Geology topics

Jana Lantry

Publications and source records attributed to Jana Lantry.

16 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

A decision analytic approach to hierarchical decisions for double-crested cormorant conflict resolution

Double-crested cormorants ( Nannopterum auritum ) are piscivorous, migratory waterbirds that often conflict with fisheries interests in North America, stemming from depredation effects on fish populations. A new permitting process in the United States allows natural resource agencies to request permits for lethal take of cormorants in special instances like depredation of managed fish stocks. This rule does not include guidance for when cormorant take might be actionable. We developed a hierarchical structured decision making (SDM) framework for evaluating whether, when, and how much cormorant take might be necessary. A broad-scale, or “umbrella,” SDM framework established the overarching problem, objectives that likely are relevant for permitting decisions (i.e., minimizing loss of ability to harvest fish and sustaining cormorant presence on the landscape), and methods for evaluating the extent of management that might be necessary. A local-scale SDM process can then be applied for individual systems to determine the need for and magnitude of a permit request. We provide an example of such a local-scale SDM process for Brevoort Lake, Michigan, United States, where walleye ( Sander vitreus ) are sustained through stocking. We found that decisions for cormorant permitting on Brevoort Lake were influenced by uncertainties about the level of cormorant feeding on walleye, per capita level of daily cormorant consumption, number of days the cormorants spent feeding on the lake, and number of walleye stocked in the lake. This case study highlights the importance of uncertainty and risk in decisions for cormorant management, both of which can be accounted for more fully within the SDM framework.

Environment Systems and Decisions↗

USGS2026

Egg thiamine concentrations reflect dietary differences between four hatchery strains, including two morphotypes, of Lake Trout in Lake Ontario

Objective Test whether dietary differences among hatchery strains of Lake Trout Salvelinus namaycush were associated with variation in egg thiamine concentrations and assess the potential for using strain-specific traits to mitigate thiamine deficiency complex (TDC) in Lake Ontario restoration efforts. Methods Stomach content analysis and stable isotope mixing models were used to compare diets among four hatchery strains of Lake Trout, representing lean and humper morphotypes. Egg thiamine concentrations were measured to test whether dietary differences correlated with susceptibility to TDC. Results Significant differences in diet and egg thiamine concentrations were observed among Lake Trout strains. A humper-like morphotype strain exhibited elevated thiamine levels, which were associated with reduced consumption of prey known to degrade thiamine levels when consumed, Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus and Rainbow Smelt Osmerus mordax , and increased reliance on Round Goby Neogobius melanostomus or sculpin species (Slimy Sculpin Cottus cognatus and Deepwater Sculpin Myoxocephalus thompsonii ). These findings support the link between the consumption of Alewife and Rainbow Smelt and thiamine deficiency. Conclusions Our findings support a link between strain-specific dietary preferences and susceptibility to TDC in Lake Trout. Preferential stocking of strains less prone to TDC, such as the strain derived from a humper morph from Lake Superior, could enhance restoration success in Lake Ontario. This strategy may be especially effective given the continued dominance of Alewife in the lake's prey base and the current management priorities supporting fisheries for Pacific salmon Oncorhynchus spp.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗

USGS2023

Lake Ontario’s nearshore zooplankton: Community composition changes and comparisons to the offshore

In large lake systems the nearshore habitat is an intermediate zone between the shoreline and offshore, is an important nursery for larval fish, and is highlighted as an area in need of research in the Laurentian Great Lakes. In this study, we used two long-term monitoring programs to characterize the nearshore zooplankton community composition using seasonal data (May – October) and to compare the nearshore and offshore zooplankton community composition changes over time (1998 – 2019) to determine if the changes were synchronized. In the nearshore, we found the highest zooplankton biomass during the late summer/early fall (August 27th – Oct 6th), compared to mid-summer (July 1st – Aug 26th) and late spring (May 20th – June 30th). In the summer, the nearshore zooplankton community was dominated by cladocerans while copepods dominated the offshore community. From 1998 to 2019, both nearshore and offshore copepods shifted from a cyclopoid to a calanoid-dominated state, but the details of this change were different. For example, taxon-specific analysis revealed that despite reduced cyclopoids in both habitats, Mesocyclops edax increased in the nearshore. Additionally, taxon-specific analysis suggested the changes occurred an average of three years earlier in the nearshore. Using Analysis of Similarity, the nearshore and offshore summer zooplankton community compositions became increasingly distinct over time. Results from this study highlight the uniqueness of the nearshore in large lake systems, the importance of seasonal and long-term monitoring, and the potential of the nearshore as an early indicator of offshore changes.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2021

Comparisons among three diet analyses demonstrate multiple patterns in the estimated adult diet of a freshwater piscivore, Salvelinus namaycush

Understanding trophic interactions is critical for successful resource management. However, studying diet patterns (e.g., spatial and seasonal changes) can require extensive effort. Using individual analyses to interpret patterns may be further complicated by assumptions and limitations of the analytical approach. We investigated and compared predicted adult lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) diet composition and patterns using stomach content analysis (SCA), fatty acid analysis (FAS), and stable isotope analysis (SIA) individually and simultaneously. The three analyses were conducted for fall-captured fish in Lake Ontario and provided different diet composition estimates; SCA suggested alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus) was dominant by frequency and mass, while FAA and SIA suggested rainbow smelt (Osmerus mordax) contributed the most based on similarity among fatty acid signatures and two-stable isotope (carbon and nitrogen) mixing models, respectively. We hypothesize the disagreement among diet estimates is a result of a seasonal shift in diet variably expressed due to differing extent of time reflected by the diet metric: hours to days for SCA, weeks to months for FAA and several months for SIA. Despite variability in diet composition estimates among methods, similar patterns in lake trout diet were observed among the three diet analyses; the contribution of alewife in lake trout diet was greater for larger individuals and for males compared to females, particularly in the east and northeast regions of the lake where alewife density was relatively low. Thus, the complementary results from the three analyses suggest that length, location, sex, and season all influence lake trout diet. Individually, analyses often failed to identify these patterns in lake trout diet with significance, and some of the patterns have not been observed in previous studies of lake trout diet in Lake Ontario. The thorough description of lake trout diet obtained from a single sampling season demonstrates how simultaneous use of multiple diet analyses may allow investigation of spatial and seasonal diet composition and with reduced sampling effort.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2021

2020 Status of the Lake Ontario lower trophic levels

Significant Findings for Year 2020: Note that due to covid-19 restrictions, offshore sampling was limited in 2020. 1) May – Oct total phosphorus (TP) in 2020 was 10.6 µg/L (offshore) and 7.7 µg/L (nearshore), higher than the long-term (1995-2019) average in the offshore (6.2 µg/L) and close to average in the nearshore (7.8 µg/L); mean TP values for the past decade (2010-2019) were 6.0 µg/L and 7.9 µg/L in the offshore and nearshore, respectively. In 2020, TP concentrations were significantly higher (p=0.03) in the offshore compared to the nearshore. Note that offshore duplicate samples had high relative percent difference (average 54%. 6-117%) making inferences for the offshore in 2020 uncertain. 2) May – Oct epilimnetic chlorophyll-a was similar at nearshore (1.9 µg/L) and offshore (2.1 µg/L) sites. These values were slightly higher than the average for 1995 – 2019 (1.7 µg/L, offshore; 1.5 µg/L, nearshore) and higher than for the last decade (1.4 µg/L, both offshore and nearshore). 3) May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 3.5 m to 10.4 m (11 ft to 34 ft) at individual sites and was not significantly different between nearshore (6.3 m; 20.7 ft) and offshore (6.5 m; 21.3 ft) locations. Long-term (1995-2019) average was 7.2 m in the offshore and 6.4 m in the nearshore; means for the last decade were 7.8 m in the offshore and 6.2 m in the nearshore. 4) Despite higher TP values in 2020 than in recent years, TP, chlorophyll-a and Secchi depth are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in the offshore of Lake Ontario. 5) Nearshore summer zooplankton biomass was 10.5 µg/L, near the all-time low (9.4 µg/L, 2017) since monitoring began in 1995. Offshore epilimnetic summer zooplankton biomass was 11.7 µg/L. These values are similar to biomass in the last decade (2010-2019). 6) Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 3.0 µg/L in the nearshore and represented 25% of the zooplankton community at that time; Cercopagis was absent from the July offshore epilimnetic samples in 2020 but was present in whole water column samples taken in August by other agencies. Epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes peaked in late-September in both the nearshore (1.0 µg/L) and offshore (1.8 µg/L) and represented 10% and 18% of the zooplankton community at those times, respectively. 7) Summer nearshore and offshore epilimnetic zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2020. The declines were due mainly to reductions in cyclopoid copepods in both habitats.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2021

Angler-caught salmonid diets illustrate Lake Ontario Alewife population and predator-prey dynamics

Lake Ontario fisheries decision makers use information about the status and trajectory of prey fish populations, such as alewife, for salmonid sport fish management. In 2020, the April bottom trawl survey, typically used to assess alewife, was canceled the day after it began due to Coronavirus health concerns. This prompted NYSDEC and USGS science teams to initiate a diet study using angler-collected samples to provide information on the alewife population in 2020. Over 800 salmonid diets were collected from across Lake Ontario southern shore from May through September. Past diet studies illustrated alewife size distribution in piscivore diets overlapped April trawl survey-based distributions (proportion overlap = 0.51- 0.81, n = 5). In 2020 few age-1 sized alewife (40 - 140 mm) were observed in salmonid diets, suggesting that 2019 alewife reproduction was below average. Given that alewife reproductive success from 2017 and 2018 were also below average, the 2021 Lake Ontario adult alewife population will likely be at a record low for the 43-year time series. For all years and piscivore species, adult-sized Alewife ( total length > 140 mm) were the predominate size consumed by piscivores greater than 400 mm (~ 16 inches). Sizes of alewife in the diet were positively related to piscivore size. Diet composition, by dry weight, indicated alewife remain the dominant prey supporting salmonids and diets were generally similar to trawl-based estimates of prey fish community composition. The most notable deviation from this pattern included round goby, which comprised substantial portions of brown trout and lake trout diets in 2013 and 2020. These results inform decision making related to Lake Ontario salmonid stocking and predator prey dynamics and highlight the utility of angler-caught piscivore diets for indicating alewife population status.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2020

2019 Status of the Lake Ontario Lower Trophic Levels

Spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2019 was 3.2 µg/L (offshore) and 4.7 µg/L (nearshore), both all-time lows; however, there is no significant time trend in our data series (1995-2019 for nearshore; 2002-2019 for offshore). Apr/May – Oct mean TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range, 3.7 – 6.5 µg/L). TP and SRP concentrations were not significantly different between nearshore and offshore habitats. Chlorophyll- a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a declined significantly 1995 – 2019. Nearshore chlorophyll- a increased 1995 – 2004 and then stabilized 2005 – 2019. In 2019, epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 1.3 and 2.9 μg/L across sites, and Apr/May – Oct concentrations were not significantly different between nearshore and offshore sites. Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 1995 – 2019 from ~6 m to ~8 m. In the nearshore Secchi depth increased 1995 – 2004 but has remained around 6 m since 1999. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 3.8 m to 9.1 m (12 ft to 30 ft) at individual sites and was significantly higher offshore (7.6 m; 25 ft) than nearshore (5.7 m; 19 ft). In 2019, nearshore summer zooplankton biomass increased to 16.7 mg/m 3 after an all-time low (10.3 mg/m 3 ) in 2017. Offshore biomass (12.0 mg/m 3 ) was near the all-time low (8.1 mg/m 3 , 2006). Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density and biomass were not different between nearshore and offshore sites. However, zooplankton average size was significantly higher in the offshore (0.72 mm) than the nearshore (0.61 mm). Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 2.4 mg/m 3 in the nearshore and 1.4 mg/m 3 in the offshore. Peak (September) epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes was 2.0 mg/m 3 in the nearshore and 2.9 mg/m 3 in the offshore. Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2004 and then remained stable 2005 – 2019. The decline was due mainly to reductions in cyclopoids copepods. Summer epilimnetic daytime offshore zooplankton density decreased significantly 1995 – 2004, but biomass did not. Density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2019. Density was 3885/m 3 in 2019, about one-fourth the level observed the previous year. Offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass in 2019 was 12 mg/m 3 —well below the mean from 2005 – 2018 (20 mg/m 3 ). Most offshore zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and early-October, and in the hypolimnion in September. Limnocalanus dominated the metalimnion in July while daphnids comprised most of the biomass in October. In September, Limnocalanus dominated the hypolimnion.

New York, Ontario↗

USGS2019

2018 Status of the Lake Ontario lower trophic levels

Significant Findings for Year 2018: 1) Offshore spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2018 was 7.0 µg/L; values have remained stable since 2001. Offshore soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) remained low (1.3 µg/L) in 2018; Apr/May – Oct mean values have been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (range, 0.4 – 3.3 µg/L). Apr/May – Oct mean TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range, 3.9 – 7.8 µg/L). TP and SRP concentrations were not significantly different between nearshore and offshore habitats. 2) Chlorophyll-a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a was stable 2000 – 2018. Nearshore chlorophyll-a increased 1995 - 2004 and then stabilized 2005 – 2018; values were below the long-term mean in 2018. In 2018, epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 0.9 and 1.8 μg/L across sites, and offshore and nearshore Apr/May – Oct concentrations were not significantly different. Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 2000 – 2018 and in the nearshore 1995 – 2004. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 4.7 m to 13.5 m (15 ft to 44 ft) at individual sites and was not significantly different between offshore (8.6 m; 28 ft) and nearshore (6.3 m; 21 ft) locations. 3) In 2018, nearshore summer zooplankton biomass increased slightly to 10.7 mg/m3 after an all-time low (10.3 mg/m 3 ) in 2017. Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density was significantly higher in the offshore than the nearshore, but zooplankton size and biomass were not different. Cyclopoid copepods were primarily responsible for the higher density in the offshore. 4) Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 1.3 mg/m 3 in the nearshore and 1.9 mg/m 3 in the offshore. Peak (September-October) epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes was 0.4 mg/m 3 in the nearshore and 0.6 mg/m3 in the offshore. Bythotrephes biomass has increased significantly in the nearshore, 1995 – 2018. 5) Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2004 and then remained stable 2005 – 2018. The decline was due mainly to reductions in cyclopoids copepods. 6) Summer epilimnetic daytime offshore zooplankton density and biomass decreased significantly 2000 – 2018, but density increased marginally since 2005. Density was 16000/m 3 in 2018, three times the levels seen 2015 – 2017. Offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass in 2018 was 11 mg/m 3 — well below the mean from 2005 – 2017 (20 mg/m 3 ). 7) Most offshore zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and early-September, and in the hypolimnion in late-September and October. Cyclopoids dominated the metalimnion in July while daphnids and cyclopoids comprised most of the biomass in September. Daphnids dominated the October hypolimnion.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2019

2017 Status of the Lake Ontario Lower Trophic Levels

Significant Findings for Year 2017: 1) Offshore spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2017 was 4.4 µg/L; values remained stable since 2001. Offshore soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) remained low (1.1 µg/L) in 2017; Apr/May – Oct mean values have been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (range, 0.4 – 3.3 µg/L). Apr/May – Oct mean TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range, 3.7 – 9.0 µg/L). TP and SRP concentrations were significantly higher in nearshore compared to offshore habitats (7.9 µg/L vs 5.3 µg/L, TP; 1.7 µg/L vs 1.0 µg/L, SRP). 2) Chlorophyll-a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a was stable 2000 – 2017. Nearshore chlorophyll-a increased 1995 - 2004 but then declined 2005 – 2015; values were above the long-term mean for 2016 and 2017. In 2017, epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 1.2 and 2.6 μg/L across sites, and offshore and nearshore Apr/May – Oct concentrations were not significantly different. Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 2005 – 2017 and in the nearshore 1995 – 2004. There was no trend in either habitat 1995 – 2017. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 4.4 m to 12.5 m at individual sites and was not significantly different between offshore (8.9 m) and nearshore (5.7 m) locations. 3) In 2017, nearshore summer zooplankton biomass was at an all-time low (10.3 mg/m3). Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density was not different between the offshore and the nearshore, but zooplankton size and biomass were significantly higher in the offshore. (0.7 mm vs 0.52 mm and 14.2 mg/m3 vs 7.7 mg/m3). Daphnid, calanoid copepod, and cyclopoid biomass were all higher in the offshore. 4) Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 2.5 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 1.6 mg/m3 in the offshore. Peak (September/October) epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes was 0.9 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 0.5 mg/m3 in the offshore. Bythotrephes biomass has increased significantly in the nearshore, 1995 – 2017. 5) Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2004 and then remained stable 2005 – 2017. The decline was due mainly to reductions cyclopoids. 6) Summer epilimnetic offshore zooplankton density and biomass increased significantly 2005 – 2017, due mainly to increases in cyclopoids and daphnids. In 2017, offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass was 14 mg/m3—well below the mean from 2005 – 2016 (21 mg/m3). 7) Most offshore zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and September, and in the hypolimnion in October. Limnocalanus and cyclopoids dominated the metalimnion in July while daphnids and cyclopoids comprised most of the biomass in September. Daphnids dominated the October hypolimnion. Whole water column samples show a declining zooplankton biomass 2015 – 2017. Bythotrephes biomass in whole water column tows is the highest it has been, 2010 – 2017.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2017

Feeding ecology and niche overlap of Lake Ontario offshore forage fish assessed with stable isotopes

The forage fish communities of the Laurentian Great Lakes continue to experience changes that have altered ecosystem structure, yet little is known about how they partition resources. Seasonal, spatial and body size variation in δ13C and δ15N was used to assess isotopic niche overlap and resource and habitat partitioning among the five common offshore Lake Ontario forage fish species (n = 2037) [Alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus), Rainbow Smelt (Osmerus mordax), Round Goby (Neogobius melanostomus), and Deepwater (Myoxocephalus thompsonii) and Slimy (Cottus cognatus) Sculpin]. Round Goby had the largest isotopic niche (6.1‰2, standard ellipse area (SEAC)), followed by Alewife (3.4‰2) while Rainbow Smelt, Slimy Sculpin and Deepwater Sculpin had the smallest and similar niche size (1.7-1.8‰2), with only the Sculpin species showing significant isotopic niche overlap (>63%). Stable isotopes in Alewife, Round Goby and Rainbow Smelt varied with location, season and size, but did not in the Sculpin spp. Lake Ontario forage fish species have partitioned food and habitat resources, and non-native Alewife and Round Goby have the largest isotopic niche, suggestive of a boarder ecological niche, and may contribute to their current high abundance.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2017

2016 status of the Lake Ontario Lower Trophic levels

Significant Findings for Year 2016: 1) Offshore spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2016 was 6.2 μg/L, higher than 2014 and 2015 (4.0 and 4.2 μg/L); there was no significant decline 2001 - 2016. Offshore soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) was very low in 2016; Apr/May – Oct mean values were <1 μg/L. SRP has been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (range, 0.4 – 3.3 μg/L). Apr/May – Oct mean TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range 5.2 – 9.9 μg/L). TP and SRP concentrations were significantly higher in nearshore compared to offshore habitats (7.6 μg/L vs 6.0 μg/L, TP; 1.4 μg/L vs 0.8 μg/L, SRP). 2) Chlorophyll-a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a declined significantly 2000 - 2016. Nearshore chlorophyll-a increased 1995 - 2004 but then declined 2005 - 2016. Epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 1.4 and 2.5 μg/L across sites, and offshore and nearshore Apr/May – Oct concentrations were the same (1.9 μg/L). Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 2000 - 2016 and showed no trend in the nearshore, 1995 – 2016. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 5.0 m to 13.0 m at individual sites and was significantly higher in the offshore (10.0 m) than nearshore (6.5 m). 3) In 2016, Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density and biomass were not different between the offshore and the nearshore, but calanoid copepod and Limnocalanus biomass were higher in the offshore (4.7 mg/m3 vs 2.6 mg/m3 and 0.7 mg/m3 vs 0.1 mg/m3), and bosminid biomass was higher in the nearshore (1.1 mg/m3 vs 0.3 mg/m3). Zooplankton size was significantly higher in the offshore than the nearshore (0.66 mm vs 0.49 mm). 4) Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 1.0 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 1.4 mg/m3 in the offshore. Peak (October) epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes was 1.8 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 0.6 mg/m3 in the offshore. Bythotrephes biomass has increased significantly in the nearshore, 1995 – 2016. Bythotrephes was more abundant in 2016 than in the previous two years and the zooplankton community responded accordingly with a decrease in bosminds and cyclopoids. 5) Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2004 and then remained stable 2005 – 2016. The decline was due to reductions in bosminids and cyclopoids. 6) Summer epilimnetic offshore zooplankton density and biomass increased significantly 2005 – 2016. In 2016, offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass was 22 mg/m3--less than half that observed in 2015--but still slightly higher than the mean from 2005 – 2015 (21 mg/m3). 7) Most offshore zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and September, and in the hypolimnion in October. Limnocalanus dominated the metalimnion in July while other calanoids and daphnids comprised most of the biomass in September. Limnocalanus and other calanoids dominated the October hypolimnion. Whole water column samples taken show a stable zooplankton biomass but changing community composition since 2010. Cyclopoids increased 2013 – 2015 and declined in 2016, while the calanoid pattern was the opposite. Daphnids declined 2014 – 2015 but rebounded in 2016.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2016

2015 status of the Lake Ontario lower trophic levels

Offshore spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2015 was 4.2 μ g/L, the same as in 2014; this is lower than 2001 - 2013, but there is no significant time trend 2001 - 2015. Offshore soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) was very low in 2015; Apr/May - Oct mean values were <1 μ g/L at most sites. SRP has been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (range, 0.4 – 3.3 μ g/L). TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range 4.2 - 8.1 μ g/L), and TP and SRP concentrations were significantly higher in the nearshore as compared to the offshore (6.8 μ g/L vs 4.8 μ g/L, TP; 1.1 μ g/L vs 0.7 μ g/L, SRP). Chlorophyll- a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll- a declined significantly 2000 - 2015. Nearshore chlorophyll- a increased 1995 - 2004 but then declined 2005 - 2015. Epilimnetic chlorophyll- a averaged between 0.9 and 1.9 1 μg/L across sites, and offshore concentrations (1.4 1 μg/L) were significantly higher than nearshore (1.1 μg/L). Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 2000 -2015 and showed no trend in the nearshore, 1995 - 2015. Apr/May - Oct Secchi depth ranged from 5.0 m to 13.0 m at individual sites and was higher in the offshore (9.5 m) than nearshore (6.2 m). In 2015, Apr/May - Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density, size, and biomass were not different between the offshore and the nearshore, but cyclopoid biomass was higher in the offshore (8.3 mg/m 3 vs 2.0 mg/m 3 ) and Bythotrephes biomass was higher in the nearshore (0.17 mg/m 3 vs 0.04 mg/m 3 ). Zooplankton density and biomass peaked in September, an atypical pattern. This coincided with peaks in calanoid copepod, daphnid, and Holopedium Holopedium biomass in the nearshore has increased significantly since 1995. The predatory cladoceran Cercopagis continued to be abundant in summer in the nearshore (3.4 μ g/L) but not in the offshore (0.8 μ g/L). Bythotrephes biomass was very low (<0.3 μ g/L) in both nearshore and offshore habitats. Combined biomass of these predatory cladocerans in the offshore was the lowest recorded since 2001. Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 - 2004 and then increased significantly 2005 – 2015. The decline was due to reductions in bosminids and cyclopoids and the increase was due mostly to a rebound in bosminids. Summer offshore zooplankton density and biomass increased significantly 2005 - 2015. The increase was due to an increase in bosminids and cyclopoids. In 2015, offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass was 52 mg/m 3 (2005 - 2014 mean=18 mg/m 3 ). Most zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and in the hypolimnion in September. Cyclopoids and Limnocalanus dominated the metalimnion and Limnocalanus dominated the hypolimnion. Whole water column samples taken show a stable zooplankton biomass but changing community composition since 2010. Cyclopoids increased 2013 - 2015 and daphnids declined 2014 - 2015.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2015

Sea lamprey mark type, marking rate, and parasite-host relationships for lake trout and other species in Lake Ontario

We examined how attack frequency by sea lampreys on fishes in Lake Ontario varied in response to sea lamprey abundance and preferred host abundance (lake trout > 433 mm). For this analysis we used two gill net assessment surveys, one angler creel survey, three salmonid spawning run datasets, one adult sea lamprey assessment, and a bottom trawl assessment of dead lake trout. The frequency of fresh sea lamprey marks observed on lake trout from assessment surveys was strongly related to the frequency of sea lamprey attacks observed on salmon and trout from the creel survey and spawning migrations. Attack frequencies on all salmonids examined were related to the ratio between the abundances of adult sea lampreys and lake trout. Reanalysis of the susceptibility to sea lamprey attack for lake trout strains stocked into Lake Ontario reaffirmed that Lake Superior strain lake trout were among the most and Seneca Lake strain among the least susceptible and that Lewis Lake strain lake trout were even more susceptible than the Superior strain. Seasonal attack frequencies indicated that as the number of observed sea lamprey attacks decreased during June–September, the ratio of healing to fresh marks also decreased. Simulation of the ratios of healing to fresh marks indicated that increased lethality of attacks by growing sea lampreys contributed to the decline in the ratios and supported laboratory studies about wound healing duration.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2015

Sea lamprey mark type, wounding rate, and parasite-host preference and abundance relationships for lake trout and other species in Lake Ontario

We examined how the frequency of attacks by Sea Lamprey on fishes in Lake Ontario varied in response to Sea Lamprey abundance and preferred host abundance (Lake Trout >432mm). For this analysis we assembled seven data sets. Two fishery independent surveys for Lake Trout: US Geological Survey (USGS)/New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC) south shore September gillnet assessment of adult Lake Trout (USGS/NYSDEC SGNS)( Lantry and Lantry 2011); and Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources (OMNR) monthly June-November community index gillnetting in northeastern Lake Ontario (OMNR CIS) (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources 2011). One angler survey: NYSDEC April-September Fishing Boat Survey data collected along the south shore for Chinook and Coho salmon, and Rainbow and Brown trout (NYSDEC FBS) ( Lantry and Eckert 2012). Two spawning run datasets: OMNR north shore data including spring spawning runs of Rainbow Trout in the Ganaraska River and electroshocking data for fall spawning runs of Chinook and Coho salmon in the Credit River (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources 2011); and NYSDEC data from the Salmon River on the southeastern shore including October spawning runs of Chinook and Coho salmon. One Sea Lamprey spawning survey: Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO)/US Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) data for spawning-phase Sea Lamprey abundance collected from known spawning streams distributed throughout the Lake Ontario drainage basin (Mullet et al. 2003). One assessment of the abundance of dead Lake Trout: USGS/NYSDEC October-November bottom trawl collection of Lake Trout carcasses (Schneider et al. 1996). Annual patterns in A1, A2 and A3 wound stages did not track well in plots of wounding rates for the USGS/NYSDEC SGNS and correlations between A1 and later stages did not exist. A1 rates were not correlated to either Lake Trout abundance or Sea Lamprey numbers when considered alone, but were strongly correlated to the ratio between Sea Lamprey numbers and Lake Trout abundance (parasite/host ratio). While A2 and A3 rates were correlated to each other, neither was consistently correlated to any of the Lake Trout abundance or Sea Lamprey abundance parameters and sums of A1 to A3 rates did not improve correlations over those for A1 rates considered alone. Our analysis of the strain-specific susceptibility of Lake Trout to attack by Sea Lampreys extended the previous Schneider et al. (1996) analysis of three strains (SUP, CWL, and SEN) and 11 years of data 1982-1992 to an analysis of seven strains (SUP, CWL, SEN, JEN, LEW, ONT, and OXS) and two groups of unmarked fish (1983-1995 and 1996-2010) and included 18 more years of data through 2010. The susceptibility to attack for CWLs and SENs were below SUPs and nearly identical to the earlier values, new values for LEWs were greater than SUPS and values of unmarked Lake Trout prior to 1996 were unexpectedly greater than SUPs. By reexamining the Schneider et al. (1996) regression relationship between A1 wounding on Lake Trout and the incidence of Lake Trout carcasses recovered in fall bottom trawls (including three additional years of data), and substituting A1 wounding rate for total numbers of A1s observed which was used as the independent variable in the previous version, we were able to increase the variance explained by the relationship from an r2 of 0.60 to 0.88. Healing rate of wounds was explored by examining the monthly incidence of A1 and A2 wounds on Lake Trout from the OMNR CIS. Because wounding intensity varied between years and monthly sample size was frequently low, the ratio of A2 to A1s wounds was used to index how wounds accumulated or disappeared from the Lake Trout populations across seasons. The A2/A1 ratio decreased between June/July and October. A simple wounding model for Lake Trout was constructed to simulate the pattern of ratios by inflicting wounds on the population each month according to a predetermined distribution and including parameters for lethality (fixed distribution) and healing rate of A1 and A2 wounds (discretely varied between simulations). The best simulated representation (ratio size and monthly pattern) of the OMNR CIS data came from an A1 healing rate of 0.5 months and an A2 rate of 2 months. To examine whether alternate hosts provided reliable data to index damage caused by Sea Lampreys we compared September values of abundance and A1 wounding rates on Lake Trout, Sea Lamprey abundance, and the parasite/host ratio with NYSDEC Creel data for observations of Sea lampreys attached to sport-caught salmonids and to wounding observations for salmonids sampled in OMNR and NYSDEC spawning run assessments. Attachment frequency on NYSDEC Creel Chinook Salmon, Brown Trout, and Rainbow Trout were strongly correlated to all measures of Lake Trout abundance and wounding and to the parasite/host ratio. Chinook Salmon and Coho Salmon wounding observations for the NYSDEC Salmon River spawning run assessments and Rainbow Trout from the OMNR Ganaraska River spawning run assessment were strongly correlated to wounding measures for nearly all salmonids and to the parasite/host ratio.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2015

2014 status of the Lake Ontario lower trophic levels

Soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) concentrations have been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (0.4 – 3.3 μg/L). SRP concentrations were low in 2014; Apr/May – Oct mean values were <1 μg/L at most sites. Spring TP concentrations at individual sites exceeded 10 μg/L on occasion, but spring means were below the 10 μg/L target set by the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement of 1978 for offshore waters of Lake Ontario. TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations; Apr/May – Oct mean values from individual sites ranged from 4.6 – 9.1 μg/L. Spring TP has declined significantly in the longer data series (since 1981), but not since 1995 indicating stable nutrient loading into Lake Ontario for nearly two decades. It averaged 7.8 μg/L in the nearshore and 5.6 μg/L in the offshore in 2014. Chlorophyll-a and secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a declined significantly in both the short- (2000-2014) and long-term (1981-2014) time series at a rate of 4-6% per year. Nearshore chlorophyll-a increased after 2003 but then declined again after 2009. Epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 0.6 and 1.6 μg/L across sites with no difference between nearshore and offshore habitats. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 4.0 m to 10.8 m at individual sites and was higher in the offshore (average 9.1 m) than nearshore (5.9 m). In 2014, Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density, size, and biomass were not different between the offshore and the nearshore, and there were no differences in epilimnetic biomass between offshore and nearshore areas for any of the zooplankton groups. Zooplankton density and biomass peaked in September, an atypical pattern. This coincided with peaks in calanoid copepod, daphnid, and Holopedium biomass. Holopedium biomass in the nearshore increased significantly since 1995. The predatory cladoceran Cercopagis continued to be abundant in the summer, peaking at ~10 mg/m3in the offshore. Bythotrephes biomass was at its lowest level since 2005 in both offshore and nearshore habitats. Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass have declined significantly since 1995 at rates of 9-10% per year but have remained stable since 2005. However, bosminids and daphnids increased in 2013 and 2014. Summer offshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly in the long-term (since 1981), but remained at a lower stable level 2000 – 2014. A positive change point in 2013 is due to increases in bosminids, cyclopoid copepods, and daphnids. The observed decline in zooplankton biomass may be due in part to redistribution of zooplankton throughout the water column. Most of the zooplankton biomass was in the metalimnion and hypolimnion during the stratified period in 2014. By October, the bulk of the biomass was in the epilimnion.

Lake Ontario↗

USGS2014

Offshore pelagic fish community

Lake Ontario’s offshore zone, as defined by Stewart et al. (2013), comprises all waters of the lake where the bottom depth is greater than 15 m excluding those in embayments. When the lake is thermally stratified during June-October, the offshore pelagic zone includes the upper-warm and middle-cool layers of water which serve as important habitat for Alewife and other prey fishes, and for predators like salmon and trout. Early changes in the fish community of the offshore pelagic zone are well documented elsewhere (e.g., Smith 1972; Christie 1973) as are more recent changes (e.g., Owens et al. 2003; Mills et al. 2003). Currently the offshore fish community consists of a mix of native and non-native species. Native species are those that were present prior to European colonization and for the offshore pelagic zone, include predators like Atlantic Salmon and prey fish like Cisco, Emerald Shiner, and Threespine Stickleback. Non-native species are those that were introduced unintentionally like Alewife and Rainbow Smelt, or that were introduced intentionally like Chinook Salmon, Coho Salmon, Rainbow Trout, and Brown Trout. Non-native salmon and trout were introduced originally by fisheries managers to provide fishing opportunities and later to reduce an overabundance of Alewife. Alewife is the most abundant prey fish in the offshore pelagic zone and it dominates the diets of native and introduced predators (Brandt 1986; Lantry 2001). Alewife can have direct and indirect negative effects on other fishes through competition for food and/or predation on their larvae (Madenjian et al. 2008). Alewife also contain thiaminase, an enzyme that catalyzes the breakdown of thiamine, and fish that eat mainly Alewife can become thiamine deficient which impairs their reproduction (Honeyfield et al. 2005). Except for that of the Alewife, prey fish populations in the offshore pelagic zone are depressed, and not large enough to sustain the zone’s predators. Alewife remain necessary for a functional ecosystem that is required to sustain a highly-valued, trophy sport fishery (Stewart et al. 2013). Wild production of trout and salmon occurs in Lake Ontario tributaries, contributing to in-lake populations (Rand et al. 1993; Connerton et al. 2009; Connerton et al. 2014c). Stocking hatchery-reared fish (Fig. 1), however, remains an essential tool for managing Lake Ontario’s diverse trout and salmon fisheries and achieving the Offshore Pelagic Zone Goal (Stewart et al. 2013): Maintain the offshore pelagic fish community, that is characterized by a diversity of trout and salmon species including Chinook Salmon, Coho Salmon, Rainbow Trout, Brown Trout, and Atlantic Salmon, in balance with prey-fish populations and lower trophic levels. Here we review the fish-community objectives (FCOs) for Lake Ontario’s offshore pelagic zone (Stewart et al. 2013) and evaluate whether those objectives were met during this reporting period (2008-2013) by assessing the status of the objectives’ indicators. We also compare the status of indicators in this reporting period with those in the previous reporting period (2003-2007) (Connerton et al. 2014b). Specific objectives are in italics at the start of each major section and associated indicators of progress are given in Progress and Outlook subsections.

Lake Ontario↗