Geology topics

Research about Hawaii

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Hawaii.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Geophysical insights into Kīlauea’s eruptive reawakening after its 2018 eruption and caldera collapse

A little more than two years after the destructive 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption and summit collapse ended, renewed volcanic activity began at Kīlauea volcano, Hawaiʻi. During 2020–2025, activity at the volcano included six eruptions in the summit caldera, one in the Southwest Rift Zone, and one in the middle East Rift Zone, as well as multiple non-eruptive intrusions in all three locations. We categorize the volcano’s activity post-2018 into four phases based on eruption locations and style, as well as patterns of magma storage and migration inferred from geophysical data. In some cases, these observations illuminated parts of the volcano’s magmatic system for the first time since the advent of modern geophysical monitoring—particularly deformation datasets that include tilt, continuous GNSS, and InSAR. Analyses of these geodetic data and complementary seismic, geological, and geochemical observations provide an opportunity to explore summit and rift zone connectivity, rift-zone magma storage conditions, the variable geophysical manifestations of eruption onsets, magma-fault interactions, and other long-standing questions associated with eruptions and intrusions at Kīlauea.

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USGS2026

Effect of land-use change and climate on coral calcification and geochemistry: A 253-year time series from west Maui

Land-use change and climate variability both regulate land-based inputs of sediment and nutrient delivery to coral reefs, yet few records in Hawaii can identify when these land-based inputs began or how they have evolved through time. We present a 253-year (1760–2013) coral core record from Olowalu reef, Maui, spanning pre-colonial settlement through the rise and decline of sugarcane agriculture, water diversion, and modern coastal development. Trace element ratios (e.g., Ba/Ca, Y/Ca, P/Ca, Fe/Ca, Sr/Ca) and coral growth parameters document how watershed disturbance and climate variability have influenced reef conditions. Coral trace element records exhibit coherent variability at annual to decadal timescales consistent with El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation frequencies, suggesting climatic control on runoff and groundwater delivery. Superimposed on this natural variability, Ba/Ca, P/Ca, and Fe/Ca increased by 17–55% from the eighteenth century to the late twentieth century, with the largest increase occurring during the mid-1900s and coinciding with the maximum extent of Maui sugarcane plantations. These shifts indicate prolonged increases in sediment and nutrient inputs to the reef. Coral calcification increased by ~30% prior to ~1970 but declined thereafter, coincident with the peak sugarcane production. The negative correlation between coral calcification rate and terrigenous proxies (e.g., Ba/Ca, Y/Ca, P/Ca, and Fe/Ca) suggests that episodic terrestrial inputs from sugarcane plantations depressed coral calcification. This record provides the first pre-colonial to modern baseline for ridge-to-reef connectivity in Maui and demonstrates that historical land-use change has left a persistent geochemical imprint on the downstream reef ecosystem.

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USGS2026

Geolocator devices did not affect chick growth or adult return rates in Wedge-tailed Shearwaters (Ardenna pacifica) despite interannual variation in chick development

Although biologging has transformed seabird ecology, bird-borne devices could alter the behaviors being studied, including parental care. We tested for effects of leg-mounted light-level geolocators (< 1% of body mass) on chick growth and adult return rates in Wedge-tailed Shearwaters (‘ua‘u kani, Ardenna pacifica ) breeding on O‘ahu, Hawai‘i during two consecutive breeding seasons that coincided with contrasting El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) years. Accounting for hatching phenology, we compared three responses of two tagging groups (tagged and non-tagged controls): (1) chick growth rates (mass, wing chord, 10th primary), (2) chick survival to fledging, and (3) adult return rates in the following breeding season. We found a significant effect of year on overall chick growth patterns, but no effect of tagging or sex-specific impacts. Chick survival did not differ between groups in either year. Regardless of the tagging group, all chicks in 2023 grew wing chords more slowly and reached lower peak body mass compared to chicks in 2022. However, growth rates did not differ between tagging groups within either season. Despite these interannual differences in chick growth, geolocator deployments did not impact breeding performance or adult return rates to the colony. These results emphasize the importance of evaluating device effects to avoid misinterpreting interannual variability as a tagging impact, and reinforce the value of even small-scale comparisons of tagged and non-tagged groups.

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USGS2026

Storage timescales and the crystal growth history recorded in the layered reservoir of the Unit 3 Kulanaokuaiki Tephra Member of the Uēkahuna Ash from Kīlauea volcano

The Kulanaokuaiki Tephra Unit 3 (900 C.E.) was a subplinian basaltic scoria eruption, the largest known to have occurred at Kīlauea’s summit. The initiation mechanism and cause(s) of this highly hazardous eruption remain poorly understood, particularly as this style of activity has not been observed in the modern period. We use olivine diffusion timescales from Fe-Mg and lithium zoning to assess magma storage timescales and evaluate evidence for mixing prior to eruption. Of the 200 crystals assessed, 55% are normally zoned for forsterite and 45% are non-zoned. Zoned crystals (> 1 mm) ( n = 96) have average compositions of Fo 89 cores and Fo 81 rims, while small crystals 0.5–1 mm ( n = 14) have Fo 85 cores and Fo 82 rims. Modeled Fo diffusion timescales range from < 1 to 12.6 years (median of 3.0 years). Lithium maps in 32 of the forsterite-zoned crystals reveal a variety of lithium zoning types, most of which we attribute to crystal growth. Many lithium profiles are coupled to phosphorus within the outer ~ 100 μm of the crystal ( n = 17), reflecting growth processes and precluding their use for diffusion studies. Overall, our Unit 3 olivine dataset displays no evidence of magmatic priming shortly prior to eruption, unlike prior observations for the basaltic subplinian eruption of the Keanakāko‘i Tephra Unit E (1650 C.E.). Thus, explosive eruption magmas may be stored for considerably longer than previously thought, and magmatic priming is not a necessary precursor for Kīlauea’s explosive eruptions. We hypothesize that gas-driven filter pressing from crystallization of microlites and macrocrysts in the reservoir slurry contributed to the explosivity of the Unit 3 eruption.

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USGS2026

3D Elevation Program—Hawaii

Using 3D Elevation Program data, a modern illustration of each State's landscape showcases its elevation differences in vivid detail. Each State has been consistently adjusted and colorized according to its highest and lowest elevations, accentuating differences even in States with low relief. To further emphasize landforms, shaded relief has been added on top of the elevation colors.

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USGS2026

Groundwater and surface-water interactions in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed, O‘ahu, Hawai‘i—Analysis of historical data and numerical groundwater-model simulations

The Waihe‘e-Kahaluʻu watershed and surrounding areas lie in a dike-impounded groundwater setting of the Ko‘olau Range, O‘ahu, Hawai‘i, where groundwater withdrawal from wells and tunnels have resulted in reductions in streamflow. Resource managers and surface-water users seek information that can be used to balance the needs of competing uses of groundwater and streamflow in the watershed. This study assesses the effects of four groundwater developments in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed—Kahaluu Tunnel, Waihee Tunnel, Kahaluu Well, and Waihee Incline Wells—on Kahalu‘u and Waihe‘e Streams. Analyses of historical streamflow, withdrawal, and rainfall data indicate that base flow (the component of streamflow that is supplied from groundwater discharge) in Kahalu‘u and Waihe‘e Streams decreased in response to withdrawals from wells and tunnels within and outside the watershed. Groundwater-model simulations indicate that shutdown of selected tunnels and wells in the Waihe‘e-Kahaluʻu watershed will result in increases of groundwater discharge, but not all of the increase will occur in streams within the watershed; increases will also occur in streams outside the basin, the ocean, and tunnels other than those that were shut down. The analysis of historical data and model simulations is consistent in showing that the effects of withdrawal changes on streams are not constrained by the topographic boundaries of watersheds. Stream base flows in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed are subject to a complex interaction of multiple withdrawals from wells and tunnels installed at various times within and outside the watershed. The correspondence between withdrawals and base-flow changes is consistent with the conceptual model and understanding of the connection between groundwater and streamflow in the dike-impounded groundwater setting of the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed and the Ko‘olau Range.

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USGS2026

Timescales of cumulate mobilization and mixing for the 1868 A.D. eruption of Mauna Loa, Island of Hawai‘i

The deadly 1868 A.D. eruption of Mauna Loa’s lower Southwest Rift Zone (Island of Hawai‘i) included a M7.9 earthquake and associated tsunami and landslides, demonstrating the severe hazards posed by Earth’s largest active subaerial volcano. To better understand the relationship between intense seismic activity, dike emplacement, magma storage, transport histories, and mobilization of olivine cumulates at Mauna Loa, we examine compositional zoning of olivine in the 1868 lava flows. Samples range from basalt (< 10% olivine) to picrite (30–40% olivine). The olivine cargo is heterogeneous (Fo 78.2–89.2 ; forsterite = [Mg/(Mg + Fe) × 100]) but dominated by ~ Fo 89 cores that lie above the Fe-Mg equilibrium field of host glasses. Crystal rims < Fo 80 are due to post-eruptive modification in slow cooling lava flows. Minor element compositions fall within the range of other Mauna Loa olivine erupted in the past 200 years. Olivine crystals exhibit both normal and complex Fo zoning patterns that yield timescales of diffusive re-equilibration that range from 3 to 258 days, with 72% of crystals recording 71 days or less. These timescales correspond to magmatic priming of the summit reservoir system ~ 2 months prior to the eruption and the M7.9 earthquake likely facilitated the transport of the crystal-rich summit-derived magmas downrift shortly prior to eruption. If the recently proposed faster Fe-Mg diffusion coefficient is used, timescales instead range from < 1 day to 25 days, with most recording 1 week or less. In this scenario, most of the olivine zoning would have to have been generated after the M7.9 earthquake perturbed the system.

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USGS2026

Seeing is believing: Livestream video monitoring of Hawaiian eruptions

Livestream video has become a crucial tool for volcano monitoring in recent years, building upon the use of webcam snapshots that have been common for the past two decades. In Hawaii, livestream video was first tested in 2018, and today, livestream video is a vital tool for the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and partner agencies (National Park Service and Hawaiʻi County Civil Defense) as well as the public. Its role in volcano monitoring has been highlighted by the 2024–present summit eruption of Kīlauea—where three livestream video feeds provide a continuous and easily accessible view of the activity for the public. Here, we describe the methodology and equipment used for the livestream cameras in Hawaii and discuss the benefits and challenges of livestream video monitoring. We show how the nature of livestream video has fundamentally changed volcano monitoring, providing an “up-close” view to the world that was previously limited to observatory field staff. The livestream video feeds, coupled with the historical summit lava fountains, have provided an unprecedented level of engagement with the public, both local and worldwide.

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USGS2026

Geochemistry of the 2022 Mauna Loa eruption: A comparison with earlier historical summit reservoir eruptions, with implications for magma supply and recharge

On November 28th, 2022, following a record historical repose period of 38 years, Mauna Loa erupted about 145 × 10 6 m 3 of lava and tephra over a 15-day period. The eruption was confined to the summit caldera region and the upper Northeast Rift Zone and is remarkably homogeneous in composition in both time and space. In these respects, it is typical of prior shallow summit reservoir magma bodies, recently estimated to be at a depth of around 1–2 km beneath the caldera. In contrast with these earlier magma bodies, which typically contain 6.7–7.1% MgO and are perched at the low-MgO end of olivine-control trends, the 2022 lava and tephra are more evolved with 6.24 + / − 0.03% MgO. This implies a temperature difference of around 11 °C with the prior 1984 magma. The simplest explanation is that over 38 years, cooling and crystallization of the remaining 1984 magma body has significantly exceeded magma recharge, giving rise to the evolved 2022 magma. The problem with this model is that we know from a variety of geophysical observations that in those 38 years, Mauna Loa has been erratically inflating, with heightened periods since around 2000 attributed to magma recharge. To reconcile these differences, we suggest instead that the 1984 magma cooled and crystallized much more extensively, from 1166 °C to around 1106 °C, co-crystallizing plagioclase, clinopyroxene, pigeonite and subsequently enstatite instead of pigeonite. At this point, the residual 1984 magma would have an MgO content around 4.2% and been about 50% solidified. Subsequent recharge and mixing by dominantly reservoir magmas, derived from a deeper 3–4-km intermediate magma reservoir, eventually produced the 2022 magma.

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USGS2026

Thermal infrared and ultraviolet remote sensing of sulfur dioxide gas emitted during the 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption of Kilauea, Hawaiʻi

Ultraviolet (UV) remote sensing is widely used to detect volcanic sulfur dioxide (SO₂) due to its high sensitivity and favorable spatial and temporal resolution. However, significant discrepancies have been reported between ground-based and satellite-based UV observations of dense volcanic plumes. A notable example is the 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption of Kīlauea, where SO₂ emission rates derived from ground-based Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (DOAS) measurements differed substantially from those obtained by the spaceborne Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI). In this study, we investigate these differences by applying thermal infrared (TIR) satellite retrievals using a modified version of the SO₂-ALTA algorithm to Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) observations. The resulting TIR-derived SO₂ fluxes are compared with ground-based DOAS data, satellite UV observations, and petrological estimates of gas emissions. Our results show strong agreement between TIR-derived fluxes, ground-based DOAS measurements, and petrological estimates, particularly during the peak and plateau phases of the eruption. In contrast, satellite UV-derived SO₂ emissions are systematically lower. We find that TIR observations are more effective in quantifying high-concentration SO₂ plumes in the near-vent region, while UV measurements are more sensitive under lower-concentration conditions but more affected by scattering in optically dense plumes. These findings highlight the complementary strengths of UV and TIR remote sensing techniques and emphasize the importance of accounting for plume density and observation geometry when interpreting satellite SO₂ retrievals.

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USGS2026

Dietary composition and diversity in an endemic island bat, the Hawaiian hoary bat (Lasiurus semotus)

Due to the importance of sufficient diets, conservation practices for endangered bats often involve protection and restoration of foraging resources. For insectivorous (or arthropodivorous) bats, detailed knowledge of prey consumption can inform effective management. In this study, we used metabarcoding techniques to investigate the diet of Lasiurus semotus , a primarily insectivorous, solitary foliage-roosting endangered bat endemic to the Hawaiian Islands. To determine diet composition and how it relates to sex, reproductive condition, and habitat, we analyzed 141 guano samples collected from across the Hawaiian archipelago between 2010–2021. We detected 424 arthropod prey items, with Lepidoptera — the most common order (found in 100% of all samples), followed by Blattodea (85%), Coleoptera (42%), Orthoptera (47%), Diptera (33%), and Hemiptera (25%). Coleoptera were more frequent in guano collected from females. Prey richness and evenness at the family-level were similar across sex, reproductive condition, elevation, and land cover type. High variability among samples, and the dominance of Lepidoptera and Kalotermitidae (Blattodea), indicates that local prey abundance may influence L. semotus diet more strongly than prey richness and evenness. Lasiurus semotus consumed both native and non-native arthropods, including several invasive agricultural pests. Our study demonstrates that hoary bats in the Hawaiian Islands consume a wide variety of prey types, likely sought over an extensive range of habitats.

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USGS2026

Osmium isotope constraints on Mauna Loa–Kilauea magmatic connectivity, Island of Hawai‘i

The Hawaiian volcanic chain exhibits a long-recognized double track of volcanism defined by the Loa and Kea trends, which erupt chemically and isotopically distinct lavas. Mauna Loa and Kīlauea, the two most frequently active volcanoes of the Loa and Kea trends, produce distinct endmember compositions. However, historical periods of compositional convergence have prompted debate regarding a potential magmatic connection between the two adjacent volcanoes. Proposed links include a shallow edifice-level plumbing system, a common magma source at ∼40 km depth, or a deeper asthenospheric source. In the latter scenario, based on correlated Sr–Nd–Pb isotopes and trace-element systematics, a “shared” mantle source supplies melt alternately to both volcanoes on multi-decadal timescales. Here, we use Os isotopes to evaluate the proposed connections. We measured Os isotopes in eight historical Mauna Loa tholeiites along with three Kīlauea tholeiites (1832 summit eruption; Uēkahuna Bluff; 2000 Pu‘u‘ō‘ō eruption) previously identified as isotopically intermediate between Mauna Loa and Kīlauea endmembers. We found that the acidic bromide leachates of all samples yield more radiogenic 187 Os/ 188 Os than corresponding bulk residues, with the labile Os-bearing phase comprising ∼0.4–27% of bulk Os. Mauna Loa tholeiites display nearly constant 187 Os/ 188 Os over the past ∼200 years (0.134–0.136; mean = 0.1357 ± 0.0013, n = 8, 2SD), despite large variations in total [Os] ranging from ∼30 pg/g (2022 tholeiite) to ∼966 pg/g (1868 picrite). The Kīlauea 1832 sample has 187 Os/ 188 Os = 0.1302 ± 0.0008, slightly higher than the Kīlauea endmember (0.1285 ± 0.0008), whereas the Uēkahuna Bluff and Pu‘u‘ō‘ō samples exhibit more elevated ratios (0.1314 ± 0.0008 and 0.1327 ± 0.0008, respectively). We conclude that the “shared” mantle source exerts negligible control on Mauna Loa Os isotope systematics. In contrast, the Kīlauea mantle source is more heterogeneous, with contributions from small-scale recycled domains with variable time-integrated Re/Os ratios.

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USGS2026

Tephra from Kīlauea’s 2008–2018 lava lake eruption—Proximal deposits and dispersal characteristics

A network of ten buckets was established early in the 2008–2018 summit eruption at Kīlauea to collect proximal tephra ejected from the new, informally named the “Overlook crater”; the buckets were emptied on most days of the eruption thereafter. This report summarizes the results of more than 2,400 different sampling intervals (most 1–3 days long) during the eruption, focusing on the physical and dispersal characteristics of the tephra deposits. The network was within about 300 meters south of the vent to capture tephra dispersed by the dominant northeast trade wind. The juvenile tephra mainly reflected spattering at the southeast (SE) sink, a downwelling area in the southeastern part of the lava lake in the Overlook crater that remained in the same area throughout the eruption, with admixtures of solid rock and secondary minerals derived from the wall of the crater. The proportion of juvenile material to lithic material ranged widely early in the eruption but was generally greater than 90 percent for the last 6 years of the eruption as lake level rose and the crater walls decreased in height and became more stable. The accumulation rate of tephra at each bucket was strongly dependent on the location of the bucket and reflects the interplay between lava lake level and wind direction and speed. The mass per unit area (m/a) of collected tephra was a maximum of about 97 kilograms per square meter for the entire eruption, equivalent to a thickness of about 75 millimeters. Thirty-two explosive events with a volcanic explosivity index of −2 to −4 deposited much of the tephra in the network. Fifteen of these rock-fall-induced events occurred within 6 days of one another. Pele’s hair, a volcanic glass predominantly associated with quieter activity at the vent in the final half of the eruption, was dispersed more than 60 kilometers downwind from the lava lake and formed a nearly continuous deposit near the Overlook crater. This eruption was probably the most frequently sampled long-lasting eruption in history, but most of the deposits are ephemeral. The collected samples, although generally of small mass, are retained by the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and are available for detailed study.

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USGS2026

Mortality in the Hawaiian Short-eared Owl (Pueo, Asio flammeus sandwichensis): Causes and spatial trends

Trends in wildlife mortality can be particularly challenging to identify in low-density species where mortalities are less likely to be detected or documented. The Pueo, or Hawaiian Short-eared Owl ( Asio flammeus sandwichensis ), is the only native raptor that breeds on all the main Hawaiian Islands. The Pueo is state-listed as endangered on the island of Oʻahu, but drivers of population dynamics are not well known, including causes of mortality. In this study, existing records from organizations across the Hawaiian Islands were compiled to evaluate the causes of mortality in Pueo. Here, 242 unique records spanning the years 1993 to 2024 from state, federal, and private organizations were evaluated for causes of Pueo death. Trauma due to collisions with vehicles, wind turbines, fences, and other human-made objects was the leading detected cause of death (62%) followed by emaciation (13%) and disease (6%), with 19% of deaths due to unknown causes. The islands of Hawaiʻi and Kauaʻi, both with relatively low human populations, had the highest total number of reported mortalities (n = 77, 32%). The highest number of recorded mortalities was in the month of July (16%), and mortalities were generally higher from June through August. Although our study has detection biases, our results are consistent with global studies suggesting that blunt force trauma from vehicles, wind turbines, and other infrastructure are potentially important sources of mortality in raptors. Similar to other studies, rodenticide effects and infectious disease were potentially underestimated as sources of mortality, because most birds did not undergo a full necropsy. Further, there may be confounding variables due to ad hoc data collection. Development of a state-wide system for reporting and recording wildlife mortality along with future studies that include necropsies may improve our ability to discern which sources of mortality may be mitigated.

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USGS2026

Resolving uncertainty in satellite-derived shorelines of a reef-lined beach using high spatiotemporal resolution topographic surveys

Automated satellite-derived shoreline (SDS) detection is increasingly used for coastal monitoring, yet few high spatiotemporal resolution datasets exist for detailed error analysis. This study compares SDS from Landsat 7, Landsat 8, Sentinel-2, and PlanetScope against 3.5 years of weekly orthomosaic and digital elevation model surveys of a 500 m reef-lined beach in Waikīkī, Hawai‘i ( n = 128 surveys). We evaluated error mitigation strategies including image co-registration, outlier removal, and water-level corrections (tides and wave set-up). SDS accuracy improved substantially after these corrections, with root mean square errors (RMSE) ranging from 2.83 m (PlanetScope) to 5.54 m (Sentinel-2). Our analysis showed that satellite-derived waterlines (SDWs) do not consistently align with the same geomorphic feature (e.g., waterline, low water mark). Mid-resolution satellites aligned with the waterline in only ~ 50% of cases, whereas higher-resolution PlanetScope imagery (3.7 m) aligned consistently in 97% of cases. These findings reveal that SDS can represent varying shoreline proxies, introducing an under-recognized uncertainty that higher-resolution imagery can help resolve. We demonstrate that high-resolution imagery and robust error mitigation are useful for improving the reliability of automated shoreline detection.

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USGS2026

Lava flow emplacement dynamics during the Mauna Loa 2022 eruption

On November 27, 2022, Mauna Loa erupted for the first time in 38 years, threatening a major highway on the Island of Hawaiʻi. The opening phases of the eruption were focused at the volcano’s summit, before magma propagated into the upper Northeast Rift Zone to erupt at four fissure segments that localized at fissure 3 by December 2. This fissure produced a braided ʻaʻā flow that traversed the steep north flank at >1 km/hr, before slowing as slopes shallowed. Effusion rates peaked in the early hours of the eruption and then steadied at around 100 m3/s at fissure 3. Lava effusion became variable and dropped abruptly on December 7. The eruption ended on December 10 with a final flow length of 18 km. We tracked lava effusion rates, flow advance, channel dynamics, and 3-D flow field development with field and remote sensing observations throughout this eruption to inform lava flow forecasts and investigate ʻaʻā flow dynamics. Flows were mapped using optical and infrared imagery, uncrewed aircraft systems, and airborne single-pass InSAR. Video- and time-lapse cameras were deployed to record lava fountaining and channelized flow at frequent intervals, supplemented by field measurements. Analyses of these data built a detailed record of effusion rates and associated flow dynamics. We combine these high frequency observations of the proximal flow field with broader thermal and 3-D mapping of the evolution in the medial and distal flow field to examine ʻaʻā flow dynamics from source to toe. Within the steep, medial section of the flow field, channel blockages caused back-ups and overflows as the eruption progressed. Disrupted lava supply to the distal flow field and low slopes resulted in stalling, widening, and thickening at the toe. Overall, 142 million m3 of lava covered 36 km2 over 13 days. Our results inform the controls on development and evolution of lava flow fields, with implications for forecasting primary flow advance and secondary flow field growth.

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USGS2026

Syn-emplacement crystallization of Mauna Loa 2022 lava flows, Hawaiʻi

Advances in near-real-time forecasts of lava flow advance rates, final travel distance, and areal coverage are transforming hazard response, particularly in locations such as Hawaiʻi that experience frequent lava flow activity. The most severe threats are posed by rapidly advancing channelized ʻaʻā flows, such as those that characterized the November–December 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa volcano. To constrain rheological inputs to flow forecasting models during the eruption, samples were collected from the two most persistent lava flows and rapidly assessed for downflow changes in crystallinity and vesicularity. As observed in other channelized lava flows, the lava lost bubbles and cooled during transport, with consequent increases in groundmass crystallinity and bulk viscosity. Lava rheology, however, is controlled by more than bulk bubble and crystal contents; also important are the melt viscosity and the size and shape distributions of bubbles and crystals. Here we further interrogate the sample suite to document a down flow increase of almost two orders of magnitude in melt viscosity alone (a function of cooling combined with compositional change) and assess the extreme anisotropy of the plagioclase crystals as a function of size and flow type (pāhoehoe or ʻaʻā). When combined with previous studies, these data constrain observed relations between surface morphology, flow temperature and crystal content and indicate that remote assessments of morphological transitions and core lava temperature could be used for channel-wide monitoring of rheological evolution for assimilation into flow models.

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USGS2026

Predicted range shifts of non‐native grasses in response to climate change are influenced by photosynthetic pathway: A case study in the Hawaiian Islands

Aim Grasses comprise three main photosynthetic pathway variants (C 3 -BOP, C 3 -PACMAD and C 4 -PACMAD hereafter referred to as C 4 ). We sought to confirm climate niche differences among these photosynthetic pathway variants and assessed whether predicted non-native grass range shift patterns with climate change differ among photosynthetic pathway variants. Location Hawaiian Islands. Methods We used a species distribution modelling (SDM) approach that uses global occurrence records to inform local SDM based on local (Hawaiian Islands) occurrences. We compared climate niches and projected climate-driven range shifts, assuming moderate climate change (RCP 4.5, end of century), among 22 non-native grasses representing C 3 -BOP, C 3 -PACMAD and C 4 photosynthetic pathway variants. Results C 4 grasses exhibited the warmest temperature niches on average, but did not differ substantially in rainfall niche versus C 3 -BOP grasses. C 3 -PACMAD species averaged high suitability across a broad range of temperatures and rainfall conditions, except extreme aridity. In response to projected climate change, C 4 grasses had projected range increases. C 3 -BOP grasses typically responded with net range decreases, while C 3 -PACMAD grasses had variable range responses. However, patterns were contingent on elevation: for instance, the projected expansion of C 4 grasses was generally limited to elevations below 2000 m, with the largest increases in areas up to ~750 m. Areas of greatest reduction for C 3 -BOP and C 3 -PACMAD were projected at 750–1900 m and 100–1100 m elevation, respectively. Above 2000 m, range increases were projected for both C 3 grass variants. Main Conclusions Our projections suggest that non-native C 4 grasses pose the greatest risk for increasing spread and impacts under RCP 4.5, while certain C 3 -PACMAD grasses may endanger valuable high-elevation habitats. Photosynthetic pathway may be a useful component of weed risk assessment to evaluate how species may respond to climate change as similar range response patterns may be expected for other non-native grasses in other tropical and subtropical regions.

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