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S. Xu

Publications and source records attributed to S. Xu.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Bayesian updating of seismic ground failure estimates via causal graphical models and satellite imagery

Earthquake-induced secondary ground failure hazards, such as liquefaction and landslides, result in catastrophic building and infrastructure damage as well as human fatalities. To facilitate emergency responses and mitigate losses, the U.S. Geological Survey provides a rapid hazard estimation system for earthquake-triggered landslides and liquefaction using geospatial susceptibility proxies and ShakeMap ground motion estimates. However, the resolution and accuracy of these models are often limited by coarse-granularity and large uncertainties of available geospatial features provided at a regional scale. Recently, with the advancement of remote sensing technologies, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images are captured and analyzed to obtain a rapid estimate of earthquake-induced correlation changes between pre- and post-event images. These correlation changes indicate ground failures and building damage t, showing the potential to provide supplementary information for rapid hazard and loss estimation. However, the exact causes of changes in satellite images are not directly ascertained by the DPM alone. For example, changes could be due to building damage, landslides, liquefaction, noise or any combination thereof. More importantly, the occurrence and intensity of landslides, liquefaction, and building damages are spatially correlated, which makes it yet more challenging to distinguish the sources of any such changes. In this study, we develop a generalized causal graph-based Bayesian Network that models the physical interdependencies between geospatial features, seismic ground failures and building damage, as well as DPMs. Geospatial features provide physical insights for estimating ground failure occurrence while DPMs contain event-specific surface change observations. This physics-informed causal graph incorporate these variables with complex physical relationships in one holistic Bayesian updating scheme to effectively fuse information from both geospatial models and remote sensing data. This framework is scalable and flexible enough to deal with highly complex multi-hazard combinations. We then develop a stochastic variational inference algorithm to jointly update the intractable posterior probabilities of unobserved landslides, liquefaction, and building damage at different locations efficiently. In addition, a local graphical model pruning algorithm is presented to reduce the computational cost of large-scale seismic ground failure estimation. We apply this framework to September 2018 Hokkaido Iburi-Tobu, Japan (M6.6) earthquake and January 2020 Southwest Puerto Rico (M6.4) earthquake to evaluate the performance of our algorithm

Conference Paper

Joint inversion of high-frequency surface waves with fundamental and higher modes

Joint inversion of multimode surface waves for estimating the shear (S)-wave velocity has received much attention in recent years. In this paper, we first analyze sensitivity of phase velocities of multimodes of surface waves for a six-layer earth model, and then we invert surface-wave dispersion curves of the theoretical model and a real-world example. Sensitivity analysis shows that fundamental mode data are more sensitive to the S-wave velocities of shallow layers and are concentrated on a very narrow frequency band, while higher mode data are more sensitive to the parameters of relatively deeper layers and are distributed over a wider frequency band. These properties provide a foundation of using a multimode joint inversion to define S-wave velocities. Inversion results of both synthetic data and a real-world example demonstrate that joint inversion with the damped least-square method and the singular-value decomposition technique to invert high-frequency surface waves with fundamental and higher mode data simultaneously can effectively reduce the ambiguity and improve the accuracy of S-wave velocities. ?? 2007.

Journal of Applied Geophysics

Extracting transient Rayleigh wave and its application in detecting quality of highway roadbed

This paper first explains the tau-p mapping method of extracting Rayleigh waves (LR waves) from field shot gathers. It also explains a mathematical model of physical character parameters of quality of high-grade roads. This paper then discusses an algorithm of computing dispersion curves using adjacent channels. Shear velocity and physical character parameters are obtained by inversion of dispersion curves. The algorithm using adjacent channels to calculating dispersion curves eliminates average effects that exist by using multi-channels to obtain dispersion curves so that it improves longitudinal and transverse resolution of LR waves and precision of non-invasive detection, and also broadens its application fields. By analysis of modeling results of detached computation of the ground roll and real examples of detecting density and pressure strength of a high-grade roadbed, and by comparison of shallow seismic image method with borehole cores, we concluded that: 1 the abnormal scale and configuration obtained by LR waves are mostly the same as the result of shallow seismic image method; 2 an average relative error of density obtained from LR waves inversion is 1.6% comparing with borehole coring; 3 transient LR waves in detecting density and pressure strength of a high-grade roadbed is feasible and effective.

Conference Paper