Geology topics

Research about Canada, United States

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Canada, United States.

At least 127 records · Page 7Linked to original sources

USGS2025

Environmental drivers of productivity explain population patterns of an Arctic-nesting goose across a half-century

Joint estimation of demographic rates and population size has become an essential tool in ecology because it enables evaluating mechanisms for population change and testing hypotheses about drivers of demography in a single modeling framework. This approach provides a comprehensive perspective on population dynamics and how animal populations will respond to global pressures in future years. However, long-term data for such analyses are often limited in quantity and quality. We developed an integrated population model combining data on demography and population size from nine different sources to understand the population ecology of the lesser snow goose ( Anser caerulescens caerulescens ) in the Pacific Flyway in North America from 1970 to 2022. We divided the flyway population into Wrangel Island and Western Arctic subpopulations and assessed demographic mechanisms for population change and environmental and anthropogenic drivers that influenced demography. During 1970–2022, the estimated spring population of snow geese in the Pacific Flyway increased from ~300,000 to ~2,300,000. Short-term changes in population growth rate were primarily driven by changes in productivity in the Western Arctic and productivity and immigration in Wrangel Island. Changes in hunting and natural mortality had less influence on short-term but likely contributed to the pronounced long-term population growth. Early snowmelt positively influenced per capita productivity in both regions, and warm, rainy weather during the non-breeding season was associated with high per capita productivity in the Western Arctic. In the Western Arctic, per capita productivity was negatively associated with population size, and adult natural mortality was positively associated with population size, indicating density-dependent regulation in this subpopulation. In Wrangel Island, warm weather in early fall decreased juvenile natural mortality. Our results demonstrate that per capita productivity and immigration, rather than adult survival, were the primary mechanisms of short-term population change in this long-lived species. Our results also indicate that environmental conditions and density-dependent effects can impact population dynamics more than harvest, even for a long-lived, commonly harvested species. We demonstrate that a warming climate can have multiple effects on demography, emphasizing the importance of assessing a variety of spatial and temporal factors when predicting how populations might respond to large-scale environmental changes. This emphasizes the importance of conservation plans that consider these environmental drivers, although this may complicate direct management of such populations.

Ecological Applications↗

USGS2025

Organic matter availability and the production of methane-derived dissolved organic carbon at methane seeps

Methane seeps located along continental margins and slopes export sedimentary methane and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) into the ocean. The flux of these reduced carbon molecules from the seafloor into the ocean impacts ocean chemistry and supports deep-sea life. While significant effort has been made to understand how the anaerobic oxidation of methane (AOM) regulates the release of methane from the seafloor, little is known about the production of DOC in association with AOM or its flux and fate in the ocean. We hypothesize a mechanism for methane incorporation into DOC at seeps and investigate the relationship between sediment total organic carbon (TOC) availability and the incorporation of methane-derived carbon into DOC at four methane seep regions along the Cascadia margin, with a range of microbial and thermogenic methane sources. At sites with <2.0 wt.% TOC (Hydrate Ridge and Bullseye Vent), up to 60%–80% of carbon in DOC is methane-carbon, much more than sites with >2.0 wt.% TOC (Astoria Canyon and Barkley Canyon). We attribute the greater methane contribution at the more TOC-limited sites to a greater role of AOM in the carbon cycle, whereas at the organic matter-rich sites, microbial competition for sulfate as an electron acceptor for organic matter decomposition limits AOM and hence the transfer of carbon from methane to DOC. We estimate that the global diffusive flux of methane-derived DOC from the seafloor is 0.07–10.1 Tg C/yr, contributing to the stock of DOC present in the deep ocean and/or fueling the deep-sea microbial loop.

California, Oregon, Washington↗

USGS2025

Angler dynamics in the St. Clair-Detroit River System after decades of change

Habitat and water quality were historically degraded within the St. Clair-Detroit River System (SCDRS). Beginning in 2004, extensive habitat restoration projects were implemented remediating losses of fish spawning beds and shoreline areas. Monitoring of post-restoration activities documented recovering fish populations; however, angler response remains unknown. Extensive creel surveys were conducted pre-restoration (2002–2004), but post-restoration (2012 and later) surveys were intermittent. The goal of this project was to examine both to create a comprehensive picture of the effects of restoration on angling. We calculated catch and harvest rates and inspected answers to supplemental questions collected by state and provincial agencies. We estimated economic impact of angling with a combination of lodging and gas expenses. Post-restoration, catch rates were higher, but harvest rates were variable for Lake St. Clair and the Detroit River. The 2017 open water boat fishery on Lake St. Clair was worth ∼$26 million. Increased fishing opportunities resulting from continued habitat and population recovery are leading to increased catch rates and likely attracting anglers to the area.

Michigan, Ontario↗

USGS2025

Hemoglobin A1c is a retrospective indicator of denning in polar bears (Ursus maritimus)

The nutritional health of polar bears ( Ursus maritimus) is tied to reproductive success, and fasting status can be used to infer recent reproductive history. However, the methods currently used to determine denning and fasting status have their limitations. We examined hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), an integrative metric of average blood glucose levels over recent months, in free-ranging Southern Beaufort Sea polar bears to assess its usefulness in determining reproductive status and fasting. We compared HbA1c between bears recently in maternity dens that included spring-captured females that were accompanied by cubs-of-the-year ( n = 38), and non-denned bears that included spring-captured females that were accompanied by 1- or 2-yr-old cubs ( n = 39). We predicted that HbA1c would be higher in denned females compared to non-denned females, due to the combined effects of increased circulating glucose associated with insulin resistance from fasting and gestation, as well as the energy mobilization required during early lactation. HbA1c was measured in Polar Bear whole blood samples using an enzymatic assay for quantifying HbA1c and expressed as the percentage of glycated hemoglobin over total hemoglobin. Denned females had higher mean HbA1c ( x̅ 4.70%, 95% CI = 4.54%, 4.86%) than non-denned ( ⁠ x̅ 4.38%, 95% CI = 4.23%, 4.53%, P = 0.005). We trained a binary logistic regression model to classify the probability of recent prior denning based on HbA1c and glucose, and the model classified denning with 75% accuracy. HbA1c can be used as an effective tool for determining denning history and could have implications for monitoring reproductive success.

Alsaka, Northwest Territories, Yukon↗

USGS2025

Hybridization and asymmetrical introgression between the vulnerable Gray‐Headed Chickadee and a more abundant congener, the Boreal Chickadee: Implications for conservation

Hybridization is a common process among bird species that can precipitate a mix of positive or negative species outcomes. Particularly for rare populations, detrimental effects of hybridization on demographic growth rates and genetic integrity are of serious concern. In Alaska and a small region of northwestern Canada, the endemic subspecies of Gray-headed Chickadee ( Poecile cinctus lathami ) has declined in recent decades from being locally common to being extremely rare. The more widespread Boreal Chickadee ( P. hudsonicus ) has become increasingly abundant in areas of sympatry. These changes in abundance may have led to hybridization between Gray-headed Chickadees and Boreal Chickadees. We used a series of analyses to test for signatures of introgression at mitochondrial DNA and nuclear DNA using historical museum samples of both species collected between 1875 and 1979 as well as contemporary Boreal Chickadee samples. In addition, we modeled Gray-headed Chickadee and Boreal Chickadee demographic histories to better understand patterns of effective population size changes and gene flow over time. Introgression of Gray-headed Chickadee nuclear DNA was detected in contemporary and historical Boreal Chickadee populations, and two first-generation hybrid backcrosses were observed in the historical Boreal Chickadee samples. Lack of mitochondrial DNA introgression or backcrossing into the Gray-headed Chickadee historical samples may be an artifact of mate scarcity during the period before local abundances of Boreal Chickadee exceeded Gray-headed Chickadees. Demographic modeling with nuclear loci estimated a low level of symmetric gene flow between Gray-headed Chickadees and Boreal Chickadees since the time of divergence. Our study suggests that hybridization may be linked to Gray-headed Chickadee declines and represents a case study of how museum collections can be used to infer introgression in a population too scarce to directly investigate.

Ecology and Evolution↗

USGS2025

Biological implications for contaminants of emerging concern in the Great Lakes–Upper St Lawrence River drainage: An effect-based ecological hazard assessment in fish

Contaminants of emerging concern (CECs) are released widely and continuously into the Great Lakes Basin–Upper St Lawrence River study area, with many detected in surface water at concentrations known to adversely affect fish. We applied a recent ecological hazard assessment methodology to identify the biological significance of a database of 21,441 surface water CEC concentrations compiled from 7,162 surface water samples collected at 1,021 sampling sites in 387 individual waterbodies throughout the Great Lakes Basin. We assessed hazard to fish in 12 effect categories (e.g., mortality, developmental, reproductive) from aqueous exposure to 16 emerging contaminants. Our hazard assessment used pairs of screening values to generate contaminant- and effect-specific ordinal hazard scores. Using this novel methodology, we generated a database of 93,864 hazard scores. We found the highest level of hazard to fish, indicating probable adverse impacts, was broadly distributed and often associated with municipalities. Mortality, reproductive, and developmental effect categories combined accounted for 17.5% of high hazard observations. Low hazard, indicating possible adverse effects, was prevalent for numerous effect categories and occurred throughout the period 1991–2021. For mortality, reproductive, and developmental effect categories, the incidence of elevated hazard (low or high hazard) among assessed water samples was 20.4%, 39.5%, and 20.3%, respectively. On a local scale, effect-based assessment is an efficient and conceptually simple tool for natural resource managers to obtain effect- and site-specific hazard information concerning CEC effects in fish that can be used in project planning and results interpretation for natural resource monitoring, restoration, and protection.

Great Lakes–Upper St Lawrence River study area↗

USGS2025

Dead giveaway: Rising mortality rates suggest effectiveness of Lake Erie grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) response

Grass carp ( Ctenopharyngodon idella ) are large, invasive fish that threaten Lake Erie’s economy and ecosystem. Incidental catches of grass carp have occurred since the 1980s in Lake Erie, while multi-day removal events were carried out in 2014 and 2017. To mitigate ecosystem impacts, a large-scale, multi-agency response to remove as many grass carp as possible from the Lake Erie basin (“strike teams”) began in 2018 and has increased every year. To date, total annual removals of fish has been the primary measure of progress; however, total annual removals do not indicate how efforts are affecting the grass carp population. Population vital rates, such as mortality rate, can indicate population demographic changes and may provide an alternative approach to measure how removals have impacted the grass carp population. We estimated annual mortality rates using 553 grass carp, representing 82.9 % of all grass carp removed in the Lake Erie basin, using a hierarchical catch-curve model and catch-at-age data from 2014 to 2022. Annual average mortality rates were initially low (4.3 %) and increased between 2017 and 2022 with the highest mortality (13.6 %) observed in 2021. Positive correlations between mortality and the number of fish harvested per year suggest that removals may be driving increases in the grass carp mortality rate. This increase in mortality rate shows promise for controlling the spread of grass carp within the Lake Erie ecosystem. This research supports the needs of fishery managers to better understand grass carp population dynamics and the adaptive management framework identified in the Lake Erie Grass Carp Adaptive Response Strategy.

Lake Erie↗

USGS2025

Ecological factors decouple Great Lakes fish mercury concentrations trends decadal declines in mercury emissions

Atmospheric mercury (Hg) deposition has been declining in North America but remains the dominant delivery mechanism to the Great Lakes. The Lakes are highly efficient at bioaccumulating methylmercury, making the fish excellent sentinels for tracking shifts in atmospheric Hg deposition. Invasive mussels have altered biogeochemical processes, prey populations and fish dietary strategies asynchronously and to varied extents across the lower four lakes, impacting fish Hg exposure. To test if fish are adapting to new biogeochemical conditions, we analyzed a 40 year fish archive for carbon and nitrogen isotope ratios and amino acid-specific nitrogen isotope ratios. To assess Hg sources, we measured Hg isotope ratios. We reconstructed and compared energetic pathways that impact fish Hg concentrations to Hg-source trends. We found fish-Hg concentrations are declining but not monotonically due to ecological disturbances. Fish-Hg isotope values, unimpacted by ecological disturbance, confirm that sources of bioaccumulated Hg shift contemporaneously with changes in atmospheric Hg concentrations. Across Lakes, the degree of responsiveness to changes in atmospheric Hg concentrations mirrors the proportion of atmospheric-delivered Hg we previously modeled. Changes in both fish concentrations and fish isotope values outpace paleolimnetic reconstructions suggesting declines in atmospheric Hg concentrations impact fish Hg more than sediment.

Great Lakes↗

USGS2025

Reevaluation of an adaptive management framework for invasive Grass Carp within Lake Erie

Objective Response efforts to control invasive species frequently require making decisions in the face of substantial uncertainty. Adaptive management, which emphasizes learning during the process of managing, can be useful in cases where uncertainty impedes the decision-making process. Here, we describe how technical and institutional learning led to reformulating decision-making elements, known as double-loop learning, and how uncertainty stemming from a lack of knowledge influenced the selection of alternative strategies in an ongoing adaptive management process for invasive Grass Carp Ctenopharyngodon idella in Lake Erie. Methods When response efforts began, little was known about the population dynamics, ecology, and biology of Grass Carp within the lake. The availability of funding for sustained response efforts was also unknown. A network population model was constructed that relied heavily on values and estimates from limited data to project adult Grass Carp abundance in Lake Erie and evaluate the ability of various response strategies to achieve the desired objectives. After this initial assessment, the collection of new information was emphasized as response efforts increased to aid future assessments. With this expanded knowledge and including additional input from stakeholders, we modified the population model, evaluated new response scenarios, refined objectives, and examined the influence of uncertainty (parameter and expert opinion) on Grass Carp response efforts. Results Under uncertainty of population model parameters and expert opinion, the value-of-information analysis revealed that uncertainties in spawning deterrent efficacy, survival, and the underlying stock–recruitment relationship were important and could change the preferred decision. The efficiency of spawning deterrents influenced the preferred decision outcome among alternative strategies, particularly when >80% of fish were allowed to pass and spawn, indicating that a deterrent may not be worth implementing if passing rates are above this threshold. Conclusions We thereby demonstrate the benefits for invasive species management programs of implementing learning and resolving uncertainties within an adaptive management framework to improve decision making.

Lake Erie↗

USGS2025

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances in surface water and sediment in Great Lakes tributaries and relations with watershed attributes

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are chemicals of emerging concern that potentially pose risks to human and environmental health. In May–Oct 2018, sediment and passively collected surface water samples were collected from 62 tributary sites of the Laurentian Great Lakes with site catchments spanning various land cover types. Discrete samples of sediment collected manually and time-integrated surface water samples collected with polar organic chemical integrative samplers (POCIS) were analyzed for 23 and 34 PFAS, respectively. Concentrations of individual PFAS in sediment and surface water varied immensely among sites from below detection to 20,800 ng kg −1 and 247 ng L −1 , respectively. Of all target compounds, PFOS was the most frequently detected in sediment (56 of 62 sites) and had the highest median concentration (132 ng kg −1 ). PFOA, PFHxS, PFOS, PFHpA, and PFNA (full chemical names are listed in online supplementary material Table S2) were detected in all 60 surface water sites, with median estimated concentrations of 5.9, 5.2, 4.6, 3.7, and 1.3 ng L −1 , respectively. Compounds with 8–13 fluorinated carbons comprised a larger proportion of sediment PFAS than compounds with 4–7 fluorinated carbons, whereas compounds with 4–7 fluorinated carbons comprised a greater proportion of PFAS in surface waters. Watershed attributes, including urban land cover, airports per catchment area, and wastewater treatment plants flow percentage were significantly ( p < 0.05) and positively related with PFAS sum concentrations in sediment and (or) surface water. Collectively, these results, albeit with some uncertainty in the estimated concentrations, highlight the relation PFAS occurrence has with human activities and documents widespread low-level PFAS contamination across the Great Lakes basin.

Great Lakes↗

USGS2025

Visioning and conceptual framework for coordinating Great Lakes connecting waters research and monitoring

The Laurentian Great Lakes are connected via naturally occurring straits and rivers: St. Marys River, Straits of Mackinac, St. Clair-Detroit River System, Niagara River, and the St. Lawrence River. Despite the historical ecological and economic importance of these waters, international agreements (e.g., Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement) only recently explicitly named the Great Lakes Connecting Waters (GLCWs), requiring governments to address the challenges of adequate restoration and protection from historical use and degradation. Standardized research and monitoring activities are needed; however, there is no established mechanism for coordination across the GLCWs. A three-day summit in 2023 convened experts to form the initial framework for a GLCWs Collaborative to increase standardizations and knowledge transfer. Participants drafted a governance structure and priorities following the principles of collective impact but allowed for place-based specificity for local connecting water organizations. Priorities and suggestions for success included: 1) co-development of the collaborative with all rights holders, stakeholders, and surrounding communities; 2) investment in research and technology specific to GLCWs; 3) investment in information transfer and training; 4) increased communication; and 5) better integration into existing Great Lakes research, monitoring, and funding programs. Expanding participation in all local GLCWs organizations with principles of inclusivity was identified as a larger collaborative goal. Next steps in the development of a GLCWs Collaborative include increased communication and formation of working groups and obtaining funding for a dedicated organization to begin supporting activities (communication, facilitation, logistics). By using a deliberate process for establishment, the potentially slower time frame for establishment may result in increased participation and success.

Laurentian Great Lakes↗

USGS2025

Using subducting plate motion to constrain Cascadia slab geometry and interface strength

Subduction zones are home to multiple geohazards driven by the evolution of the regional tectonics, including earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and landslides. Past evolution builds the present-day structure of the margin, while the present-day configuration of the system determines the state-of-stress in which individual hazardous events manifest. Regional simulations of subduction zones provide a tool to synthesize the tectonic history of a region and investigate how geologic features lead to variations in the state of stress across the subduction system. However, it is challenging to design regional models that provide a force-balance that is consistent with the large-scale motion of surrounding tectonic plates while also not over-constraining the solution. Here, we present new models for the Cascadia subduction zone that meet these criteria and demonstrate how the motion of the subducting Juan de Fuca plate can be used to determine the along-strike variations in the viscous (long-term) coupling across the plate boundary. All successful models require lower viscous coupling in the northern section of the trench compared to the central and southern sections. However, due to uncertainties in the geometry of the Cascadia slab, we find that there is a trade-off between along-strike variation in viscous coupling and slab shape. Better constraints on the slab shape, and/or use of other observations are needed to resolve this trade-off. The approach presented here provides a framework for further exploring how geologic features in the overriding plate and the properties of the plate boundary region affect the state-of-stress across this and other subduction zones.

Cascadia subduction zone↗

USGS2025

Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters

The Pacific Northwest (PNW) of North America has high seismic hazard due to numerous earthquake sources under populated areas. It hosts several tectonic regimes and subregional seismic zones that are hypothesized to have different patterns of earthquake and aftershock occurrence. It is also predisposed to earthquake swarms, which can complicate the statistical modeling of these patterns. We present the first statistical seismicity model of the PNW catalog using the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) framework. We develop a Bayesian inference procedure that provides a stable estimation of both ETAS parameters and their uncertainties for different sets of PNW earthquakes, even those with very sparse catalogs. The Bayesian approach allows us to investigate how parameter estimates change between the intraslab and crustal tectonic regimes, the northern and southern PNW, and when swarms are included and excluded from the catalog. We also utilize our Bayesian framework to calculate parameter estimates under different prior beliefs about PNW seismicity, as well as to propagate catalog measurement errors into ETAS parameter estimates. We discuss the implications of parameter differences across the region for aftershock forecasting for the PNW.

Pacific Northwest↗

USGS2025

Using complementary biomarkers to unravel fish lifetime exposure to hypoxia and mercury

Aquatic ecosystems are losing oxygen due to climate change. This deoxygenation can favor microbial methylation of mercury (Hg). To understand the dynamics of Hg under increasing deoxygenation, we simultaneously quantified both Hg and hypoxia (< 2 mg O2/L) lifetime chronologies in fishes. We used a novel combination of chemical biomarkers in ear stones and eye lenses. We compared these markers in two species with different life histories, benthic Round Goby (Neogobius melanostomus) and semi-demersal Yellow Perch (Perca flavescens), from two connected ecosystems with different levels of hypoxia: the Central Basin of Lake Erie and the less hypoxic but more polluted Western Basin. Overall, Central Basin Round Goby were exposed to hypoxia throughout their lifetime and exhibited significantly elevated eye lens Hg concentrations ([Hg]) compared to their Western Basin counterparts. In contrast, the Central Basin Yellow Perch were exposed to hypoxia only at their juvenile stage. Central Basin Yellow Perch exhibited significantly lower eye lens [Hg] compared to their Western Basin counterparts. Patterns revealed by eye lens [Hg] were not detectable in muscle tissue [Hg]. Findings show that exposure to hypoxia can alter fish lifetime Hg accumulation patterns, with species-specific outcomes.

central and western basins of Lake Erie↗

USGS2025

Integrating acoustic telemetry research into management: successes and challenges in the Laurentian Great Lakes

In the Laurentian Great Lakes, the application of acoustic telemetry to track fish movements has evolved into an important part of multijurisdictional management. Nevertheless, barriers remain in translating telemetry research into management or conservation actions. Here, we synthesize acoustic telemetry literature within the Great Lakes basin to explore factors that have contributed to successes and failures of integrating research with the needs of decision-making processes. Collaboration between researchers and managers, facilitated by consistent opportunities for stakeholder engagement, stood out as one of the most effective means of integration. For example, 79% (95 of 127) of articles published (up to 2023) included co-authorship by both government and academic organizations. Case studies on lake sturgeon ( Acipenser fulvescens ), walleye ( Sander vitreus ), and sea lamprey ( Petromyzon marinus ) further highlight how telemetry has informed management through collaborative engagement among researchers, stakeholders, and managers, as well as ongoing challenges. By exploring facets of acoustic telemetry research and connections to conservation and fisheries concerns, we identify pathways to reduce knowledge–action gaps widely applicable within and outside of the Great Lakes.

Laurentian Great Lakes↗

USGS2025

No evidence for an active margin-spanning megasplay fault at the Cascadia Subduction Zone

It has been previously proposed that a megasplay fault within the Cascadia accretionary wedge, spanning from offshore Vancouver Island to Oregon, has the potential to slip during a future Cascadia subduction zone earthquake. This hypothetical fault has major implications for tsunami size and arrival times and is included in disaster-planning scenarios currently in use in the region. This hypothesis is evaluated in this study using CASIE21 deep-penetrating and U.S. Geological Survey high-resolution seismic reflection profiles. We map changes in wedge structural style and seismic character to identify the inner-outer wedge transition zone where a megasplay fault has been previously hypothesized to exist and evaluate evidence for active faulting within this zone. Our results indicate that there is not an active, through-going megasplay fault in Cascadia, but instead, the structure and activity of faulting at the inner-outer wedge transition zone is highly variable and segmented along strike, consistent with the segmentation of other physical and mechanical properties in Cascadia. Wedge sedimentation, plate dip, and subducting topography are proposed to play a major role in controlling megasplay fault development and evolution. Incorporating updated megasplay fault location, geometry, and activity into modeling of Cascadia earthquakes and tsunamis could help better constrain associated hazards.

British Columbia, Oregon, Washington↗

USGS2025

Alaskan hydrology in transition: Changing precipitation and evapotranspiration patterns are projected to reshape seasonal streamflow and water temperature by midcentury (2035-2064)

High spatial and temporal resolution models are essential for understanding future climate impacts and developing effective climate resilience plans. However, existing regional and global river models often lack the resolution needed to accurately capture local conditions. This study uses a series of high-resolution models, including the Regional Arctic System Model, mizuRoute, and the river basin model, to analyze Arctic and sub-Arctic Alaskan hydrology. We compare a historical baseline (1991–2020) with six midcentury (2035–64) futures: two pseudo–global warming scenarios based on historical meteorology and four direct dynamically downscaled global climate models. The six futures reveal significant uncertainty in future annual discharge and peak flows, although a widespread increase in discharge during April (+63%) and October (+31%) is consistently shown across models. Projected increases in rain and shifting weather patterns lead to a transition from snow to rain in spring and autumn, reducing the fraction of snowmelt contributing to river discharge. Rising evapotranspiration moderates discharge changes, particularly in autumn, by offsetting precipitation increases. Average summer river temperatures are projected to increase by approximately 1.5°C, doubling the number of river segments that experience 18°C days, a critical threshold for salmon survival, and intensifying the heat flux to the ocean adding an average of 3.3 × 10 12 MJ yr −1 . These changes in the hydrologic cycle could profoundly impact riverine and oceanic ecosystems, posing substantial challenges to communities reliant on these environments.

Alaska, Yukon↗

USGS2025

Status and trends of the Lake Huron prey fish community, 1976-2024

The U. S. Geological Survey-Great Lakes Science Center has monitored annual changes in the offshore (depth > 9m) prey fish community of Lake Huron since 1973. Monitoring of prey fish populations in Lake Huron is based on a bottom trawl survey that targets demersal species (i.e., those predominantly or intermittently associated with the lake bottom) and an acoustic-midwater trawl survey that targets pelagic species and life stages. Prey fish abundance and species composition in 2024 was generally consistent with trends observed over the past decade. Bloater ( Coregonus hoyi ) remains the most abundant and widespread prey species, although its abundance is starting to decline owing to changes in demographic factors that are interacting to suppress reproduction. Rainbow Smelt ( Osmerus mordax ) remain widely distributed across Lake Huron but their dynamics vary by basin. Rainbow Smelt populations currently are larger in Georgian Bay and the North Channel than in the main basin where they have produced eight weak year classes over the past decade including in 2024. Populations of Alewife ( Alosa pseudoharengus ) continue to be comprised of low numbers of age-0 individuals, and sculpin communities consist primarily of Deepwater Sculpin ( Myoxocephalus thompsonii ) due to the reduced abundance and distribution of Slimy Sculpin ( Cottus cognatus ). In contrast, biomass of the invasive Round Goby ( Neogobius melanostomus ) in 2024 was the highest observed in the bottom trawl time series and was over four times greater than in 2023. Overall status of main basin prey fish community was rated as ‘fair.’ Stable dynamics of main basin Bloater populations and evidence of continued recovery by Cisco ( Coregonus artedi ) in the North Channel were interpreted as positive community trends, whereas growth and expansion of Round Goby populations and low species diversity of pelagic prey fish communities are inconsistent with fish community objectives. Use of complementary surveys (bottom trawl, acoustics) remains useful for evaluating prey fish status in Lake Huron, where prey fish community dynamics vary by basin and prey fish responses to changing environmental conditions depend on species and/or habitat.

Lake Huron↗