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Research about Montana

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Montana.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Mountain goat declines in a protected, interior, native population

A shifting climate poses threats to alpine-adapted species including mountain goats. We used long-term (12 years) citizen science monitoring data and Bayesian N-mixture modeling to estimate population trends and drivers of population metrics among mountain goats in Glacier National Park (GNP). Median goats per site ( n = 37 sites) declined by 45% (95% credible interval [CRI] = 32%, 57%) from 77.8 (95% CRI = 64.4, 95.1) in 2008 to 42.3 (95% CRI = 34.3, 52.2) in 2019, with consistent declines from 2008 until 2015, when the number of estimated goats stabilized. The decline exceeds IUCN criteria for classifying a population as vulnerable, >30% declines over only two generations. Across years, relatively few goats occupied northwestern GNP. Goat numbers declined the most at northeastern sites, trended toward decline in most southern sites, and increased at only two west-central sites. The proportion of permanent snow and glaciers, the presence of natural mineral licks, and habituation strongly increased the initial abundance of goats in the area. Weather variables had the greatest influence on population growth rates, particularly precipitation between May 15 and June 15 of the previous summer, the neonatal period. Lower growth occurred with less snow water equivalent and lower mean winter temperature, early summer temperature, and early summer precipitation. Projected reductions of permanent snow, increasing spring and summer temperatures, and insufficient and variable spring precipitation raise concerns for the future of native goats in this region. Our analyses reveal ways to improve detection rates of goats during surveys, which is important for optimizing the precision of estimates and the power to detect future trends. Detection increased with goat habituation, retention of observers with experience, use of binoculars, and conducting surveys at lower temperatures and earlier dates. Improving detection will be particularly important given the lower number of goats currently observed in the park. Research to estimate park-wide population size, evaluate genetic structure and diversity, assess changing habitat, human recreation levels and forage, and forward-project climate effects on persistence will be crucial to understanding the context of these results and conserving this iconic, metapopulation at the southern edge of the distribution of native mountain goats.

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Gerrard strain Rainbow Trout are not piscivorous in a shallow, polymictic reservoir

Objective Georgetown Lake (Montana, USA) is renowned for its multispecies salmonid fishery. Although many anglers target kokanee Oncorhynchus nerka in Georgetown Lake, the body length of kokanee has typically been considered unsatisfactory. To reduce the density of kokanee and increase the average size, Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks began stocking the piscivorous Gerrard strain of Rainbow Trout O. mykiss (hereafter “Gerrard”) in 2015 to consume kokanee. In 2020, preliminary evidence suggested that the average length of kokanee greater than 200 mm increased by almost 40 mm. Methods To assess the efficacy of biocontrol through the introduction of a piscivore to predate on kokanee, we examined the diet composition of all potential predators (three strains of Rainbow Trout and Brook Trout Salvelinus fontinalis ) to determine the amount of predation on kokanee and to understand the feeding ecology of all potential predators. Results There was little evidence of piscivory in any predator and no evidence of Gerrards consuming kokanee. Gerrards exhibited a generalist feeding strategy, and there was dietary overlap and no difference in trophic position among Gerrards and other predators. Conclusions From a biological-control perspective, there is no benefit in continuing to stock Gerrards to reduce kokanee densities in Georgetown Lake. These findings underscore the challenge of predicting predator–prey relationships, as diet plasticity can lead to unexpected dynamics based on resource availability and habitat structure within aquatic ecosystems, highlighting the importance of evaluating management interventions, such as biocontrols, in different ecosystems.

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Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances and pesticides in black bears (Ursus americanus) and grizzly bears (Ursus arctos horribilis) from Montana's Cabinet-Yaak ecosystem: A baseline assessment of emerging and legacy contaminants

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and pesticides are globally distributed contaminants that persist in terrestrial food webs, yet baseline data for large omnivores in the continental U.S. remain limited. This study quantified PFAS and pesticides in whole blood from free-ranging black bears ( Ursus americanus , n = 15) and grizzly bears ( Ursus arctos horribilis , n = 9) in the Cabinet-Yaak Ecosystem of northwestern Montana. Using high-resolution mass spectrometry-based methods (GC-MS/MS and LC-MS/MS), 52 PFAS and 186 pesticides were analyzed. PFAS were detected in all bears, with total PFAS concentrations ranging from 79.5 to 317 pg/mL. PFAS profiles were dominated by long-chain perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids, particularly PFOA, PFDA, and PFUnDA, with minimal contribution from short-chain compounds. Species was the strongest ecological predictor of PFAS concentrations, although variability across age, sex, and capture location were observed. Only two pesticides, piperonyl butoxide and permethrin, were detected at quantifiable concentrations (2070–12,600 pg/mL), and no correlations were observed between pesticide and PFAS concentrations, indicating independent exposure pathways. The predominance of long-chain PFAS suggests diffuse environmental sources and bioaccumulation within terrestrial food webs. Although measured concentrations were generally low relative to other wildlife toxicological studies, the persistence and protein-binding properties of long-chain PFAS warrant continued monitoring, particularly for long-lived omnivores. These results establish baseline contaminant concentrations for two apex omnivores in a remote ecosystem and highlight the utility of large mammals as integrative sentinels of environmental contaminant exposure for regional monitoring and wildlife conservation. Continued monitoring in the Cabinet-Yaak and across western North America will be critical for assessing temporal trends, identifying new contaminant sources, and evaluating ecological health in bear populations.

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Continuous measurements reveal wind and temperature affect orphan well methane emissions on the Kevin-Sunburst Dome, Montana

Fifteen leaking orphan wells on the Kevin-Sunburst Dome in northern Montana had emission rates that were affected by surface winds and diurnal temperature swings based on continuous monitoring data. Some wells showed correlating spikes in emissions when temperatures changed or wind speed increased while others demonstrated independent flow behavior despite being drilled into the same reservoir and located only a few hundred meters apart. Time-weighted mean methane emission rates ranged from non-detectable levels up to 2.7 kg/h in their as-discovered conditions, with leaking wells averaging 211 g/h. Emissions were measured continuously for up to 452 h per well during monitoring, revealing that leak rates can fluctuate by an order of magnitude within hours. Fluctuations in emission rates often synchronized between wells with overlapping emission measurement intervals, suggesting weather conditions, such as temperature and wind, affect emission rates (up to a factor of 4) with the most relevant factor being the effect of wind on wells with open holes. Additionally, this study presents the first methane emissions measured from an orphan well in two distinct conditions: as initially discovered (closed leaking valve, 2.7 kg/h) and again under unrestricted flow conditions (open valve, 11.8 kg/h), illustrating the maximum unobstructed leak rate and quantifying the constraints restricted leaking wells can have on emissions compared to open holes.

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Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and other contaminants of concern in tribal waters of Montana

We assessed potential exposures to a broad suite of contaminants (inorganic, organic and microbial) in culturally important surface waters from three watersheds in a northern plains Native American community (Apsáalooke [Crow Tribe of Montana]) in south-central Montana, United States, with water insecurity concerns. Inorganic (37), organic (435) and microbial (3) constituents were assessed in 12 surface water sites from the Pryor Creek ( n = 2), Bighorn River ( n = 2) and Little Bighorn River ( n = 8) valleys. Twenty-six organics, 33 inorganics and Escherichia coli were detected. Despite relatively low concentrations in surface waters within the Crow Reservation, mixture toxicity indicated prevalent chronic ecological effects and human-health secondary contact (recreation) effects at multiple sites. Further, to address Tribal concerns over the prevalence and corresponding risks of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), we sampled water, sediment, biofilms and fish at a limited number of locations in the Little Bighorn River. Results indicated that PFAS were prevalent in fish tissues, including whole blood and filets, and to a lesser extent in biofilms, despite few detections in water and sediment samples. This is the first attempt to document environmental PFAS contamination within the reservation and the potential human-health concerns for the general population from consumption of recreational/subsistence fish. Overall, this effort provided preliminary information on the contaminant mixtures present and their potential health implications, which can support the protection of community health and culturally meaningful resources across the Crow Reservation.

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Establishing conservation benchmarks for threatened Bull Trout using spawner-recruitment relationships

Understanding the relationship between breeding adults and juvenile recruitment is fundamental to conserving at-risk species. Knowing whether recruitment is depensatory or compensatory at low adult abundances can aid in developing conservation strategies and recovery goals. However, this relationship requires long-term monitoring of two life stages, which can be costly and uncommon, especially for non-commercially harvested fish species, such as Bull Trout ( Salvelinus confluentus ). Listed as threatened in the United States and Canada, Bull Trout have declined throughout their range due to anthropogenic disturbances. Although spawner–recruitment relationships can create realistic recovery goals, this relationship is poorly characterized for Bull Trout. We used redd counts and juvenile densities from 11 Bull Trout populations to (1) establish spawner-recruitment dynamics, (2) assess environmental influences on productivity, and (3) derive recovery benchmarks. Bull Trout exhibited high recruitment productivity at low adult abundances and clear recruitment limitations at high abundances. Recruitment productivity varied across populations but was not associated with environmental covariates. We highlight strong compensatory capacity at low adult abundances, indicating possible recovery if limiting factors beyond spawning and rearing habitats are addressed.

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Appendix 6: Overview of iPOM 2.0: Updates to wolf abundance estimation in Montana

Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks (MFWP) uses the integrated Patch Occupancy Model (iPOM) to estimate statewide and regional wolf abundance. During the early years of recovery, wolf abundance was tracked using minimum counts. As the population increased, limitations of this method became apparent, motivating development of a model-based approach for estimating abundance. iPOM development began in 2006, was operationalized in 2013, and has been used in its current form (iPOM 1.0) since 2021. Since its inception, iPOM has been developed and presented as an adaptive modeling framework intended to evolve as new data and analytical methods become available1. Here, we briefly present ongoing work to produce the next iteration of iPOM, hereafter iPOM 2.0, and summarize major model updates and resulting preliminary wolf abundance estimates. iPOM uses models for occupancy, territory size, and pack size, along with monitoring data collected by MFWP wolf specialists and potential wolf sightings reported by deer and elk hunters during the 5-week general rifle season each Nov-Dec. These monitoring data, wolf sightings, and covariates for habitat and survey effort are used to model occupancy of packs on a statewide grid of 600-km 2 cells. The area used by wolves is then estimated as each cell’s occupancy estimate multiplied by grid cell area. iPOM estimates pack abundance by dividing this area by predicted territory sizes, and in-pack wolf abundance by multiplying pack abundance by estimated group size. This is combined with a lone wolf rate to estimate total wolf abundance (see Sells et al. 1 for a full description of iPOM 1.0). This technical summary provides a high-level overview of the proposed iPOM updates and their implications for wolf abundance estimates. The estimates presented here represent results as of June 2026 and are provided to inform upcoming discussions surrounding harvest management and regulations (e.g., season dates, quotas, methods). Results are preliminary and remain subject to final model refinement and peer review.

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Noble and base metal distribution and processes affecting ore tenors in the disrupted lower stratigraphy of the Stillwater Complex, USA

Exploration continues for contact-style Ni-Cu sulfide and chromitite-associated PGE mineralization in ultramafic rocks of the Stillwater Complex. At the Iron and Chrome Mountain areas, massive sulfides occur along the complex’s footwall contact and anomalous concentrations of PGE+Au are associated with the three lowermost chromitite seams. Southeast of Chrome Mountain, magmatic layering is highly disrupted by the presence of faults, magmatic breccias, serpentinized discordant dunites, pyroxenite pegmatoids, and disaggregated chromitite seams. The bulk rock chemistry, sulfide chemistry, and noble metal mineralogy of samples from this area were examined to determine the deportment of PGE and processes that led to enrichments in PGE, Au, Cu, Co and Ni. Results show that a sulfide liquid was the principal collector of PGE. If sulfide liquid was initially deposited with chromite, it was disaggregated or redistributed by subsequent melt or fluid infiltration, which may have resulted in the offset of peak PGE(+Cu, Ni) from peak Cr 2 O 3 concentrations, and upgraded PGE tenors. Upon cooling, PGE exsolved from sulfides to form discrete bismuth tellurides, arsenides, arsenic sulfides, antimonides, and alloys, commonly along the margins of sulfide globules. Calculated metal tenors are highest in the disseminated sulfides southwest of Chrome Mountain, whereas massive and net-textured sulfides near the Iron Mountain-Camp zone represent monosulfide solid solution cumulates. At progressively shallower levels, higher metal tenors combined with lower S/Se ratios are consistent with increasing R-factors from 100 to 100,000. Serpentinization and talc-tremolite alteration resulted in S loss through partial replacement of sulfides by secondary silicate+carbonate+magnetite+sulfide assemblages, further upgrading Ni-Cu-PGE tenors. The present work shows that processes responsible for the disruption of magmatic layering and post-magmatic fluid alteration along the intrusion’s lower contact led to noble and base metal enrichments.

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Wangyanite, PdNi8S8, a new Pd end-member mineral of the pentlandite group from the J-M reef, Stillwater Complex, Montana, USA

Wangyanite (IMA2024-008a), ideally PdNi 8 S 8 , is a Pd end-member mineral of the pentlandite group that was discovered in the J-M reef of the Stillwater Complex, Montana, USA. Wangyanite occurs as anhedral-subhedral granular crystals 200–400 µm in size, associated with isoferroplatinum, braggite, pentlandite, and chalcopyrite interstitial to plagioclase grains within anorthosite. Wangyanite exhibits a yellowish brown color with a black streak and a metallic luster. It is brittle with uneven fractures, and has a calculated density of 5.14 g/cm 3 . The mineral does not show discernible pleochroism, bireflectance, or anisotropy. It has an average composition of 9.95 wt.% Pd, 31.95 wt.% Ni, 25.02 wt.% Fe, 0.57 wt.% Co, 31.74 wt.% S, totaling 99.23 wt.%. The empirical formula, based on eight sulfur atoms per formula unit, is (Pd 0.76 Co 0.08 ) Σ0.84 (Ni 4.39 Fe 3.60 ) Σ7.99 S 8 . Wangyanite has a cubic cell with a space group of Fm -3 m (#225), having lattice parameters of a = 10.1167(12) Å, V = 1035.4(4) Å 3 , and Z = 4. Its crystal structure has been solved by single-crystal three-dimensional electron diffraction study. The strongest X-ray diffraction lines of wangyanite are claculated at [ d in Å ( I %)( hkl )]: 5.841(14.03)(111), 3.050(100)(311), 1.947(29.16)(115,333), 1.264(11.66)(800), 3.577(8.79)(220), 2.920(20.82)(222), and 2.321(9.34)(331). Wangyanite shares the same crystal structure as pentlandite, but the octahedrally coordinated site is mainly occupied by Pd in wangyanite. Based on the textural features and previous experimental Pd-Fe-Ni-S phase system, wangyanite could form by peritectic reaction between braggite, pentlandite and sulfide liquid. These mineral associations are stable in a Ni-Pd-rich sulfide melt system at about 550 °C or even lower temperature. Therefore, wangyanite can potentially serve as an indicator of the presence of Pd-rich residual melts. The mineral is named in honor of Prof. Christina Yan Wang, a well-known researcher on platinum-group element (PGE) occurrences and enrichment mechanisms in mafic-ultramafic intrusions, notably those deposits related to the Emeishan large igneous province in China.

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UAS and high-resolution satellite imagery improve the accuracy of cheatgrass detection across an invaded Yellowstone landscape

Context Cheatgrass ( Bromus tectorum L.) is a problem across the western United States, where it outcompetes and replaces native grass species, alters habitats, and increases the risk of wildfires. Cheatgrass greens up earlier in the growing season compared to native grasses, making it classifiable with multi-temporal and multi-spectral remote sensing. Objectives We mapped cheatgrass at different scales in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem using 10-m Sentinel-2 imagery, 3-m PlanetScope, and 10-cm Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) imagery. We compared these maps to field-collected data to address 1) variation in seasonal phenological signals of native and cheatgrass patches, 2) the influence of scale on detectability and map accuracy across our study area. Results Model accuracy to predict cheatgrass presence increased with imagery resolution and ranged from 83% using 10-m Sentinel-2 to 94% with the integration of PlanetScope and UAS imagery. While there was spatial agreement across models, the fusion of UAS data with satellite sources allowed the detection of small cheatgrass with more precision. Our novel use of NExR and dNExR (a redness and differenced redness index) data in the classification of cheatgrass capitalizes on the senescence of cheatgrass during peak summer periods where cloud free imagery is more prevalent. Conclusions Our satellite and UAS-based models of cheatgrass prediction compare the fusion of very high resolution imagery and phenological time differencing to identify infested areas. Tradeoffs between accuracy and expense lead to important questions for management applications.

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Decoupling the roles of corticosterone in mediating effects of methylmercury and chytrid fungus on amphibian survival

Amphibians have suffered widespread declines caused by many interacting factors whose effects are often difficult to isolate. We used complementary analyses to decouple effects of methylmercury (MeHg) and amphibian chytrid fungus (Bd) on survival of Columbia Spotted Frogs ( Rana luteiventris ) during a 5-year capture-mark-recapture study. We also evaluated whether effects on apparent survival were mediated through physiological responses (corticosterone, CORT). While Bd was unrelated to frog survival, geometric mean MeHg bioaccumulation in our population (164 ng/g) reduced survival by ~20%. Baseline CORT was negatively associated, and stress-induced CORT was positively associated with higher MeHg, suggesting that MeHg dysregulated glucocorticoid physiology. Survival was positively associated with higher baseline CORT, whereas survival was negatively associated with higher stress-induced CORT. Our results provide rare evidence linking CORT and long-term survival of wild vertebrates and that environmentally relevant concentrations of MeHg can influence survival of free-ranging amphibians, and these effects may be mediated by CORT.

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Ecosystem-engineered infections: Beaver-modified wetlands are associated with conflicting drivers of amphibian pathogen prevalence

Beavers are ecosystem engineers and keystone species that protect freshwater resources and increase biodiversity. Beaver reintroductions are promoted for amphibian conservation, yet their impact on Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), a pathogen linked with amphibian population declines worldwide, remains unclear. We investigated the abiotic and biotic drivers of Bd prevalence in Columbia spotted frogs ( Rana luteiventris ) and western toads ( Anaxyrus boreas ) in 20 beaver-modified and 23 non-beaver wetlands in Glacier National Park, USA. We found that beavers increased wetland hydroperiod, which was associated with higher Bd prevalence. However, beavers also reduced wetland canopy cover, which was associated with lower Bd prevalence. Our models also predicted higher Bd prevalence associated with higher adult density of both species of amphibians, although species’ densities were similar in beaver-modified and non-beaver wetlands. These results suggest that beavers have a cumulatively negligible net effect on Bd prevalence owing to their effects on both hydroperiod and canopy cover, which is encouraging for amphibian conservation. Our findings also suggest that decreasing canopy cover may be a potential management option to reduce Bd prevalence. In addition, these findings indicate that beaver-mimicking restoration projects may harm amphibian populations if they increase wetland hydroperiods without reducing canopy cover.

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Preparation and analysis methods for fish tissue collected from Lake Koocanusa, Montana

Lake Koocanusa, a reservoir, receives mine wastes from metallurgical coal mines in the Elk River Valley of British Columbia, Canada. Selenium and other elements discharged by the mines into the waters of the United States can pose unknown risks to aquatic life. The U.S. Geological Survey Wyoming-Montana Water Science Center can collaborate with Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks and other State and Federal agencies to design studies and to collect fish tissues to help fill this knowledge gap. This report describes the processes, techniques, and methods used to collect and analyze fish tissue collected from Lake Koocanusa; and procedures used to review and manage data, including quality assurance and quality control procedures used by the U.S. Geological Survey Wyoming-Montana Water Science Center and supporting analytical laboratories. These fish tissue collections began in 2021.

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Tree swallow (Tachycineta bicolor) demographics and metal(loid) concentrations in egg contents from the Kootenai River basin, Montana nest box colonies

Selenium (Se) levels in water have been increasing in Lake Koocanusa and the Kootenai River below Libby Dam in Montana due to coal mining in the drainage basin of the Elk River, British Columbia. Aquatic monitoring of Se is ongoing to assess potential effects; however, exposure to terrestrial, aquatic-dependent wildlife has not been investigated. Tree swallows are a targeted receptor for evaluation of potential Se-related effects as this species is a mid-level consumer with aquatic-terrestrial food web linkages, is sensitive to Se, and reliably uses nest boxes. The goals of this project were to identify tree swallow demographics and metal(loid) concentrations to assess potential species and ecosystem-level effects within the Kootenai River basin study area. During 2022 and 2023, a total of 98 nest boxes were monitored across ~ 120 km of shoreline; 60 eggs were collected. Egg metal(loid) concentrations, including Se, were below levels identified to cause reproductive effects in avian species. However, nest box occupancy increased with distance from the US/Canada border ( P < 0.001; R 2 = 0.83), and Se concentrations were significantly higher ( P = 0.014) in 2023 than 2022 (3.2 (3.0–3.4) and 2.8 (2.6–3.1), respectively; geometric mean, 95% CI; mg/kg, dw). With ongoing mining operations in the drainage basin of the Elk River, these results suggest that long-term monitoring of tree swallows will support assessment of spatiotemporal metal(loid) trends. Additional data, including tree swallow foraging patterns, will allow evaluation of differences in nest box occupancy and metal(loid) concentrations in the Kootenai River basin.

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Controls on water quality below a reclaimed surface coal mine, southeastern Montana

Coal mining and reclamation can have a profound influence on hydrogeologic systems, with clear consequences for groundwater quality, yet their long-term influence on downgradient water quality over time following reclamation is less well documented. Geochemical trends were evaluated in water quality downgradient of a fully reclaimed landscape at the former Big Sky Mine in the Rosebud Creek watershed (southeastern Montana, USA), over a 3-year period (2020–2022), including bond release in 2022. Within 6 km downgradient from the reclaimed area, sulfate concentrations decreased from approximately 3500 to 1800 mg l −1 within the Miller Coulee alluvial aquifer. Major ions, δ 34 S SO4 values, and residence time tracers suggest that the observed decreases in sulfate concentration result from a combination of dilution by mixed-age inflows and incomplete transit of the high salinity plume from the mine boundary. Both bedrock and alluvial aquifers of the Rosebud Creek corridor contained contributions of millennia-old regional groundwater, which may serve to mitigate mine-derived high salinity waters. Rosebud Creek, which traverses the outflow zone of Miller Coulee in the study area, exhibited high sulfate concentrations during low flows and consistent downgradient increases in sulfate concentration. The possibility of plume dynamics in Miller Coulee suggests that the greatest water quality impacts may not yet have reached Rosebud Creek.

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Native Yellowstone cutthroat trout Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri growth and survival in a headwater stream primarily driven by warming stream temperatures, with non-native brown trout Salmo trutta posing an additional threat to survival

Warming rivers and interactions with non-native species impact salmonid species globally. Understanding how hydroclimatic conditions synergistically and independently interact with non-native species is critical for effectively managing salmonids into the future. We used a 10-year mark–recapture dataset to assess how native Yellowstone cutthroat trout (YCT) Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri and non-native brown trout Salmo trutta growth rates and apparent survival were affected by hydroclimatic conditions and (for YCT) the presence of brown trout in a tributary. Growth (YCT) and survival (both species across size classes) were negatively related to warming stream temperatures. Brown trout growth was positively related to increasing daily streamflow variability (a proxy for streamflow), but this variable was not included in the top YCT growth model. Density-dependent effects appeared to be non-existent (growth) or weakly positive (survival). When sympatric with brown trout, YCT displayed worse survival than allopatric YCT across environmental conditions. Broadly, we found native and non-native trout respond to different hydroclimatic conditions that shift with changing climatic conditions, and brown trout represent an additional threat to YCT survival.

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The effects of unpaved roads on instream sediment: Patterns and challenges for monitoring

Despite > 700,000 km of unpaved roads in the western United States, our knowledge of how roads impact instream sediment is unclear. We combined two studies, including (1) a regional analysis linking stream habitat data from a large-scale monitoring program with road density data to identify generalizable relationships between roads and streambed sediment distributions and (2) a targeted field study to evaluate the responses of streambed and suspended sediment collected at locations above and below road–stream connection points to better understand the consistency of responses. Regional analyses indicated a significant positive relationship between road density and fine sediment in pool tails and a significant negative relationship between road density and median particle size. We also found significant relationships between landscape, climate, and local covariates and streambed sediment metrics, where most of the parameter estimates of the covariates were equal to or stronger than those for road density. Field studies suggested higher suspended sediment levels across the seasonal hydrologic regime where roads were open to travel year-round. However, sediment responses to road–stream connection points varied by metric and site. Together, our results indicated negative relationships between increasing road densities and sediment size distributions, but detecting road effects at site scales will be challenging given the effects of covariates that can overwhelm sediment signals.

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Documenting, quantifying, and modeling a large glide avalanche in Glacier National Park, Montana, USA

Glide avalanches present a significant and repetitive challenge to many operational forecasting programs, and they are likely to become more frequent. While the spatial location of glide release areas is extremely consistent, the onset of glide avalanche release is notoriously difficult to forecast, and their destructive potential can be immense. Thus, the timing and dynamics of glide avalanches is an important area of study. To better understand these processes, and to improve assessments of risk to transportation corridors and infrastructure, event documentation is key. Here, we survey a large glide avalanche event along the Going-to-the-Sun Road in Glacier National Park, Montana, USA, during road opening operations in the spring of 2022. Using three sets of terrestrial lidar data (pre-event, post-event, and snow-off), we quantified key aspects of the avalanche and created powerful visualizations for analysis. Further, we evaluated meteorological data from automated weather stations between the onset of glide cracking and avalanche release. Last, we synthesized lidar data with a numerical dynamics model to replicate the event in a simulated environment. Using the tuned model, we determined the critical mean snow depth in the release area necessary for an avalanche to reach the road (4.2 m). Our method may be of particular use for glide avalanches, which tend to release in roughly the same place and time each year at a known interface. This could make the calculated critical depths more consistently reliable and preclude the need for additional tuning in dynamics models. As 1) lidar technology continues to improve and reduce in cost, 2) transportation corridors continue to extend into avalanche terrain, and 3) glide avalanches potentially become increasingly frequent, the synthesis outlined here provides a valuable tool for operational forecasters considering infrastructure threatened by glide events.

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