Michael A. Baker | Geology Reports

USGS2026

Using demographic estimation and power analysis to inform monitoring efforts and detect declines in freshwater mussels

Population assessments can be used to determine species' viability and inform conservation efforts; however, obtaining sufficient data quality and quantity can be challenging when monitoring resources are scarce. Brook Floater ( Alasmidonta varicosa ) is a freshwater mussel that is state listed in the United States as endangered or threatened in 10 of the 14 states it occupies. Despite the conservation concern, little is known about the size and demographics of most Brook Floater populations. The primary objective of this study was to determine demographic parameters (abundance and survival) for Brook Floater at five newly established, long-term monitoring sites in Maine and Massachusetts, United States. A secondary objective was to evaluate tradeoffs of potential future sampling strategies by state natural resource agencies at these monitoring sites. Mussels were sampled at each site using visual and tactile snorkel surveys twice each summer during 2018–2020 and marked with alphanumeric tags to distinguish individuals. We considered a candidate set of capture-recapture models that allowed parameters to vary depending on year, sampling occasion, and individual shell length. Abundance estimates among sites varied widely, from 29 individuals (range: 12–119) in the Nissitissit River in Massachusetts to 311 individuals (range: 307–320) in the East Branch of the Pleasant River in Maine. Annual survival was high across all sites (0.87–0.96). Given the differences in capture probability and abundance between states, we determined the statistical power available to detect given population declines in Massachusetts and explored alternative population abundance estimators in Maine. The power analysis suggested that the existing sampling regimen in Maine is likely adequate while sampling in Massachusetts may require additional occasions each year to realistically detect population declines with sufficient statistical power. This analysis demonstrates the utility of considering sampling frequency when designing capture-recapture studies for freshwater mussels and other taxa.

Maine, Massachusetts↗

USGS2026

Habitat and landscape variables affecting Corbicula fluminea presence in the upper Savannah River drainage (USA)

Aquatic invasive species ( AIS ) are amongst the greatest threats to native aquatic biodiversity. These introduced species often thrive in human-altered environments and spread through human-mediated pathways to invade new watersheds. Corbicula fluminea is a freshwater bivalve native to southeastern Asia first introduced in North America in Seattle, WA, in 1938 and has spread to nearly every major watershed in the southeastern United States. In the present study, we use an information theoretic framework to compare landscape and stream habitat variables associated with C. fluminea presence across five HUC10 watersheds in the upper Savannah River basin of South Carolina and Georgia, USA. Predictive models included landscape-level and site-level habitat variables associated with agricultural, developed, and forested landscapes. Models with variables associated with forested and developed landscapes were the top performing models based on AICc values. In top performing models C. fluminea presence was positively correlated with increased stream width, but negatively correlated with substrates dominated by cobble. Lower performing models highlight positive correlations with the presence of upstream reservoirs and increased developed landscape surrounding the site. Identification of habitat and landscape correlates with invasive species presence may lead to more efficient introduction monitoring efforts for conservation managers.

Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina↗