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Christina Amy Murphy

Publications and source records attributed to Christina Amy Murphy.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
USGS2026

Navigating uncertainty and competing objectives: Spring chinook salmon recovery in the upper Willamette river

Globally, anadromous fish populations are threatened with extinction due to multiple factors, including river impoundments that block migration, widespread alteration of physical habitat, temperature, and flow regimes, commercial and recreational harvest, changes in biological communities, and long-term climate trends. In this synthesis, we describe how physical and biological factors, policy and law, and public resource allocation affect management of spring-run Chinook Salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) in the Upper Willamette River (UWR), Oregon, USA. Efforts to restore salmon populations often involve trade-offs, for example, water management decisions must account for flood control, agricultural and municipal water use, and management of other species. UWR Chinook Salmon recovery efforts are also governed by multiple laws, policies, and action agencies that in some cases have incongruent objectives. Competing and conflicting objectives, combined with uncertainty regarding the outcomes of proposed management actions, create significant challenges for decision makers. Resource limitations, regulatory constraints, and incongruent objectives have created challenges for managers in the UWR, but opportunities exist for improved adaptive management and collaboration, which could build trust and engagement among stakeholders and ultimately support the successful implementation of decision tools. A suite of decision support tools that have been used in the Willamette River basin and elsewhere across the range of Pacific salmon have the potential to enhance decision processes. These tools can be effective when decision makers and stakeholders commit to long-term, collaborative utilization of the tools for decision making, and when available resources and regulatory environments are conducive to implementation and adaptive refinement of both the decision-support tools and management plans. The general biological and institutional principles discussed for UWR Chinook Salmon in this work apply more generally to populations of anadromous fishes across their range, especially to populations in highly regulated river systems.

Oregon↗
USGS2026

Potential for bird-based biotic indices in watershed assessments: A review of methods, applications, and suggestions for improvement

Birds are sensitive to changes in environmental conditions, and metrics such as species diversity, abundance, and guild composition that describe community-level responses to anthropogenic disturbance can be useful indicators of ecosystem condition. We reviewed published studies (56) of bird-based biotic indices developed for diverse ecosystems in 14 countries to evaluate their efficacy for bioassessments. The major categories of indices used included the index of biotic integrity (IBI; 18% of studies), the bird community index (BCI; 13%), and the index of ecological condition (IEC; 7%), with numerous specialized variants comprising the remaining 62% of studies, including indices adapted for specific ecosystems such as grasslands, wetlands, and urban areas. Index performance varied geographically, highlighting the importance of localized calibration. While few studies applied bird indices at landscape and regional scales, applications that included guild-based classification and habitat-specific metrics demonstrated potential for bird-based ecosystem monitoring and assessment. Bird communities were reliable ecological indicators at regional scales when indices incorporated locally derived disturbance and habitat gradients. This regional reliability indicates that expanding bird-based indices to watershed extents is feasible, especially given the availability of extensive resources such as citizen science bird data. There is an abundance of citizen science bird monitoring programs that potentially provide data for use in watershed-scale avian IBIs. Avian indices that combine data from multiple taxa, community-based metrics, and variables describing habitat quality can provide rigorous tools for watershed bioassessment and evidence-based conservation policy implementation.

Environmental Reviews↗
USGS2026

Composite samples for perfluorooctanesulfonate in fish may change contaminant threshold decisions

The widespread occurrence and persistence of the per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in the environment may pose significant health risks to humans. Fish consumption is a direct pathway for exposure, prompting extensive monitoring. In the United States and Europe, fish consumption advisories for PFAS generally focus on perfluorooctanesulfonate (PFOS), the most frequent and abundant PFAS compound reported in fish. However, PFAS analysis is costly, leading monitoring programs to frequently use composite samples (i.e., combining different fish of the same species). This financial saving comes at an analytical cost of lost information on individual variation. It is unclear how this may influence threshold-based decisions. To test this, we used a modeling approach (i.e., Monte Carlo) based on aggregated data distributions from freshwater fish species. We simulated the measurement of PFOS for individual fish compared to composite means (three, five, and 10 fish) at different levels of error structure. These values were then compared to a typical do-not-eat threshold of 200 ng•g wet mass −1 and four metrics were estimated: (i) the probability of detecting a PFOS concentration above the threshold, (ii) the maximum simulated PFOS concentration, (iii) the number of false negative samples, and (iv) the rate of false negative samples. These results show that the probability of assigning PFOS levels above or below the threshold is shifted by masking individual value contributions in a composite sample. Because true individual contaminant loads are variable, composite sampling is a more conservative metric for contaminant thresholds. The model suggested that the greater the variability, the lower the detection probability for truly contaminated samples. Our study may help to inform sampling for monitoring programs aimed at managing human exposure to PFAS.

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management↗
USGS2026

Analyses of eye lens stable isotopes across ontogeny of trophically diverse freshwater salmonids

Ontogenetic niche shifts in fishes are nearly universal but remain poorly understood in many species despite being fundamentally important for the persistence, management, and conservation of fish populations, including those of vulnerable salmonids. Eye lens stable isotope analysis has proven useful in studying ontogeny in some marine species but has rarely been applied in freshwater fishes. We conducted among the first applications of eye lens stable isotope analysis in two salmonids, Arctic Charr ( Salvelinus alpinus ) and Brook Trout ( Salvelinus fontinalis ), in four North American lakes at the southern extent of the range of Arctic Charr (Maine, USA). Our goal was to determine if ontogenetic patterns varied between individuals and populations in ways that relate to differential vulnerability. Like studies in marine systems, we found patterns in lens isotopic values that agree with expected ontogenetic patterns to reach known adult trophic niches. Within lakes and individuals examined in this study, Arctic Charr appeared more dependent on pelagic resources than co-occurring Brook Trout through life. Using Bayesian hierarchical linear regressions, we found evidence that ontogenetic shifts in trophic position (measured by δ 15 N) of Arctic Charr may vary among lakes. Arctic Charr in some populations increased in trophic position through life (population lifetime δ 15 N posterior mean slope estimate = 1.01) while others showed no substantial changes (population lifetime δ 15 N posterior mean slope = 0.05), which may relate to differences in habitat and fish assemblage among our study lakes. Our study suggests that individual life stages and populations of salmonids are likely to respond to climate variability (e.g., basal resource shifts) differentially, which could warrant population and life-stage-specific management.

Maine↗
USGS2026

Birds, breakpoints, and baselines: How citizen science data can reveal ecological boundaries in Kenya’s Upper Tana watershed

Tropical watersheds are increasingly threatened by climate change, land-use conversion, and resource extraction, yet conventional biodiversity monitoring in these systems is often spatially and temporally limited. Citizen science offers a complementary approach, enabling biodiversity data collection over large areas that can supplement professional scientific surveys. We analyzed 10 years (2012–2022) of Upper Tana Watershed bird data from the Kenya Bird Map project, covering 114 pentads (9 × 9 km) within a 17,000 km 2 watershed to assess patterns of bird community composition and distribution across this watershed and to also evaluate the effects of environmental variables, seasonality, and sampling effort to help inform improvements in future citizen science projects. Citizen (or community) scientists recorded 575 species (>50% of Kenya’s total avifauna) in 74 families. Asymptotic species accumulation indicates that most probable species present in the watershed were detected. Threshold indicator taxa analysis revealed distinct ecological boundaries along elevation (∼1,500 m), precipitation (∼1,100 mm), and mean temperature (∼19°C) gradients, corresponding to a turnover from xeric savanna to mesic montane forest assemblages. Notably, bird communities showed little seasonal differentiation between wet and dry periods, consistent with dominance by resident year-round species. Data limitations including uneven survey distribution and frequency, absence of abundance metrics, and coarse representation of local environmental conditions that likely reduced our ability to detect fine-scale species–habitat relationships. Addressing these gaps through spatially balanced sampling at greater resolution, greater survey frequency in underrepresented areas, and improved capture of habitat metrics could strengthen the use of citizen-science bird data for watershed bioassessment. Our findings demonstrate that structured citizen-science initiatives can identify ecological boundaries and inform adaptive management of tropical socio-ecological systems under rapid environmental change.

Upper Tana watershed↗
USGS2026

Timing is everything: Drivers of upstream movement of fishes

Objective Understanding whether fishes quickly respond to shifting temperatures and flows, especially as they pass through river reaches that may be thermally unsuitable, may help to prioritize climate-informed management strategies. Methods Here, we use 15 years of daily fish passage data (2005–2020) from the Leaburg Dam on the McKenzie River, Oregon, USA, with water temperatures and river flows from two associated gauges. We examine the relative influence of temperature, flow, and calendar date on fish moving upstream, the range of conditions experienced by each species, and long-term patterns in timing, supported by annual count data from the years 1971–2020. Results Comparisons of timing and conditions while each species passed upstream through the Leaburg Dam fish ladders revealed that some taxa were more consistent seasonally (e.g., Pacific Lamprey Entosphenus tridentatus and Largescale Sucker Catostomus macrocheilus ), experiencing a more restricted range of conditions, while others moved throughout the year under highly variable environmental conditions (e.g., trout). For both groups, calendar date appeared to be a primary driver of movement timing, even when local environmental factors of temperature and flow were considered. We note broad trends toward earlier passage across all species except Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha . Notable declines in movement of Mountain Whitefish Prosopium williamsoni and Largescale Suckers occurred during years of extreme weather events, indicating that they may be particularly sensitive to the combined impacts of water temperature and flow and could serve as sentinel taxa. Conclusions Although timing is recognized as a driver for the onset of migrations, this suggests that most fish may continue to move upriver during consistent time periods, potentially increasing their risk of exposure to suboptimal environmental conditions. Our results demonstrate the utility of long-term passage data for detecting patterns in local timing, environmental conditions co-occurring with fish movement, and the sensitivity of different fish species in responding to environmental extremes during upstream migrations.

Oregon↗
USGS2026

Environment, taxonomy, and socioeconomics predict non-imperilment in freshwater fishes

Freshwater fishes are among the most threatened taxa, yet conservation assessments remain incomplete for many species. Freshwater fishes provide essential ecosystem services such as food security, recreational opportunities, and cultural significance. Despite heavy alterations to freshwater ecosystems, the reasons for species’ sensitivity and resistance to imperilment are unclear. To address this need, we develop a machine learning framework to predict global imperilment status for 10,631 freshwater fish species using a comprehensive set of environmental, socioeconomic, and intrinsic species-level predictors. Using updated IUCN Red List data, we train and validate Random Forest classifiers to distinguish imperiled (Vulnerable, Endangered, Critically Endangered) from non-imperiled species. We examine the relative influence of 52 variables derived from 12 global sources describing extrinsic environmental and socioeconomic factors and intrinsic species-specific characteristics. Our models achieve higher accuracy for non-imperiled species (90.1%) compared to imperiled species (81.8%), reflecting the greater heterogeneity of threats and conditions driving imperilment. Across models, key predictors include habitat variables, taxonomic order, hydrological characteristics, and disturbance indicators, underscoring the interplay between ecology, geography, and human pressures. This integrative, reproducible approach demonstrates the utility of machine learning for guiding proactive conservation and provides a scalable framework for global biodiversity risk assessment.

Nature Communications↗
USGS2025

Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha (Walbaum, 1792) life history influences how diagnostic cranial structures relate to fish length

Diagnostic bones can aid in identification and size determination of fishes from ingested prey, archaeological remains or damaged specimens. We extracted diagnostic structures, including cleithra, dentaries, opercles and otoliths, from juvenile spring Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) from three distinct groups: hatchery, naturally produced and surrogate, representing shared genetics. Although our observations highlight that growth and life history are important considerations in structuring allometry, we note that a wide variety of diagnostic bones and measurement axes may be suitable for determining body lengths where remains may be damaged or incomplete.

Journal of Fish Biology↗
USGS2025

The story of the Penobscot River Ecology Mural: A 10-step process for scientists to create public art

Rivers are home to a wide variety of biota, including fishes, amphibians, reptiles, birds, freshwater mussels, aquatic insects, and microscopic organisms that fill unique niches to support broader ecosystem functions. While the general public may be aware of recreationally relevant biological life (e.g., fishes and insects to model flyfishing flies from), they may not be aware of more obscure yet important taxa. For example, freshwater mussels (Unionidae) improve water quality and clarity of rivers through filtration ( Vaughn, 2018), which is vital to riverine ecosystems. Despite this importance, lack of public knowledge about freshwater mussels is the second biggest challenge to their management ( Bouska et al., 2018). How do we best get the public to see value in underappreciated taxa to support their conservation? Public art installations can spread awareness about science effectively because they distill information for broader audiences, are eye-catching, and reach people through an emotional, aesthetic, and personal lens ( Thompson et al., 2023). While invertebrates are generally viewed by the public with fear and aversion ( Kellert, 1993) this can be ameliorated through interaction and learning, particularly for children ( Miller et al., 2025). Through cross-disciplinary collaboration between artists, scientists and the local community, we created the “Penobscot River Ecology Mural,” a scientifically informed artwork featuring underappreciated taxa like mussels and insects. In this article, we will elucidate the story of how we successfully made this piece through 10 steps, which provide a blueprint for future endeavors.

Maine↗
USGS2025

Environmental conditions influencing the abundance of the salmonid ectoparasite Salmincola californiensis across upper Willamette River Reservoirs, Oregon

The freshwater copepod Salmincola californiensis is an ectoparasite of Pacific salmon and trout ( Oncorhynchus spp.). High levels of infection by this parasite can significantly damage gills and result in blood loss, affecting the fitness and survival of hosts, and it may hinder recovery efforts of threatened and endangered salmonids. Juvenile salmonids that rear in reservoirs have been reported to experience higher rates of infection than their stream-dwelling counterparts. To date, the relationship between reservoir environmental conditions and infection rates remains poorly understood. Here, we evaluated sampling methods designed to capture S. californiensis copepodids, the free-swimming infectious life stage of this parasitic copepod, and develop predictive models of parasite abundance in reservoirs . We used light traps to collect 675 zooplankton samples from various sites and depths in Cougar, Lookout Point, and Fall Creek reservoirs, Oregon, USA during five months in 2020. We tested several predictive models of parasite abundance using environmental covariates obtained concurrently during plankton surveys ( e.g. , temperature, ambient light and water clarity, reservoir plankton profiles, and water flow). Our models showed a strong influence of water temperature on abundance of copepodids, with maximum initial abundance occurring at the mean water temperature 15.2 °C. At that temperature, August abundance was estimated to be 58.6 copepodids per site in Cougar Reservoir, 43.8 copepodids per site in Fall Creek Reservoir, and 3.5 copepodids per site in Lookout Point Reservoir. Water temperature and reservoir outflow both affected population growth of copepodids: increased water temperature was associated with an increase in population growth rate while an increased reservoir outflow was associated with a decrease in population growth rate. The efficacy of our sampling method was influenced by percent of moon fullness, whether the sample site was above or below the thermocline, water temperature, and number of juvenile sculpin fishes ( Cottus spp.) captured in the trap. The mean probability of detecting a single copepodid if one was present was 0.042, but detection probability increased to 0.29 under ideal trap set conditions of warmer water, location above the thermocline, and a full moon. Biologists and managers could use these methods to assess the presence and abundance of S. californiensis in other locations, or to inform reservoir operations to reduce potential salmonid infections.

Oregon↗
USGS2025

First documentation of pelagic larvae of Prickly Sculpin Cottus asper in Willamette Basin reservoirs using a novel light trapping method

Although sculpin can play important ecological roles, serving as abundant key meso-predators in freshwater aquatic systems, much remains to be learned about their development and ecology. Depth discrete light traps effectively captured larval sculpin from Lookout Point Reservoir in the Willamette Basin, Oregon, USA. We confirm that these larvae were Prickly Sculpin ( Cottus asper ) based on morphology and genetics. We also document larval size and development and examine monthly vertical distributions and sympatric invertebrate taxa. We captured 1,048 pelagic larval Prickly Sculpin from 4.21 to 42.0 mm total length. Sampling occurred in traps set up to 20 m above the substrate, with Prickly Sculpin captured at all sampled depths. Captures shifted toward deeper reservoir habitats corresponding to increases in average body sizes as the season progressed from early spring to fall. We found most larval Prickly Sculpin at locations within the main reservoir body, several kilometers downstream of riverine areas. In addition to trap location, the abundance of larval Prickly Sculpin per trap was strongly associated with aquatic mites (absent from Prickly Sculpin stomachs). These findings suggest potentially shared ecological drivers of the observed distributions of larval Prickly Sculpin and mites. Collectively, we demonstrate that light trapping can be a useful method for collecting pelagic juvenile sculpins from reservoirs, in this case Prickly Sculpin, with the potential to improve our understanding of distribution, life-history patterns, and ecology throughout their range.

Oregon↗
USGS2025

Range-wide ecology, conservation, and research needs for yellow lampmussel (Lampsilis cariosa)

The freshwater mussel yellow lampmussel ( Lampsilis cariosa ) is declining throughout its range along the Atlantic Slope of the eastern United States and Canada, and the species is a target for proactive conservation to avoid federal listing. This paper synthesizes information about the ecology (physiology and life history, host fishes, and habitat), species distribution, genetics, and threats to L. cariosa . Identified threats include climate change, habitat alteration, and invasive species, dependent on location. We outline 16 emergent research and conservation management needs based on literature review and discussion with stakeholders (state and federal mussel biologists, researchers, and tribal groups). These needs range from research on the basic physiology and behavior of the species, to creating standardized protocols for surveys and DNA sampling, to ultimately developing a range-wide species conservation and restoration plan. Addressing these information gaps and incorporating the findings into future management may facilitate the implementation and success of large-scale restoration and conservation initiatives such as habitat protection and reintroduction of L. cariosa to historical locations.

Hydrobiologia↗
USGS2025

Infection by the marine cestode Hepatoxylon trichiuri in returning Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) spawners in Patagonia: Implications for a novel fishery

Parasitological information may be useful for managing economically important fisheries by providing insights into population dynamics and health effects. The Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ), an invasive species with high socio-ecological importance in South America, supports recreational and incipient artisanal fisheries. In Southern Chile, the recent approval of coastal fisheries for returning Chinook salmon in some regions highlights the importance of understanding salmon foraging, habitat use, and commercial value. However, such information is lacking. Parasites have been extensively used as cost-effective biological tags to identify fish stocks. We conducted the first parasitological examination of the marine tapeworm Hepatoxylon trichiuri larvae in returning adult Chinook salmon from the Cisnes River to assess its potential as a biological tag for returning Chinook salmon in Patagonia. Of 61 Chinook salmon from the Cisnes River, 52.46% were infected by H. trichiuri , with 1.65 ± 1.26 parasites per infected salmon (mean ± SD). Infection prevalence and intensity did not differ significantly between males and females. Infection intensity was higher in larger salmon but decreased with increasing salmon condition. Infection intensity was not significantly related to length, mass, or body condition. Infection prevalence and intensity of H. trichiuri varied spatially among Patagonian river-basin populations of Chinook salmon, thereby supporting the use of H. trichiuri as a biological tag. Our findings provide important parasitological metrics that may enhance future management practices by informing geographic variability in foraging locations of adult salmon and their commercial value for human consumption.

Cisnes River, Patagonia↗
USGS2025

Modeling diverse environmental responses of reservoirs to floating photovoltaic systems

Floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems are emerging as a promising strategy for large-scale clean energy production worldwide. However, by altering key physical drivers such as solar radiation and wind mixing, FPV installations may have also unintended consequences for lakes and reservoirs. Given the wide diversity of freshwater systems globally, understanding the consistency in direction and magnitude of environmental responses to FPV deployment is critical for informed regulatory oversight and sustainable energy development. Here, we used process-based models to simulate the effects of FPV coverage on 11 reservoirs across the United States. This is the first multi-reservoir analysis using a laterally averaged 2D process-based modeling framework to systematically evaluate FPV impacts across diverse climatic and morphometric contexts, enabling direct comparison of magnitude and direction of responses among systems. Specifically, we evaluated changes in (1) surface and outflow temperature, (2) thermocline depth, (3) water column stability, (4) dissolved oxygen concentrations, and (5) potential suitable habitat availability for warm- and cold-water fishes. We quantified changes in these response variables by an iterative approach that simulates increases in FPV coverage and compares them with reference conditions. We summarized responses for winter (January–February) and summer (July–August). As expected, our simulations show that increasing FPV coverage consistently cooled surface waters and altered thermal stratification patterns, but the magnitude and environmental implications of these changes varied among reservoirs. Notably, greater FPV coverage led to increased variability in habitat suitability for aquatic species, with some reservoirs exhibiting distinct and sometimes divergent responses. These findings underscore the importance of considering local environmental contexts when assessing FPV impacts. While large-scale FPV systems offer potential benefits for climate mitigation, their ecological effects, particularly on thermally sensitive biota, require careful site-specific evaluation to avoid unintended consequences to local freshwater biodiversity.

Arkansas, Idaho, Ohio, Oregon, Tennessee, Washingt↗
USGS2025

Cleaner cuts: Farmed fish and skin-off fillets are lower in per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS)

The ubiquitous occurrence and persistence of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in all environmental matrices and biota poses significant health risks to humans. Fish consumption is one of the main pathways humans are exposed to PFAS, yet general patterns in factors influencing PFAS content in fish fillets remain unknown. We assembled information on PFAS content (total quantified PFAS, PFOS, PFOA, and others) in fish fillets to assess the effect of fish origin (marine, freshwater, wild, or farmed), fillet type (skin-on or skin-off), and lipid content on PFAS variation across environments at a global scale. We found that these factors influenced PFAS contents in fish fillets, with concentrations reaching up to 2149 ng•g wet mass −1 (WM). Specifically, PFOS and PFOA in skin-off fillets were consistently lower in farmed than wild fish across freshwater and marine environments. In freshwater wild fish, PFOS was lower in skin-off fillets than skin-on fillets at group and species levels, and multiple PFAS showed an inverse relationship with the lipid content of skin-off fillets, though the slopes showed varying steepness depending on the carbon chain length and functional group of the PFAS. However, the high variability of PFAS content across sites in aquatic environments and the complexity of PFAS bioaccumulation mechanisms in fish tissues may lead to variable results at a fine scale (i.e. , species level); this highlights general patterns of factors influencing PFAS bioaccumulation that may inform the management of human exposure to PFAS through dietary consumption.

Science of the Total Environment↗
USGS2025

Museum records provide unique information about the distribution of the Yellow Lampmussel Lampsilis cariosa (Unionidae)

Natural history museum records may provide unique information on the distribution of species that can supplement survey data collected by resource managers. However, there can be challenges to using museum data for analyses, such as spurious geographic information, misidentifications, and incorrect labeling. Museum records have been centralized by open-source repositories with flags for coordinate precision and out-of-range specimens, providing some information about record uncertainty in general. Verification of uncertain museum records could increase confidence in distribution data and improve understanding of biodiversity patterns and range dynamics through time. The goal of this study was to determine if museum records provide unique information about the distribution of the Yellow Lampmussel Lampsilis cariosa (Say, 1817), an at-risk freshwater mussel species. We created a dichotomous key based on a hierarchy of conchological characteristics to verify the taxonomic identity of flagged L. cariosa specimens and assessed records occurring outside of the species’ expected range as compiled from primary literature. Fifty percent of flagged specimens were confirmed as L. cariosa . Of the invalid records, 56% were misidentifications, mainly of other Lampsilis species. Overall, museum collections (1800s–present) contributed 32 unique watersheds not represented by modern survey records (1980s–present, comprising 92 watersheds) including 13 unexpected watersheds in regions of New York and Vermont (USA) and Québec and Ontario (Canada). Our study provides a reproducible method for the reverification of freshwater mussel museum records and highlights how these records can provide unique contributions to our understanding of the geographic range of a rare, at-risk mussel species.

New York, Vermont↗
USGS2024

Using parentage-based tagging to estimate survival of Chinook salmon fry in a large storage reservoir

Research efforts focusing on salmonid populations have highlighted the need to better understand demographic parameters for the fry and parr life stages. Monitoring these small fish presents a challenge because negative effects from handling and tagging can bias subsequent parameter estimates. Removal models and associated sampling designs represent one class of mark-recapture models with potential to be applied to very small juvenile salmon, yet existing methods associated with removal studies are not well-suited for all study environments. For example, populations residing in large storage reservoirs may yield low capture probabilities when subjected to removal sampling, making unbiased estimation of survival using traditional removal models difficult. To address this limitation, we developed a sampling design and associated model using parentage-based tagging in hatchery-raised juvenile Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) to estimate survival over a 2-year study period in a large storage reservoir in western Oregon, USA. Individual fish were identified to family groups, serving as replicate batch marks in a robust design removal model framework. Results from a simulation suggested that parameter estimates were unbiased even at very low capture probabilities, although the use of model constraints (i.e., covariates or constant parameter values) was necessary to achieve this. Model fitting to field data supported a trend in survival over time, with survival increasing with time since release in the first study year but decreasing in the second.

Environmental Biology of Fishes↗