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Scott J. Ikard

Publications and source records attributed to Scott J. Ikard.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Effects of climate and land-use change on thermal springs recharge—A system-based coupled surface-water and groundwater-flow model for Hot Springs National Park, Arkansas

A three-dimensional hydrogeologic framework of the Hot Springs anticlinorium beneath Hot Springs National Park, Arkansas, was constructed to represent the complex hydrogeology of the park and surrounding areas to depths exceeding 9,000 feet below ground surface. The framework, composed of 6 rock formations and 1 vertical fault emplaced beneath the thermal springs, was discretized into 19 layers, 429 rows, and 576 columns and incorporated into a 3-dimensional steady-state groundwater-flow model constructed in MODFLOW-2005. Historical daily mean thermal spring flows were simulated for one stress period of approximately 34 years (1980–2014), chosen to represent the period of record for historical climate data used in the quantification of the boundary conditions. The groundwater-flow model was manually calibrated to historical daily mean thermal spring flows of 88,000 cubic feet per day observed over a 12-year period of record (1990–1995 and 1998–2005) at the thermal springs collection system. Calibration was achieved by calculating starting heads and general head boundary conditions from the Bernoulli equation and then adjusting the horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivities of the rock formations and vertical fault and the hydraulic conductance of head-dependent flux boundaries. The groundwater-flow model was coupled to a surface-water model developed in the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) by using PRMS-simulated gravity drainage as a specified flux recharge boundary condition in the groundwater-flow model. Together, the coupled models were used to (1) locate the areas of groundwater recharge to the thermal springs in the discretized hydrogeologic framework by using forward and reverse particle-tracking capabilities of MODPATH, (2) simulate the effects of variable recharge rates on the spring flows at the thermal springs, and (3) assess possible effects of climate and land-use change on the long-term variability of spring flows at the thermal springs. Forward and backward particle-tracking maps indicated that the most prevalent areas of recharge in the discretized hydrogeologic framework used in this study were within about 0.6–0.9 mile of the thermal springs. Forward particle tracking indicated a recharge area southwest of the thermal springs that corresponded to a location where the predominant lithologies are the Arkansas Novaculite, Hot Springs Sandstone, and Bigfork Chert. Backward particle tracking indicated a second localized area of recharge to the northeast of the thermal springs that corresponded to a location where the dominant lithology is the Bigfork Chert. The groundwater-flow model indicated that the most probable recharge formations are the Arkansas Novaculite, Bigfork Chert, and Hot Springs Sandstone. The simulated effects of climate and land-use changes on the variability of the spring-flow rates at the thermal springs generally resulted in reductions of thermal spring flow attributed to urban development and more extreme climates characterized by elevated mean surface air temperatures. The groundwater-flow model predicted a linear relation between the thermal spring discharge and the cumulative recharge volume applied to the hydrogeologic framework, and the positive slope of the predicted relation between recharge and simulated thermal spring flow indicates that more extreme precipitation events that supply more recharge may in fact increase the thermal spring-flow rates.

Arkansas

Geochemical assessment of the Hueco Bolson, New Mexico and Texas, 2016–17

Understanding groundwater quality in transboundary aquifers like the Hueco Bolson is important for the 2.7 million people along the United States and Mexico border living in and near the combined metropolitan areas of Ciudad Juárez, Mexico, and El Paso, Texas, who rely on groundwater for water supply. To better understand water-quality conditions in the Mexico–New Mexico–Texas transboundary area, 23 water-supply wells were sampled in the Hueco Bolson within the United States near El Paso, Tex., during August–September 2016 and May–June 2017. Groundwater samples were analyzed for physical properties, major ions, dissolved solids, nutrients, trace elements, organic compounds, and selected isotopes such as strontium, hydrogen, oxygen, tritium, and carbon-14. Most of the water samples from the Hueco Bolson water-supply wells were classified as a sodium-chloride type water. Only four wells sampled in the study area had dissolved-solids concentrations greater than 1,000 milligrams per liter (mg/L), with three of those wells closest to the Rio Grande/Río Bravo del Norte (hereinafter referred to as the Rio Grande). Nitrate concentrations in the groundwater samples collected in the study area ranged from below the long-term method detection level of 0.04 to 6.2 mg/L. Arsenic was the only trace element detected in the wells sampled that had concentrations exceeding the designated drinking-water standard of 10 micrograms per liter (μg/L). Four of the 23 wells had arsenic concentrations greater than 10 μg/L, and these wells were all located near the Rio Grande. Three of the wells with the highest uranium concentrations (greater than 10 μg/L) were also located near the Rio Grande, and two of those wells were the same wells that had arsenic concentrations greater than 10 μg/L. Groundwater samples were analyzed for 83 organic compounds, but only 6 were detected—simazine, prometryn, prometon, atrazine, deethylatrazine, and dichloroaniline. All concentrations for the organic compounds detected were less than 0.03 μg/L, and the detections were only in five groundwater wells, three of which were located near the Rio Grande. Strontium, hydrogen, and oxygen isotopic values indicate that recharge water to the central and northern sections of the study area originates from near the Franklin Mountains, whereas groundwater in the southern section of the study area is likely from the Rio Grande valley. Tritium and carbon-14 values indicate that most of the wells that were sampled contained water that is considered premodern, which means that it is more than several hundred years old. Three wells with modern groundwater (approximately less than 70 years old) are located near the Rio Grande and are the same wells that had elevated arsenic or uranium concentrations and organic compound detections. Most of the results of the geochemical analyses indicate that groundwater near the Rio Grande has higher dissolved-solids concentrations, higher concentrations of several trace elements, and slightly more organic compound detections than the groundwater farther away from the Rio Grande; therefore, the groundwater may be affected by the Rio Grande and surrounding land-use activities.

New Mexico, Texas

New insights into surface-water/groundwater exchanges in the Guadalupe River, Texas, from floating geophysical methods

In south-central Texas, the amount of streamflow in the Guadalupe River is a primary concern for local and downstream communities because of municipal, agricultural, wildlife, and recreational uses. Understanding the flow paths and rates of exchange between the surface water in the river and the groundwater in the underlying Carrizo-Wilcox aquifer is vital for understanding the water budget and streamflow variations. In areas where the Guadalupe River crosses the Carrizo-Wilcox aquifer outcrop, the surface-water and groundwater exchanges are not well characterized. Traditional methods to measure these interactions, such as measuring differences in surface-water flows at different locations to infer gains and losses between the locations, are not feasible along this stretch of the Guadalupe River because of upstream dams that cause large daily fluctuations in streamflow. Consequently, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Guadalupe-Blanco River Authority, applied geophysical methods in an exploratory study to identify reaches of the river where streamflow gains and losses (surface-water/groundwater exchanges) might be occurring.

Texas