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Ana Beatriz Acevedo

Publications and source records attributed to Ana Beatriz Acevedo.

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Development of a global seismic risk model

Since 2015 the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation and its partners have been supporting regional programmes and bilateral collaborations to develop an open global earthquake risk model. These efforts led to the development of a repository of probabilistic seismic hazard models, a global exposure dataset comprising structural and occupancy information regarding the residential, commercial and industrial buildings, and a comprehensive set of fragility and vulnerability functions for the most common building classes. These components were used to estimate probabilistic earthquake risk globally using the OpenQuake-engine, an open-source software for seismic hazard and risk analysis. This model allows estimating a number of risk metrics such as annualized average losses or aggregated losses for particular return periods, which are fundamental to the development and implementation of earthquake risk mitigation measures.

Earthquake Spectra

Developing a global earthquake risk model

The understanding of earthquake risk is the first step towards the development and implementation of disaster risk reduction measures. However, in many countries, especially the countries of the developing world, earthquake risk models either do not exist or are publicly inaccessible. The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation and its partners have been supporting regional programmes and bilateral collaborations to develop a global earthquake risk model, due by the end of 2018. This paper describes how the main components (seismic hazard, exposure models and vulnerability functions) of this global effort are being collected, developed or improved. The calculations are being performed using the OpenQuake-engine, the open-source software for seismic hazard and risk calculations supported by GEM. This model will be able to provide estimates of critical risk metrics such as annualized average economic and human losses or aggregated losses for particular return periods, which are fundamental to the development of efficient and effective mitigation planning.

Conference Paper