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James S. White

Publications and source records attributed to James S. White.

15 recordsLinked to original sources

Navigating uncertainty and competing objectives: Spring chinook salmon recovery in the upper Willamette river

Globally, anadromous fish populations are threatened with extinction due to multiple factors, including river impoundments that block migration, widespread alteration of physical habitat, temperature, and flow regimes, commercial and recreational harvest, changes in biological communities, and long-term climate trends. In this synthesis, we describe how physical and biological factors, policy and law, and public resource allocation affect management of spring-run Chinook Salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) in the Upper Willamette River (UWR), Oregon, USA. Efforts to restore salmon populations often involve trade-offs, for example, water management decisions must account for flood control, agricultural and municipal water use, and management of other species. UWR Chinook Salmon recovery efforts are also governed by multiple laws, policies, and action agencies that in some cases have incongruent objectives. Competing and conflicting objectives, combined with uncertainty regarding the outcomes of proposed management actions, create significant challenges for decision makers. Resource limitations, regulatory constraints, and incongruent objectives have created challenges for managers in the UWR, but opportunities exist for improved adaptive management and collaboration, which could build trust and engagement among stakeholders and ultimately support the successful implementation of decision tools. A suite of decision support tools that have been used in the Willamette River basin and elsewhere across the range of Pacific salmon have the potential to enhance decision processes. These tools can be effective when decision makers and stakeholders commit to long-term, collaborative utilization of the tools for decision making, and when available resources and regulatory environments are conducive to implementation and adaptive refinement of both the decision-support tools and management plans. The general biological and institutional principles discussed for UWR Chinook Salmon in this work apply more generally to populations of anadromous fishes across their range, especially to populations in highly regulated river systems.

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Quantifying Chinook Salmon habitat across flow regimes: High resolution modeling in Oregon’s Willamette River basin

The Santiam and McKenzie River basins of western Oregon provide critical habitat for federally listed Upper Willamette River Spring Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ). Streamflows in each basin are regulated in part by high-head multi-purpose dams; however, quantitative linkages between regulated streamflows and downstream habitat for juvenile and adult Chinook salmon remain limited. This study integrates high-resolution topo-bathymetric lidar, two-dimensional hydraulic models, and novel detailed sediment distribution models to evaluate habitat across a range of flows for over 400 river km. Results suggest that habitat quantity for two juvenile life stages (fry and parr) differs in response to streamflow; fry habitat appears to be relatively insensitive to streamflow, except in the downstream-most reaches of each river, while parr habitat generally increases from low to moderate flows, yet decreases at higher flows. Spawning habitat is largely inversely related to streamflow and is primarily limited by suitable substrate availability, likely reflecting sediment retention effects of upstream dams. Additionally, streamflow thresholds were identified where redd desiccation risk increases significantly with declining streamflow. These findings provide managers with spatially explicit tools to evaluate flow management tradeoffs during critical rearing and spawning periods and provide insights into habitat dynamics in large, regulated rivers. This work demonstrates how high-resolution modeling can support quantification of habitat at the landscape level.

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Beaver dams and their effects on urban streams in the Tualatin River Basin, northwestern Oregon

Introduction In response to growing interest in beaver-assisted restoration in the Tualatin River Basin of northwestern Oregon, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in partnership with Clean Water Services, collected data from 2016–17 and completed a series of studies to: (1) inventory known locations of beaver dams and activity in the Tualatin River Basin, (2) estimate the number of beaver dams in the Tualatin River Basin as of 2017 and the potential number of beaver dams that could be supported with riparian vegetation improvements, and (3) assess the effects of beaver dams and ponds on storm hydrology, hydraulics, and floodplain inundation, suspended-sediment transport and deposition, and water quality along two urban stream reaches (Fanno Creek at Greenway Park and Bronson Creek between Kaiser and Saltzman Roads). This fact sheet summarizes the results of these studies and implications for beaver-assisted restoration in the Tualatin River Basin.

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Stream network capacity to support beaver dams in the Tualatin River Basin, northwestern Oregon

Significant Findings Beaver dams can help streams connect to their floodplains. These floodplain connections can expand the range of available aquatic habitats and aid in the restoration of stream and floodplain function and processes. American beavers ( Castor canadensis ) occupy a wide variety of aquatic habitats; however, their ability to build dams, the agent of stream and floodplain change, is constrained in large part by three physical variables—local vegetation, topography, and hydrology. These three physical variables are combined in the Beaver Restoration Assessment Tool (BRAT), a geographic information system-based utility that uses a Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) to estimate the capacity of each reach within a stream network to support beaver dams. In this study, version 1.0 of BRAT was adapted and applied to the entire perennial stream network of Tualatin River Basin in northwestern Oregon. Beaver-dam locations in the Tualatin River Basin were compiled to (1) define the distribution of dams in the basin during 2013–16 and (2) provide necessary data for calibrating and validating BRAT predictions. BRAT was calibrated to the current known distribution of dams, as compiled in the inventory. The input FIS equations of the original BRAT model were adjusted to account for local topographic conditions; specifically, the low gradient of many streams in the basin, although subsequent updates to BRAT may obviate the need for these changes. Results from this modified BRAT model reasonably simulated the dam inventory. Results show that beavers can currently build the greatest density of dams, defined as number of dams per kilometer of stream, in the higher-gradient forested streams of the basin, whereas they can build the fewest number of dams per kilometer in urban streams along the lower-gradient valley floor. Estimated dam density was generally 5-15 dams per kilometer (km) for forested streams and 2-4 dams/km for urban streams. Improving riparian vegetation along urban streams may allow beavers to build on average four additional dams per kilometer compared to current conditions. Results from this study may help inform local stream and stormwater management by (1) identifying stream reaches with the most potential to support beaver dams, (2) determining the likely factors limiting potential for dam building, and (3) identifying potential areas where dam building may affect human infrastructure.

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Effects of beaver dams and ponds on hydrologic and hydraulic responses of storm flows in urban streams of the Tualatin River Basin, northwestern Oregon

Significant Findings American beaver ( Castor canadensis ) dams fundamentally alter stream hydraulics and hydrology by temporarily impounding water in stream channels. Water managers are interested in how this impoundment translates to changes in hydrograph dynamics, particularly regarding the magnitude and duration of high flows, the temporary storage of storm water, and the range and spatial distribution of water depths and velocities. High-resolution two-dimensional hydraulic models were developed to compare hydraulic responses to storm events in two 1-kilometer long, relatively small (less than 5-meter-wide channel), urban stream reaches in the Tualatin River Basin (northwestern Oregon) with and without beaver dams. Results from modeling unsteady storm events show that: (1) beaver dams generally attenuate (temporarily impound) more water during storm events than an undammed reach, (2) the timing and dynamics of this attenuation are complicated and thus do not always result in a reduction of peak flows, and (3) the influence of beaver dams on stream hydraulics diminishes as the magnitude of flow events increase. Local geomorphic conditions, specifically the presence of off-channel features, affect the extent to which dams alter hydrograph dynamics. Although the magnitudes of peak flows are not substantially affected by the beaver dams considered in this study, results show that beaver dams temporarily impound a considerable amount of water throughout the duration of storms, which slows water conveyance to downstream reaches. Steady-state streamflow simulations at several streamflow magnitudes were also used to assess how beaver dams affect stream depths, velocities, and inundated areas, which are important factors affecting aquatic habitats. Results show that beaver dams result in a more hydraulically diverse stream, with substantially more inundated area, lower velocities, and greater depths than corresponding undammed scenarios. However, these differences diminish as streamflows increase and the channels overflow their banks and become hydraulically connected to adjacent floodplains. Together, these results confirm that beaver dams can fundamentally change urban stream channel hydraulics, but the influence of these dams is bounded by local geomorphic controls and is diminished at large streamflows.

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Assessment of channel morphology, hydraulics, and bedload transport along the Siletz River, western Oregon

Significant Findings Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) and Pacific lamprey ( Entosphenus tridentatus ) are native, anadromous fish species in the Siletz River Basin, western Oregon, that face many threats to their survival in freshwater and the ocean. The Confederated Tribes of Siletz Indians of Oregon seek to mitigate freshwater threats to Chinook salmon and Pacific lamprey, where possible, with habitat conservation and restoration efforts. This study was conducted to assist the Confederated Tribes of Siletz Indians of Oregon in documenting and understanding the hydrogeomorphic processes shaping present-day habitat conditions and assessing future habitat implications for Chinook salmon and Pacific lamprey along the main-stem Siletz River. As such, this study focused on understanding geomorphic processes and patterns of channel change, including lateral and vertical adjustments in channel position and changes in bed-material sediment (sands, gravels, and cobbles that mantle the channel bed), which collectively determine overall patterns of channel morphology and fluvial habitats. Objective One was to evaluate lateral changes in channel position, vertical changes in bed elevation, and longitudinal patterns in bed-material particle size along the Siletz River using detailed channel maps developed from aerial photographs collected from 1939 to 2016, long-term records of stage and discharge collected by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) near the City of Siletz, and sediment particle size data. Objective Two was to assess hydraulic conditions using one- and two-dimensional hydraulic models and transport capacity of bed-material sediment using bedload transport models and sediment particle size data for a range of discharge conditions. Objective Three was to identify potential burrowing habitat for lamprey larvae (PBH) along the Siletz River network and provide insights in local factors influencing PBH along the main-stem Siletz River. The overall findings are synthesized to describe habitat implications for Chinook salmon and Pacific lamprey under present-day and future conditions. Results of Objective One, an evaluation of changes in channel position and bed elevations and longitudinal patterns in bed-material particle size along the Siletz River, include the following From 1939 to 2016, channel planform and the mapped area of gravel bars did not change considerably along the 97.2-kilometers (km) of Siletz River between Elk Creek and Millport Slough, except for in short sections generally less than 1 km long. This inherent lateral channel stability results from the resistant bedrock and terraces that bound most of the channel and limit lateral changes in channel position. Intermittent sections along the study reach where the active channel widened at channel bends displayed noticeable planform changes and increases in mapped bar area. From water year (WY; a 12-month period from October 1 through September 30 and named for the year in which it ends) 1906 to 2021, changes in the stage-discharge relation interpreted as rising and lowering channel bed levels were observed at the USGS streamgage 14305500 (Siletz River at Siletz, OR) in response to floods (such as high flows in February 1996 and January 2002 that exceeded 0.1 and 0.667 annual exceedance probabilities [AEP] events, respectively). However, the rating curve representing the stage-discharge relation did not change in response to high-magnitude floods between 2007 and 2021. Along the approximately 54-km of the Siletz River between Moonshine Park and the Bulls Bag area, surficial particle distributions varied considerably between sampling sites in response to changes in channel width and gradient, sediment inputs from tributaries, and basin geology. Despite this variability, median particle sizes tended to decrease in size in the downstream direction over the 54 km. Results of Objective Two, an evaluation of hydraulic and bedload transport conditions along the Siletz River, include the following The most substantial increases in maximum and mean water velocity and bedload sediment transport capacity occurred at events between the 0.995 and 0.50 AEPs. Events of these magnitudes occur approximately every 1–2 years. Smaller events (0.995 AEP) are generally contained by the banks of the main channel, whereas larger events (0.50 AEP) generally spill over the banks and inundate high-elevation bar and low-elevation floodplain surfaces. Multiple smaller floods within a WY that exceed the 0.995 and 0.50 AEPs (such as in WY 1996) can transport as much or more bed-material sediment than a single, higher magnitude event (such as the maximum event recorded in WY 2000 with an estimated AEP of around 0.002). Bedload transport capacity generally exceeds sediment supply (greater than 2 millimeters [mm]) for most of the study area from Wildcat Creek to the City of Siletz as evidenced by substantial in-channel bedrock. Despite overall conditions of limited sediment supply, transport capacity still varies considerably within and between years with discharge magnitude and spatially in relation to local hydraulics imposed by bedrock, channel morphology, and human infrastructure (such as bridges). Results of Objective Three, an analysis of PBH for lamprey larvae, include the following About 28 percent of the Siletz River network meets the mean annual suspended sediment loads and channel slope criteria for PBH. Along the main-stem Siletz River, in-channel bedrock outcrops and high transport capacity are expected to further constrain PBH. Together, these results suggest that most of the Siletz River between Wildcat Creek and the City of Siletz has had only modest vertical and lateral change between the 1930s and 2010s because of the bedrock in and along the main channel and the river’s relatively high transport capacity relative to bed-material sediment supply. However, localized sections of the Siletz River where the active channel widens, particularly at channel bends, exhibited some change in channel planform and the locations and area of gravel bars. In the future, moderate increases in autumn-winter discharge may not result in substantial changes in coarse gravel bars along the Siletz River but may result in selective transport of finer bed-material sediment (gravel, sands, and silts) that provide spawning habitats for Chinook salmon and Pacific lamprey and burrowing habitats for lamprey larvae. Assuming no substantial changes in bed-material sediment supply, increased bedload transport capacity may cause frequent entrainment of lamprey larvae that are burrowed in coarse sand deposits, suspension and downstream transport of salmon eggs incubating in gravels, and reductions in the areas of spawning gravels for Chinook salmon and Pacific lamprey. Exact implications of current and future discharge conditions for these species along the Siletz River depends on many factors, including sediment supply, local hydraulics, and the timing of flood events relative to fish life stages.

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High resolution mapping of submerged sediment size and suitable salmon spawning habitat using topo-bathymetric Lidar in the Santiam Basin, Oregon

The distribution of river-bed grain sizes plays a foundational role in river morphology and ecology. River-bed grain size is a key driver of channel form and process, and has first order effects on aquatic macroinvertebrate assemblages, fish nesting, and biogeochemical processes. Despite this importance, tools to spatially quantify grain-size distributions, particularly submerged grain-size distributions, are lacking. Efforts to address this knowledge gap include developing optical and sonographic tools, however, these approaches have limitations, especially in shallow rivers and over large spatial extents. This study quantifies submerged grain size at high resolution (1 m 2 ) across 260 km of geomorphically diverse river corridors in the Santiam River Basin, Oregon, by pairing bathymetric Lidar point clouds with georeferenced pebble counts. Results suggest that derivatives of Lidar point clouds are able to accurately estimate measured median grain size across seven of the eight river reaches investigated, including reaches above and below high-head dams. Spatial analysis of predicted grain-sizes in the context of Chinook salmon spawning habitat suggests that suitable size sediment patches in the upper, unregulated reaches the study basin is typically small and unorganized. In contrast, the larger rivers downstream of high-head dams typically have larger areas of suitable spawning gravels. This method may be useful for quantification of fish and macroinvertebrates habitats, surface grain-size metrics for sediment transport models, and monitoring of natural and anthropogenic changes in river systems.

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Evaluating the potential to quantify salmon habitat via UAS-based particle image velocimetry

Continuous, high-resolution data for characterizing freshwater habitat conditions can support successful management of endangered salmonids. Uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) make acquiring such fine-scale data along river channels more feasible, but workflows for quantifying reach-scale salmon habitats are lacking. We evaluated the potential for UAS-based mapping of hydraulic habitats using spectrally based depth retrieval and particle image velocimetry (PIV) by comparing these methods to a more well-established flow modeling approach. Our results indicated that estimates of water depth, depth-averaged velocity, and flow direction derived via remote sensing and modeling techniques were comparable and in good agreement with field measurements. Predictions of spring-run Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) juvenile rearing habitat produced from PIV and model output were similar, with small errors relative to direct field observations. Estimates of hydraulic heterogeneity based on kinetic energy gradients in the flow field were generally consistent between PIV and flow modeling, but errors relative to field measurements were larger. PIV results were sensitive to the velocity index ( α ) used to convert surface velocities to depth-averaged velocities. Sun glint precluded PIV analysis along the margins of some images and a large degree of overlap between frames was thus required to obtain continuous coverage of the reach. Similarly, shadows cast by riparian vegetation caused gaps in spectrally based bathymetric maps. Despite these limitations, our results suggest that for sites with sufficient water surface texture, UAS-based PIV can provide detailed hydraulic habitat information at the reach scale, with accuracies comparable to traditional field methods and multidimensional flow modeling.

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Expansion of smallmouth bass distribution and habitat overlap with juvenile Chinook salmon in the Willamette River, Oregon

Smallmouth bass populations have expanded far beyond their native range and these predatory fish present a pervasive threat to native aquatic species throughout North America. In the western United States, smallmouth bass are now present in river and reservoir habitats where Pacific salmon are found and are considered a potential threat to salmon recovery in many locations. We conducted a study to determine if smallmouth bass are expanding their range in the mainstem Willamette River, Oregon, and developed a model to assess habitat overlap between smallmouth bass and juvenile Chinook salmon. Sampling during 2011–2022 revealed that the distribution of smallmouth bass had expanded throughout that timeframe to encompass the entire mainstem Willamette River, including important rearing habitats for juvenile Chinook salmon. The model predicted that smallmouth bass and juvenile Chinook salmon habitat overlap was substantial, highlighting the need for additional research to evaluate for potential negative impacts to salmon recovery in the basin. The model was also used to evaluate the efficacy of using flow management to reduce interactions between these two species, but the scenarios we examined suggested that this was not a viable option. These results highlight the need for continued research to assess interactions between smallmouth bass and juvenile salmon, and other native species of concern, in the Willamette River Basin. The development of the model is useful for resource managers to understand interactions between these species to prioritize locations for sampling in the future.

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Assessment of habitat use by juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) in the Willamette River Basin, 2020–21

We conducted a field study during 2020–21 to describe habitat use patterns of juvenile Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) in the mainstem Willamette, McKenzie, and Santiam Rivers and to evaluate how habitat suitability criteria affected the predictive accuracy of a hydraulic habitat model. Two approaches were used to collect habitat use data: a stratified sampling design was used to ensure that a representative sample of available habitats was included in our sampling; and a targeted sampling design was used to collect additional data in habitat cells where juvenile Chinook salmon were observed. Habitat attributes and fish presence data were collected in habitat cells that were approximately 2 square meters during April, June, and July. A total of 632 cells were sampled during the study and included habitat located in the main channel (373 cells), side channels (228 cells), and in alcoves (31 cells). Juvenile Chinook salmon were observed in 42 percent of the cells located in the main channel, 38 percent of the cells located in side channels, and 7 percent of the cells located in alcoves. We used logistic regression to develop resource selection functions for April, June, and July, which produced probability-based predictions of habitat use for juvenile Chinook salmon based on water velocity and water depth. The resource selection functions revealed a habitat shift by juvenile Chinook salmon to locations with higher water velocities and greater water depths from April to July as juvenile Chinook salmon size increased. The resource selection functions that we developed are an important addition to habitat modeling in the Willamette River basin because they were developed from in-basin data, capture seasonal differences in habitat use, and facilitate probability-based estimates of habitat use for juvenile Chinook salmon. These advancements will improve habitat modeling efforts for juvenile Chinook salmon during spring and summer months within the Willamette River.

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Science to support conservation action in a large river system: The Willamette River, Oregon, USA

Management and conservation efforts that support the recovery and protection of large rivers are daunting, reflecting the complexity of the challenge and extent of effort (in terms of policy, economic investment, and spatial extent) needed to afford measurable change. These large systems have generally experienced intensive development and regulation, compromising their capacity to respond to disturbances such as climate change or wildfire. Functionally, large river and basin management require insights gained from social, ecological, geophysical, and hydrological sciences. This multi-disciplinary perspective can unveil the integrated relationship between a river network's biotic community and seasonally variable environmental conditions that are often influenced by human activities. Large rivers and their basins are constantly changing due to anthropogenic influences and as climate modifies patterns of temperature and precipitation. Because of these factors, the state of knowledge must advance to address changing conditions. The Willamette River, in western Oregon, USA, is a prime example of a basin that has experienced significant degradation and investment in rehabilitation in recent decades. Innovative science has facilitated development of fine-scale, spatially extensive datasets and models that can generate targeted conservation and rehabilitation actions that are prioritized across the entire river network. This prioritization allows investment decisions to be driven by site-specific conditions while simultaneously considering potentials for ecological improvement. Here, we review hydrologic, geomorphic, ecologic, and social conditions in the Willamette River basin through time—including pre-settlement, river development, and contemporary periods—and offer a future vision for consideration. Currently, detailed information about fish populations and habitat, hydrologic conditions, geomorphology, water quality, and land use can be leveraged to make informed decisions about protection, rehabilitation, and development. The time is ripe for strategic management and goal development for the entire Willamette River, and these efforts can be informed by comprehensive science realized through established institutions (e.g., public agencies, non-profit watershed groups, Tribes, and universities) focused on conservation and management. The approaches to science and social-network creation that were pioneered in the Willamette River basin offer insights into the development of comprehensive conservation-based planning that could be implemented in other large river systems globally.

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Assessment of habitat availability for juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and steelhead (O. mykiss) in the Willamette River, Oregon

The Willamette River, Oregon, is home to two salmonid species listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act, Upper WIllamette River spring Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) and Upper Willamette River winter steelhead ( O. mykiss ). Streamflow in the Willamette River is regulated by upstream dams, 13 of which are operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) as part of the Willamette Valley Project. In 2008, these dams were determined to have a deleterious effect on Endangered Species Act-listed salmonids, resulting in USACE taking actions to mitigate those effects. Mitigation actions included setting seasonal streamflow targets at various locations along the river to improve survival and migration of juvenile salmonids. Although these targets were established with the best available information at the time, recent data and models have advanced understanding of Willamette River bathymetric, hydraulic, and thermal conditions, allowing for a more robust analysis of the effect of streamflow on downstream habitat. This study integrates those recent advances to build high-resolution models of usable habitat for juvenile Chinook salmon and steelhead to assess variation in spatial and seasonal patterns of habitat availability. Specifically, this study develops detailed maps of habitat availability for juvenile Chinook salmon and steelhead for two size classes (fry and pre-smolt). Habitat availability is modeled in a three-step process whereby (1) two-dimensional hydraulic models are paired with literature-supplied data on habitat preferences to create spatially explicit maps of rearing habitats for a wide range of streamflows; (2) reach-specific relations between streamflow and habitat area are developed and paired with streamgage records to create habitat time series for 2011, 2015, and 2016, which reflect “cool and wet,” “hot and dry,” and “warm but average precipitation” conditions, respectively; (3) temperature models are coupled with literature-based thermal thresholds to determine time periods and locations along the river corridor when rearing habitat has optimal, harmful, or lethal temperature conditions; (4) finally, habitat availability is summarized at several spatial scales to characterize longitudinal and seasonal patterns. Findings show that modeled area of rearing habitat for Chinook salmon and steelhead responds non-uniformly to streamflow, where habitat in some reaches of the Willamette River consistently increase with additional streamflow, while in other reaches, habitat area decreases when streamflows increase from low to moderate flows. Modeled differences in flow-habitat relations are primarily explained by local geomorphology in each reach and resulting hydraulic conditions that arise with different streamflows. These are most pronounced when comparing laterally active, multi-channel reaches upstream from Corvallis with downstream reaches that are laterally stable with single-channel planforms. The reaches upstream from Corvallis generally have more habitat available per unit stream distance than downstream reaches, but all reaches display greatest amounts of habitat at the highest streamflows. Finally, results show that warm water temperature in summer greatly decreases the utility of habitat available to the focal species, particularly downstream from Corvallis. Together, these findings serve to inform flow management by characterizing spatial and seasonal patterns of habitat availability for juvenile spring Chinook salmon and winter steelhead and provide a quantitative assessment of the effects of streamflow on rearing habitat.

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Development of continuous bathymetry and two-dimensional hydraulic models for the Willamette River, Oregon

The Willamette River is home to at least 69 species of fish, 33 of which are native, including Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) and steelhead ( Oncorhynchus mykiss ). These fish need suitable hydraulic conditions, such as water depth and velocity, to fulfill various stages of their life. Hydraulic conditions are driven by interactions between channel morphology and streamflow, which throughout the Willamette River are strongly influenced by the operation of flood-control dams in upstream tributaries. To assess how streamflow management at these dams affects downstream fish habitat, the U.S. Geological Survey has developed high-resolution bathymetric datasets to support the development of two-dimensional hydraulic models. The datasets were created by combining data collected by airborne topo-bathymetric Light Detection and Ranging with boat-based sonar to create a seamless modeling surface over which a computational mesh with a resolution of roughly 5 by 5 meters was overlaid using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydraulic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System 5.0.7 hydraulic modeling software. Models were developed for about 200 river kilometers, separated into five modeling reaches, and hydraulic conditions were simulated at flows ranging from extremely low values to annual peak flows. Results of the simulations highlight distinct patterns of inundation extents, water depths, and velocities that vary longitudinally along the Willamette River. In the two farthest upstream model reaches, from Eugene to Corvallis, the river is slower, shallower, and inundates more area at similar seasonal flows than in reaches downstream from Corvallis, where the river generally is deeper and faster. These findings align with previous geomorphic analysis of the Willamette River showing the upper reaches of the river to be geomorphically more dynamic compared to the largely single-thread channel farther downstream. Results of simulations made with these hydraulic models can be used to drive fish-habitat models to further inform flow-management decisions.

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Synthesis of habitat availability and carrying capacity research to support water management decisions and enhance conditions for Pacific salmon in the Willamette River, Oregon

Flow management is complex in the Willamette River Basin where the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers owns and operates a system of 13 dams and reservoirs (hereinafter Willamette Project), which are spread throughout three large tributaries including the Middle Fork Willamette, McKenzie, and Santiam Rivers. The primary purpose of the Willamette Project is flood-risk management, which provides critical protection to the Willamette Valley, but flow managers must also consider factors such as power generation, water-quality improvement, irrigation, recreation, and protection for aquatic species such as U.S. Endangered Species Act-listed Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) and steelhead ( O. mykiss ). Flow-management decision-making in the basin can benefit from models that allow for flow-scenario comparisons and a wide range of modeling methods are available. For this study, we examined existing datasets and modeling efforts in the basin and provided an overview of available options. Most previous studies used Physical Habitat Simulation System, habitat data were collected from a series of transects within modeled reaches, and habitat suitability indices were obtained from the literature, or using expert opinion. These studies provide information for specific reaches of the Willamette River Basin, which limits their ability to provide broad-scale predictive capability. Recent efforts to develop a two-dimensional hydraulic model in the mainstem Willamette River, and in specific reaches of primary tributaries downstream from Project dams, have bolstered modeling capabilities in the basin. This work has developed spatially continuous water depth and velocity data in more than 250 kilometers (km) of river downstream from Project dams and has predictive capability throughout the year at flows up to normal peak levels. Additionally, other methods are described for estimating habitat availability, which include habitat suitability criteria, logistic regression, occupancy and abundance modeling, and energetic based approaches. There are strengths and weaknesses to each approach and selection of the preferred approach in the Willamette River Basin will depend on the desired metrics of interest and the risk tolerance of managers and stakeholders in the basin.

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Integrated tools for identifying optimal flow regimes and evaluating alternative minimum flows for recovering at-risk salmonids in a highly managed system

Water resource managers are faced with difficult decisions on how to satisfy human water needs while maintaining or restoring riverine ecosystems. Decision sciences have developed approaches and tools that can be used to break down difficult water management decisions into their component parts. An essential aspect of these approaches is the use of quantitative models to evaluate alternative management strategies. Here, we describe four integrated decision support models for evaluating the effect of flows on two life history stages of Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) and Steelhead ( O. mykiss ). We then use constrained nonlinear optimization to identify optimal flow regimes for the water year type with the least available water. These flow regimes were then used by managers to develop candidate minimum flow strategies that were evaluated using forward simulation and sensitivity analyses. We found that optimal flow regimes differed markedly from existing regulations and varied among species and life history stages. However, evaluation of tradeoffs among the four competing objectives indicated relatively minimal losses for most objectives when the optimal flows were based on equally weighting the objectives. Sensitivity analysis indicated that water temperature was the primary driver of estimated outcomes and suggested that managers consider alternative means of managing temperatures. Decision sciences have created multiple analytical tools and approaches that simplify complex problems, such as water resource management, and we believe that water resource management would benefit from their increased use.

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