Geology topics

David C. Rostal

Publications and source records attributed to David C. Rostal.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2022

A comparison of non-surgical methods for sexing young gopher tortoises (Gopherus polyphemus)

Many turtle species have temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD), raising the prospect that climate change could impact population dynamics by altering sex ratios. Understanding how climate change will affect populations of animals with TSD requires a reliable and minimally invasive method of identifying the sexes of young individuals. This determination is challenging in many turtles, which often lack conspicuous external sexual dimorphism until years after hatching. Here, we explore four alternatives for sexing three age classes of captive-reared young gopher tortoises ( Gopherus polyphemus ), a terrestrial turtle of conservation concern native to the southeastern United States: (1) naive testosterone levels, (2) testosterone levels following a follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) challenge, (3) linear morphological measurements, and (4) geometric morphometrics. Unlike some other turtle species, male and female neonatal gopher tortoises have overlapping naive testosterone concentration distributions, justifying more complicated methods. We found that sex of neonates (<7 days old) is best predicted by a “random forest” machine learning model with naive testosterone levels and morphological measurements (8% out-of-bag error). Sex of hatchlings (4–8 months old) was predicted with 11% error using a simple threshold on naive testosterone levels, or with 4% error using a simple threshold on post-FSH testosterone levels. Sex of juveniles (approximately 3.5 years old) was perfectly predicted using a simple threshold on naive testosterone levels. Sexing hatchlings at >4 months of age is the easiest and most reliable non-surgical method for sex identification. Given access to a rearing facility and equipment to perform hormone assays, these methods have the potential to supplant laparoscopic surgery as the method of choice for sexing young gopher tortoises.

Georgia↗

USGS2022

Warming conditions boost reproductive output for a northern gopher tortoise population

The effects of climate change on at-risk species will depend on how life history processes respond to climate and whether the seasonal timing of local climate changes overlaps with species-specific windows of climate sensitivity. For long-lived, iteroparous species like gopher tortoises Gopherus polyphemus , climate likely has a greater influence on reproduction than on adult survival. Our objective was to estimate the timing, magnitude, and direction of climate-driven effects on gopher tortoise reproductive output using a 25 yr dataset collected in southeastern Georgia, USA, near the northern edge of the species’ range. We assessed the timing of climate effects on reproductive output (both probability of reproduction and clutch size) by fitting models with climate covariates (maximum temperature, precipitation, and temperature range) summarized at all possible time intervals (in 1 mo increments) within the 24 mo period prior to the summer census date. We then fit a final model of reproductive output as a function of the identified climate variables and time windows using a Bayesian mixture model. Probability of reproduction was positively correlated with the prior year’s April-May maximum temperature, and clutch size was positively correlated with the prior year’s June maximum temperature. April-May and June maximum temperatures have increased over the past 3 decades at the study site, which likely led to an increase in clutch size of approximately 1 egg (15% increase over a mean of 6.5 eggs). However, the net effect of climate change on gopher tortoise population dynamics will depend on whether there are opposing or reinforcing climate responses for other demographic rates.

Georgia↗

USGS2022

Direct and indirect pathways for environmental drivers of hatching success in the loggerhead sea turtle

Nest site selection has consequences for hatching success by mediating the temperature and moisture conditions that eggs experience during the incubation period. Understanding the potentially complex pathways by which nest placement influences these abiotic mediators, and therefore hatching success, is important for predicting which nests will be successful and which may require management action. We studied the effects of loggerhead sea turtle (Caretta caretta) nest site selection on hatching success by linking nest placement characteristics to hatching success through a structural equation model. We monitored 170 nests on Ossabaw Island, Georgia, during the summers of 2017 and 2018 and tracked nest conditions throughout the incubation period. Temperature had a complex effect on hatching success—nests had higher hatching rates if they were exposed to higher mean temperatures but also if they experienced both extremely high (>34°C) and extremely low (<26.5°C) temperatures, suggesting that temperature variability plays a role in determining nest outcomes beyond the mean temperature. Likewise, hatching success declined with a higher incidence of nests being inundated by tides. We found that nests placed at the highest elevations had the highest hatching success rates, likely because those nests had a much lower chance of being washed over by high tides and had higher mean temperatures. Nests were also more successful when placed in greater amounts of vegetation, again because vegetated nests were generally warmer and were associated with fewer washover events. These results shed light on the mechanisms behind selection for certain nest site characteristics and can guide the relocation of nests as a conservation action.

Georgia↗