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Novianti Indrastuti

Publications and source records attributed to Novianti Indrastuti.

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Local magnitude, coda magnitude, and radiated energy of volcanic tectonic earthquakes from October 2010 to December 2011 at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia

In August 2010, Sinabung volcano began erupting after more than a thousand years of dormancy. Following several weeks of phreatic eruptions, the eruptions ceased and Sinabung entered what became an inter-eruptive period of dominantly seismic unrest. While standard equations for understanding the size of an earthquake (local magnitude (M L ), coda magnitude (M C ), and seismic energy release (E R )) have long been developed, it is best practice to fine tune these relations for a given region and period of study to more accurately describe seismicity and to directly compare it with other volcanic systems. More accurate descriptions of magnitudes and energy release are vital to accurate volcanic eruption forecasting and evaluation of seismic and volcanic risk. In this study, we use high-frequency volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes recorded on a temporary three-component network installed between October 2010 and December 2011 in the region around Sinabung volcano to better constrain the seismic parameters of and better understand this previously unstudied volcano. We determine region-specific formulas for M L , M C , and E R as follows: M L = log 10 A + 1.1252 log 10 r + 0.0280 r − 2.5427 , M C = 0.7764 log 10 t c o d a + 0.0676 r − 0.7185 , a n d log 10 ( E R ) = 1.5720 M L + 11.5258 , where A , r , and t coda are maximum amplitude on a Wood-Anderson seismogram, hypocentral distance (km), and the coda duration (s), respectively. Constants in the M L equation have physically interpretable meanings. The constant for the geometrical spreading term (log 10 r term) equals one for perfect spherical spreading of the waveform. Our value is greater than one and thus suggests that wavefronts spread at a slightly different rate than for simple spherical spreading. The constant for the attenuation term ( r term) is consistent with locally mapped attenuative deposits (limestones and tuffs) and previous 3D tomographic results. Our M C equation differs from a previous study, likely because different data in a different time period were used. Earthquake hypocenters are consistent with those located in previous tomographic studies, and we interpret the earthquakes in this study as distal VT earthquakes induced by continued magmatic intrusion at Sinabung over the period of October 2010–December 2011.

Sinabung volcano

Using a process-based model of pre-eruptive seismic patterns to forecast evolving eruptive styles at Sinabung Volcano, Indonesia

Most volcanoes worldwide are not monitored in real-time; for those that are, patterns of pre-eruptive earthquakes coupled with conceptual models of magma ascent enable short-term forecasting of eruption onset. Basic event locations, characterization of background seismicity, and recognition of changes in earthquake types and energy release are most important to successful eruption forecasting. During renewed activity at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia, this approach was used by the Center for Volcanology and Geological Hazards Mitigation (CVGHM) and the USGS Volcano Disaster Assistance Program to forecast eruption onset, identify changes in eruptive styles and raise or lower alert levels and extend or contract evacuation zones. After > 400 years of quiescence, Sinabung began erupting in August 2010. The volcano was unmonitored at the onset of these eruptions, which were phreatic, but soon after a monitoring network was installed by CVGHM. Increasing swarms of high-frequency volcano tectonic (VT) earthquakes were used to forecast continuing phreatic eruptions. Volcanic activity decreased in mid-September 2010, while additional intrusions at depth (inferred from continued distal VT swarms) continued through September 2013, when explosive phreatic eruptions recurred. Explosive eruptions were forecast based on increases in real-time seismic amplitude measurement (RSAM) and VT seismicity. Seismicity changed markedly in late November and early December 2013 with the occurrence of deep earthquakes and an overall transition from low-frequency (LF) dominated and irregular (in time and magnitude) earthquakes to more regular LF and hybrid seismicity – a transition that accompanied the continued rise, eventual emergence and growth of a lava dome in the summit crater. This lava dome was first observed on 18 December. In late December 2013 to early January 2014, the eruptive style changed again as additional ascending magma deformed the summit and the dome grew beyond the capacity of the summit crater, resulting in the en masse collapse of the lava dome (2 Mm3) on 11 January and the largest pyroclastic flow to date. The collapse was forecast on the basis of a several order of magnitude increase in RSAM, continued strong distal VT seismicity, an increase in proximal seismicity, and large-scale observed deformation of the summit area. Similarly, a later collapse of a second summit lava dome on 1 February 2014 was forecast on the basis of increased distal seismicity. Here, we demonstrate how a process-based volcano seismicity model was used in combination with real-time data to forecast the time and magnitude of eruptions, as well as changes in eruption style.

Sinabung Volcano

Joint 3-D tomographic imaging of Vp, Vs and Vp/Vs and hypocenter relocation at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia from November to December 2013

We conducted travel time tomography using P- and S-wave arrival times of volcanic-tectonic (VT) events that occurred between November and December 2013 to determine the three-dimensional (3D) seismic velocity structure (Vp, Vs, and Vp/Vs) beneath Sinabung volcano, Indonesia in order to delineate geological subsurface structure and to enhance our understanding of the volcanism itself. This was a time period when phreatic explosions became phreatomagmatic and then magma migrated to the surface forming a summit lava dome. We used 4846 VT events with 16,138 P- and 16,138 S-wave arrival time phases recorded by 6 stations for the tomographic inversion. The relocated VTs collapse into three clusters at depths from the surface to sea level, from 2 to 4 km below sea level, and from 5 to 8.5 km below sea level. The tomographic inversion results show three prominent regions of high Vp/Vs (~ 1.8) beneath Sinabung volcano at depths consistent with the relocated earthquake clusters. We interpret these anomalies as intrusives associated with previous eruptions and possibly surrounding the magma conduit, which we cannot resolve with this study. One anomalous region might contain partial melt, at sea level and below the eventual eruption site at the summit. Our results are important for the interpretation of a conceptual model of the “plumbing system” of this hazardous volcano.

Sinabung Volcano

3-D seismic tomographic study of Sinabung Volcano, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia, during the inter-eruptive period October 2010-July 2013

We estimated 3D P-wave velocity (Vp), S-wave velocity (Vs), and Vp/Vs tomographic structures in and around the Sinabung Volcano area, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia during the intereruptive period between October 2010 and July 2013 using high-quality P- and S-wave phases from > 600 local volcano tectonic (VT) earthquakes and more than 5000 phase picks. We used the iteritive damped-least-squares method of SIMULPS12 to simultaneously invert for the velocity structure and hypocenter relocations. We find that the majority of the VT earthquakes locate beneath Sinabung volcano to depths of about 8 km, with distal hypocenters dominantly to the north and northwest of the summit. We find six anomalous regions with the most notable including an area of low seismicity, high Vp/Vs and low Vp at depths of around 5 km slightly south of the summit. We believe this anomaly most likely represents hot material with some partial melt that may be the source for the 2010 phreatic eruptions and continued unrest throughout the study period. We also find a region below the summit with high seismicity, high Vp, high Vs and low Vp/Vs that we believe likely represents old intrusive material that has been fractured by the processes of the 2010 phreatic eruptions. Other shallow anomalous values of Vp, Vs and Vp/Vs are consistent with the known geology of Sinabung: anomalies of high Vp and Vs likely represent old, well-consolidated rock, and are observed to the SW and NE of Sinabung; while low Vp, low Vs and high Vp/Vs likely represent increased fracture densities, temperatures, or gas contents in geothermal features to the west of the summit. Finally we compare our results to those of the tomographic study during the October to November 2013 eruptive period in Nugraha et al. (this issue) and find evidence that suggests magma rose from the lower region imaged in our study to within a few kilometers of the surface.

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research