Research about Noto Peninsula

USGS2026

Special issue “The 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquake and seismic swarm”

The 2024 Mw7.5 (M JMA 7.6) Noto Peninsula earthquake struck the Noto Peninsula, central Japan on January 1, 2024, causing widespread damage. This Mw7.5 mainshock, together with the prolonged seismic swarm that persisted in the northeastern Noto Peninsula since the end of 2020, of which the largest event was the 2023 M JMA 6.5 earthquake, constitutes one of the most significant seismic sequences in Japan in recent decades. The sequence provides a rare opportunity to investigate the complex interplay among swarm activity, fluid migration, fault geometry and distribution, and the preparatory conditions required for a large inland crustal earthquake. Motivated by this scientific context, this special issue brings together studies examining the sequence from diverse disciplinary perspectives, incorporating seismic, geodetic, and tsunami-related observations and modelling.

Noto Peninsula↗

USGS2024

Examining the connections between earthquake swarms, crustal fluids, and large earthquakes in the context of the 2020-2024 Noto Peninsula, Japan, earthquake sequence

Earthquake swarms are most commonly composed of small-magnitude earthquakes – those that may in some cases be felt but without causing damage. However, a recent study by Yoshida et al. (2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106023) analyzed a swarm beneath the Noto Peninsula in Japan that, after more than two years of moderate-magnitude seismicity, triggered the moment magnitude (Mw) 6.2 Suza mainshock. Based on high-precision earthquake locations and a slip inversion of the mainshock, these authors found that the Mw 6.2 Suza earthquake occurred on the updip extension of a fault that was active during the swarm, likely driven by fluid pressure perturbations. After publication of that paper, a much larger and more destructive Mw 7.5 event occurred nearby. These events underscore the potential for swarms to be precursors to large, damaging earthquakes. Forecasting the eventual evolution of swarms is currently very challenging but could be aided in the future by new observations and models.

Noto Peninsula↗