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Anne Hopkins Pfaff

Publications and source records attributed to Anne Hopkins Pfaff.

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Contrasting prescription burning and wildfires in California Sierra Nevada national parks and adjacent national forests

History of prescription burning and wildfires in the three Sierra Nevada National Park Service (NPS) parks and adjacent US Forest Service (USFS) forests is presented. Annual prescription (Rx) burns began in 1968 in Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks, followed by Yosemite National Park and Lassen Volcanic National Park. During the last third of the 20th century, USFS national forests adjacent to these parks did limited Rx burns, accounting for very little area burned. However, in 2004, an aggressive annual burn program was initiated in these national forests and in the last decade, area burned by planned prescription burns, relative to area protected, was approximately comparable between these NPS and USFS lands. In 1968, the NPS prescription burning program was unique because it coupled planned Rx burns with managing many lightning-ignited fires for resource benefit. From 1968 to 2017, these natural fires managed for resource benefit averaged the same total area burned as planned Rx burns in the three national parks; thus, they have had a substantial impact on total area burned by prescription. In contrast, on USFS lands, most lightning-ignited fires have been managed for suppression, but increasing attention is being paid to managing wildfires for resource benefit.

California

Tree mortality in blue oak woodland during extreme drought in Sequoia National Park, California

Blue oak woodlands in California have been a focus of conservation concern for many years. Numerous studies have found that existing seedling and sapling numbers are inadequate to sustain current populations, and recent work has suggested that blue oak woodlands might be particularly vulnerable to a warming climate. California has recently experienced a drought of historically unprecedented severity, resulting in the mortality of tens of millions of trees, including an apparent spike in mortality in oak communities. Here we present the results of a survey of tree mortality and composition in blue oak woodlands in Sequoia National Park. We found that 18% (95% CI = 14–24,) of all standing trees and 23% (95% CI = 17–30) of standing Quercus douglasii Hook. & Arn. (blue oak) were dead, substantially higher than proportions of dead trees recorded in pre-drought datasets, which showed 4% (95% CI = 2–9) standing dead for all trees and 5% (95% CI = 4–7) dead or 8% (95% CI = 4–16) standing dead for blue oak. Furthermore, much of this mortality appeared to be recent. Based on foliage or fine twig retention, 19% (95% CI = 14–26) of blue oak and 23% (95% CI = 16–31) of Quercus wislizeni A. DC. (interior live oak) appear to have died recently. In contrast, only 5% (95% CI = 3–8) of Aesculus californica (Spach) Nutt. (California buckeye) and 5% (95% CI = 2–11) of Fraxinus dipetala Hook. & Arn. (California ash) appear to have died recently. Even after such high mortality, with blue oak basal area dropping by 26% (from 9.5 m2/ha [95% CI = 7.4–11.6] to 7.0 m2/ha [95% CI = 5.3–8.7]), blue oak remains the dominant species in these ecosystems. However, given the lack of recruitment and the apparent vulnerability to extreme drought, blue oak populations may be at risk for severe decline if such mortality events become more frequent.

California

Human presence diminishes the importance of climate in driving fire activity across the United States

Growing human and ecological costs due to increasing wildfire are an urgent concern in policy and management, particularly given projections of worsening fire conditions under climate change. Thus, understanding the relationship between climatic variation and fire activity is a critically important scientific question. Different factors limit fire behavior in different places and times, but most fire-climate analyses are conducted across broad spatial extents that mask geographical variation. This could result in overly broad or inappropriate management and policy decisions that neglect to account for regionally specific or other important factors driving fire activity. We developed statistical models relating seasonal temperature and precipitation variables to historical annual fire activity for 37 different regions across the continental United States and asked whether and how fire-climate relationships vary geographically, and why climate is more important in some regions than in others. Climatic variation played a significant role in explaining annual fire activity in some regions, but the relative importance of seasonal temperature or precipitation, in addition to the overall importance of climate, varied substantially depending on geographical context. Human presence was the primary reason that climate explained less fire activity in some regions than in others. That is, where human presence was more prominent, climate was less important. This means that humans may not only influence fire regimes but their presence can actually override, or swamp out, the effect of climate. Thus, geographical context as well as human influence should be considered alongside climate in national wildfire policy and management.

PNAS