Geology Reports⌕ Search

Geology topics

Sarah M. Elliott

Publications and source records attributed to Sarah M. Elliott.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Decadal trends and occurrence of geogenic constituents and mixtures in groundwater across the continental United States

Worldwide, about 50% of the population is served by groundwater-sourced drinking water. Numerous groundwater quality assessments have found that geogenic constituents are among the most common contaminants in drinking-water aquifers. Documenting changing groundwater quality is a crucial aspect of water availability assessments. We assess trends and occurrence of geogenic constituent concentrations in groundwater across the continental United States using 3 decades of data from the U.S. Geological Survey’s National Water Quality Network. Thousands of groundwater wells were grouped into agricultural, urban, or domestic supply network types. Although most networks and constituents had no statistically significant change in concentration, many had increasing concentration trends, elevated concentrations, or both. Lithium, sodium, radium, sulfate, and uranium had increasing trends in more than 10% of the study networks. Urban and domestic well networks had increasing lithium and sodium trends more often than agricultural networks. Manganese most commonly increased in domestic well networks; uranium more commonly increased in agricultural and urban networks. Elevated concentration mixtures were widespread, and mixture complexities appeared to increase over time. Our results indicate that more than 2.3 million domestic-well users may be affected by elevated concentrations of one or more geogenic constituents.

continental United States↗

Prevalence and potential for biological effects of several chemicals of interest in Lake Superior tributaries

Lake Superior is typically assumed to have excellent water quality, but its tributaries have been understudied for contaminants relative to other Great Lakes. This study monitored polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), alkylphenols (AP) and alkylphenol ethoxylates (APEs), bisphenols, and neonicotinoid pesticides in 18 sites on 17 United States tributaries to Lake Superior in 2022. Contaminants were analyzed from 54 surface water and 17 stream bed sediment samples. PAHs were the most prevalent contaminant class. Among 17 PAHs in 17 samples (289 instances), 71 % were positive detections. Surface water samples were not analyzed for PAHs. Next, among 4 APs and APEs analyzed, 35 % of sediment sample instances and 21 % of instances in 54 water samples were positive detections. Bisphenol analogues were detected in 2 % of sediment sample instances and 4 % of water sample instances. Bisphenol A (BPA) was not quantified due to field blank contamination, but bisphenol AF (BPAF), bisphenol E (BPE), bisphenol F (BPF), and bisphenol S (BPS) were detected in environmental samples. Neonicotinoids were detected in 0.5 % of sediment sample instances and 0.4% of water samples instances. Low detection frequencies for contaminants precluded analyses with watershed land use characteristics, but four sites (Tischer Creek, Miller Creek, Carp River and Iron River) emerged as locations with relatively elevated contaminant concentrations. Comparison of concentrations with ToxCast and other water quality guidelines suggested potential for biological effects from some samples. This study provides a baseline of low contaminant prevalence in Lake Superior tributaries while identifying a few locations that may warrant further monitoring.

Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin↗

Biological implications for contaminants of emerging concern in the Great Lakes–Upper St Lawrence River drainage: An effect-based ecological hazard assessment in fish

Contaminants of emerging concern (CECs) are released widely and continuously into the Great Lakes Basin–Upper St Lawrence River study area, with many detected in surface water at concentrations known to adversely affect fish. We applied a recent ecological hazard assessment methodology to identify the biological significance of a database of 21,441 surface water CEC concentrations compiled from 7,162 surface water samples collected at 1,021 sampling sites in 387 individual waterbodies throughout the Great Lakes Basin. We assessed hazard to fish in 12 effect categories (e.g., mortality, developmental, reproductive) from aqueous exposure to 16 emerging contaminants. Our hazard assessment used pairs of screening values to generate contaminant- and effect-specific ordinal hazard scores. Using this novel methodology, we generated a database of 93,864 hazard scores. We found the highest level of hazard to fish, indicating probable adverse impacts, was broadly distributed and often associated with municipalities. Mortality, reproductive, and developmental effect categories combined accounted for 17.5% of high hazard observations. Low hazard, indicating possible adverse effects, was prevalent for numerous effect categories and occurred throughout the period 1991–2021. For mortality, reproductive, and developmental effect categories, the incidence of elevated hazard (low or high hazard) among assessed water samples was 20.4%, 39.5%, and 20.3%, respectively. On a local scale, effect-based assessment is an efficient and conceptually simple tool for natural resource managers to obtain effect- and site-specific hazard information concerning CEC effects in fish that can be used in project planning and results interpretation for natural resource monitoring, restoration, and protection.

Great Lakes–Upper St Lawrence River study area↗

Evaluating per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance (PFAS) prevalence and potential for biological effects in Lake Superior tributaries

Several per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are Great Lakes binational chemicals of mutual concern. Although known to be persistent, data gaps regarding PFAS prevalence and biological effects exist, especially within Lake Superior’s watershed. In this 2022 study of 27 United States tributaries to Lake Superior, water samples were collected during spring runoff, summer baseflow, and fall baseflow, and stream bed-sediment samples were collected during fall. PFAS were detected in 97% of water samples and 59% of sediment samples. Summed PFAS water sample concentrations (33 analytes) were generally low relative to other environmental studies (median = 6.5 ng/L), except at Newton, Miller, and Sargent Creeks (up to 391 ng/L). Maximum water concentrations were from perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) and perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS); perfluorobutanoic acid (PFBA) had the greatest median concentration. PFBA and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) were most frequently detected in water samples (>90%). Summed PFAS sediment sample concentrations (33 analytes) were also generally low (median = 19 ng/kg), except at Newton and Muggun Creeks (up to 797 ng/kg). In sediment, PFOS occurred most frequently and had the greatest concentrations. The most contaminated samples came from sites with documented aqueous film forming foam or wastewater contamination; summer baseflow samples exhibited elevated PFAS concentrations. Comparison of observed water concentrations to published and derived water-quality guidelines indicated PFOS and PFHxS pose the greatest potential ecological risks. Observed PFAS mixtures may affect lipid metabolism, growth, thyroid hormones, and survival of aquatic organisms. The observed concentrations and predicted biological effects are likely underestimates of the environmental impact of PFAS. Despite low anthropogenic influence in Lake Superior’s watershed, PFAS were ubiquitous and occurred at potentially harmful concentrations.

Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin↗

A comprehensive assessment of membrane bioreactor contaminant removal efficacy through analytical chemistry, fish exposures, and microbiome characterization

Treated municipal wastewater effluent is an important pathway for Contaminants of Emerging Concern (CEC) to enter aquatic ecosystems. As the aging wastewater infrastructure in many industrialized countries requires upgrades or replacement, assessing new treatment technologies in the context of CEC effects may provide additional support for science-based resource management. Here, we used three lines of evidence, analytical chemistry, fish exposure experiments, and fish and water microbiome analysis, to assess the effectiveness of membrane bioreactor treatment (MBR) to replace traditional activated sludge treatment. To do this, we sampled a municipal wastewater treatment plant with a split wastewater stream, a portion of which was treated with an MBR and another via an oxidation ditch (OXI). The OXI and MBR treatments substantially reduced most measured CECs compared to the primary effluent (PRI). Only pesticides and some pharmaceuticals were recalcitrant to both secondary treatment methods. While ammonia toxicity of PRI prevented its inclusion in fish exposure experiments, exposure of fish with waters from the OXI or MBR treated wastewater produced only subtle biological differences with no adverse apical outcomes. These findings were consistent with low chemically derived exposure: activity ratios for OXI and MBR. Microbiome analysis of fish and wastewater highlighted the significant reduction of microbial abundance and diversity in the MBR treatment compared to all other treatments. The comparable removal efficacy of CECs in MBR makes it an attractive alternative to traditional OXI, especially when MBR may eliminate the need for tertiary treatment for wastewater disinfection.

Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry↗

Comparing contaminants of emerging concern and microbial signatures of wastewater treated by membrane bioreactor and oxidation ditch methods

Membrane bioreactors (MBRs) are an attractive option for upgrades to aging wastewater treatment infrastructure across the United States (U.S.) because they have a relatively small footprint and can handle various wastewater loading conditions. However, little is known regarding the efficiency with which MBRs can reduce contaminants of emerging concern (CECs) and microbial loads, or how they influence the microbiome of wastewater effluent. In 2022, we collected nine paired samples of primary treated effluent (PRI), secondary effluent treated by oxidation ditches (OXI), and secondary effluent treated by MBR from a facility in Minnesota, U.S. Samples were analyzed for CECs including 4 alkylphenol ethoxylates, 6 bisphenol analogues, 20 hormones, 110 pharmaceuticals, and 82 pesticides as well as heterotrophic bacteria counts (HPC) and microbiome communities. Except for pesticides, total sample concentrations of CEC classes in OXI and MBR effluents were similar and lower compared to PRI ( p < 0.01). Pesticide concentrations were similar among all treatments. HPC was lower in MBR, compared to OXI, in 67% of samples. Despite limited differences in CEC signatures, differences in the microbiome between the two secondary treatments were observed. OXI showed more distinct differences in bacterial operational taxonomic unit (OTU) presence from PRI, compared to MBR. Relations between some contaminant groups ( e.g. , pharmaceuticals, bisphenols) and effluent microbiomes were observed, though most correlated with PRI effluent. Results from our study indicate that MBR is as effective as OXI at producing high-quality effluent and offers a viable alternative to conventional secondary treatment methods. This full-scale study provides data that helps fill knowledge gaps related to MBR performance outside of lab or benchtop experiments and direct comparison to OXI treatment.

Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology↗

A conceptual framework to assess post-wildfire water quality: State of the science and knowledge gaps

Wildfire substantially alters aquatic ecosystems by inducing moderate to catastrophic physical and chemical changes. However, the relations of environmental and watershed variables that drive those effects are complex. We present a Driver-Factor-Stressor-Effect (DFSE) conceptual framework to assess the current state of the science related to post-wildfire water-quality. We reviewed 64 peer-reviewed papers using the DFSE framework to identify drivers, factors, stressors, and effects associated with each study. A total of five drivers were identified and ranked according to their frequency of occurrence in the literature: atmospheric processes > fire characteristics > ecologic processes and characteristics > land surface characteristics > soil characteristics. Commonly reported stressors include increased nutrients, runoff, and sediment transport. Furthermore, although several different factors have been used at least once to explain water-quality effects, relatively few factors outside of precipitation and fire characteristics are frequently studied. We identified several gaps indicating the need for long-term monitoring, multi-factor studies, consideration of organic contaminants, consideration of groundwater, and inclusion of soil characteristics. This assessment expands on other reviews and meta-analyses by exploring causal linkages between influential variables and overall effects in post-wildfire watersheds. Information gathered from our assessment and the framework itself can be used to inform future monitoring plans and as a guide for modeling efforts focused on better understanding specific processes or to mitigate potential risks of post-wildfire water quality.

Water Resources Research↗

Reduced freshwater mussel juvenile production as a result of agricultural and urban contaminant mixture exposures

Freshwater mussels provide invaluable ecological services but are threatened by habitat alteration, poor water quality, invasive species, climate change, and contaminants, including contaminants of emerging concern (CECs). Contaminants of emerging concerns are well documented in aquatic environments, including the Great Lakes Basin, but limited information is available on how environmentally relevant mixtures affect freshwater mussel biology throughout their varied life stages. Our main goal was to assess mussels' reproductive output in response to exposure to agricultural and urban CEC mixtures during glochidial development through juvenile transformation and excystment focusing on how exposure duration and treatment affect: (1) the number of glochidia prematurely released by brooding females, (2) glochidial transformation through host-fish excystment, and (3) the number of fully metamorphosed juveniles able to continue the lifecycle. Mussels and host fish were exposed to either a control water (CW), control ethanol (CE), agriculture CEC mixture (AM), or urban CEC mixture (UM) for 40 and 100 days. We found no effect from treatment or exposure duration on the number of glochidia prematurely released. Fewer partially and fully metamorphosed AM juveniles were observed during the 100-day exposure, compared with the 40-day. During the 40-day exposure, CW produced more fully metamorphosed individuals compared with CE and UM, but during the 100-day exposure AM produced more fully metamorphosed individuals compared with the CW. There was reduction in fully metamorphosed juveniles compared with partially metamorphosed for CE and UM during the 40-day exposure, as well as in the CW during the 100-day exposure. These results will be important for understanding how mussel populations are affected by CEC exposure. The experiments also yielded many insights for laboratory toxicology exposure studies.

Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry↗

Trace organic contaminants in U.S. national park surface waters: Prevalence and ecological context☆

Surface water samples were collected from 264 sites across 46 U.S national parks during the period of 2009–2019. The number of sites within each park ranged from 1 to 31 and the number of samples collected within each park ranged from 1 to 201. Samples were analyzed for up to 340 trace organic contaminants (TrOCs), including pharmaceuticals, personal care products, pesticides, and various contaminants indicative of anthropogenic influence (e.g., fragrances, surfactants, flame retardants). A total of 155 TrOCs was detected in at least one sample with concentrations ranging from the reporting level of 10 ng/L (multiple contaminants) to 11,900 ng/L (p-cresol). Except for bisphenol A, DEET, theobromine, and gabapentin, TrOCs were detected in <20% of samples. Despite the relatively low detection frequencies, when TrOCs were detected, concentrations were similar to those reported from other regional or national studies. We compared detected concentrations to bioactivity concentrations and water quality benchmarks, when available, to identify occurrences of elevated concentrations and to estimate the potential for biological effects to aquatic biota. Elevated concentrations of 27 TrOCs, mostly pesticides, were detected throughout the study. To gain insight regarding potential sources, we related watershed characteristics (e.g., land cover, presence of point sources) to the number of TrOCs detected at each site. We found that the presence of wastewater treatment plants and the proportion of the watershed classified as agricultural land were the most influential variables for describing the number of pharmaceuticals and the number of pesticides present, respectively. This study represents the largest-scale study characterizing the presence and magnitude of TrOCs in U.S. national park surface waters, to date. These data provide a baseline that can be used to inform future monitoring within the parks and to assess changes in water quality.

Environmental Pollution↗

Exposures and potential health implications of contaminant mixtures in linked source water, finished drinking water, and tapwater from public-supply drinking water systems in Minneapolis/St. Paul area, USA

Continued improvements in drinking-water quality characterization and treatment/distribution infrastructure are required to address the expanding number of documented environmental contaminants. To better understand the variability in contaminant exposures from the drinking water resource (surface and groundwater), through the distribution process, to the point-of-use (tapwater), in 2019 a synoptic assessment of broad chemical exposures was conducted in system-specific source waters, finished drinking water and service-area tapwater from 10 drinking water treatment facilities in the greater Minneapolis/St. Paul area of Minnesota, United States. Source water, finished water (collected pre-distribution in the treatment facility), and tapwater samples were analyzed for 465 unique organic compounds, 34 inorganic constituents, and 3 field parameters as well as in vitro estrogen, androgen, and glucocorticoid bioactivities. Mixtures of organic and inorganic contaminants were prevalent in source water, finished water, and tapwater samples, indicating the continued need for broad assessments of mixed contaminant exposures to characterize potential drinking-water human health outcomes. Contaminant concentrations were similar among drinking water sources and no exceedances of Environmental Protection Agency maximum contaminant level(s) (MCL) were observed in any treated sample (finished water or tapwater) in this study. No treated sample contained estrogenic, androgenic, or glucocorticoid activity at concentrations that may cause adverse human health effects. However, there were multiple exceedances of non-enforceable MCL goal(s) (MCLG), and other health advisories combined with frequent exceedances of benchmark-based hazard indices in both finished water and tapwater samples. These results indicate that exposure to contaminant mixtures is a potential public health concern underscoring our continued efforts to assess contaminant mixture exposures at the drinking-water point of consumption using a broad analytical scope.

Minnesota↗

Data summary report: Unregulated contaminants monitoring project

The Drinking Water Protection Section of the Minnesota Department of Health conducted reconnaissance monitoring of selected public water systems in Minnesota. Funding was obtained primarily from the Environment and Natural Resources Trust Fund. Sampling was conducted in 2019 and 2021. Laboratory analysis of samples was conducted for a variety of different contaminants of emerging concern (CECs), including selected pharmaceuticals, pesticides, PFAS, wastewater indicators and other parameters chosen for the physical and land use setting surrounding the sampling points. Sampling site and parameter selection were designed with several goals, as follows: Characterize occurrence and distribution of selected CECs in settings where such chemicals are most likely to be present; Determine if any such occurrences represent a public health concern; Compare results from coupled source water and finished (i.e., treated) water samples at public water system sites where such sampling is feasible; Assess if results from geologically vulnerable (sensitive subject to rapid recharge) and geologically non-vulnerable settings differ significantly. 306 samples were collected as part of the study, from three networks of public water systems differentiated on the basis of source water type (i.e., surface water or groundwater) and land use environment (agricultural and wastewater influenced). This report provides a preliminary, qualitative evaluation of the results. Additionally, more rigorous research will be conducted on these water quality data to evaluate the below findings in more detail. High-level findings from this assessment include the following: Very few samples exceeded health-based guidance for CECs; o When this occurred, MDH staff conducted follow up sampling at the system and provided technical advice about managing the situation. Only a fraction of the CECs analyzed were detected; o Of the 522 different CECs analyzed in the water samples, 161 were detected in one or more samples; o Additionally, most detections were at low levels; Among the CEC classes included in the analytical work, pesticides and PFAS were generally detected at a greater frequency than other CECs; o See Executive Summary Figure 1. The ten most commonly detected individual compounds include: o Tribromomethane, or bromoform, (a disinfection by-product) (70% of sites where analyzed); o norgestrel (a pharmaceutical) (69% of sites where analyzed); o lithium (68% of sites where analyzed); o Metolachlor SA (52%), Deethylatrazine (49%), atrazine (45%), and deisopropylatrazine (31%) (pesticides); o PFBA (44%) and PFHxS (27%) (PFAS compounds); and o 5-methyl benzotriazole (29%) (a benzotriazole). Some CECs were detected more frequently in samples collected from surface waters than those collected from groundwater sources; CEC concentrations were generally higher in vulnerable settings compared to nonvulnerable settings; Whether CECs were detected more frequently in the source water or finished water varied by CEC class. For example, o Benzotriazoles and pharmaceuticals were more frequently detected in source water samples than finished water samples; and o Tribromomethane, or bromoform, a common disinfection by-product, was more frequently found in finished water samples than in source water samples. This work prompted a series of programmatic changes and innovations: A response framework was established for helping the program and public water systems manage detections of unregulated CECs in drinking water; Results were forwarded to the program within MDH responsible for developing healthbased guidance in order to nominate specific compounds found in drinking water but for which limited or no risk advice is available; MDH is seeking support from the Clean Water Council to support the establishment of permanent capacity within the Drinking Water Protection Section to continue sampling efforts of this type.

Minnesota↗

Comparison of the results of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) to mass-spectrometry based analytical methods for six unregulated contaminants in source water and finished drinking-water samples

Regulatory entities, such as the Minnesota Department of Health, monitor public water systems for conformance with Federal and State monitoring requirements and water-quality standards. Although some contaminants have Federal and (or) State regulations and guidance values, many contaminants, such as pesticides and pharmaceuticals, are unregulated in that only non-enforceable health-based guidance values have been assigned to them. Furthermore, because these contaminants are not regulated, commonly only limited resources are available to public water systems or regulatory entities to monitor them in drinking water. Focused screening efforts on contaminants that are frequently detected in the environment can provide information to help monitoring entities prioritize their sampling efforts. Here we assess the use of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method, a rapid, inexpensive screening method, as an alternative to more expensive methods to analyze source and finished drinking-water samples collected from public water systems throughout Minnesota for three commonly detected pesticides (atrazine, imidacloprid, and pyrethroids) and three commonly detected pharmaceuticals (caffeine, carbamazepine, and sulfamethoxazole). The ELISA results were compared to results provided by more advanced mass-spectrometry analytical methods at the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Laboratory (NWQL) and SGS AXYS Analytical Services Ltd. (AXYS). Overall, these datasets are highly censored (>80 percent) and contain multiple reporting limits within and between laboratories. To discern agreement between paired contaminant group results (target contaminant plus immunologically similar contaminants) by ELISA and the advanced analytical methods at NWQL and AXYS, presence-absence agreement analysis was coupled with false negative and false positive analysis. Analysis of presence-absence agreement shows that ELISA has generally good agreement (77.9 to 100 percent) with both NWQL and AXYS for all unregulated contaminant groups. Imidicloprid, pyrethroids, and caffeine contaminant groups have relatively low false positivity rates (16, 6, and 5 percent, respectively) when analyzed by ELISA, which indicates the ELISA method, for these contaminant groups, could be experiencing low-level interference attributed to the detection of immunologically similar contaminants. Similarly, sulfamethoxazole has a low false positivity rate (0.8 percent), which indicates ELISA is likely not overestimating results for this contaminant group. Analyses for carbamazepine and sulfamethoxazole by ELISA resulted in low false negativity rates (1.6 and 0.8 percent, respectively), which indicates the ELISA method is likely not underestimating the results for this contaminant group. Conversely, the atrazine contaminant group has a high false negativity rate (84 percent), which indicates the method has a strong negative bias and that ELISA underestimates results for this contaminant. These qualitative results indicate that the ELISA method could potentially serve as a reliable and cost-effective screening method to help drinking water monitoring entities prioritize sampling efforts for analyzing carbamazepine and sulfamethoxazole in source and finished drinking-water samples collected from public water systems. At the same time, although ELISA did not prove to be a good screening method for atrazine, evaluation of ELISA results indicated that its use for screening imidacloprid, pyrethroids, and caffeine could be beneficial for water testing.

Minnesota↗

A pilot study to assess the influence of infiltrated stormwater on groundwater: Hydrology and trace organic contaminants

Underground infiltration basins (UIBs) mimic the natural hydrologic cycle by allowing stormwater to recharge local groundwater aquifers. However, little is known about the potential transport of organic contaminants to receiving groundwater. We conducted a pilot study in which we collected paired grab samples of stormwater runoff flowing into two UIBs (inflow) and shallow groundwater adjacent to the UIBs. Samples were collected coincident with three rain events and analyzed for volatile organic compounds, semi-volatile organic compounds, pharmaceuticals, and pesticides. Few contaminants were detected in groundwater, compared with inflow, and groundwater concentrations were typically an order of magnitude less. With one exception (trichloroethene), all groundwater concentrations were at least two orders of magnitude below available guidance or screening values. This short communication highlights information gaps in understanding the hydrologic connectivity between UIBs and receiving groundwater and potential consequent contaminant transport to the subsurface from varying climatic conditions.

Minnesota↗

Validation of a vulnerability index of exposure to chemicals of emerging concern in surface water and sediment of Great Lakes tributaries of the United States

Widespread occurrence of emerging contaminants in Great Lakes tributaries led to the development and publication of a vulnerability index (VI) to assess the potential exposure of aquatic communities to chemicals of emerging concern (CEC) in the Great Lakes basin. The robust nature of the VI was tested to evaluate the underlying statistical model and expand the spatial domain of the index. Data collected at 131 new sampling sites (Test 1) and published data from independent studies (Test 2) were used to test the model predictions. Test 1 water and sediment samples were analyzed for the same classes of CEC chemicals and compared to the predictions for the original VI. Concentrations and numbers of unique CECs detected in water and sediment samples were similar between the original data and the two test datasets, although CECs tended to have higher detection frequencies in the original dataset compared to the Test 1 and Test 2 datasets. For example, 69 CECs were detected in ≥30% of water samples in the original dataset compared with 17 CECs in the Test 1 data and 59 in the Test 2 data. Predicted vulnerability for test sites agreed with actual vulnerability 64% of the time for water and 71% of the time for sediment. Agreement percentage results were greater when individual sites were grouped by river, with 82% agreement between predictions and actual vulnerability for water and 78% agreement for sediment. For the entire dataset, the VI ranks correlated with an independent estimate of potential biological impact. Agreement percentage was the greatest for low or high vulnerability index values but highly variable for sites that are classified as having medium vulnerability. Despite the underlying variability, there is a significant correlation (R 2 = 0.26; p < 0.01) between the VI ranking of tributaries and the independent ranking of potential negative biological impact.

Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, ↗

Multiple lines of evidence for identifying potential hazards to fish from contaminants of emerging concern in Great Lakes tributaries

Contaminants of emerging concern (CECs; e.g., pharmaceuticals, flame retardants, pesticides, and industrial chemicals) are omnipresent throughout tributaries to the Great Lakes. Furthermore, CECs are often present at concentrations that are potentially hazardous to aquatic species. Since 2010, we characterized the presence of CECs at 309 sites within 47 Great Lakes tributaries and characterized responses of fathead minnow ( Pimephales promelas ) exposed to river water at a subset of 26 sites within four tributaries. Our work resulted in three independent lines of evidence related to the potential hazards of CEC exposure to fish. First, vulnerability (where vulnerability refers to likelihood) of surface waters to CEC presence was predicted using select watershed characteristics. Second, hazard to fish (where hazard means the potential for adverse biological responses) was predicted using screening values for a subset of CECs. Third, biological responses of fathead minnow exposed to river water in streamside exposures were measured. We assessed the congruence of these three lines of evidence for identifying sites with elevated hazards to CEC exposure. Predicted vulnerability and hazards agreed at 66% of all sites. Where the two indices did not agree, vulnerability often underestimated predicted hazard. When compared with measured biological responses from streamside exposures, predicted hazards agreed for 42% of samples. Furthermore, when predicted hazards for specific effect categories were compared with similar measured biomarkers, 26% and 46% of samples agreed for reproductive and physiological effect categories, respectively. Overall, vulnerability and hazard predictions tended to overestimate the measured biological responses, providing a protective estimate of the potential hazards of CEC exposure to fish. When used together, these three approaches can help resource managers prioritize management activities in minimizing hazards of CEC exposure and can be used by researchers to prioritize studies focused on understanding the hazards of CEC exposure to fish. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2022;18:1246–1259. © 2021 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC). This article has been contributed to by US Government employees and their work is in the public domain in the USA.

Great Lakes↗

Machine learning predicted redox conditions in the glacial aquifer system, northern continental United States

Groundwater supplies 50% of drinking water worldwide and 30% in the United States. Geogenic and anthropogenic contaminants can, however, compromise water quality, thus limiting groundwater availability. Reduction/oxidation (redox) processes and redox conditions affect groundwater quality by influencing the mobility and transport of common geogenic and anthropogenic contaminants. In the glacial aquifer system, northern United States (GLAC, 1.87 million km 2 ), groundwater with high arsenic or manganese concentration is associated with reducing conditions and high nitrate with oxidizing conditions. This study uses machine learning to identify the relative influence of drivers of redox conditions (e.g., residence time vs. reactivity) across the glacial landscape. We developed three‐dimensional boosted regression tree models to predict redox conditions using the likelihood of low dissolved oxygen or high iron as indicators of anoxic conditions. Results indicate that variation in redox condition is controlled primarily by residence time (e.g., groundwater age and relative depth) and to a lesser extent by geochemical reactivity (e.g., subsurface contact time, soil carbon). Older water and deeper wells, along with more water storage or slower water movement was associated with higher probability of anoxic conditions. Mapped model results illustrate regions where anoxic redox conditions may mobilize geogenic contaminants or oxic conditions may limit denitrification potential. Results may also provide simplified redox input for process or predictive models of, for example, arsenic, manganese, or nitrate. Machine learning modeling methods can lead to improved understanding of contaminant occurrence and what drives redox conditions, and the methods may be transferable to other settings.

Northern Continental United States↗

Machine-learning predictions of high arsenic and high manganese at drinking water depths of the glacial aquifer system, northern continental United States

Globally, over 200 million people are chronically exposed to arsenic (As) and/or manganese (Mn) from drinking water. We used machine-learning (ML) boosted regression tree (BRT) models to predict high As (>10 μg/L) and Mn (>300 μg/L) in groundwater from the glacial aquifer system (GLAC), which spans 25 states in the northern United States and provides drinking water to 30 million people. Our BRT models’ predictor variables (PVs) included recently developed three-dimensional estimates of a suite of groundwater age metrics, redox condition, and pH. We also demonstrated a successful approach to significantly improve ML prediction sensitivity for imbalanced data sets (small percentage of high values). We present predictions of the probability of high As and high Mn concentrations in groundwater, and uncertainty, at two nonuniform depth surfaces that represent moving median depths of GLAC domestic and public supply wells within the three-dimensional model domain. Predicted high likelihood of anoxic condition (high iron or low dissolved oxygen), predicted pH, relative well depth, several modeled groundwater age metrics, and hydrologic position were all PVs retained in both models; however, PV importance and influence differed between the models. High-As and high-Mn groundwater was predicted with high likelihood over large portions of the central part of the GLAC.

Environmental Science & Technology↗

Identifying sources of contaminants in urban stormwater and evaluation of their removal efficacy across a continuum of urban best management practices

Precipitation events in urban areas often result in stormwater runoff containing a diverse array of chemical contaminants. Although many traditional contaminants, such as nutrients, heavy metals, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons have been studied extensively, only recently has evidence emerged showing that trace organic compounds (TrOCs), including pharmaceuticals, personal care products and pesticides are frequently found in stormwater runoff. As there is little existing information about the sources of TrOCs in urban stormwater or their removal efficacy across a range of stormwater treatment options, we conducted a study to address these knowledge gaps and to characterize the potential contribution of TrOCs to groundwater resources from stormwater infiltration practices, based on several synoptic measurements. The current study allowed us to enhance an existing effort to assess TrOC presence and toxicity in stormwater runoff and treatment pond outflow by addressing questions related to TrOC sources to stormwater and TrOC transport to groundwaters. Analysis of eDNA confirms multiple sources of TrOCs to stormwater including human sewage, dog waste, and feces from waterfowl. It is likely that the presence of some TrOCs detected in stormwater are the result of direct, untreated sewage inputs to stormwater from either human (i.e., leaking sewer infrastructure) or pet waste (washed from sidewalks into storm drains). The seasonal detection of avian eDNA is noteworthy as it highlights seasonality and patterns of migration patterns as contributing factors to stormwater contamination. In contrast to human and pet waste, which likely enters stormwater ponds via the stormwater conveyance system, avian feces may enter ponds either through stormwater runoff or through direct inputs by waterfowl stopping-over temporarily at stormwater ponds. Stormwater ponds had little effect in reducing TrOCs as determined by comparative inflow and outflow analysis. Our results also indicate that overall few TrOCs were present in receiving groundwater adjacent to underground infiltration basins, compared to inflow. However, some contaminants were present at relatively high concentrations compared to stormwater flowing into the basins. This is particularly true for pesticides and their degradants. Fewer TrOCs were detected in interstitial water collected near stormwater ponds compared to inflow and outflow. The presence and concentrations of TrOCs in outflow from ponds was generally similar to or higher than what was observed in inflow. The data collected as part of this study can be used to guide future research or monitoring in an effort to better understand TrOC fate and transport in the environment via stormwater BMPs. Specifically, more work is needed to track parcels of water as they flow through BMPs to better quantify transport and degradation of TrOCs, monitor flow into and out of ponds for mass balance calculations, and conduct tracer tests to better quantify the amount of water that monitoring wells are intercepting from underground infiltration basins. These results have been shared in multiple presentations and in meetings with high school teachers to develop age-appropriate curriculum to highlight the role of individuals in reducing and preventing stormwater contamination. The ongoing pandemic hindered some of these efforts (cancelled conferences; suspended MN Water Roundtable meetings; pre-occupation with teachers moving materials online), however, as dissemination activities become more common in the near future, we will continue to educate stakeholders and educators about the root causes and effects of urban stormwater contamination.

Minnesota↗