Drought stress and hurricane defoliation influence mountain clouds and moisture recycling in a tropical forest

Martha A. Scholl; Maoya Bassiouni; Angel J. Torres-Sanchez

doi:10.1073/pnas.2021646118

Home/Archive/USGS

USGS · 70218215

Drought stress and hurricane defoliation influence mountain clouds and moisture recycling in a tropical forest

Martha A. Scholl·Maoya Bassiouni·Angel J. Torres-Sanchez

View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Mountain ranges generate clouds, precipitation, and perennial streamflow for water supplies, but the role of forest cover in mountain hydrometeorology and cloud formation is not well understood. In the Luquillo Experimental Forest of Puerto Rico, mountains are immersed in clouds nightly, providing a steady precipitation source to support the tropical forest ecosystems and human uses. A severe drought in 2015 and the removal of forest canopy (defoliation) by Hurricane Maria in 2017 created natural experiments to examine interactions between the living forest and hydroclimatic processes. These unprecedented land-based observations over 4.5 y revealed that the orographic cloud system was highly responsive to local land-surface moisture and energy balances moderated by the forest. Cloud layer thickness and immersion frequency on the mountain slope correlated with antecedent rainfall, linking recycled terrestrial moisture to the formation of mountain clouds; and cloud-base altitude rose during drought stress and posthurricane defoliation. Changes in diurnal cycles of temperature and vapor-pressure deficit and an increase in sensible versus latent heat flux quantified local meteorological response to forest disturbances. Temperature and water vapor anomalies along the mountain slope persisted for at least 12 mo posthurricane, showing that understory recovery did not replace intact forest canopy function. In many similar settings around the world, prolonged drought, increasing temperatures, and deforestation could affect orographic cloud precipitation and the humans and ecosystems that depend on it.

Explore related subjects

PNAS Article

Source-reported bounding extent: 18.152376614237202° to 18.449649414656722° latitude; -65.94543457031249° to -65.5718994140625° longitude. This indicates report coverage, not an exact sampling location. View area on OpenStreetMap.

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeX RIS

Martha A. Scholl, Maoya Bassiouni, Angel J. Torres-Sanchez. 2021-02-09. Drought stress and hurricane defoliation influence mountain clouds and moisture recycling in a tropical forest. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2021646118

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

USGS2026

Recent high-severity wildfires in a dry-conifer landscape are unprecedented over five centuries and foretell future forest loss

Dry forests of the western United States evolved with frequent, spatially extensive, low-severity fires, followed by a century of fire exclusion. Recently, these same forests have experienced large and increasingly severe fires causing widespread forest loss. To what extent do modern high-severity fires depart from pre-1900 fire regimes, and how do these departures affect the future persistence of dry-conifer forests? We address these questions using a multiscalar approach that combines the largest landscape-scale tree-ring fire-scar network in North America with neutral landscape model simulations in the Jemez Mountains of northern New Mexico. Fire scars recorded a continuous 400-y history (ca. 1500–1900 CE) of frequent, low-severity fires across individual sites, landscapes, and centuries. We evaluated whether forests exhibiting this record could plausibly persist if they had historically burned under modern patterns of high-severity fire. Across the 240,000-ha Jemez landscape, high-severity fires from 1995–2024 burned 32% of fire-scar sites and 25% of dry-conifer forests. Within the Las Conchas Fire perimeter—a 61,000 ha area reburned by multiple fires—66% of fire-scar sites and 71% of forests were burned at high severity, erasing multiple centuries of forest and fire history. Simulations indicate that the probability of the observed fire-scar network persisting under modern high-severity fire rates is near-zero ( P < 0.001). Projecting these dynamics forward indicates rapid loss of both dry-conifer forests and tree-ring fire histories—50% of modern dry-conifer forest will remain by 2055, and 24% by 2115. Modern high-severity fire regimes appear incompatible with dry-conifer forest persistence.

New Mexico↗

USGS2026

Postglacial ecosystem development of a hydrothermal landscape in Yellowstone National Park

The Yellowstone geo-ecosystem has been the subject of much research, but the ecological history of the Yellowstone Plateau volcanic field and its iconic geyser basins is less known. In this investigation, paleoenvironmental analyses of sediment cores from lakes in Lower Geyser Basin were compared with regional records and paleoclimate model simulations to reconstruct the vegetation, wildfire, limnology, hydrothermal dynamics, and climate drivers since deglaciation, 15,000 to 14,000 years ago. Pollen data from Lower Geyser Basin lakes reveal the strong influence of infertile rhyolitic soils on vegetation history: an initial late-glacial steppe was replaced by lodgepole pine forest from 12.8 to 11.0 ka, with little change in forest composition or cover thereafter despite changing climate. This stability contrasts with the more dynamic vegetation response on nonrhyolite substrates in the Yellowstone region where nutrient and moisture availability is greater. Highest wildfire activity and low lake nutrient levels in Lower Geyser Basin occurred from 12 to 4 ka, when summers were substantially warmer and drier and fire-inducing vapor pressure deficits were 29 to 56% higher. The hydrothermal history, inferred from sedimentary arsenic and cesium abundances, was spatially and temporally variable but lake-forming hydrothermal events align with periods of abundant moisture. Thus, long-term changes in wildfire, limnology, and, to some extent, hydrothermal activity were governed by insolation-driven climate variations, whereas the vegetation response was muted and constrained by geologic processes. These findings suggest that warmer, drier conditions in the future could result in less hydrothermal activity yet little change in forest cover across the Yellowstone Plateau volcanic field despite more wildfires.

Idaho, Montana, Wyoming↗

USGS2025

Rising rates of wildfire building destruction in the conterminous United States

Many regions of the world have seen an increase in highly destructive wildfires, driven by well-documented increases in burned area and growth of housing in the wildland–urban interface (WUI), which exposes more homes to fire. However, it is unclear whether wildfires are also becoming more destructive due to changes in wildfire behavior or in the development patterns of exposed communities. Here, we assessed trends in wildfire building exposure and destruction rates in the conterminous United States from 2002 to 2022. We mapped destroyed and surviving buildings within 100 m of all wildfires that destroyed 10 or more buildings (n = 362) and assessed trends relative to major ecoregions and vegetation types. We used logistic regression to assess relationships between destruction rates and landscape factors. We found that 10% of exposed buildings were destroyed in 2002–2012, but this percentage increased to 32% in 2013–2022. This increase was largely due to greater building exposure in evergreen forests in the northwestern United States, where exposed buildings were more than 3.4 times as likely to be destroyed as those in grass and shrublands. However, annual destruction rates also significantly increased in all other vegetation types and were correlated with development type, weather, and burn severity. These results indicate that increasing wildfire destruction in the United States has resulted not only from increased exposure but from rising rates of building destruction, potentially indicating more extreme wildfire behavior. This finding underscores the need to better understand how fuel management, community planning, and hardening buildings can reduce vulnerability.

conterminous United States↗