignored in constitutive laws used to describe fault rheology in numerical simulations of earthquakes and SSEs alike. To demonstrate its importance, we perform and analyze a suite of petrological experiments that simulate fault healing under representative pressure and temperature conditions. We show that significant cohesive strength recovery caused by dissolution-precipitation processes occurs on timescales of just a few hours. Together, our experimental and observational results support the idea that cohesion is a key component of fault strength under SSE conditions and highlight the need for its inclusion in both future experiments and numerical models of fault slip.

British Columbia, Washington↗

USGS2025

Long-term dynamics of earthquake swarms in the Yellowstone caldera

The factors controlling the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of earthquake swarms in volcanic systems remain unclear. We leverage leading-edge deep learning algorithms and a detailed three-dimensional velocity model to construct a 15-year high-resolution earthquake catalog of the Yellowstone caldera region. More than half of the region’s earthquakes are clustered into swarm-like families characterized by episodes of hypocenter expansion and migration. Adjacent earthquake swarms, separated by long quiescent periods, are found to be a dominant feature. We suggest that these swarms are controlled by the interplay between slowly diffusing aqueous fluids and rapid episodic fluid injections, which may result from the breaking of permeability seals. Our analyses also indicate that clustered seismicity beneath the caldera occurs on relatively immature, rougher fault structures, compared to more planar faults outside. Our results provide additional context for understanding seismicity in hydrothermal systems, highlighting the key role played by long-term fluid diffusion processes in driving the occurrence of earthquake swarms.

Idaho, Montana, Wyoming↗

USGS2024

Earthquake effects surveyed during the nineteenth century as ecological features of Chinookan tidelands

Lasting effects of a Cascadia earthquake in 1700 were documented during surveys of Chinookan tidelands near the mouth of the Columbia River between 1805 and 1868. The effects resemble estuarine consequences, near Anchorage, of the 1964 Alaska earthquake: fatal drowning of subsided meadows and forests by post-earthquake tides, rebirth of marshes and forests through post-earthquake sedimentation, and uplift. Chinookan remains of killed forests were recorded by James Graham Cooper, John J. Lowell, and Cleveland Rockwell. Cooper, attached to a railroad survey and the Smithsonian Institution, wrote of redcedar stumps and trunks standing dead in tidal marshes of Shoalwater (now Willapa) Bay. Two such snags served as bearing trees for Lowell as he platted a Shoalwater Bay township under contract with the General Land Office. Rockwell, of the US Coast Survey, flecked landward edges of tidal flats west of Astoria with symbols that evoke remains of a bygone spruce forest. The Lewis and Clark Expedition, while in that area in 1805–1806, mapped and puzzled over tideland vegetation that post-1700 succession helps explain.

Alaska, British Columbia, California, Oregon, Wash↗

USGS2026

Special issue “The 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquake and seismic swarm”

The 2024 Mw7.5 (M JMA 7.6) Noto Peninsula earthquake struck the Noto Peninsula, central Japan on January 1, 2024, causing widespread damage. This Mw7.5 mainshock, together with the prolonged seismic swarm that persisted in the northeastern Noto Peninsula since the end of 2020, of which the largest event was the 2023 M JMA 6.5 earthquake, constitutes one of the most significant seismic sequences in Japan in recent decades. The sequence provides a rare opportunity to investigate the complex interplay among swarm activity, fluid migration, fault geometry and distribution, and the preparatory conditions required for a large inland crustal earthquake. Motivated by this scientific context, this special issue brings together studies examining the sequence from diverse disciplinary perspectives, incorporating seismic, geodetic, and tsunami-related observations and modelling.

Noto Peninsula↗

USGS2024

Evaluation of the lithium resource in the Smackover Formation brines of southern Arkansas using machine learning

Global demand for lithium, the primary component of lithium-ion batteries, greatly exceeds known supplies, and this imbalance is expected to increase as the world transitions away from fossil fuel energy sources. High concentrations of lithium in brines have been observed in the Smackover Formation in southern Arkansas (>400 milligrams per liter). We used published and newly collected brine lithium concentration data to train a random forest machine-learning model using geologic, geochemical, and temperature explanatory variables and create a map of predicted lithium concentrations in Smackover Formation brines across southern Arkansas. Using these predicted lithium maps with reservoir parameters and geologic information, we calculated that there are 5.1 to 19 million tons of lithium in Smackover Formation brines in southern Arkansas, which represents 35 to 136% of the current US lithium resource estimate. Based on these calculations, in 2022, 5000 tons of dissolved lithium were brought to the surface within brines as waste streams of the oil, gas, and bromine industries.

Arkansas↗

USGS2026

Tectonic controls on volcanism and associated hydrothermal activity in a sediment-dominated mid-ocean ridge; Escanaba Trough

Mid-ocean ridges, the Earth's most extensive volcanic system, exhibit unique characteristics in sediment-dominant environments. Thick sediment cover insulates the crust and channels fluid along pathways that can lead to the formation of distinct crustal alteration patterns, exceptionally large mineral deposits, and specialized chemosynthetic ecosystems. This study presents an interdisciplinary investigation into the tectonics of the Escanaba Trough, a heavily sedimented axial valley at the southern Gorda Ridge in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. A primary challenge in such environments is overcoming the masking effect of thick sediments on basement structures that control magmatic and hydrothermal activity. We address this by employing three-dimensional (3D) magnetic modeling of high-resolution near-seafloor magnetic data collected by an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV). The 2022 surveys with AUV Sentry provided data for 3D magnetic susceptibility models, refining our understanding of the geometry of sub-sediment laccoliths/saucer-shaped sills and hydrothermal alteration. In conjunction with a new 1:100,000 scale lithostratigraphic map, we outline the tectonic controls on the emplacement of Escanaba Trough's three main volcanic centers, characterize the geometry of its spreading segments, and provide volumetric data on the distribution of sub-sediment volcanism in the southern Gorda Ridge.

Escanaba Trough, Pacific Ocean↗

USGS2026

Widespread abyssal turbidites record megathrust earthquake-triggered landslides and coseismic deformation in the Cascadia subduction zone

Abyssal marine turbidites provide some of the longest and most spatially extensive records of subduction zone earthquake recurrence globally; however, correlation of these deposits over long distances and interpretation of synchronous emplacement requires both an understanding of the turbidite generating systems and precise dating. Here, we present an integrated suite of high-resolution bathymetry, subbottom profiles, and sediment cores from combined autonomous underwater vehicle, remotely operated vehicle, and ship-based studies at a key paleoseismic site in the southern Cascadia subduction zone. We demonstrate how widespread, earthquake-triggered landslides on the lower slope deposit discrete, proximal mass transport deposits (MTDs) that grade offshore into complex, interfingered abyssal turbidites, which correspond to records of megathrust earthquake history. We propose accretion and oversteepening of thrust folds on the lower slope both preconditions the slope to fail and provides a perpetual source of unstable material to fail during every earthquake cycle. Furthermore, we suggest the periodic and pervasive landsliding indicates coseismic deformation of the outer accretionary wedge during megathrust rupture.

California, Oregon↗

USGS2026

Future water constraints on United States lithium mining under climate change

Lithium is necessary for low-carbon technologies that combat climate change, but lithium extraction is water-intensive. Changes in temperature and precipitation arising from climate change are altering water distribution, which could further strain supplies for new mines and industry, farms, and households. Here we explored how climate change, water use, and mining siting could impact lithium mining in the United States. We analyzed whether there would be sufficient water available to support the single existing and 22 proposed U.S. lithium mines at mid-century under four socioeconomic-climate scenarios and five climate models. Though dependent on socioeconomic-climate scenario, climate model, and lithium deposit type, available water supply in most subbasins would likely be unable to support new mines’ water demands, or even non-mining water demands from other sectors. Water scarcity could hinder the ability of the United States to produce enough lithium to meet domestic demand thereby necessitating higher imports.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2025

Memory and jamming in fault zone sediments

Many subsurface processes involve transitions in granular material states, from arrested to creeping to flowing. Experiments and frameworks for idealized systems reveal that granular fabrics develop during shearing, co-evolve with applied stress, and govern such transitions. We use microtomography to test whether fabrics at two San Andreas fault sites reflect slip history and whether idealized frameworks extend to nature. Near-surface sediments within the fault zone transition between deformation patterns over the seismic cycle, including bulk/localized grain re-arrangements, individual grain fracturing, and localized zones of fracturing. Aseismic and co-seismic shearing produce distinct preferred grain orientations. Co-seismic fabrics can be preserved after centuries of aseismic strain, aseismic fabrics may be overprinted, and grain size and coordination number influence the fabrics. Idealized frameworks, namely anisotropic critical state theory, frictional jamming, and material memory, can explain our observations, and fault zone sediments likely undergo cycles of memory creation and erasure that influence rigidity spatiotemporally.

California↗