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USGS · 70218814

Extrinsically reinforced hybrid speciation within Holarctic ermine (Mustela spp.) produces an insular endemic

Abstract

Aim Refugial isolation during glaciation is an established driver of speciation; however, the opposing role of interglacial population expansion, secondary contact, and gene flow on the diversification process remains less understood. The consequences of glacial cycling on diversity are complex and especially so for archipelago species, which experience dramatic fluctuations in connectivity in response to both lower sea levels during glacial events and increased fragmentation during glacial recession. We test whether extended refugial isolation has led to the divergence of genetically and morphologically distinct species within Holarctic ermine ( Mustela erminea ), a small cosmopolitan carnivore species that harbours 34 extant subspecies, 14 of which are insular endemics. Location Holarctic. Methods We use genetic sequences (complete mitochondrial genomes, four nuclear genes) from >100 ermine (stoats) and geometric morphometric data for >200 individuals (27 of the 34 extant subspecies) from across their Holarctic range to provide an integrative perspective on diversification and endemism across this complex landscape. Multiple species delimitation methods ( iBPP , bPTP ) assessed congruence between morphometric and genetic data. Results Our results support the recognition of at least three species within the M. erminea complex, coincident with three of four genetic clades, tied to diversification in separate glacial refugia. We found substantial geographic variation within each species, with geometric morphometric results largely consistent with historical infraspecific taxonomy. Main conclusions Phylogeographic structure mirrors patterns of diversification in other Holarctic species, with a major Nearctic‐Palearctic split, but with greater intraspecific morphological diversity. Recognition of insular endemic species M. haidarum is consistent with a deep history of refugial persistence and highlights the urgency of mindful management of island populations along North America's North Pacific Coast. Significant environmental modification (e.g. industrial‐scale logging, mining) has been proposed for a number of these islands, which may elevate the risk of extinction of insular palaeoendemics.

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BibTeXRIS

Jocelyn P. Colella, Lindsey Frederick, Sandra L. Talbot, Joe Cook. 2021. Extrinsically reinforced hybrid speciation within Holarctic ermine (Mustela spp.) produces an insular endemic. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13234

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Null models reveal differing drivers of multidimensional beta diversity change in invaded metacommunities

Aim Invasion-driven changes in beta diversity (Δβ) are multifaceted (taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic) and are comprised of three components (total beta diversity, replacement, and richness difference); therefore, they represent a nine-dimensional phenomenon. Invasion-driven trajectories of multidimensional Δβ are inconsistent and can vary based on the geographic origin of nonnative species, native community structure, and site attributes. Here, we examine the drivers of multidimensional Δβ to better understand how nonnative species alter biodiversity. Location 1023 wadable-stream fish communities across the conterminous United States. Methods We characterized nine dimensions of Δβ as changes in local contribution to beta diversity (ΔLCBD) derived from pairwise beta diversity of all 1023 sites between contemporary and native-only assemblages at each site. We used redundancy analysis and variance partitioning to identify and estimate the relative importance of 18 Δβ drivers related to nonnative species origin, propagule pressure, abiotic factors, and native community structure. We compared results between those from raw and null model standardized LCBD. Results We found an overall trend of taxonomic homogenization due to nonnative species occurrences. However, null model standardization revealed inconsistent directional change in functional and phylogenetic Δβ, and also revealed Δβ patterns and drivers that differed from those of raw values. Sites did not contribute evenly to overall Δβ trends, with nonnative species origin and native community structure explaining the most variation in ΔLCBD (16% and 15% respectively). Nonnative occurrences, regardless of origin, contributed to taxonomic homogenization, with the magnitude of change dependent on origin. Native community structure dictated the direction of phylogenetic Δβ, with phylogenetically distinct sites contributing to homogenization. Conclusions Our findings demonstrate the utility in using LCBD to identify site-level drivers of Δβ and the need for null model standardization of multidimensional Δβ metrics. Additionally, our results show that spatially explicit definitions of nonnative species are needed to gain robust estimates of Δβ.

conterminous United States↗

Predicted range shifts of non‐native grasses in response to climate change are influenced by photosynthetic pathway: A case study in the Hawaiian Islands

Aim Grasses comprise three main photosynthetic pathway variants (C 3 -BOP, C 3 -PACMAD and C 4 -PACMAD hereafter referred to as C 4 ). We sought to confirm climate niche differences among these photosynthetic pathway variants and assessed whether predicted non-native grass range shift patterns with climate change differ among photosynthetic pathway variants. Location Hawaiian Islands. Methods We used a species distribution modelling (SDM) approach that uses global occurrence records to inform local SDM based on local (Hawaiian Islands) occurrences. We compared climate niches and projected climate-driven range shifts, assuming moderate climate change (RCP 4.5, end of century), among 22 non-native grasses representing C 3 -BOP, C 3 -PACMAD and C 4 photosynthetic pathway variants. Results C 4 grasses exhibited the warmest temperature niches on average, but did not differ substantially in rainfall niche versus C 3 -BOP grasses. C 3 -PACMAD species averaged high suitability across a broad range of temperatures and rainfall conditions, except extreme aridity. In response to projected climate change, C 4 grasses had projected range increases. C 3 -BOP grasses typically responded with net range decreases, while C 3 -PACMAD grasses had variable range responses. However, patterns were contingent on elevation: for instance, the projected expansion of C 4 grasses was generally limited to elevations below 2000 m, with the largest increases in areas up to ~750 m. Areas of greatest reduction for C 3 -BOP and C 3 -PACMAD were projected at 750–1900 m and 100–1100 m elevation, respectively. Above 2000 m, range increases were projected for both C 3 grass variants. Main Conclusions Our projections suggest that non-native C 4 grasses pose the greatest risk for increasing spread and impacts under RCP 4.5, while certain C 3 -PACMAD grasses may endanger valuable high-elevation habitats. Photosynthetic pathway may be a useful component of weed risk assessment to evaluate how species may respond to climate change as similar range response patterns may be expected for other non-native grasses in other tropical and subtropical regions.

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Changes in spatial distribution and abundance together determine potential for population persistence for greater sage-grouse

Aim Population ecologists often focus on changes in the distribution and abundance of wildlife species, which are useful for trend analyses and status assessments. However, rarely are these responses evaluated simultaneously for a single species, despite their unique contributions to fully assess a species' viability. For example, focusing solely on total abundance can mask important losses in overall distribution within a metapopulation structure that may contribute to long-term population instability that results from the extirpation of small peripheral populations. Location Bi-State region of Nevada and California, USA. Methods We simultaneously evaluated changes in population abundance and distribution for greater sage-grouse (hereafter sage-grouse; Centrocercus urophasianus ) within the Bi-State Distinct Population Segment (DPS), a genetically distinct and isolated population straddling the border of Nevada and California. We combined population counts, demographic data, and information on space use from marked individuals to evaluate changes in population distribution and abundance over three time periods that corresponded to the three most recent population nadirs (1995–2019, 2002–2019 and 2008–2019). Results The Bi-State DPS exhibited evidence of ~1.2%–2.5% declines annually, over the short/medium-term (1995–2019; λ^ = 0.987, 95% CRI: 0.970–0.999), short-term (2002–2019; λ^ = 0.975, 95% CRI: 0.963–0.985) and recent-term (2008–2019; λ^ = 0.988, 95% CRI: 0.973–1.001). Since 1995, the spatial distribution of sage-grouse abundance in the Bi-State DPS shifted amongst subpopulations, with peripheral subpopulations suffering the largest declines. Main Conclusions Gains in abundance and distribution amongst expanding subpopulations did not offset losses in the remaining subpopulations, with a net loss in occupied distribution of 156 km 2 since 1995. Reductions in spatial distribution could have implications for metapopulation persistence as peripheral populations become more vulnerable to stochastic events, which would not have been apparent from the evaluation of overall metapopulation abundance on its own.

California, Nevada↗