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David A. Sear

Publications and source records attributed to David A. Sear.

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Precipitation intensity increased across the South Pacific Convergence Zone in the Industrial Age

The position, strength, and variability of precipitation in the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) remain challenging for coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models to represent, leaving future rainfall projections in this dynamically important region uncertain. Here, we present quantitative records of mean annual precipitation (MAP) spanning the past 1,000 years using sediment cores from five freshwater lakes on different islands in the western portion of the SPCZ. Precipitation reconstructions are based on the hydrogen isotope composition of the dinoflagellate biomarker dinosterol, which is inversely correlated with MAP. We show that MAP in the western tropical Pacific increased over the past ∼300 years, with a significant increase beginning in 1,820 ± 75 C.E., coincident with a warming trend in the Western Pacific Warm Pool. These results contrast with the expected drying associated with reduced Pacific Walker Circulation as global temperatures increase in many climate models. Future warming may promote more intense SPCZ precipitation.

Geophysical Research Letters

Contrasting Common Era climate and hydrology sensitivities from paired lake sediment dinosterol hydrogen isotope records in the South Pacific Convergence Zone

Hydroclimate on ‘Uvea (Wallis et Futuna) is controlled by rainfall associated with the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), the southern hemisphere's largest precipitation feature. To extend the short observational precipitation record, the hydrogen isotopic composition of the algal lipid biomarker dinosterol (δ 2 H dinosterol ) was measured in sediment cores from two volcanic crater lakes on ‘Uvea. The modern lakes differ morphologically and chemically but both contain freshwater within the photic zone, support phytoplankton communities inclusive of dinosterol-producing dinoflagellates, and experience identical climate conditions. δ 2 H dinosterol values track lake water isotope ratios, ultimately controlled in the tropics by precipitation amount and evaporative enrichment. However, in 88-m-deep Lac Lalolalo a steadily decreasing trend in sedimentary δ 2 H dinosterol values from −227‰ around year 988 CE to modern values as low as −303‰, suggests this lake's evolution from an active volcanic setting to the present system strongly influenced δ 2 H dinosterol values. Although current hydrology and water isotope systematics may now reflect precipitation and evaporation in this lake, the interaction between these processes and large changes in basin morphology, geochemistry, and hydrology obstruct the recovery of a climate signal from Lac Lalolalo's sedimentary δ 2 H dinosterol records. This work emphasizes the importance of site replication and the use of complementary climate reconstruction tools, especially when using molecular proxies that may be sensitive to more than one environmental parameter. Contrary to its neighbor, duplicate δ 2 H dinosterol records from 23-m-deep Lac Lanutavake varied between −277‰ and −297‰ and indicate slightly drier conditions during the time-period known as the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 950–1250 CE). The δ 2 H dinosterol signal in Lac Lanutavake was muted compared to published records from ‘Upolu (Samoa) and Efate (Vanuatu) indicating that ‘Uvea's location is not as sensitive to precipitation variability at sites farther from the SPCZ central axis. Lithogenic runoff proxies combined with δ 2 H dinosterol support the interpretation of a relatively dry MCA on ‘Uvea, ‘Upolu, and Efate, potentially due to less intense precipitation, a contracted, or a more zonally oriented SPCZ.

Efate Island, Lac Lalolalo, Lac Lanoto'o, Lac Lanu

Reconstructing precipitation in the tropical South Pacific from dinosterol 2H/1H ratios in lake sediment

The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is the Southern Hemisphere’s largest precipitation feature supplying freshwater to 11 million people. Despite its significance, little is known about the location and intensity of SPCZ precipitation prior to instrumental records, hindering attempts to predict precipitation changes in a warming world. Here we use sedimentary molecular fossils to establish a tool for extending the historical record of precipitation. Freshwater lake sediments and water samples were collected from 30 lakes that span a 4.6 mm d −1 range in precipitation rates from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP). δ 2 H lakewater values from 29 lakes ranged from −29 to +23‰ and were inversely correlated ( r = −0.51, p < 0.001) with precipitation rates, likely due to the combination of the amount of precipitation plus evaporation. δ 2 H values of the dinoflagellate sterol dinosterol in surficial sediments from 21 lakes ranged from −316‰ in the Solomon Islands to −245‰ in French Polynesia. These δ 2 H dinosterol values were significantly correlated ( r = 0.71, p < 0.001) with δ 2 H lakewater and inversely correlated ( r = −0.77, p < 0.001) with mean annual precipitation rates with a sensitivity of −12.1 ± 2.6‰ (mm d −1 ) −1 . Fractionation between dinosterol and lake water (ε dinosterol/lakewater ) decreased at the driest lake sites ( r = − 0.70, p < 0.001). The empirical relationship between δ 2 H dinosterol and GPCP rainfall, although indirect, provides a means of quantitatively reconstructing past precipitation in the SPCZ region with an uncertainty of less than 3.1 mm d −1 , which compares favorably to the 1.5 mm d −1 uncertainty for the satellite-gauge based GPCP precipitation data.

Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta