Geology Reports⌕ Search
Home/Archive/USGS

USGS · 1001816

Response of nesting ducks to predator exclosures and water conditions during drought

Lewis M. Cowardin·Pamela J. Pietz·John T. Lokemoen·H. Thomas Sklebar
View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

We investigated whether small predator exclosures might be a useful tool for increasing duck recruitment. During a period of increasing drought from 1987 to 1991, we monitored populations of dabbling ducks on 9 51-km2 study areas, 3 of which contained a centrally located 25-ha predator exclosure and 3 of which served as control areas. We did not detect an increase in duck pairs per treated area/pairs per control area with time (P = 0.37). However, an index to the proportion of females nesting in exclosures increased with time for 4 of 5 dabbling duck species: mallards (Anas platyrhynchos; P < 0.001), gadwalls (A. strepera; P = 0.009), blue-winged teal (A. discors; P = 0.021), and northern pintails (A. acuta; P = 0.009). This index did not increase for northern shovelers (A. clypeata; P = 0.33). A regression ratio estimate of breeding population used in this study produced results similar to ratio estimates based on area of land or area of water. Duck populations declined on North Dakota study areas as drought increased, but populations remained relatively stable on a Minnesota study area. Pair numbers were positively related to area of ponds for all species (P = 0.000-0.078) and to number of ponds (P = 0.0006-0.014) for all species except gadwall (P = 0.35). Area of ponds explained more variation in pair numbers than did number of ponds for all species except shovelers. As the number of ponds decreased, the number of pairs per pond increased for mallards (P = 0.001) and gadwalls (P = 0.004) but not for teal (P = 0.67), shovelers (P = 0.76), or pintails (P = 0.93). Nest densities inside exclosures averaged 1.2 nests/ha, and nest success averaged 72% over 5 years, which was substantially higher than in similar habitat outside exclosures. Our inability to detect a change in duck pairs per treated area/pairs per control area was probably a result of small sample size, drought, and variability among study areas. However, the increase in proportion of the study area populations nesting inside exclosures, as well as high nest success and density inside exclosures, suggests that management of a small area can increase duck recruitment from a population in a larger surrounding area.

Explore related subjects

Journal of Wildlife ManagementArticle

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Lewis M. Cowardin, Pamela J. Pietz, John T. Lokemoen, H. Thomas Sklebar. 1998. Response of nesting ducks to predator exclosures and water conditions during drought. https://doi.org/10.2307/3802273

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

USGS2026

Validating antler- and movement-based estimates of caribou reproduction using video camera collars

Wildlife agencies invest substantial resources in monitoring ungulate reproductive rates given ongoing concerns about population trends and their implications for management. For barren-ground caribou ( Rangifer tarandus ) in the North American Arctic, data on parturition and neonate survival have traditionally been collected using visual observations of antler retention and calf presence from small, fixed-wing aircraft. However, these surveys are weather-dependent, expensive, and dangerous, motivating the development of movement-based approaches that infer reproductive events from global positioning system (GPS) location data. We had the unique opportunity to use video camera collars to validate both antler- and movement-based methods for estimating reproduction in barren-ground caribou, using data from the Porcupine (2018–2023) and Western Arctic (2021, 2023) herds in Alaska, USA, and Yukon, Canada. For the movement-based approaches, we assessed individual-based and population-based methods, which both inferred parturition following a sharp decline in movement and inferred calf loss following a sharp increase in movement. We investigated these approaches using rarified 1-, 2-, 4-, and 8-hour fix intervals. Based on video collar observations, we found that antler retention at the onset of the calving period was highly accurate for predicting parturition (96% accuracy) but became unreliable as calving progressed, as approximately 80% of parturient females shed their antlers during the calving period. In contrast, both movement methods performed marginally for estimating caribou parturition (~70% accuracy), with estimates from the individual-based method exhibiting greater bias than those from the population-based method. The individual-based method also poorly predicted neonate survival (≤49% accuracy for detecting parturition and calf fate for the Porcupine Herd). Video data revealed that inaccuracies with the movement methods often occurred when caribou bedded during storms, rested after traversing mountainous terrain, lost a calf shortly after birth, or increased movement to evade insects. These results have important implications for management agencies using antler- and movement-based methods to estimate caribou reproduction, particularly when informing assessments of population decline or recovery. Our results demonstrate the utility of video collar data for validating reproductive monitoring approaches and provide insights into how these approaches can be improved.

Alaska, Yukon↗
USGS2026

Ringtail (Bassariscus astutus) survival in southwestern Oregon

The effective conservation and management of small carnivore populations requires understanding species’ life-history traits and identifying important vital rates that drive population trajectories. However, many of these species are rare or elusive and of state or federal conservation concern, and demographic information is often lacking and difficult to obtain. At the northern limit of their range in Oregon, USA, ringtail ( Bassariscus astutus ) occupy mid-elevation forests and are a species of conservation concern because of their limited distribution and suspected low density. We initiated a radio-telemetry study in 2020 to estimate monthly and annual survival of ringtail in southwest Oregon. We monitored 26 ringtail from November 2020 to October 2022 and estimated survival rates using a known-fate framework and Program MARK. Model-averaged monthly survival estimates ranged from lows of 0.963 (SE = 0.022, 95% CI = 0.887–0.988) in spring (Feb–May) of 2021 to highs of 0.980 (SE = 0.018, 95% CI = 0.889–0.997) in summer (Jun–Oct) of 2022. Model-averaged estimates of annual survival were 0.695 (SE = 0.176, 95% CI = 0.310–0.920) during 2020–2021 and 0.728 (SE = 0.168, 95% CI = 0.336–0.934) during 2021–2022. Predation was the leading cause of mortality, but notably, no mortalities could be attributed to avian predation. Survival rates were much higher within forested landscapes in Oregon than for populations in the southwestern United States, which may have implications for regional conservation and management strategies.

Oregon↗
USGS2026

Linking distribution and return-on-investment models to optimize woody management for prairie grouse in Nebraska

Grasslands in Nebraska, USA, face threats from agricultural conversion, urban development, and woody encroachment, all of which negatively affect prairie grouse ( Tympanuchus spp.) populations. To optimize conservation planning, Nebraska wildlife agencies developed probabilistic area-based surveys for greater prairie-chicken ( T. cupido ) and sharp-tailed grouse ( T. phasianellus ) to sample landscapes across a range of environmental conditions. This design improves historical surveys and enables the development of distribution models that quantitatively define habitat associations and support scenario-based conservation planning. Using survey data collected during 2020–2022, we modeled prairie grouse occurrence and abundance as functions of land cover, topography, and climate using Bayesian logistic and zero-inflated negative binomial models with regularized horseshoe priors. We then conducted a maximum potential return-on-investment analysis of woody cover treatments, assuming sustained treatment success, relative to projected impacts of woody encroachment on prairie grouse populations by 2050. Among modeled associations were a positive association with grasslands having low woody cover and a negative association with grasslands having high woody cover. Across the 3-year period, median estimated annual populations were 142,380 for greater prairie-chicken (range of 95% CIs across years = 68,821–277,615) and 64,154 for sharp-tailed grouse (range of 95% CIs across years = 27,550–146,559). Under projected woody encroachment, mean predicted population declines were 10% for greater prairie-chicken (range of 95% CIs = 7–14%) and 6% for sharp-tailed grouse (range of 95% CIs = 5–7%). Areas with high prairie grouse density and low treatment costs in 2021, and high projected woody encroachment and population loss by 2050, offered the greatest return on investment for woody management. Return on investment was greatest in the northwestern Shortgrass Prairie ecoregion (northwestern Nebraska) for sharp-tailed grouse and the eastern Sandhills ecoregion (central Nebraska) for both species. These models underscore the value of evidence-based, quantitative approaches for prioritizing conservation actions on working lands. Scenario-based modeling could be extended to guide other treatments, such as optimizing restoration (e.g., Conservation Reserve Program) or incentivizing grassland persistence in areas with predicted climate resilience.

Nebraska↗