Surface ice effects on water levels, wave dynamics and wave runup

Erdinc Sogut; Alfredo Aretxabaleta; Andrew Ashton; Deniz Velioglu Sogut; Kara S. Doran; Margaret L. Palmsten

doi:10.1029/2024jc022216

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Surface ice effects on water levels, wave dynamics and wave runup

Erdinc Sogut·Alfredo Aretxabaleta·Andrew Ashton·Deniz Velioglu Sogut·Kara S. Doran·Margaret L. Palmsten

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Abstract

Surface ice-induced changes in hydrodynamics may have significant implications on coastal hazards such as erosion and flooding. The objective of this study was to investigate how Lake Superior's water levels (WLs) and wave dynamics, that is, hydrodynamics, as well as the wave power and wave runup are influenced by the formation of surface ice. This study utilized a coupled circulation and spectral wave model, ADvanced CIRCulation Model (ADCIRC) + Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN). In this study, we considered six different ice-on, incorporating either ice thickness or concentration, and one hypothetical ice-free, ignoring any form of ice forcing, scenarios. The impact of surface ice on lake's WLs was found to be fairly insignificant. In contrast, surface ice-induced modifications in wave spectra resulted in smaller significant wave heights but longer peak wave periods. These observations were attributed to less energetic and narrower wave spectra of ice-on models compared to that of the ice-free model. The power loss caused by surface ice in a month was found to have enough capacity to meet the electrical demands of 55–100 households for an entire year in the United States. According to wave runup comparisons of ice-on and ice-free models at different regions, the effect of surface ice on wave runup could potentially exacerbate the adverse effect of coastal flooding by increasing the wave runup more than 20 cm. Such a geographic variation in the wave runup was observed to be influenced by the distance traveled by the waves within the ice field and duration of ice-wave interaction.

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Source-reported bounding extent: 46.39998810407942° to 49.03966846228119° latitude; -92.16156005859375° to -84.31732177734375° longitude. This indicates report coverage, not an exact sampling location. View area on OpenStreetMap.

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Erdinc Sogut, Alfredo Aretxabaleta, Andrew Ashton, Deniz Velioglu Sogut, Kara S. Doran, Margaret L. Palmsten. 2025-07-21. Surface ice effects on water levels, wave dynamics and wave runup. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024jc022216

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