Alice J Kenney | Geology Reports

USGS2025

Demographic mechanisms of snowshoe hare population cycles in Yukon, Canada

One hundred years have elapsed since Charles Elton (1924) described the periodic fluctuations in North American snowshoe hare abundance, yet mechanisms underlying 9–11-year population cycles in snowshoe hares continue to be debated. We applied multistate capture–mark–recapture models to long-term field data (1977–2020) based on >20,000 captures of >7000 unique snowshoe hares ( Lepus americanus ) from Kluane Lake, Yukon, Canada, to estimate and model state-specific demographic parameters. Juveniles had the lowest and reproductive adult females the highest apparent survival. Apparent survival of all sex-age classes was highest during the mid- and late-breeding seasons and was generally better during the increase phase. Conditional probability of females transitioning from non-reproductive to reproductive state, and reproductive females remaining in the reproductive state, increased substantially as the population transitioned from low to increase phase throughout the breeding season. Analysis of stage-structured matrix population models revealed that population-dynamic characteristics were strongly phase-specific, and also varied across seasons, with the increase phases being characterized by high monthly asymptotic population growth rate. Snowshoe hares experienced short stage-specific generation time during the early breeding season across all phases; they experienced relatively long generation time during the increase and low phase of the mid-breeding season, and the increase and peak phase of the late breeding season. Elasticity analyses showed that asymptotic population growth rate was proportionately most sensitive to changes in survival of adult females across all phases and seasons. However, retrospective life table response experiment analysis showed that rapid growth of the snowshoe hare populations during the increase phase was due to improvements in reproductive transitions and pre-weaning survival, whereas population declines are caused primarily by reduced survival (primarily, pre-weaning survival), with reduced reproductive transitions and smaller litter sizes playing a secondary role. Our results suggest that cyclic populations of snowshoe hares are characterized by complex demographic and population-dynamic patterns, depending on phase of the cycle and reproductive season, and that different demographic mechanisms underlie rapid population growth during the increase phase, and swift population declines as the population transitions from the peak to the decline phase. Because our study represents the first comprehensive demographic and population-dynamic study of a cyclic population, similar studies would be needed to test the generalities of our conclusions. Whereas density-dependent predation has been shown to be the primary cause of phase-related changes in survival, future research should focus on identifying mechanisms underlying phase-related changes in reproductive parameters.

Yukon↗

USGS2020

Demography of snowshoe hare population cycles

Cyclic fluctuations in abundance exhibited by some mammalian populations in northern habitats (“population cycles”) are key processes in the functioning of many boreal and tundra ecosystems. Understanding population cycles, essentially demographic processes, necessitates discerning the demographic mechanisms that underlie numerical changes. Using mark–recapture data spanning five population cycles (1977–2017), we examined demographic mechanisms underlying the 9–10‐yr cycles exhibited by snowshoe hares ( Lepus americanus Erxleben) in southwestern Yukon, Canada. Snowshoe hare populations always decreased during winter and increased during summer; the balance between winter declines and summer increases characterized the four, multiyear cyclic phases: increase, peak, decline, and low. Little or no recruitment occurred during winter, but summer recruitment varied markedly across the four phases with the highest and lowest recruitment observed during the increase and decline phase, respectively. Population crashes during the decline were triggered by a substantial decline in winter survival and by a lack of subsequent summer recruitment. In contrast, initiation of the increase phase was triggered by a twofold increase in summer recruitment abetted secondarily by improvements in subsequent winter survival. We show that differences in peak density across cycles are explained by differences in overall population growth rate, amount of time available for population growth to occur, and starting population density. Demographic mechanisms underlying snowshoe hare population cycles were consistent across cycles in our study site but we do not yet know if similar demographic processes underlie population cycles in other northern snowshoe hare populations.

Yukon↗