Geology topics

John T. Trochta

Publications and source records attributed to John T. Trochta.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2025

Small fish, big implications: Considerations for an ecosystem approach to capelin fisheries management

Climate-driven changes in the Subarctic will directly impact capelin populations and the ecosystem they inhabit, including their predators, prey, and physical habitats. Consequently, incorporating ecosystem considerations in future capelin fisheries management is crucial. In this study, a multidisciplinary group of experts critically evaluated whether the current capelin stock assessment and management frameworks for the four main capelin stocks in the Barents Sea (BS), Iceland-East Greenland-Jan Mayen (IEGJM), Newfoundland and Labrador shelf (NL) and Alaska (AK) align with the principles of an Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries Management (EAFM). An evidence-based ranking of our knowledge on current capelin dynamics across ecological, economic, and social dimensions was conducted, using expert knowledge supported by literature. This exercise also identified data currently used for assessment and management, which highlighted that the existing capelin assessment frameworks include varying degrees of EAFM elements across stocks, such as considerations of trophic interactions, bottom-up processes, accounting for ecosystem uncertainty, and stakeholder engagement in the advisory process. Nonetheless, there is room for improvement where data and knowledge are lacking. We provide some key tactical (short-term) and strategic (long-term) recommendations from our perspective on what is required to ensure the sustainable management of capelin in the circumpolar region over the coming decades.

Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries↗

USGS2023

Temporal, environmental, and demographic correlates of Ichthyophonus sp. infections in mature Pacific herring populations

Causes of population collapse and failed recovery often remain enigmatic in marine forage fish like Pacific herring ( Clupea pallasii ) that experience dramatic population oscillations. Diseases such as ichthyophoniasis are hypothesized to contribute to these declines, but lack of long-term datasets frequently prevents inference. Analysis of pathogen surveillance and population assessment datasets spanning 2007–2019 indicate that the age-based prevalence estimate of Ichthyophonus infection was, on average, 54% greater among a collapsed population of Pacific herring (Prince William Sound, Alaska, USA) as compared to a nearby population (Sitka Sound, Alaska, USA) that is relatively robust. During the study years, the age-based infection prevalence ranged from 14 to 44% in Prince William Sound and 5 to 33% in Sitka Sound. At both sites, the age-based infection prevalence declined over time, with an average decrease of 7% per year. Statistical analyses indicated that infection prevalence between the two populations was reduced by regional factors affecting both sites, and that these factors were independent of herring density. Infection prevalence in both populations was positively correlated with herring age and negatively correlated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This study demonstrates how synthesis of environmental, stock assessment, and disease assessment data can be leveraged to elucidate epidemiological trends in diseases of wild fish.

ICES Journal of Marine Science↗

USGS2022

A novel approach for directly incorporating disease into fish stock assessment: A case study with seroprevalence data

When estimating mortality from disease with fish population models, common disease surveillance data such as infection prevalence are not always informative, especially for fast-acting diseases that may go unobserved in infrequently sampled populations. In these cases, seroprevalence — the proportion of fish with measurable antibody levels in their blood — may be more informative. In cases of life-long immunity, seroprevalence data require less frequent sampling intervals than infection prevalence data and can reflect the cumulative exposure history of fish. We simulation tested the usefulness of seroprevalence data in an age-structured fish stock assessment model using viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus (VHSV) in Pacific herring ( Clupea pallasii ) as a case study. We developed a novel epidemiological model to simulate population dynamics and seroprevalence data and fitted to these data in an integrated catch-at-age model with equations that estimate age- and time-varying mortality from disease. We found that simulated seroprevalence data can provide accurate estimates of infection history and disease-associated mortality. Importantly, even models that misspecified nonstationary processes in background or disease-associated mortality, but included seroprevalence data, accurately estimated annual infection and population abundance.

Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences↗