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Apoorva Ramesh Shastry

Publications and source records attributed to Apoorva Ramesh Shastry.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Mapping bedrock outcrops in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (California, USA) using machine learning

Accurate, high-resolution maps of bedrock outcrops can be valuable for applications such as models of land–atmosphere interactions, mineral assessments, ecosystem mapping, and hazard mapping. The increasing availability of high-resolution imagery can be coupled with machine learning techniques to improve regional bedrock outcrop maps. In the United States, the existing 30 m U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Land Cover Database (NLCD) tends to misestimate extents of barren land, which includes bedrock outcrops. This impacts many calculations beyond bedrock mapping, including soil carbon storage, hydrologic modeling, and erosion susceptibility. Here, we tested if a machine learning (ML) model could more accurately map exposed bedrock than NLCD across the entire Sierra Nevada Mountains (California, USA). The ML model was trained to identify pixels that are likely bedrock from 0.6 m imagery from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP). First, we labeled exposed bedrock at twenty sites covering more than 83 km 2 (0.13%) of the Sierra Nevada region. These labels were then used to train and test the model, which gave 83% precision and 78% recall, with a 90% overall accuracy of correctly predicting bedrock. We used the trained model to map bedrock outcrops across the entire Sierra Nevada region and compared the ML map with the NLCD map. At the twenty labeled sites, we found the NLCD barren land class, even though it includes more than just bedrock outcrops, accounted for only 41% and 40% of mapped bedrock from our labels and ML predictions, respectively. This substantial difference illustrates that ML bedrock models can have a role in improving land-cover maps, like NLCD, for a range of science applications.

California↗

Regional streamflow drought forecasting in the Colorado River Basin using Deep Neural Network models

Process-based, large-scale (e.g., conterminous United States [CONUS]) hydrologic models have struggled to achieve reliable streamflow drought performance in arid regions and for low-flow periods. Deep learning has recently seen broad implementation in streamflow prediction and forecasting research projects throughout the world with performance often equaling or exceeding that of process-based models. Deep learning models are a possible approach to increase the accuracy of streamflow drought predictions and to expand the spatial coverage of river locations with available streamflow drought forecasts. As part of a multi-component Data-Driven Drought Prediction project, the U.S. Geological Survey is developing and testing deep learning models for streamflow drought forecasting. In this work, we present preliminary results of a deep learning model capable of predicting streamflow drought occurrence at ungaged locations for the Colorado River Basin (CRB). A long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model was trained using 40 years (1980-2020) of daily streamflow data from 425 streamgages within and surrounding the CRB using static watershed attributes as well as meteorological and remotely sensed dynamic forcing inputs. Model tests were performed to evaluate model accuracy for now-casting streamflow drought conditions at ungaged locations and for forecasting drought conditions at lead times ranging from 0 to 14 days. Nearly all model configurations showed behavioral performance for predicting daily streamflow percentiles. Comparisons of LSTM model performance for predicting drought using fixed drought thresholds (calculated over all days and years) and variable drought thresholds (unique threshold calculated for each day of the year) identify differences in model skill between locations with implications for model design.

Colorado River basin↗