Geology topics

Margaret R. Douglas

Publications and source records attributed to Margaret R. Douglas.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2025

Rapid butterfly declines across the United States during the 21st century

Reports of declining insect populations have received widespread media attention, but evidence for declines has been variable across regions and taxonomic groups. Edwards et al . examined trends in the most surveyed taxon: butterflies (see the Perspective by Inouye). Combining data from 35 citizen science programs across the continental US, the authors found declines in overall butterfly abundance over the past 20 years across almost all major regions. Two-thirds of studied species showed declines of more than 10%. Many insects have the potential for rapid population growth and recovery, but habitat restoration, species-specific interventions, and reducing pesticide use are all likely needed to curb population declines.

contiguous United States↗

USGS2024

Western and McKay's bumble bees occupancy trends and future projections

The Western and McKay's bumble bees, originally petitioned for listing as subspecies of the Western bumble bee (Bombus occidentalis) were previously among the most common western bumble bee species but have declined since the late 1990s (Graves et al. 2021). This report details an occupancy analysis utilizing pre-existing and newly collected bumble bee survey data to evaluate potential mechanisms associated with species trends across their distributions in western North America. In addition to evaluating spatially explicit changes in occupancy trends, we also sought to assess how widespread environmental conditions and stressors influence occupancy. Although changing climate, land cover, pesticides, and pathogens have all been identified as potential mechanisms for declines (Cameron et al. 2011, Kerr et al. 2015, Soroye et al. 2020), previous studies have not tied most climate hypotheses to bumble bee life histories or evaluated combined effects of more than 2 of these mechanisms at multi-state/ multiprovince scales. Using a scenario-based approach across climate models, emissions, and land cover scenarios, we projected future occupancy to mid-century (2050-2059). This analysis was conducted to support the Species Status Assessment (SSA) for Western and Mckay’s bumble bees being administered by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (USFWS).

Report↗

USGS2023

Recent and future declines of a historically widespread pollinator linked to climate, land cover, and pesticides

The acute decline in global biodiversity includes not only the loss of rare species, but also the rapid collapse of common species across many different taxa. The loss of pollinating insects is of particular concern because of the ecological and economic values these species provide. The western bumble bee ( Bombus occidentalis ) was once common in western North America, but this species has become increasingly rare through much of its range. To understand potential mechanisms driving these declines, we used Bayesian occupancy models to investigate the effects of climate and land cover from 1998 to 2020, pesticide use from 2008 to 2014, and projected expected occupancy under three future scenarios. Using 14,457 surveys across 2.8 million km 2 in the western United States, we found strong negative relationships between increasing temperature and drought on occupancy and identified neonicotinoids as the pesticides of greatest negative influence across our study region. The mean predicted occupancy declined by 57% from 1998 to 2020, ranging from 15 to 83% declines across 16 ecoregions. Even under the most optimistic scenario, we found continued declines in nearly half of the ecoregions by the 2050s and mean declines of 93% under the most severe scenario across all ecoregions. This assessment underscores the tenuous future of B. occidentalis and demonstrates the scale of stressors likely contributing to rapid loss of related pollinator species throughout the globe. Scaled-up, international species-monitoring schemes and improved integration of data from formal surveys and community science will substantively improve the understanding of stressors and bumble bee population trends.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences↗

USGS2019

Pesticides and pollinators: A socioecological synthesis

The relationship between pesticides and pollinators , while attracting no shortage of attention from scientists, regulators, and the public, has proven resistant to scientific synthesis and fractious in matters of policy and public opinion. This is in part because the issue has been approached in a compartmentalized and intradisciplinary way, such that evaluations of organismal pesticide effects remain largely disjoint from their upstream drivers and downstream consequences. Here, we present a socioecological framework designed to synthesize the pesticide-pollinator system and inform future scholarship and action. Our framework consists of three interlocking domains-pesticide use, pesticide exposure, and pesticide effects–each consisting of causally linked patterns, processes, and states. We elaborate each of these domains and their linkages, reviewing relevant literature and providing empirical case studies. We then propose guidelines for future pesticide-pollinator scholarship and action agenda aimed at strengthening knowledge in neglected domains and integrating knowledge across domains to provide decision support for stakeholders and policymakers. Specifically, we emphasize (1) stakeholder engagement, (2) mechanistic study of pesticide exposure, (3) understanding the propagation of pesticide effects across levels of organization, and (4) full-cost accounting of the externalities of pesticide use and regulation. Addressing these items will require transdisciplinary collaborations within and beyond the scientific community, including the expertise of farmers, agrochemical developers, and policymakers in an extended peer community.

Science of the Total Environment↗