Geology topics

Saba J. Saberi

Publications and source records attributed to Saba J. Saberi.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Estimating basal area change by tree size with Sentinel-2 imagery following four fires in California, USA

Background Failure to account for tree size when estimating burn severity may not accurately capture post-fire tree mortality and post-fire forest structure. Aims We explored whether basal area mortality by tree size class could be determined from remotely-sensed burn severity indices based solely on Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. Methods We used data collected in four large California wildfires to model the relationship between proportional basal area mortality and burn severity indices derived from Sentinel-2 imagery for three tree diameter class thresholds: small (15 to 30 cm), medium (30 to 50 cm) and large (>50 cm). Key results Our models showed that for a given burn severity index value, the proportion of mortality was greater overall in smaller trees, and that the proportion of mortality in large trees changed more slowly than that of smaller trees with changing burn severity index values. Conclusions We found that models that accounted for tree size can more precisely estimate changes in forest size structure than a similar model that did not account for tree size. Implications Explicitly accounting for tree size can improve estimates of post-fire forest structure, including for large trees which make up the bulk of stand biomass and post-fire seed sources.

California↗

USGS2026

Quantifying post-fire live tree presence and spatial variation using Sentinel-2 time series

Accurate mapping of post-fire surviving trees is important for tracking forest recovery and prioritizing land management decisions. Satellite-based remote sensing is an effective method to assess post-fire forest conditions. Traditionally, differenced satellite-derived burn severity indices are computed by differencing one year pre- and post-fire spectral reflectance values. Differenced burn severity indices are useful for quantifying and mapping the magnitude of ecological change, but their application to detecting and mapping post-fire live trees may not be as appropriate, particularly for delayed tree mortality. Delayed tree mortality (“delayed mortality”) is a phenomenon where trees that initially survive fire then die over an extended period (between one and five years), and it can be challenging to measure and predict. In this study, we demonstrate the potential of mapping delayed mortality using readily available remotely sensed imagery alone. We used random forest models to detect post-fire live trees using 10-m resolution Sentinel-2 data at one-, three-, and five-years post-fire for four fires in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA. Using imagery from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP; 60-cm resolution), we manually classified live tree presence in 6000 Sentinel-2 pixels (500 pixels for each fire-year combination) to calibrate and validate models. Sentinel-2 based model accuracies ranged from 65 % to 86 % with F-scores ranging from 0.52 to 0.86, and their predictions of live pixel area were on average 44 % lower than inferred from more traditional indices such as relative differenced normalized burn ratio (RdNBR). This work represents a promising first step in using freely available post-fire spectral reflectance imagery to detect live trees over an extended period to support post-fire management.

California↗

USGS2026

Basal area loss from fire using field-calibrated remote sensing refines western US fire severity measurements

The spatial patterns of fire effects and tree mortality have profound consequences for forest resilience. Cost-effective, medium-resolution, and spatiotemporally extensive fire severity measurements are essential for informing post-fire restoration and improving our understanding of wildfires—from forest stands to continents and from days to decades. Remote sensing advancements have improved burn severity mapping, but methods vary in interpretability, scalability, generalizability, and alignment with field measurements. One meaningful metric of fire effects on forests is proportion basal area loss, but existing methods are limited by a lack of region-specific field reference data and a scalable mapping framework. To address these issues, we compiled 3280 field reference plots from 123 fires in forests across the Western US to calculate the proportion of fire-induced basal area loss. We then used spatially cross-validated machine learning models with concurrent hyperparameter tuning to select a skillful, parsimonious model from a large candidate set of remotely-sensed, climatic, and topographic predictors. Spectral-only measures of severity over- or underestimated basal area loss in dry versus wet years and across aspects, demonstrating the value of incorporating climatic and topographic context. We also tested model performance on a separate holdout dataset in the Southwest US as a demonstration of reproducibility and transparency. We provide a Google Earth Engine tool for estimating proportional basal area loss for any fire perimeter in the Western US, enabling rapid map creation for land management and ecological modeling. All code, model parameters, and training data are released to support reproducibility, community adoption, regional refinement, and adaptation to new regions.

western United States↗