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Research about Wyoming

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Wyoming.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Experimentally quantifying how long recreation noise displaces mammals: Recovery over weeks to months varies by disturbance type and species tolerance

Outdoor recreation is expanding across public lands, yet managers lack evidence for how long wildlife responses to recreation persist and whether response duration depends on disturbance type and frequency. Using a field-based acoustic playback experiment in the Bridger–Teton National Forest, Wyoming, USA, we isolated recreation noise from other components of human presence and quantified how long mammal detections took to return to baseline. Across 12 sites over two field seasons, we broadcast motorized and non-motorized recreation sounds at rates mimicking high- and low-use trails, paired with nature-sound controls. We quantified treatment effects as deviations from expected weekly detections at our control sites, defining time-to-return as the first week when deviations overlapped zero. Response duration differed between disturbance types. High-rate motorized playbacks produced the longest suppression: all species except mule deer did not return to baseline within our 15-week season, whereas mule deer recovered by six weeks. For high-rate non-motorized playbacks, all species except for mule deer had suppressed detections until seven weeks while mule deer detections were not different from baseline. For low-rate non-motorized playbacks, mule deer detections returned to baseline at nine weeks while all other species returned to baseline at seven weeks. Species differences indicate that apparent overall recovery can mask prolonged avoidance by less tolerant taxa. Recreation effects persisted for weeks to months and varied with disturbance type and exposure frequency, highlighting how temporal patterns of use influence wildlife responses and where recreational planning of spatial refugia or seasonal restrictions could reduce impacts on sensitive species.

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Foraging benefits promote fitness in migratory mule deer

Although migration is widespread among ungulates, the fitness benefits associated with different migratory tactics have rarely been documented. Here, we evaluated a 9-year dataset on a migratory population of mule deer to test the hypothesis that long-distance migration provides access to seasonal forage which translates into demographic benefits. Mule deer that migrated long (>130 km) and medium distances (50–130 km) accessed higher forage quality and thus gained 1.3–2.7 times more fat over the growing season compared to mule deer that remained year-round as residents within a desert ecosystem. Elevated levels of fat translated to ∼20% higher probability of adult annual survival than residents. Mule deer that remained year-round in the desert portion of the study area were so resource-limited that they raised fawns at the expense of their own survival. Due to their higher levels of fat, annual survival, and fetal rates, migrants showed more robust population growth (λ = 1.03) compared to residents, which exhibited projected declines in population size over time (λ = 0.95). These results support the notion that migration translates into demographic benefits and highlight the urgent conservation work necessary to sustain diverse ungulate migrations amid habitat alteration due to climate change and an expanding web of linear barriers to movement.

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Water volumes, heat flow, and solute discharge from Old Faithful Geyser eruptions, Yellowstone National Park, USA

The iconic Old Faithful Geyser in Yellowstone National Park, USA, has attracted a significant amount of research because of the relative regularity and impressive size of its eruptions. Numerous studies have included observations, measurements, and analyses that informed models of geyser eruptions. However, fundamental quantities, including the associated mass and heat discharged, remain poorly constrained. In April 2025 we measured the volume of water from 45 Old Faithful Geyser eruptions using a portable flume in an outflow channel and specific conductance measurements in the Firehole River. We used high-speed video to perform velocimetry, measured changes in water chemistry to calculate the volume of water evaporated along the outflow channels, and used thermodynamic calculations to estimate the volume of water erupted as steam and to quantify the geyser's heat output. The calculated average volume of water discharged by Old Faithful Geyser in each eruption is 27.9 ± 9.4 m 3 , with no relation between eruption volume and the length of the preceding eruption interval. Video analysis of the eruption's liquid-dominated phase yields similar volumes of 21–30 m 3 . The calculated heat flow from the geyser is 2.2–2.4 MW and the average annual discharge of chloride, fluoride, and arsenic are 63 tons, 3.9 tons, and 241 kg, respectively. Average annual silica deposition rate on the geyser cone and along the outflow channels is 7 tons. This study provides a methodology for future studies at geysers worldwide and a baseline for monitoring future activity changes at Old Faithful.

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Fish introductions related to strong and diversifying effects on zooplankton assemblages in high-elevation mountain lakes

Freshwater environments are threatened by multiple anthropogenic stressors. High-elevation mountain lakes are particularly vulnerable to introduced nonnative fish and nutrient deposition because they were historically fishless and typically oligotrophic. To understand the potential effects of fish introduction and nutrient levels on high-elevation lake ecosystems, we assessed differences in zooplankton size, biomass, and density in 76 alpine and subalpine lakes in the Wind River Range, Wyoming, USA, and related those differences to the presence of introduced trout and to food quality (seston nutrient content) and quantity (chlorophyll a concentration). Trout presence, and to a lesser extent trout species, were the strongest predictors of zooplankton composition. Fishless lakes were dominated by low densities of copepods and other large-bodied taxa, and lakes with introduced trout were dominated by high densities of cladocerans, rotifers, and other small-bodied taxa. These assemblage differences are likely because trout reduce or eliminate all large zooplankton taxa by size-selective predation, including predation on Hesperodiaptomus shoshone (S. A. Forbes, 1893), a keystone species that effectively controls populations of rotifers and small crustacean zooplankton taxa. In contrast, the quantity and quality of seston was not associated with zooplankton assemblages. Zooplankton composition in lakes with Rocky Mountain Cutthroat Trout Oncorhynchus virginalis (Girard, 1856) or Golden Trout Oncorhynchus aguabonita (Jordan, 1892) was highly variable, but in lakes with primarily Brook Trout Salvelinus fontinalis (Mitchill, 1814), zooplankton composition was consistently distinct from that in fishless lakes, suggesting that Brook Trout introductions altered the zooplankton assemblage to a greater extent than Cutthroat or Golden trout did. These results contribute to global evidence that predatory fish introductions fundamentally restructure alpine lake food webs. The slow or incomplete recovery of native zooplankton assemblages following fish removal suggests long-term ecological legacies of fish introductions and highlights the importance of understanding factors that promote resilience in high-elevation lake ecosystems.

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Fitness consequences of parasitism in a changing world: A case study with bird blow flies and sagebrush songbirds

Host–parasite interactions increasingly are influenced by human-induced rapid environmental change (HIREC), and the fitness effects of parasitism may be compounded or exacerbated by host traits and/or exposure to additional extrinsic stressors associated with HIREC. Potential interactions between parasitism and different stressors associated with environmental change, however, remain poorly understood for most systems. We examined how parasitism by bird blow flies ( Trypocalliphora braueri ), ambient weather conditions and habitat disturbance jointly affected offspring traits and juvenile mortality for two declining species of sagebrush songbirds (Brewer's Sparrow, Spizella breweri ; and Sage Thrasher, Oreoscoptes montanus ) in Wyoming, USA. We evaluated two alternative hypotheses: that parasitism could act (i) in an independent and additive manner with temperature and habitat alteration ( Multiple Stressors Hypothesis ) or (ii) synergistically to exacerbate the effects of temperature and habitat alteration ( Parasitism-HIREC Interaction Hypothesis ) on offspring traits and juvenile mortality. We assessed morphometric traits of nestlings and survival of fledglings in relation to parasite loads, temperature and habitat disturbance associated with natural gas development to test these hypotheses. Higher parasite loads and colder temperatures were associated with different effects for nestlings of each host species, reducing tarsus and wing chord length for Brewer's Sparrow and increasing mass for Sage Thrasher. Despite differences in the effect of parasitism on nestling traits, post-fledging mortality risk for both species increased with higher parasite loads. The effects of parasitism and temperature mainly were additive, with limited evidence that weather exacerbated the effects of parasitism. Habitat disturbance had a weak positive effect on nestling tarsus length and post-fledging survival probability for Brewer's Sparrow. Although parasitism rarely results in direct mortality of hosts, parasites can nonetheless exert considerable fitness consequences, especially when combined with extrinsic stressors associated with human-induced environmental changes.

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Density as a mechanism linking habitat disturbance to increased pathogen prevalence: Evidence from a natural experiment

Sudden habitat loss associated with environmental disturbance can trigger animals to move from affected to undisturbed areas, where increases in local density may occur. Although pathogen transmission is strongly related to local density, how crowding after habitat loss affects infection dynamics in wild populations remains unclear. Here we conceptualize the Disturbance-Density-Disease hypothesis, which posits that disturbance-induced habitat loss results in increased pathogen prevalence via increases in local density at adjacent, undisturbed patches. We then used data from before, during, and after flooding disturbance to test this hypothesis in boreal toads Anaxyrus boreas boreas co-occurring with the pathogenic fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis ( Bd ). We collected Bd samples from captured individuals during a 5-year (2015–2019) mark-recapture study of boreal toads ( n = 1295) that breed in beaver ponds in western Wyoming, USA. During spring of 2017, an extreme flooding event destroyed several beaver dams, resulting in the loss of breeding habitat. We compared host density and pathogen prevalence pre- and post-disturbance at sites affected versus unaffected by flooding. At affected sites, population density and Bd prevalence increased at adjacent, undisturbed ponds following the sudden loss of habitat. Moreover, neither host density nor Bd prevalence increased at control sites in areas unaffected by flooding. Taken together, our results support hypothesized links between disturbance, adjacent increases in density, and subsequent increases in pathogen prevalence. Our study contributes to a growing body of ecological research leveraging natural experiments to extract insights from extreme disturbance events. By doing so, we demonstrate an important consequence of disturbance beyond proximate habitat loss and introduce a clear conceptual approach (the Disturbance-Density-Disease hypothesis) to understanding how pathogen transmission can be affected by disturbance via alterations to local density.

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Groundwater structures fish growth and production across a riverscape

Landscapes are composed of habitat patches and conditions that vary across space and time. While habitat variability and complexity can support important ecological processes and ecosystem services, the dynamic nature of habitats can also constrain organismal growth and production as optimal conditions are fleeting. In riverine ecosystems, groundwater discharge to streams stabilises water temperature and flow regimes, thus mediating how habitat complexity is expressed. Yet, how stable habitats structure growth and production within the broader landscape matrix is not well understood. In this study, we explored the effects of groundwater on spatiotemporal variation in growth and production for juvenile Yellowstone cutthroat trout ( Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri ) across the upper Snake River catchment, Wyoming, USA. We combined machine learning techniques and remotely sensed landscape data to estimate groundwater availability across the river network, which we linked to stream temperature regimes and conspecific density. We then used Bayesian hierarchical models to quantify the effects of temperature, density and groundwater on spatiotemporal variation in fish growth and production in 52 focal reaches. Finally, we predicted body size trajectories and trends in total production continuously over both space and time to understand the effect of groundwater at the riverscape scale. Groundwater discharged to streams where topography changes abruptly in valley-bottom areas underlain by coarse glacial deposits. Groundwater stabilised temperature regimes and was associated with high trout densities. Temperature and density, in turn, interacted to influence growth rates: growth increased strongly with temperature, but this effect was reduced when density was high. Accordingly, variation in groundwater availability among stream reaches diversified growth and production regimes. In reaches with low groundwater availability, growth and production declined over time from summer maxima. In contrast, in reaches with high groundwater availability, temporal trends in growth and production were hump-shaped—peaking in autumn—and mean production was greater. At the riverscape scale, temporal asynchrony in growth rates generated convergent spatial variation in growth capacity, but—when combined with density—led to the formation of distinct hotspots of production. Our results demonstrate how groundwater, an important driver of aquatic ecosystem heterogeneity, structures trout growth and production across space and time. Importantly, rare, but stable habitats may disproportionately affect ecological processes and serve as key sources of population diversity at larger spatial scales.

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Expression and mechanisms of behavioral plasticity in large mammals

Behavioral plasticity, the alteration of behavior in response to stimuli, is becoming increasingly important in the context of human-induced rapid environmental change. Theoretical and empirical studies suggest that the expression and magnitude of behavioral plasticity are likely facilitated or constrained primarily by two factors: environmental variation and endogenous traits such as body size. The contextual role of these factors on behavioral plasticity, however, is poorly understood; there are relatively few studies that have compared the magnitude and potential drivers of behavioral plasticity at different levels (i.e., population and individual) across species, especially in free-ranging animals with diverse behavioral traits such as large mammals. Here, we quantify and test potential hypotheses for the mechanisms underpinning behavioral plasticity at the individual and population level in response to variation in summer temperatures for 1068 animal-years in 17 populations across nine species of large mammals. All populations displayed behavioral plasticity in response to increased temperatures, modifying their relative selection for heat-relieving habitat attributes (e.g., elevation) and heat-generating behavior (i.e., movement speed). We found strong support for the hypothesis that the variability of the physical environment is an important driver of behavioral plasticity—both mean population behavioral plasticity and variation among individuals within each population in plasticity were lower with increased heterogeneity of habitat attributes such as tree cover. Yet, the variability in environmental conditions (i.e., the magnitude of the temperature increase) had no effect on behavioral plasticity within and among populations. We did not detect an effect of endogenous traits on the expression of behavioral plasticity; however, we note that data availability limited our tests of this hypothesis to a select few endogenous traits (body size, feeding guild, and sex of the tracked individuals) that predominantly vary at the species level, for which we had one to three replicate populations per species. Our results provide an integrative and generalizable understanding of the expression of behavioral plasticity among populations of large mammals in temperate environments and emphasize the important but nuanced role of environmental variation in determining the scope of behavioral plasticity in these populations.

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Beyond habitat: Memory versus environment in shaping animal space use

For nearly half a century, ecologists have sought to explain animal space use through characteristics of the environment (i.e., habitat). Recent evidence suggests animals also use memory of previous experiences to decide when and where to move. Yet, the relative influence of the two in explaining animal space use has not been resolved. Using six large ungulate species in the Rocky Mountains (USA), we evaluated the performance of a habitat selection model with 16 environmental variables and another with two variables representing previous use (i.e., memory). While memory outperformed the environment for two species and the environment outperformed memory for four species, the influence of memory and the environment was overall comparable. The environment best explained the space use of specialists, while memory best explained species with strong site fidelity. Our work challenges traditional habitat selection theory, showcasing that animals build their spatial preferences through experience just as much as merely responding to their environment.

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Different data for different goals: Exploring trade-offs and synergies in the use of spatial data inputs to optimize conservation action in sagebrush ecosystems

Ecosystems worldwide continue to experience rapid rates of habitat and species loss. Management actions to conserve and restore functional habitats are needed to reduce these declines, but funding and resources for such actions are limited. Spatial conservation prioritization (SCP) can facilitate strategic decision-making for targeted conservation planning and delivery, but complexities arise when management objectives include multiple wildlife species and ecological or management constraints, all of which can be further complicated by data uncertainty and existing conservation plans. The Prioritizing Restoration of Sagebrush Ecosystems Tool (PReSET), an R package-based decision-support tool, supports strategic ecosystem management planning across the sagebrush biome by using SCP. We adapted PReSET to better address the needs of multiple wildlife species, evaluate the effects of different ecological or management constraints on conservation outcomes, assess the influence of data uncertainty, and integrate existing conservation plans. Specifically, we developed optimization problems to identify priority sagebrush protection and restoration across the state of Wyoming, USA, and evaluated the efficacy and trade-offs of various approaches to problem design. We evaluated trade-offs in targeting multiple species compared to a single species, including using greater sage-grouse as a potential umbrella species to benefit other sagebrush-dependent wildlife. We then evaluated multi-species protection and restoration problems aimed at minimizing the risks of inadequate connectivity, climate change, and restoration failure, and accounted for data uncertainty to assess relationships between risk aversion of managers and conservation outcomes. We also developed optimization problems within conservation areas identified by an existing sagebrush conservation plan to evaluate the efficacy of guiding local-scale conservation delivery within more broadly defined conservation areas. Our results demonstrate how SCP methods can leverage novel spatial data to develop targeted decision-support resources that can facilitate landscape conservation planning and improve management outcomes across a wide array of systems and species.

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Context matters: Intrinsic and extrinsic factors modulate habitat choices in an endangered forest bat

Effective management of declining species depends upon fundamental understanding of habitat preferences during key life stages such as reproduction. Peripheral populations of wildlife are often poorly understood and rarely the focus of study, despite their contribution to genetic diversity and their potential to aid in recolonization if a species becomes endangered. We assessed the maternal roost-site preferences of the endangered northern long-eared bat ( Myotis septentrionalis ) within a managed forest near the western edge of their range in the Black Hills region of Wyoming, USA. We further examined whether habitat preferences and roost-switching varied by reproductive state (pregnant or lactating) or proximate weather conditions. Bats were more likely to roost in quaking aspens during pregnancy, and when weather was cooler and wetter. Conversely, bats roosted more in ponderosa pines ( Pinus ponderosa) post-parturition, and when temperatures were warmer. Bats also were more likely to switch to a new roost after periods of warmer temperature and reduced solar radiation. Our results support growing evidence that habitat choices can be modulated proximately by intrinsic and extrinsic factors. Northern long-eared bats in the Black Hills relied on a variety of roost types, from healthy live trees to snags at different decay stages depending on reproductive stage and ambient weather. Our study highlights the importance of considering diverse contexts when characterizing habitat preferences, particularly for endangered species in a rapidly changing world.

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Fluvial sediment dynamics in the Shoshone River and tributaries around Willwood Dam, Park County, Wyoming

Sedimentation affects many of the aging reservoirs in the United States. Dams and water diversions from rivers have been central elements of infrastructure supporting agricultural irrigation in the arid and semiarid regions of the Western United States for more than a century. The Willwood Irrigation District diversion dam (hereafter referred to as “Willwood Dam”) in Park County, Wyoming, is approximately 12 miles northeast of Cody, Wyo.; has a structural height of 70 feet; and impounds the Shoshone River for diversion into the Willwood Canal. Willwood Dam is part of a larger irrigation scheme supported by water storage in the much larger Buffalo Bill Dam, which is approximately 20 miles upstream. In October 2016, renovation construction activities at Willwood Dam and the Willwood Canal caused an unplanned evacuation of nearly 96,000 cubic yards of fine sediment. The fine sediment release in 2016 raised concerns that ongoing sediment management at Willwood Dam could impose limits on the long-term health of the aquatic ecosystem and fish populations. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality and Willwood Work Groups 2 and 3, initiated an investigation of the dynamics of sediment transport in the Shoshone River and selected tributaries between Buffalo Bill Dam and Willwood Dam. The goal of the study was to quantify sediment transport into and out of Willwood Dam on an annual, seasonal, and event basis to better understand the relative quantities of sediment coming from natural sources and human activities on the landscape. The study ran from March 2019 through October 2021 and used observations of streamflow, turbidity, and acoustic backscatter collected at streamgages upstream and downstream from Willwood Dam to quantify suspended-sediment loads into and out of the dam during irrigation and fallow seasons, precipitation-runoff events, and deliberate sediment releases. Each tributary’s relative contribution to the sediment load upstream from Willwood Dam was examined using discrete measurements of suspended-sediment concentration and bedload during irrigation and fallow seasons, precipitation events, and stable conditions. Analysis of daily precipitation and temperature data indicated that conditions in the study area during the 2019 agricultural year were wetter and colder than period of record normal, and drier and near normal temperatures for the 2020 and 2021 agricultural years. Not all sediment load records between 2019 and 2021 are complete because of rejected observations (outliers), instrument failures or fouling, and instrument removal for calibrations. Statistical modeling of suspended-sediment concentration using paired values of turbidity and acoustic backscatter produced four models that, after refinement, had coefficients of determination indicating that more than 84 percent of the variance was explained by either turbidity or acoustic backscatter. A system of rules was developed to select the model predictions based on the seasonal operations of Willwood Dam, assumptions about the grain sizes mobilized during these operations, and assumed accuracy of the models at the downstream streamgage (Shoshone River below Willwood Dam, near Ralston, Wyo. [streamgage 06284010]) under different operational conditions. The sediment budget between upstream and downstream estimates of loads was interpreted using the mean predicted values bound by their respective model prediction intervals. When mean predicted loads of one streamgage were contained in the prediction intervals of the other streamgage, and vice-versa, difference in the sediment budget were interpreted as “indeterminate.” Modeled sediment load balances demonstrated the depositional and erosional behaviors expected from the conceptual model of dam operations whereby sediment tends to accumulate during irrigation seasons when the dam is spilling over the top, and sediment tends to evacuate during the fallow seasons when it is flowing through the sluice gates at the base of the dam. The sediment load calculations using the rules-based model criteria indicated that between 14,200 and 380,000 tons of suspended sediment moved through the Shoshone River around Willwood Dam during the irrigation seasons of 2019, 2020, and 2021; 380,000 tons of suspended sediment were transported during the cool, wet year of 2019, and 14,200 tons of suspended sediment were transported in 2020, which was relatively dry. During fallow seasons 2019, 2020, and 2021, which had fewer complete records, between 1,140 and 106,000 tons of suspended sediment was estimated to have moved through the river. For all seasons except fallow season 2022, the models estimated that more sediment was released from the dam than entered the dam, but the modeled mean loads at each streamgage were nearly always within the prediction intervals of each other, making the sediment balance indeterminant. Examination of suspended-sediment loads during irrigation seasons indicated that between 65 and 85 percent of fine sediment was transported during annual high flows and storm events, with the remainder transported during steady, lower streamflows. Examination of suspended loads during fallow seasons indicated that deliberate sediment releases through Willwood Dam accounted for between 39 and 67 percent of the total sediment moved during the fallow seasons. Deliberate sediment releases from Willwood Dam had estimated net exports of between 1,360 and 22,400 tons. Between August 2017 and July 2023, suspended-sediment concentration and bedload sediment samples were collected from 9 tributaries to the Shoshone River during 137 sampling events, including stable and precipitation-runoff conditions. During irrigation season precipitation events, the mean total sediment yields ranged from 0.33 to 9.51 tons per day per square mile; during fallow season precipitation events, the mean total yields ranged from 0.04 to 0.95 ton per day per square mile. The mean total sediment yield per unit area across all samples at each tributary site ranged from 0.26 to 3.08 tons per day per square mile. Bedload was a minor fraction of the total load, constituting a mean of 4 percent across all samples; 3 and 6 percent for events and nonevents, respectively, during irrigation season; and 3 and 1 percent for events and nonevents, respectively, during the fallow season. With the exception of one tributary, Dry Creek, these mean yield values were within the range of watershed-scale background sediment yield values estimated from reservoir surveys and previous suspended-sediment studies. Imagery from irrigation seasons 2012, 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2022 was used to determine the planimetric backwater extent of the pool area in the Shoshone River behind Willwood Dam to identify any changes in sediment storage. Active river channel widths in the Shoshone River upstream from Willwood Dam were all similar between years except 2015, which was determined to be statistically different from all other years. Bathymetric data taken in the pool behind Willwood Dam during three different surveys between November 2017 and April 2022 indicated no statistically significant differences in bed elevations between the years. Results from the planimetric and bathymetric survey data provide multiple lines of evidence indicating that sediment did not accumulate behind the dam within the error of the methods used. Examination of how precipitation affects sediment transport in the Shoshone River upstream from Willwood Dam indicated that accumulated rainfall from the natural runoff events captured during the study period varied from a trace to as much as 4.26 inches, with associated predicted suspended-sediment loads varying from 112 to 232,000 tons of suspended sediment. The behavior of the sediment loads relative to accumulated precipitation did not appear to change depending on irrigation or fallow season. A model of suspended-sediment concentrations relative to the 2-day accumulated precipitation indicated that suspended-sediment concentrations in the Shoshone River upstream from Willwood Dam increased exponentially for accumulations of 0.3 inch or more; such storms accounted for 10 percent or less of precipitation events observed during the 1981 to 2018 period of record. The gaps in records, precision of the instrumentation, and large variation in grain sizes in suspended-sediment mixtures downstream from the dam made closing the sediment budgets for most seasons unattainable. The biggest recent change in sediment storage measured using the planimetric area of deposits behind Willwood Dam took place between 2015 and 2017. The main event between these two measurements was the installation of new Willwood Canal gates in October 2016, which resulted in the large unplanned sediment release. Because the sediment budgets were nearly always indeterminate and the planimetric and bathymetric data indicated little change in the bed and bank material, it is likely that the change in sediment storage behind the dam during the study period was small relative to the precision of the statistical models and other uncertainties. This body of evidence suggests that, averaged during the 3-year study period, no major changes in storage took place, and that the current operations may be keeping storage at near-equilibrium. This condition could have been initiated because the middle sluice gate has now been operational since 2014, and the sediment release in October 2016 evacuated a large amount of legacy sediment from storage. Although the uncertainties are large, sluicing events allow for controlled releases of sediment that contributed to the near equilibrium conditions observed over an annual basis during this study.

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Intrinsic and extrinsic factors simultaneously modulated the use of roadways by golden eagles during winter.

Animals often face trade-offs wherein foraging opportunities may coincide spatiotemporally with higher risk of mortality, especially within landscapes altered by humans. Resolving such trade-offs can depend on intrinsic factors such as age and sex, and extrinsic factors (e.g., resource availability) within the surrounding environment. Yet both are rarely assessed simultaneously. Roads constitute a widespread form of human-induced habitat alteration that concurrently offer potential food rewards, in the form of carrion from roadkill, and risk in the form of death by vehicle collision. We evaluated the extent to which suites of intrinsic and extrinsic factors modulated the selection for areas near roads by a large opportunistic scavenger, the golden eagle ( Aquila chrysaetos ). We used a collaborative, multi-agency telemetry dataset of 51 golden eagles overwintering in Wyoming, USA during 2014 to 2023 representing 175 unique eagle-years. Both intrinsic and extrinsic factors influenced road use. Males were 14.2 times more likely than females to select areas closer to roads. Adults, compared with their subadult counterparts (Subadult I, Subadult II, and Subadult III) were 16.3, 16, and 15.3 times more likely to select areas near roads, respectively. Moreover, individuals were more likely to select areas near roads during periods with higher snow depth on the landscape. Specifically, during periods of high snow depth (> 17.9 cm) golden eagles were 17 times more likely to select areas near roads than during periods with no snow. Our results suggest that both intrinsic and extrinsic factors influenced proximate habitat decisions and the use of areas near risky landscape elements. Our work has important implications for the contexts under which efforts to reduce golden eagle mortality, such as the removal of carcasses from roads, would be most effective.

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Decision analysis in support of the National Elk Refuge bison and elk management plan

Preface This report was developed to evaluate the performance of a set of proposed alternatives for Cervus elaphus canadensis (elk) and Bison bison (bison) management at the National Elk Refuge (NER) in Wyoming, U.S.A., and to inform a National Environmental Policy Act Environmental Impact Statement focused on developing the next “Bison and Elk Management Plan” (BEMP). The U.S. Geological Survey facilitated a structured decision-making process for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to develop the alternatives and the criteria (performance metrics) for evaluating the alternatives. Chapter A provides scoping details of the report, a summary of the 19 metrics that are used to evaluate the performance of each of 6 alternatives, and methodological details of 2 performance metrics that were not covered in other technical chapters. Chapter B analyzes elk population and chronic wasting disease dynamics under the five initial alternatives. Chapter C evaluates elk space-use based on data collected from global positioning system collars on elk and expert elicitation for scenarios with limited data. Chapter D evaluates bison population dynamics, conflict, and harvest patterns under the five initial alternatives. Chapter E assesses social and economic consequences. Chapter F is newly added to this superseding report and details the analysis and results of a new alternative that was developed after discussion among the lead and cooperating agencies working on the BEMP. The full set of six alternatives are anticipated to have varying affects on bison and elk population abundance and private land use, wildlife-related recreation and tourism, and hunters and outfitters in the region. Each chapter was developed under advisement of a technical team, made up science experts from U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, National Park Service, U.S. Forest Service, and Wyoming Game and Fish Department.

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Decision framing overview and performance of management alternatives for bison and elk feedground management at the National Elk Refuge in Jackson, Wyoming

This report was developed to evaluate the performance of a set of proposed alternatives for Cervus elaphus canadensis (elk) and Bison bison (bison) management at the National Elk Refuge in Wyoming, U.S.A., and to inform a National Environmental Policy Act Environmental Impact Statement focused on developing the next “Bison and Elk Management Plan” (BEMP). The U.S. Geological Survey facilitated a structured decision-making process for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to develop the alternatives and the criteria (performance metrics) for evaluating the alternatives. Chapter A (this chapter) provides scoping details of the “BEMP,” a summary of the 19 metrics used to evaluate the performance of each of the 6 alternatives, and methodological details of 2 performance metrics that were not covered in other technical chapters. Additional technical details, results, and interpretations are briefly covered in this chapter but are mostly contained in chapters B–F.

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Predictions of elk and chronic wasting disease dynamics at the National Elk Refuge in Jackson, Wyoming, and surrounding areas

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service National Elk Refuge (NER) in Jackson, Wyoming, supplementally feeds Cervus elaphus canadensis (elk) and Bison bison (American bison) during winter months, but the costs and benefits of this management strategy are being reevaluated considering the potential effects of chronic wasting disease (CWD) on elk. U.S. Geological Survey scientists worked with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service on a structured decision-making process that considered five alternative feeding strategies and their effects on bison, elk, and humans. This chapter focuses on elk population dynamics and CWD using computer models. Our modeling results highlight a short-versus long-term tradeoff between the continue feeding and no feeding alternatives. Management alternatives associated with a cessation of supplemental feeding were assumed to make elk more susceptible to severe winters, resulting in initially lower population sizes and less CWD transmission. The increased CWD prevalence and transmission associated with the continue feeding alternative resulted in lower elk population sizes by year 20 (mean=6,700, standard deviation=1,600 in the analysis area) in 70 percent of simulations compared to no feeding (mean=8,400, standard deviation=1,500). No feeding alternatives resulted in higher elk populations than the continue feeding alternative between years 7 and 13 when CWD prevalence exceeded 20 percent in the Jackson elk herd. The increased harvest alternative minimized CWD and natural mortality in 83 out of 100 simulations compared to the continue feeding alternative.

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Evaluating elk distribution and conflict under proposed management alternatives at the National Elk Refuge in Jackson, Wyoming

We evaluated measurable attributes describing the current and future distribution of Cervus elaphus canadensis (elk) across a region surrounding Jackson, Wyoming, for five feedground management alternatives proposed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service as a revision to the 2007 “Bison and Elk Management Plan” of the National Elk Refuge. A resource selection function evaluated measurable attributes of interest to managers, including elk use of private property and sensitive habitat types at monthly timesteps and varying winter conditions. The study area boundaries were created through an expert elicitation process and consist of the Jackson Elk Herd Unit, Grand Teton National Park, the National Elk Refuge, and the northern third of the Fall Creek Elk Herd Unit. For each of the five alternatives, we distributed monthly elk numbers calculated in a concurrent analysis that simulated chronic wasting disease dynamics in this system for 20 years. Measurable attributes representing potential elk use of (1) private property, (2) cattle properties as an index of Brucella abortus risk, and sensitive habitats consisting of (3) Populus tremuloides Michx. (quaking aspen), (4) Populus angustifolia E. James (narrowleaf cottonwood), and (5) Salix L. (willow) in core winter use areas all closely followed the declines of elk abundance projected by the elk chronic wasting disease model. After 20 years, the continue feeding alternative ranked most favorably in terms of limiting elk days on private property and reducing brucellosis risk from elk to cattle because this alternative concentrated elk on the National Elk Refuge and resulted in the lowest elk population sizes. However, other management alternatives, including increase harvest and reduce feeding, tended to limit elk use of sensitive quaking aspen, narrowleaf cottonwood, and willow habitats during winter (December–April).

Wyoming↗

Bison population dynamics, harvest, and human conflict potential under feedground management alternatives at the National Elk Refuge in Jackson, Wyoming

Bison bison were once abundant across North America but declined due to overharvesting in the late 1800s. The reintroduced population in and around Jackson, Wyoming has averaged 485 individuals between 2018–2023 and is the subject of a planning process to inform management strategies that will guide the U.S. Fish and Wildlife’s next “Bison and Elk Management Plan” for the National Elk Refuge. This small population may benefit from historical winter-feeding operations on the National Elk Refuge because those operations may increase overwinter survival and limit human-bison conflicts, which are the number of individual bison that engage in nuisance, damaging, or otherwise aggressive behaviors with humans and livestock, that may lead to culling and other sources of mortality (for example, vehicle collisions). To inform the next “Bison and Elk Management Plan,” the U.S. Geological Survey used a population model to evaluate five management alternatives for bison and Cervus elaphus canadensis feedground operations that included continuing the elk and bison feeding program, immediately stopping the feeding program, and three other alternatives that would phase out the feeding program after a period of time. The results indicate that the bison population would be expected to decline over the next 20 years under all alternatives that stop feeding bison on the refuge. Further, this decline would lead to an associated reduction in bison harvest opportunities for resident, nonresident, and Tribal hunters. Finally, human-bison conflicts would also be expected to increase under the no feeding alternatives because bison may venture onto private lands in greater numbers if feed is not provisioned during winter months. In combination, these results suggest that feeding may lead to better outcomes for bison over the next 20 years; however, these effects may be traded off against other downsides of the feedground program, such as increased rates of animal-to-animal contact on feedgrounds that can lead to disease transmission.

Wyoming↗