Geology topics

Kelcy Smith

Publications and source records attributed to Kelcy Smith.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Monitoring changes in Landsat thermal features in urban and non-urban interfaces from 1986 to 2023 in two international urban centers: Implications for climate and global issues

Rapid urbanization is reshaping thermal environments worldwide, with the strongest impacts occurring at the interface between urban and non-urban areas. Impervious surfaces, as key indicators of urban expansion, are critical for monitoring urban growth and assessing surface urban heat island (SUHI) effects. Land use and land cover change (LULCC) provides an essential link between urban dynamics and their environmental and societal consequences. Here, we integrated the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Climate Global Issues (CGI) Land Cover Product with Landsat thermal time-series to investigate SUHI evolution in two contrasting metropolitan regions: Wuhan, China, and Brasília, Brazil. Using data spanning 1986–2023, we analyzed the relationships between land cover, Landsat-based land surface temperature (LST), and SUHI intensity, and identified persistent thermal hotspots. Results demonstrate that the land cover data utilized increases the accuracy of impervious surface mapping along urban–rural gradients. Average SUHI intensities were 3.4 °C in Wuhan and 3.3 °C in Brasília, with statistically significant warming trends of 0.04 °C/year and 0.01 °C/year, respectively. Maximum temperature proved to be a robust indicator of SUHI intensification, capturing long-term upward trends. Our findings highlight the important role of urban land cover dynamics in shaping temporal SUHI variability and hotspot emergence. This prototype framework demonstrates the scientific and policy value of combining long-term land cover monitoring information with satellite thermal monitoring to quantify and track SUHI at city scale, supporting sustainable urban planning and climate adaptation strategies.

Remote Sensing↗

USGS2025

An automated compositing method for producing annual clear images from Landsat Collection 2 for annual NLCD production

Quality image input is fundamental to the quality of derived land cover products. Substantial time and effort are usually required to prepare images. Here, we present a novel and streamlined compositing algorithm that ingests Landsat Collection 2 Analysis Ready Data (ARD) and outputs cloud-free and gap-free composite imagery, which can be directly used for classification. This method leverages and improves the previous National Land Cover Database (NLCD) Virtual Median Value Point (VMVP) compositing method, the first part of the image preparation for NLCD 2019 operational production. The NLCD 2019 image preparation approach includes a second part, a residual cloud and cloud shadow detection and gap-filling method, to produce final cloud-free and gap-free composite imagery. The second part requires one clear reference image for each target year. Additional reference images are needed for producing reasonable observations for perennial ice/snow areas because Pixel QA (Quality Assessment) from ARD has difficulties differentiating ice/snow areas from clouds. Unlike the NLCD 2019 image preparation approach, our new compositing method, which is referred to as Automated VMVP (AVMVP), uses Landsat ARD as the only input and does not require reference images and extra steps. In this method, we developed new spectral filter criteria coupled with counts of clear observations using Pixel QA to identify potential cloud and cloud shadow observations on initially selected observations from the NLCD VMVP compositing algorithm. We also automate “gap-filling” using clear observations retrieved from a maximum of ±2 years around the target year when needed. Finally, a percentile-filtered compositing method was developed for the perennial ice/snow areas. All these steps are streamlined, pixel-based, and directly run on Landsat Collection 2 ARD. We have run successful tests on the conterminous United States (CONUS). Composite images derived from our innovative method were used to produce the CONUS Annual NLCD Collection 1 product suite that covers the period from 1985 to 2023.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2025

Resiliency of land change monitoring efforts to input data resampling

The geometric transformation of remotely sensed imagery from one map projection to another necessitates a data resampling operation which alters the recorded values. The global Landsat archive is made available in the Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) projection system which preserves geographic shape across small area but introduces small errors in distance and area. As remote sensing-based studies develop from local scales to regional and global, they need to adopt more appropriate map projections from which accurate area measurements can be made. While effects of resampling on recorded values have been studied in the past, the impacts on higher-level results such as land cover have not been widely reported. This study investigates an approach for monitoring land cover and land change using two input datasets derived from identical source Landsat data, where one input dataset is transformed to an equal-area map projection and thereby resampled. Recorded surface reflectance values are changed through the reprojection/resampling process, and our study highlights observed differences in derived land cover from these two different input datasets throughout the various stages of deriving land cover and related characteristics. Our findings suggest that large-scale analyses of land cover will not be substantially impacted by reprojection of input data, but small-scale analyses should exercise caution when interpreting timing and magnitude of pixel-level change and classification dynamics.

Georgia↗

USGS2023

Toward consistent change detection across irregular remote sensing time series observations

The use of remote sensing in time series analysis enables wall-to-wall monitoring of the land surface and is critical for assessing and understanding land cover and land use change and for understanding the Earth system as a whole. However, variability in remote sensing observation frequency through time and across space presents challenges for producing consistent change detection results throughout the available satellite record using approaches such as the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) change detection methodology. Here we investigate new modifications to this methodology with the goal of improving accuracy and consistency in results and increasing flexibility for operational usage and future development. The modified method (Band-First Probability, or CCD-BFP) change detection procedure works by calculating a test for each band through time before summarizing between bands. We evaluate the CCD-BFP method compared to an existing implementation of CCDC using a variety of approaches, including a validation dataset of human-interpreted locations, comparison with data from fire events, use of simulated remote sensing data, and qualitative inspection of areas of interest. We find CCD-BFP improves consistency across time and space compared to the existing implementation of CCDC, with more similarity in rates of change across Landsat swath boundaries and before and after the launch of Landsat 7. Also, we find that CCD-BFP detects more of the change events in the validation dataset while reducing the overall number of change detections, indicating that it is able to more accurately capture the most notable land surface change events.

Remote Sensing of Environment↗

USGS2022

Implementation of the CCDC algorithm to produce the LCMAP Collection 1.0 annual land surface change product

The increasing availability of high-quality remote sensing data and advanced technologies have spurred land cover mapping to characterize land change from local to global scales. However, most land change datasets either span multiple decades at a local scale or cover limited time over a larger geographic extent. Here, we present a new land cover and land surface change dataset created by the Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) program over the conterminous United States (CONUS). The LCMAP land cover change dataset consists of annual land cover and land cover change products over the period 1985-2017 at 30-meter resolution using Landsat and other ancillary data via the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) algorithm. In this paper, we describe our novel approach to implement the CCDC algorithm to produce the LCMAP product suite composed of five land cover and five land surface change related products. The LCMAP land cover products were validated using a collection of ~ 25,000 reference samples collected independently across CONUS. The overall agreement for all years of the LCMAP primary land cover product reached 82.5%. The LCMAP products are produced through the LCMAP Information Warehouse and Data Store (IW+DS) and Shared Mesos Cluster systems that can process, store, and deliver all datasets for public access. To our knowledge, this is the first set of published 30m annual land cover and land cover change datasets that span from the 1980s to the present for the United States. The LCMAP product suite provides useful information for land resource management and facilitates studies to improve the understanding of terrestrial ecosystems and the complex dynamics of the Earth system. The LCMAP system could be implemented to produce global land change products in the future.

Earth System Science Data↗

USGS2022

Development of the LCMAP annual land cover product across Hawai'i

Following the completion of land cover and change (LCC) products for the conterminous United States (CONUS), the U.S. Geological Survey's (USGS’s) Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection initiative has broadened the capability of characterizing continuous historical land change across the full Landsat records for Hawaiʻi at 30-meter resolution. One of the challenges of implementing the LCMAP framework to process annual land cover maps in Hawaiʻi is to collect sufficient high-quality training data. Although multiple datasets depicting land cover information are available in Hawaiʻi, they covered limited time frames and were produced from various remote sensing sources with different, classification categories, spatial resolution, and mapping accuracies. No solo product is suitable to provide LCMAP training data labels on its own. In this paper, we focused on enhancing the LCMAP training datasets to generate land cover products from 2000 to 2019 in Hawaiʻi. A total of 200 independent reference data plots were generated and manually interpreted for validating the mapping results produced by the training datasets. The results revealed that using the appropriate filter of multiple products as training data pools improved the classification model performance. The effect of training datasets (e.g., spatial coverage, quality) on accuracies for different land cover types were summarized. The LCMAP land surface change products for Hawaiʻi are available at https://doi.org/10.5066/P91E8M23 .

Hawaii↗

USGS2020

Training data selection for annual land cover classification for the LCMAP initiative

The U.S. Geological Survey’s Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) initiative characterizes changes in land cover, use, and condition with the goal of producing land change information that improves understanding of the earth system and provides insight into the impacts of land change on society. For LCMAP, all available high-quality data from the Landsat archive is used in a time series approach to detect land surface change. Annual thematic land cover maps are produced by classifying time series models. In this paper, we describe optimization of the classification method used to derive the thematic land cover product. We investigated the influences of auxiliary data, sample size, and training from different sources such as the U.S. Geological Survey’s Land Cover Trends project and National Land Cover Database (NLCD 2001 and NLCD 2011). Results were evaluated and validated based on independent data from the training dataset. We found that refining auxiliary data effectively reduced artifacts in the thematic land cover map that are related to data availability (i.e., SLC-off). The classification accuracy and stability were improved considerably by using a total of 20 million training pixels with a minimum of 600,000 and a maximum of 8 million training pixels per class. Finally, the NLCD 2001 training data delivered the best classification accuracy. Comparing to the original LCMAP classification strategy (Trends training data, 20,000 samples), the optimized classification strategy considerably improved the annual land cover map accuracy.

Remote Sensing↗

USGS2020

Lessons learned implementing an operational continuous United States national land change monitoring capability: The Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) approach

Growing demands for temporally specific information on land surface change are fueling a new generation of maps and statistics that can contribute to understanding geographic and temporal patterns of change across large regions, provide input into a wide range of environmental modeling studies, clarify the drivers of change, and provide more timely information for land managers. To meet these needs, the U.S. Geological Survey has implemented a capability to monitor land surface change called the Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) initiative. This paper describes the methodological foundations and lessons learned during development and testing of the LCMAP approach. Testing and evaluation of a suite of 10 annual land cover and land surface change data sets over six diverse study areas across the United States revealed good agreement with other published maps (overall agreement ranged from 73% to 87%) as well as several challenges that needed to be addressed to meet the goals of robust, repeatable, and geographically consistent monitoring results from the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) algorithm. First, the high spatial and temporal variability of observational frequency led to differences in the number of changes identified, so CCDC was modified such that change detection is dependent on observational frequency. Second, the CCDC classification methodology was modified to improve its ability to characterize gradual land surface changes. Third, modifications were made to the classification element of CCDC to improve the representativeness of training data, which necessitated replacing the random forest algorithm with a boosted decision tree. Following these modifications, assessment of prototype Version 1 LCMAP results showed improvements in overall agreement (ranging from 85% to 90%).

Remote Sensing of Environment↗

USGS2016

An optimal sample data usage strategy to minimize overfitting and underfitting effects in regression tree models based on remotely-sensed data

Regression tree models have been widely used for remote sensing-based ecosystem mapping. Improper use of the sample data (model training and testing data) may cause overfitting and underfitting effects in the model. The goal of this study is to develop an optimal sampling data usage strategy for any dataset and identify an appropriate number of rules in the regression tree model that will improve its accuracy and robustness. Landsat 8 data and Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer-scaled Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were used to develop regression tree models. A Python procedure was designed to generate random replications of model parameter options across a range of model development data sizes and rule number constraints. The mean absolute difference (MAD) between the predicted and actual NDVI (scaled NDVI, value from 0–200) and its variability across the different randomized replications were calculated to assess the accuracy and stability of the models. In our case study, a six-rule regression tree model developed from 80% of the sample data had the lowest MAD (MAD training = 2.5 and MAD testing = 2.4), which was suggested as the optimal model. This study demonstrates how the training data and rule number selections impact model accuracy and provides important guidance for future remote-sensing-based ecosystem modeling.

Remote Sensing↗

USGS2016

Grassland and cropland net ecosystem production of the U.S. Great Plains: Regression tree model development and comparative analysis

This paper presents the methodology and results of two ecological-based net ecosystem production (NEP) regression tree models capable of up scaling measurements made at various flux tower sites throughout the U.S. Great Plains. Separate grassland and cropland NEP regression tree models were trained using various remote sensing data and other biogeophysical data, along with 15 flux towers contributing to the grassland model and 15 flux towers for the cropland model. The models yielded weekly mean daily grassland and cropland NEP maps of the U.S. Great Plains at 250 m resolution for 2000–2008. The grassland and cropland NEP maps were spatially summarized and statistically compared. The results of this study indicate that grassland and cropland ecosystems generally performed as weak net carbon (C) sinks, absorbing more C from the atmosphere than they released from 2000 to 2008. Grasslands demonstrated higher carbon sink potential (139 g C·m −2 ·year −1 ) than non-irrigated croplands. A closer look into the weekly time series reveals the C fluctuation through time and space for each land cover type.

Great Plains↗