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Andria P. Ellis

Publications and source records attributed to Andria P. Ellis.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Geophysical insights into Kīlauea’s eruptive reawakening after its 2018 eruption and caldera collapse

A little more than two years after the destructive 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption and summit collapse ended, renewed volcanic activity began at Kīlauea volcano, Hawaiʻi. During 2020–2025, activity at the volcano included six eruptions in the summit caldera, one in the Southwest Rift Zone, and one in the middle East Rift Zone, as well as multiple non-eruptive intrusions in all three locations. We categorize the volcano’s activity post-2018 into four phases based on eruption locations and style, as well as patterns of magma storage and migration inferred from geophysical data. In some cases, these observations illuminated parts of the volcano’s magmatic system for the first time since the advent of modern geophysical monitoring—particularly deformation datasets that include tilt, continuous GNSS, and InSAR. Analyses of these geodetic data and complementary seismic, geological, and geochemical observations provide an opportunity to explore summit and rift zone connectivity, rift-zone magma storage conditions, the variable geophysical manifestations of eruption onsets, magma-fault interactions, and other long-standing questions associated with eruptions and intrusions at Kīlauea.

Hawaii↗

Insights from more than a year of ongoing episodic lava fountaining at Kilauea

Episodic lava fountaining is rare globally, with only three occurrences from Kīlauea (Hawaii) since 1823. Beginning in December 2024, an eruption within the summit crater, Halemaʻumaʻu, has produced 52 fountaining episodes to date, each lasting typically for hours and separated by days to weeks. Although multiple mechanisms have been proposed, fundamental questions remain about how magma reservoir pressure, conduit permeability, and volatile exsolution control fountaining onset. We present a multi-parameter record of episodic fountaining at Kīlauea using modern geochemical, geophysical, and geologic monitoring. These observations revealed systematic correlations between fountaining and summit inflation, enabling unprecedented quantitative forecasts. This eruption will provide new constraints on the timing, evolution, and processes driving episodic fountaining globally, and highlights Kīlauea’s role as a natural laboratory for studying volcanic processes.

Hawaii↗

Utilizing crystal records to determine the underlying architecture and timescales of magmatic processes during the 2022 Mauna Loa eruption

Details of Mauna Loa’s plumbing system and magma storage dynamics are relatively poorly constrained, relative to nearby Kīlauea volcano. Recent studies have begun to address this gap in knowledge using geophysical imaging or olivine-focused petrology. Here, we use the crystal cargo from the 2022 summit and Northeast Rift Zone eruption to advance our understanding of Mauna Loa’s storage regions and pre˗eruptive processes. We identify textural and geochemical populations of olivine, orthopyroxene, clinopyroxene, and plagioclase macrocrysts as well as evolved glomerocrysts consisting of orthopyroxene, clinopyroxene, and plagioclase. Summit versus rift zone trends can be distinguished between specific crystal populations and are used to infer magma transfer pathways. Melt inclusion barometry from three orthopyroxene populations indicate crystallization depths of ~2–3 km which coincide with previous olivine˗hosted fluid inclusion barometry across Mauna Loa’s recent 200˗yr eruptive history. We combine orthopyroxene˗hosted melt inclusion barometry with diffusion chronometry on the same crystals using Fe˗Mg interdiffusion to estimate timescales of mixing and recharge prior to the eruption. Summit orthopyroxene yield timescales of weeks to months, aligning with geophysically recognized pre˗eruptive intrusion events and previously determined olivine timescales. Northeast Rift Zone orthopyroxene crystals have resorbed cores and yield short pre˗eruptive mixing timescales on the order of hours to days. Chemistry and timescales from the orthopyroxene populations suggest some of the 2022 magmas may have bypassed the shallowest portions of the summit reservoir system and were transferred directly into the rift zone syn˗eruptively.

Hawaii↗

Remote single-station seismic monitoring of the July–October 2022 earthquake swarm at Tau volcano, American Samoa

From July to October 2022, a non-eruptive volcanic earthquake swarm occurred within ~15 km of Taʻū Island, located in eastern American Samoa. Felt reports from local residents were the only available information about the swarm when it started, as American Samoa lacked a seismic monitoring network. We developed a consistent single-station catalog for the entire swarm, using seismic data from the nearest station IU.AFI, ~250 km away. We applied the EQTransformer deep-learning model (Mousavi et al., 2020), automatically picking Pn and Sn arrivals on IU.AFI continuous data. We retained only events with Sn-Pn times of 22.5–25 seconds, consistent with the expected locations based on felt reports, then detected smaller swarm events with subsequent template-matching. This single-station catalog characterized the swarm’s onset and escalation to peak activity before a multi-agency field response team installed a local seismic network in mid-August 2022. This permanent seismic network captured the swarm’s decline. EQTransformer identified short S-P times on the first two locally deployed seismometers, both Raspberry Shake sensors, to constrain the swarm’s distance from Taʻū Island. Modern seismological processing methods, combined with basic observations such as felt reports, can quickly contribute useful information during an earthquake response in a poorly monitored region.

American Somoa↗

Deformation of Mauna Loa volcano before, during, and after its 2022 eruption

Mauna Loa on the Island of Hawaiʻi erupted on 27 November 2022, the first eruption since 1984, which marked the culmination of decades-long period of non-eruptive unrest and relative quiescence. We briefly describe the evolution of the USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory’s geodetic monitoring network at Mauna Loa and show patterns of deformation as measured by Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR), and borehole tilt. We highlight the long-term buildup and the imminent pre-eruptive geodetic signals, including subtle changes observed in early 2021 that suggested a potential eruption. We then describe the significant ramp up of activity in September 2022 that provided strong evidence of likely impending eruptive activity. Of particular importance are the first borehole tilt excursions related to magma movement measured at Mauna Loa’s summit, which began in 2021 and were accompanied by increased rates of seismicity. In addition to describing the evolution of surface displacements, we also model the co-eruption deformation, which can be fit by dike-like opening that matches the geometry of the surface eruptive fissures.

Hawaii↗

Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa

Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral chemistry that records the physical and spatio-temporal evolution of magmas fundamentally advances our ability to forecast eruptions. The recent eruption of Mauna Loa, Earth’s largest active volcano, provides a unique opportunity to differentiate unrest from run-up and improve forecasting of future eruptions. After decades of intermittent seismic and geodetic activity over 38 years of repose, Mauna Loa began erupting on 27 November 2022. Here we present a multidisciplinary synthesis that tracks the spatio-temporal evolution of precursory activity by integrating mineral and melt chemistry, fluid inclusion barometry, numerical modeling of mineral zoning, syn-eruptive gas plume measurements, the distribution and frequency of earthquake hypocenters, seismic velocity changes, and ground deformation. These diverse data indicate that the eruption occurred following a 2-month period of sustained magma intrusion from depths of 3–5 km up to 1–2 km beneath the summit caldera, providing a new model of the plumbing system at this very high threat volcano. Careful correlation of both the geochemistry and instrumental monitoring data improves our ability to distinguish unrest from the run-up to eruption by providing deeper understanding of the both the monitoring data and the magmatic system—an approach that could be applied at other volcanic systems worldwide.

Hawaii↗

Unlearning Racism in Geoscience (URGE): Summary of U.S. Geological Survey URGE pod deliverables

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is in a unique position to be a leader in diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility in the Earth sciences. As one of the largest geoscience employers, the USGS wields significant community influence and has a responsibility to adopt and implement robust, unbiased policies so that the science it is charged to deliver is better connected to the diverse communities it serves. Meaningful and effective improvements in implementation of diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility principles made within the USGS will be seen across the geoscience community. Despite this opportunity, however, the community, including the USGS, has struggled to diversify the geoscience workforce, which does not reflect the Nation’s diversity. This disparity suggests that the implementation of past policies did not achieve their desired outcomes in sustainable ways. The persistent lack of diversity across the geosciences and the racial justice protests of 2020 motivated a group of geoscience scholars to launch a global, virtual initiative known as Unlearning Racism in Geoscience (URGE) in the winter of 2021. The 16-week facilitated URGE curriculum was designed to highlight existing literature, share expert opinions, and foster discussion within groups (pods) around the world to build action plans for affecting change within their home institutions ( https://urgeoscience.org/ ). Whereas most of the approximately 4,500 participants were university faculty and students or from professional societies and nonprofit organizations, 6 pods totaling over 120 participants from the USGS joined the program—the largest participation of any Federal science agency. Summarizing the recommendations of over 100 USGS employees across the USGS who participated in URGE, this Circular represents a grassroots plan for making the USGS workforce more diverse and inclusive. To identify how peer-reviewed best practices could be implemented at the USGS, participants read existing literature, reviewed USGS policies and procedures, explored new and existing demographic data, and listened to and discussed primary interviews with scholars, all facilitated by the URGE program. This Circular leverages the efforts and momentum of the USGS URGE participants to catalyze and support positive, systemic change throughout the organization in a holistic way that represents an achievable departure from past policies that fell short of success. These recommendations are starting points. Reflecting the overall lack of diversity in the USGS workforce, the USGS URGE participants were predominantly White, meaning recommendations in this document can and should continue to evolve to include the lived perspectives and input from the broader USGS community. Finally, this summary document only highlights some of the key findings of these working groups. Additional details that may be more suitable to specific USGS Centers and programs can be found in the primary documents developed by each USGS URGE pod; a list of all registered pods can be found at https://urgeoscience.org/pods/ .

Circular↗