Effects of rice idling on occupancy dynamics and survival of giant gartersnakes ( Thamnophis gigas ) in the Sacramento Valley, California, 2016–24

Abstract

The giant gartersnake ( Thamnophis gigas ) is a semi-aquatic species of snake endemic to marshes and sloughs in the Central Valley of California. Because the Central Valley has lost a substantial amount of wetland habitat, giant gartersnake populations are typically found in aquatic habitats associated with rice ( Oryza sativa ) agriculture. Therefore, changes to the amount and location of rice agriculture on the landscape could affect giant gartersnake populations. We present analyses of 9 years of data examining how the occurrence of giant gartersnakes is affected by rice idling. We sampled agricultural canals associated with active rice fields and fallowed fields at 119 sites from 2016 through 2024. We captured giant gartersnakes at 95 of 119 sites sampled during our study, totaling 5,269 captures of 2,687 individuals. We used these capture data, as well as data on the trapping effort, habitat, vegetation, prey availability, and amount of active rice growing at each site, to estimate occupancy and detection probabilities of giant gartersnakes. Mean daily detection probability at a site was 0.38 (95-percent credible interval 0.22–0.56). Given the mean daily detection probability, the probability of detecting giant gartersnakes at an occupied site at least once during a 21-day sampling period within a given year was greater than (>) 0.99 (>0.99 to much greater than [>>] 0.99). The spatial extent of active rice growing within a 2-kilometer buffer of a site was positively correlated with initial site occupancy and the probability of site colonization. Giant gartersnake population density (hereinafter, density) estimated using spatially explicit capture-recapture models, varied among traplines and years, with densities consistently highest in the Butte basin. The annual population growth rate also varied among site-clusters and years, with no temporal trend of growth or decline among sites. Annual apparent survival of giant gartersnakes varied slightly between years and among site clusters, with overall mean annual apparent survival of 0.51 (95-percent credible interval 0.34–0.71) for female snakes and 0.45 (0.30–0.63) for male snakes. The amount of rice in the surrounding landscape was positively correlated to giant gartersnake survival. Rice contributes positively to giant gartersnake occurrence, colonization, and survival, and maximizing the amount of rice agriculture within 4 kilometers of canals with giant gartersnake populations would likely minimize the effects of rice idling on these populations.