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Kevin M. Ellett

Publications and source records attributed to Kevin M. Ellett.

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Evaluation of land subsidence and ground failures at Bicycle Basin, Fort Irwin National Training Center, California, 1992–2017

Groundwater has been pumped in the Bicycle Basin at Fort Irwin National Training Center since the 1960s, and the amount pumped has generally increased since the 1990s. After a large crack (approximately 0.5-kilometer long) formed at the surface of Bicycle Lake playa during 2005–06 in the area used as an aircraft runway, a monitoring study was initiated by the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the U.S. Army Fort Irwin National Training Center, to help determine the cause. The extent and effect of groundwaterlevel declines and land-surface deformation in Bicycle Basin were evaluated using a number of approaches, including water-level measurements from December 2007 to June 2017, land surveys across the playa area, interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) analyses, geophysical surveys of the playa area, and numerical experiments to test hypotheses about soil mechanical processes. A specific objective of this study was to evaluate the recent development of ground failures in the form of large, surface cracks that pose a hazard to aircraft operations on the Bicycle Lake playa airstrip. Another large crack and set of interconnected cracks formed at the surface of Bicycle Lake playa in 2013 following a period of inundation similar to that of 2005–06; however, the 2013 cracks formed a network rather than a single feature. Groundwater pumping resulted in more than 27 meters (90 feet) of water-level declines in wells north of the Bicycle Lake playa from 1990 to 2017, and InSAR interferograms indicated more than 400 millimeters (16 inches) of subsidence during 1993–2015. Subsidence rates calculated from InSAR interferograms were variable, temporally and spatially. Results of leveling surveys indicated differential subsidence between 2009 and 2016 along a transect across the playa to the area of maximum subsidence; there was less subsidence south of the 2005–06 crack than north of it. The steepest subsidence gradient for this time was in the area of maximum subsidence. Repeat tape-extensometer measurements from April 2009 to November 2017 across the main-runway crack indicated slight opening along part of the crack. A baseline lidar (light detection and ranging) survey of the main-runway crack was done in January 2009 to track the development of this feature. During the 95-months from January 2009 to December 2016, 0.5 meters (19.7 inches) of subsidence was observed next to the subsidence pit in the crack along the western end of the scanned area, presumably due to erosion and backfilling when the lake was inundated. Standing water in the crack along the eastern end of the scanned area prevented determining change for that part of the crack. Time-series, shaded-relief images show the progression of change in the crack from January 2009 through December 2016, with the crack closing and opening, depending on the time of most recent inundation relative to when the scans were taken. Volumetric changes in the size of the crack, calculated between the sequential lidar surveys, show that from 2009 to 2016, the cumulative volumetric change was 1.5 cubic meters (54 cubic feet). This volume is a minimum estimate because the crack volume below the water surface in the pits was not included in the calculations. Subsurface imaging of the 2005–06 main-runway crack by a series of electrical resistivity tomography surveys in 2008 and 2017 indicated that the crack could extend 5 meters (16 feet) in the subsurface. Electromagnetic induction surveys in 2008, 2014, and 2015 evaluated the technique for ground-failure monitoring and showed that the technique was effective at revealing anomalies correlated with the features of concern in the playa area, such as the 2005–06 crack, numerous ”healed” macropolygon features, and scattered sink-like depressions. Results from numerical experiments simulating watertable decline at depth indicated that the material deposits in the desaturating capillary fringe zone might not be able to transmit large enough stresses up through the overlying soil to cause cracks at the land surface. Results from simulations of desiccation in the presence of a regional tectonically induced stress field, however, tended to support the hypothesis that the combined processes could control the formation of giant desiccation macropolygons in certain areas, such as Bicycle Lake playa.

California

Geohydrology, geochemistry, and numerical simulation of groundwater flow and land subsidence in the Bicycle Basin, Fort Irwin National Training Center, California

Groundwater pumping from Bicycle Groundwater Basin (referred to as Bicycle Basin) in the Fort Irwin National Training Center, California, began in 1967. From 1967 to December 2010, about 46,000 acre-feet of water had been pumped from the basin and transported to the Irwin Basin. During this time, not only did water levels in the basin decline by as much as 100 feet, the quality of the groundwater pumped from the basin also deteriorated in some wells. The U.S. Geological Survey collected geohydrologic data from existing wells, test holes, and 16 additional monitoring wells installed at 6 sites in Bicycle Basin during 1992–2011 to determine the quantity and quality of groundwater available in the basin. Geophysical surveys, including electrical, gravity, and seismic refraction surveys, were completed to help determine the geometry of the structural basin, delineate depths to the interface between Quaternary and Tertiary rocks, map the depth to the water table, and used to develop a geohydrologic framework and groundwater-flow model for Bicycle Basin. Water samples were used to determine the groundwater quality in the basin and to delineate potential sources of poor-quality groundwater. Analysis of stable isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen in groundwater indicated that presentday precipitation is not a major source of recharge to the basin. Tritium and carbon-14 data indicated that most of the groundwater in the basin was recharged prior to 1952 and had an apparent age of 15,625–39,350 years. Natural recharge to the basin was not sufficient to replenish the groundwater pumped from the basin. Interferograms from synthetic aperture radar data (InSAR), analyzed to evaluate land-surface subsidence between 1993 and 2010, showed 0.23 to 1.1 feet of subsidence during this period near one production well north of Bicycle Lake (dry) playa. A groundwater-flow model of Bicycle Basin was developed and calibrated using groundwater levels for 1964– 2010, and a subsidence model using land-surface deformation data for 1993–2010. Between January 1967 and December 2010, the simulated total recharge from precipitation runoff and underflow from adjacent basins was about 5,100 acre-feet and pumpage from the Bicycle Basin was about 47,000 acrefeet of water. Total outflows exceeded natural recharge during this period, resulting in a net loss of about 42,100 acre-feet of groundwater storage in the basin. The Fort Irwin National Training Center is considering various groundwater-management options in the Bicycle Basin. The groundwater-flow model was used to (1) evaluate changes in groundwater levels and subsidence with the addition of capture and recharge of simulated runoff in retention basins (scenario 1) for predevelopment through 2010; (2) simulate a base case (scenario 2) for reference; and (3) compare projections of alternative future pumping strategies for 2011–60 (scenarios 3–5). Model results from the runoff-capture simulation (scenario 1) indicated that total recharge, including runoff captured using retention basins, locally increased water levels, which partially offset, but did not mitigate, groundwater depletion associated with pumping. Groundwater-storage depletion in scenario 1 was about 14 percent less than without runoff capture. Simulated-drawdown results in model layer 1 in the eastern part of the basin indicated that, because of the captured runoff, simulated heads were as much as 100 feet higher in December 2010 than prior to the onset of development in 1967. In contrast, simulated drawdown for model without runoff capture indicated that, without captured runoff, simulated heads for December 2010 in this area were 80–90 feet lower than during the predevelopment period. Subsidence was mitigated slightly in scenario 1 compared to without runoff capture; the largest decrease in subsidence at observation sites was about 0.07 feet.

California

Modeling a thick unsaturated zone at San Gorgonio Pass, California: lessons learned after five years of artificial recharge

The information flow among the tasks of framework assessment, numerical modeling, model forecasting and hind casting, and system-performance monitoring is illustrated. Results provide an understanding of artificial recharge in high-altitude desert settings where large vertical distances may separate application ponds from their target aquifers. Approximately 3.8 million cubic meters of surface water was applied to spreading ponds from 2003–2007 to artificially recharge the underlying aquifer through a 200-meter thick unsaturated zone in the San Gorgonio Pass area in southern California. A study was conducted between 1997 and 2003, and a numerical model was developed to help determine the suitability of the site for artificial recharge. Ongoing monitoring results indicated that the existing model needed to be modified and recalibrated to more accurately predict artificial recharge at the site. The objective of this work was to recalibrate the model by using observation of the application rates, the rise and fall of the water level above a perching layer, and the approximate arrival time to the water table during the 5-yr monitoring period following initiation of long-term artificial recharge. Continuous monitoring of soil-matric potential, temperature, and water levels beneath the site indicated that artificial recharge reached the underlying water table between 3.75 and 4.5 yr after the initial application of the recharge water. The model was modified to allow the simulation to more adequately match the perching layer dynamics and the time of arrival at the water table. The instrumentation also showed that the lag time between changes in application of water at the surface and the response at the perching layer decreased from about 4 mo to less than 1 mo due to the wet-up of the unsaturated zone and the increase in relative permeability. The results of this study demonstrate the importance of iteratively monitoring and modeling the unsaturated zone in layered alluvial systems in the context of artificial recharge. They show that adequate geologic and hydraulic-property data on perching layers are critical to success. Continuous monitoring in the unsaturated and saturated zones beneath a site provides data to develop and constrain numerical models, better understand local unsaturated zone process, manage artificial recharge operations, and to determine the timing and volume of recoverable water for consumptive use.

California

The role of the unsaturated zone in artificial recharge at San Gorgonio Pass, California

The hydrogeology of the unsaturated zone plays a critical role in determining the suitability of a site for artificial recharge. Optimally, a suitable site has highly permeable soils, a capacity for horizontal flow at the aquifer boundary, a lack of impeding layers, and a thick unsaturated zone. The suitability of a site is often determined by field and laboratory measurements of soil properties, field experiments, and numerical modeling. An artificial recharge site in the San Gorgonio Pass area in southern California, USA was studied to better understand the role of the unsaturated zone in artificial recharge by surface spreading. Field measurements and observations were used to characterize the site and to develop a conceptual model of the unsaturated zone. A numerical model was developed based on the conceptual model and calibrated using data from a 50-d artificial recharge experiment conducted in 1991 and borehole data collected between 1997 and 2002. Results indicate that an impeding layer exists 70 m below land surface that will cause lateral diversion of artificially recharged water, which would spread out and delay recharge to the water table 185 m below land surface.

California

Characteristics of shallow deposits beneath Rillito Creek, Pima County, Arizona

Characteristics of the stream-channel and basin-fill deposits beneath a 12-mile reach of Rillito Creek, Pima County, Arizona, were obtained to describe the geohydrologic system. The findings presented here are part of a larger project to improve the understanding of recharge processes beneath ephemeral streams. The stream-channel deposits, which range in thickness from 15 to 40 feet, generally are sandy gravels or gravelly sands. On average, the stream-channel deposits are 44 percent gravel, 51 percent sand, 2 percent silt, and 3 percent clay. The underlying basin-fill deposits also are sandy gravels or gravelly sands but have, on average, a larger component of silt and clay than the stream-channel deposits?about 9 percent silt and 6 percent clay. Porosity values for the stream-channel and basin-fill deposits are similar: about 31 and 34 percent on average, respectively. Volumetric moisture content and percent saturation, however, generally were lower in the stream-channel deposits than in the basin-fill deposits. Moisture content in the stream-channel deposits ranged from 2 to 40 percent and averaged about 18 percent, whereas moisture content in the basin-fill deposits ranged from 7 to 47 percent and averaged about 24 percent. Saturation in the stream-channel deposits ranged from 9 to 100 percent and averaged about 58 percent; saturation in the basin-fill deposits ranged from 30 to 100 percent and averaged about 69 percent. Porosity and moisture content correlate with silt and clay content. Cumulative thickness of water in the 100- to 125-foot thick unsaturated zone obtained by integrating the moisture content over depth, ranged from 17.2 to 40.4 feet. Matric potential for saturation levels at the time of sample collection generally was less than -1 bar for deposits that were less than 35 percent saturated. Matric potential generally was greater than -0.1 bar for deposits that were more than 65 percent saturated. Moisture-retention curves are a function of the physical properties, such as porosity and grain size, of the sediments. The shapes and van Genuchten fitting parameters of moisture-retention curves for the stream-channel deposits are different from those of the basin-fill deposits. For instance, the fitting parameter, a, for stream-channel deposits ranged from 4.56 to 1,220 bar-1 and averaged 220 bar-1, whereas a for basin-fill deposits ranged from 4.22 to 67.9 bar-1 and averaged 22.8 bar-1. The residual water content for the basin-fill deposits is greater than that for the stream-channel deposits. Relative hydraulic conductivity of the stream-channel deposits is less than relative hydraulic conductivity of the basin-fill deposits at the same matric potential. Unsaturated hydraulic conductivity for moisture conditions that existed at the time of sample collection typically was more than two orders of magnitude less than saturated hydraulic conductivity. Saturated vertical hydraulic conductivity of the stream-channel deposits is about an order of magnitude greater than that of the basin-fill deposits. The equivalent hydraulic conductivity of stream-channel deposits ranges from 2 to 7.3 feet per day, and averages about 4 feet per day, whereas the equivalent hydraulic conductivity of the basin-fill deposits ranges from 0.06 to 1.5 feet per day and averages 0.61 foot per day. The equivalent vertical hydraulic conductivity of the entire unsaturated zone cored is 0.75 foot per day. Assuming no vertical to horizontal anisotropy, the equivalent horizontal hydraulic conductivity generally is about two to three times that of the equivalent vertical hydraulic conductivity. The difference between average equivalent vertical and horizontal hydraulic conductivity values results from the differences in methods used to calculate the respective values. Electrical methods were useful in discriminating between stream-channel deposits and basin-fill deposits. In general, electrical conductivity of the stream-channel deposits was less than 30 millimhos per meter and averaged 27 millimhos per meter. The conductivity of the basin-fill deposits was greater than that of the stream-channel deposits and averaged 44 millimhos per meter. The greater conductivity probably is related to factors such as greater moisture content and fraction of fine sediments in the basin-fill deposits. Apparent resistivity measured with two-dimensional resistivity soundings generally decreased with depth. The resistivity values from the near-surface measurements represent dry stream-channel deposits and averaged 303 ohm meters. The resistivity values for basin-fill deposits generally were less than 140 ohm meters and less than 100 ohm meters when saturated. Seismic-velocity values for the recent alluvium (stream-channel and terrace deposits) ranged from 1,150 to 2,200 feet per second, whereas values for basin-fill deposits ranged from 2,000 to 11,650 feet per second. The average seismic velocity for the stream-channel deposits (1,300 feet per second) was less than that for the terrace deposits (1,600 feet per second). Saturated basin-fill deposits had an average velocity of 7,800 feet per second, whereas unsaturated basin-fill deposits had an average velocity of 2,750 feet per second.

Arizona